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     Mon. Apr. 13, 2020

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Mar. 27, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $275.6600 (-0.91%) ($271.4100 - $277.5100) on Mon. Apr. 13, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3.63% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $275.6600(-0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(96%)    DIA(94%)    IWF(94%)    IWD(91%)    QQQ(91%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -1.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-59%)    UUP(-29%)    VXX(-23%)    TLT(-5%)    IGOV(4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.815% (StdDev 3.63%)
Hourly BBV   -0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.5%
  
 

  


Inflection Point  Yes
5 Day Moving Average  $271.58(1.5%)
10 Day Moving Average  $262.86(4.87%)
20 Day Moving Average  $253.37(8.8%)
To recent high  -18.5%
To recent low  23.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  -140.0000 k (Fri. Apr. 10, 2020) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. SPY price fluctuates within 5.74% (three month std-dev: 3.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2   Average positive next day return: 4.08%(50%)   Average negative next day return: -1.73%(50%)
Sample size 2   Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next three day return: -4.27%(100%)
Sample size 2   Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next weekly return: -7.86%(100%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200513

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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ema5
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ema10
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1Apr_13_2020304.65253.37262.86271.58 273.5 276.48275.66(-0.91%)UDOpenLong750.3   70   100   57   110   114.1    44%-0.148.73.63%-01.5751.2
2Apr_9_2020305.08252.83260.56266.08 270.24 275.1278.2(1.52%)UTOpenLong750.9   140   170   139   141   189.21    44%-0.11-11.23.6%11.8720.9
3Apr_8_2020305.42251.2258.63260.81 262.58 270.51274.03(3.36%)UTOpenLong751   130   230   129   132   152.42    44%-0.13-39.73.6%1.31.7630.9
4Apr_7_2020305.81250.96255.83255.23 257.1 265.38265.13(0.1%)UTOpenLong750.7   185   250   198   145   198.37    44%-0.16-57.33.57%0.71610.8
5Apr_6_2020306.3251.84253.64253.76 251.74 254.66264.86(6.72%)UTOpenLong750.7   86   60   85   90   186.34    44%-0.16-61.83.57%1.70.8540.8
 
6Apr_3_2020306.79252.12249.62253.11 251.48 248.82248.19(-1.45%)N/AN/A0-0.3   -11   -90   -26   36   133.88    41%-0.21-62.73.46%-0.7-0.2550.1
7Apr_2_2020307.43254.37247.9254.16 254.27 248.81251.83(2.31%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -73   -150   -93   -12   175.39    42%-0.19-543.46%-0.4-0.145-0.1
8Apr_1_2020308.02256.67246.78256.03 255.6 254.14246.15(-4.5%)DTOpenShort-75-0.4   -80   -50   -102   -13   188.12    42%-0.21-44.53.44%-1.7-0.451-0.4
9Mar_31_2020308.68259.78246.23256.16 257.98 259.74257.75(-1.49%)UDOpenLong750.1   61   70   70   35   192.54    43%-0.17-42.53.43%-0-0.146-0.1
10Mar_30_2020309.21261.72245.51253.24 255.17 257.07261.65(3.25%)UTOpenLong750.3   56   70   74   2   171.24    43%-0.16-44.63.43%1.8-043-0.3
 
11Mar_27_2020309.7263.86243.19245.5 250.23 256.22253.42(-2.98%)N/AN/A00.3   86   230   124   -30   222.37    43%-0.18-52.83.4%0.8-0.446-0.6
12Mar_26_2020310.27265.96244.39240.58 242.45 253.27261.2(5.84%)RBSmallLong200.7   133   340   190   -40   255.56    43%-0.15-61.73.38%1.3-0.242-0.3
13Mar_25_2020310.75267.65242.84236.44 237.21 244.24246.79(1.5%)RBSmallLong200.4   138   220   211   -83   297.64    40%-0.2-683.29%1.4-0.737-0.7
14Mar_24_2020311.37270.8245.25235.08 235.45 231.63243.15(9.06%)DPOpenShort-650.3   -31   -110   21   -186   232.17    40%-0.21-71.63.31%1.2-0.935-0.6
15Mar_23_2020312.04274.23249.39237.01 235.04 230.19222.95(-2.56%)DTOpenShort-75-0.5   -237   -170   -217   -296   319.98    35%-0.28-72.13.08%-1.5-1.732-0.8
 
16Mar_20_2020312.91279.27254.62240.39 241.29 239.27228.8(-4.87%)DTOpenShort-75-0.4   -106   -50   -60   -242   341.68    35%-0.25-73.23.07%-1.7-1.732-1.5
17Mar_19_2020313.69284.53261.39248.5 244.23 239.88240.51(0.21%)DPOpenShort-75-0.3   -136   -180   -103   -235   283.67    37%-0.21-69.43.01%0.2-1.538-1.7
18Mar_18_2020314.35289.35267.46250.02 248.42 243.32240(-5.06%)DTOpenShort-75-0.3   -170   -160   -145   -243   325.18    37%-0.21-69.63.02%-1.5-1.738-2.4
19Mar_17_2020315.01294.32274.66256.89 252.43 248.58252.8(5.4%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -188   -160   -173   -232   259.16    39%-0.16-672.96%0-1.537-2.2
20Mar_16_2020315.53298.55279.44264.01 259.48 253.52239.85(-10.94%)DTOpenShort-75-0.9   -165   -210   -150   -211   294.45    36%-0.21-63.92.86%-1.6-2.133-2.7
 
21Mar_13_2020316.18303.59286.58270.89 267.55 256.27269.32(8.55%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -259   -330   -260   -256   323.43    41%-0.1-63.62.52%-0.3-1.436-1.9
22Mar_12_2020316.5307.02289.52276.52 272.69 265.45248.11(-9.57%)DTHoldShort-65-1.2   -441   -230   -468   -359   377.1    34%-0.17-59.32.25%-1.5-2.424-2.6
23Mar_11_2020317.04311.68294.9287.39 282.94 278.83274.36(-4.87%)DTOpenShort-75-0.6   -183   -150   -163   -244   254.11    39%-0.08-55.81.92%-1.9-1.828-2.2
24Mar_10_2020317.3314.83298.71295.09 289.78 279.93288.42(5.17%)DPOpenShort-75-0.3   -313   -290   -318   -299   275.46    43%-0.04-491.82%0.2-1.430-2
25Mar_9_2020317.42317.21301.13297.45 296.65 287.06274.23(-7.81%)DTHoldShort-65-1.2   -483   -230   -511   -400   305.32    37%-45.61.69%-1.4-2.323-2.7
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
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