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     Thu. Jun. 18, 2020

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $311.7800 (0.04%) ($309.5100 - $312.3000) on Thu. Jun. 18, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.45% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $311.7800(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(96%)    IWF(94%)    DIA(93%)    QQQ(91%)    IVE(90%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -1.225% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-56%)    UUP(-29%)    VXX(-21%)    TLT(-2%)    TBT(2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.225% (StdDev 2.45%)
Hourly BBV   -1.6 ()
Intraday Trend   0.6%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $309.53(0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average  $312.82(-0.33%)
20 Day Moving Average  $308.68(1%)
To recent high  -3.5%
To recent low  39.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  -228.1000 k (Fri. Jun. 12, 2020) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. SPY price fluctuates within 2.58% (three month std-dev: 2.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13   Average positive next day return: 0.64%(62%)   Average negative next day return: -0.39%(38%)
Sample size 13   Average positive next three day return: 1.94%(77%)   Average negative next three day return: -1.18%(23%)
Sample size 13   Average positive next weekly return: 2.38%(77%)   Average negative next weekly return: -0.9%(23%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200718

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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BBV
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ema5
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ema10
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Quarterly
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1Jun_18_2020292.66308.68312.82309.53 310.38 312.1311.78(0.04%)UTOpenLong750.3   11   50   12   6   80.85    52%-0.0554.72.45%-1.60.458-0.7
2Jun_17_2020292.81307.98312.81307.3 308.42 312.96311.66(-0.42%)UDOpenLong750.5   87   110   103   39   82.74    57%-0.0553.92.55%0.40.460-0.9
3Jun_16_2020292.97307.06312.89308.77 306.51 308.67312.96(1.92%)UTOpenLong750.5   60   30   68   37   137.06    46%-0.0358.32.62%10.760-1
4Jun_15_2020293.07306.18312.45310.33 308.22 303.89307.05(0.93%)DPOpenShort-75-0.4   -44   -120   -57   -3   136.11    46%-0.0863.82.97%0.70.160-1.3
5Jun_12_2020293.3305.24312.43313.56 312.43 304.35304.21(1.2%)DPOpenShort-75-0.9   -144   -190   -180   -36   195.27    47%-0.165.23.14%-0.9-0.162-1.4
 
6Jun_11_2020293.58304.38312.62316.59 316.93 312.55300.61(-5.76%)DTOpenShort-75-1.5   -119   -90   -154   -12   207.56    44%-0.1167.73.37%-2-0.360-2.6
7Jun_10_2020293.89303.57313.1318.74 320.53 320.5319(-0.56%)UDOpenLong750   24   20   10   66   93.84    51%-0.0466.83.35%-1.11.3800.9
8Jun_9_2020294.01301.94311.56317.37 318.36 321.31320.79(-0.75%)UDOpenLong750.3   48   70   37   79   77.08    46%0.0964.83.4%1.11.6861
9Jun_8_2020293.74300.46309.4314.83 316.02 320.55323.2(1.21%)UTHoldLong650.8   108   110   110   101   73.99    46%-0.0367.23.55%1.12.1821.6
10Jun_5_2020293.83298.83306.58311.3 312.32 315.42319.34(2.56%)UTHoldLong650.8   91   80   91   89   151.16    44%-0.0470.73.55%1.32.1852
 
11Jun_4_2020293.95297.18304.09308.3 308.77 311.49311.36(-0.26%)UDOpenLong750.3   58   70   54   71   75.31    46%-0.0668.53.57%0.11.6831.6
12Jun_3_2020294.12295.8302.62306.62 306.52 309.22312.18(1.33%)UTHoldLong650.7   65   60   61   77   92.58    45%-0.0561.23.6%1.71.9861.7
13Jun_2_2020294.28294.45300.58304.89 304.84 306.05308.08(0.83%)UTOpenLong750.4   52   30   46   69   74.41    47%-0.0761.63.62%11.8741.3
14Jun_1_2020294.48293.2299.23303.09 303.35 303.83305.55(0.4%)UTOpenLong750.3   26   10   16   54   56.22    47%-0.0756.23.65%0.91.7621
15May_29_2020294.69292.04297.35301.07 302.15 303.63304.32(0.45%)UTOpenLong750.5   34   50   29   50   118.41    47%-0.08513.68%0.61.7611.3
 
16May_28_2020294.92291.28295.45299.18 300.22 302.88302.97(-0.18%)UDOpenLong750.6   51   70   51   52   89.28    47%-0.0756.43.71%11.8650.9
17May_27_2020295.14290.71293.35297.97 297.81 300.67303.53(1.49%)UTOpenLong751   53   70   54   49   103.89    45%-0.0767.73.71%1.22.2681.5
18May_26_2020295.34289.77291.6295.66 296.84 297.56299.08(1.23%)UTOpenLong750.7   46   30   48   40   88.53    45%-0.1876.73.75%1.11.8631.3
19May_22_2020295.87289.13290.83294.84 295.36 294.96295.44(0.19%)N/AN/A00.1   -5   -0   -13   19   63.03    42%-0.184.63.72%-0.61.3631.2
20May_21_2020296.17288.5290.46293.01 295.48 296.13294.88(-0.69%)UDOpenLong750.4   31   40   30   35   80.73    42%-068.53.75%-0.91.3631.1
 
21May_20_2020296.18287.72289.71291.03 292.78 295.76296.93(1.7%)UTOpenLong751.2   46   90   49   36   85.67    42%-0.0956.43.75%1.21.9551.5
22May_19_2020296.44286.82288.4287.96 288.98 294.82291.97(-1.03%)UDOpenLong750.8   81   150   94   40   94.03    42%-0.137.83.75%0.51480.9
23May_18_2020296.74285.91287.8286.9 285.84 289.8295(3.05%)UTOpenLong751.6   83   90   98   38   119.5    42%-0.124.23.75%1.51.7581.4
24May_15_2020297.03285.91286.61286.4 284.77 283.14286.28(0.46%)DPOpenShort-75-0   -2   -60   -1   -4   109.93    42%-0.1229.33.72%1.30.2501
25May_14_2020297.4285.21286.31287.64 286.74 281.88284.97(1.2%)DPOpenShort-75-0.5   -69   -130   -81   -33   121.24    42%43.43.75%-0.2-0530.8
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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