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     Thu. Aug. 6, 2020

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $334.3300 (0.67%) ($331.1300 - $334.4600) on Thu. Aug. 6, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.33% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $334.3300(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(96%)    IWF(95%)    DIA(93%)    QQQ(92%)    IVE(90%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-53%)    UUP(-29%)    VXX(-19%)    IGOV(-3%)    TBT(-1%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV   1.8 ()
Intraday Trend   0.8%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $330.36(1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average  $326.88(2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average  $324.31(3.09%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  18.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  2
One Month Target Price  > $334.33
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $312.1
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  -39.2000 k (Fri. Jul. 31, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -5.4% away from the target price of 334.33.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50   Average positive next day return: 0.78%(50%)   Average negative next day return: -1.03%(50%)
Sample size 50   Average positive next three day return: 1.82%(44%)   Average negative next three day return: -1.59%(56%)
Sample size 50   Average positive next weekly return: 2.56%(46%)   Average negative next weekly return: -2.2%(54%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200906

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Aug_6_2020296.14324.31326.88330.36 330.56 332.32334.33(0.67%)UTOpenLong750.8   119   40   126   97   44.13    0%0.3379.41.33%1.82691.7
2Aug_5_2020295.17323.3325.69328.29 328.62 330.38332.11(0.62%)UTOpenLong750.8   110   40   119   82   41.93    0%0.2777.81.33%1.41.9681.7
3Aug_4_2020294.37322.49325.07326.89 326.29 328.79330.06(0.39%)UTOpenLong750.7   100   50   109   74   41.66    0%0.32801.34%0.71.7641.6
4Aug_3_2020293.44321.67324.5325.11 324.99 326.87328.79(0.7%)UTOpenLong750.9   139   40   156   87   52.86    0%0.284.11.34%1.41.7661.3
5Jul_31_2020292.84321.07324324 323.35 323.8326.52(0.79%)UTOpenLong750.6   47   0   47   47   85.88    0%0.27102.41.34%1.31.4701.5
 
6Jul_30_2020292.04320.36323.51322.87 322.63 323.12323.96(-0.36%)UDOpenLong750.3   22   10   18   32   62.45    0%0.1796.91.39%0.70.9611.3
7Jul_29_2020291.53319.72323.22322.67 322.2 322.9325.12(1.23%)UTOpenLong750.5   27   10   22   40   48.18    0%0.1394.41.4%2.41.2671.6
8Jul_28_2020291.16318.91322.88323.02 322.39 322.14321.17(-0.63%)UDOpenLong65-0.4   10   -10   -1   41   56.92    0%0.1786.51.42%-0.10.5591.5
9Jul_27_2020290.68318.13322.72323.79 323.34 321.51323.22(0.73%)N/AN/A0-0.1   -37   -40   -59   30   48.44    0%0.0973.81.42%0.30.9661.5
10Jul_24_2020290.42317.04321.95324.01 324.17 322.65320.88(-0.64%)CRSmallShort-20-0.5   -72   -30   -100   14   76.22    0%0.0758.61.43%-1.20.6561.2
 
11Jul_23_2020290.23316.38321.67324.17 324.7 325.16322.96(-1.19%)UDOpenLong65-0.2   15   10   -1   63   75.54    0%0.0455.21.43%0.60.9661.3
12Jul_22_2020290.12315.46320.87323.74 323.93 325.69326.86(0.57%)UTOpenLong750.4   89   40   85   100   57.48    0%0.0947.61.42%0.71.6731.8
13Jul_21_2020289.85314.67319.77322.74 322.54 324.23325.01(0.21%)UTOpenLong750.3   100   30   97   108   57.31    0%0.0646.81.44%-1.41.5741.8
14Jul_20_2020289.69313.9318.64321.52 321.56 322.17324.32(0.81%)UTHoldLong650.4   91   10   86   104   56.1    0%0.0947.31.5%2.21.6772.2
15Jul_17_2020289.42313.08317.85319.62 319.83 320.85321.72(0.29%)UTHoldLong650.4   35   20   18   84   65.38    0%0.0945.81.52%1.51.5791.9
 
16Jul_16_2020289.17312.54316.91318.8 318.95 320.95320.79(-0.33%)UDOpenLong750.4   101   50   96   115   54.42    0%0.0354.21.55%0.51.5641.5
17Jul_15_2020289.07312.04315.9317.52 317.8 318.82321.85(0.92%)UTOpenLong750.8   103   30   98   117   86.97    0%0.0344.61.55%0.81.9681.4
18Jul_14_2020288.98311.53314.55316.38 316.07 316.96318.92(1.3%)UTOpenLong750.5   29   20   15   72   91.9    0%-0.0136.21.57%01.6550.9
19Jul_13_2020289.02310.91313.14315.35 315.81 316.78314.84(-0.87%)UDOpenLong75-0.1   69   30   66   79   102.36    0%-0.0715.31.61%-0.10.9540
20Jul_10_2020289.21310.39311.77315.8 315.16 315317.59(1.02%)UTOpenLong750.4   29   -10   20   55   57.41    0%-0.073.41.61%2.11.6581.2
 
21Jul_9_2020289.4309.55310.71314.72 315.27 314.44314.38(-0.57%)N/AN/A0-0.1   -10   -10   -22   27   83.01    0%-0.09-13.21.62%-0.41520.8
22Jul_8_2020289.65309.7309.7313.95 315.15 315.32316.18(0.76%)UTOpenLong750.4   8   20   2   24   54.1    0%-0.07-111.62%-0.21.3530.9
23Jul_7_2020289.86309.84309.18312.39 314.07 316.1313.78(-1.03%)UDOpenLong750.3   71   60   80   44   82.61    0%0.09-81.67%-0.60.7500.7
24Jul_6_2020289.61310.22308.79310.52 311.87 314.98317.05(1.54%)UTOpenLong751.1   139   80   162   68   61.57    39%-0.24-2.51.66%1.11.1591.1
25Jul_2_2020290.31310.25307.84307.12 308.51 312.05312.23(0.55%)UTOpenLong750.8   117   90   141   44   68.68    39%-7.11.84%0.90.3590.8
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
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ema10
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Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
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Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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