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     Wed. Mar. 18, 2020

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $240.0000 (-5.06%) ($228.0200 - $248.3700) on Wed. Mar. 18, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3.02% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $240.0000(-5.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY declines -2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY declines -9.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    DIA(95%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -1.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-62%)    VXX(-26%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-1%)  
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.51% (StdDev 3.02%)
Hourly BBV   -1.5 ()
Intraday Trend   1.6%
  
 

  


Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $289.35
5 Day Moving Average  $250.02(-4.01%)
10 Day Moving Average  $267.46(-10.27%)
20 Day Moving Average  $289.35(-17.06%)
To recent high  -29.1%
To recent low  0.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  -1.6000 k (Fri. Mar. 13, 2020) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. SPY price fluctuates within 10.29% (three month std-dev: 3.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 44   Average positive next day return: 4.69%(45%)   Average negative next day return: -3.45%(55%)
Sample size 44   Average positive next three day return: 5.39%(50%)   Average negative next three day return: -6.07%(50%)
Sample size 44   Average positive next weekly return: 6.65%(45%)   Average negative next weekly return: -7.36%(55%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200418

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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Fast Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
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Daily
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BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
1Mar_18_2020314.35289.35267.46250.02 248.42 243.32240(-5.06%)DTOpenShort-75-0.3   -170   -160   -145   -243   325.18    37%-0.21-69.63.02%-1.5-1.738-2.4
2Mar_17_2020315.01294.32274.66256.89 252.43 248.58252.8(5.4%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -188   -160   -173   -232   259.16    39%-0.16-672.96%0-1.537-2.2
3Mar_16_2020315.53298.55279.44264.01 259.48 253.52239.85(-10.94%)DTOpenShort-75-0.9   -165   -210   -150   -211   294.45    36%-0.21-63.92.86%-1.6-2.133-2.7
4Mar_13_2020316.18303.59286.58270.89 267.55 256.27269.32(8.55%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -259   -330   -260   -256   323.43    41%-0.1-63.62.52%-0.3-1.436-1.9
5Mar_12_2020316.5307.02289.52276.52 272.69 265.45248.11(-9.57%)DTHoldShort-65-1.2   -441   -230   -468   -359   377.1    34%-0.17-59.32.25%-1.5-2.424-2.6
 
6Mar_11_2020317.04311.68294.9287.39 282.94 278.83274.36(-4.87%)DTOpenShort-75-0.6   -183   -150   -163   -244   254.11    39%-0.08-55.81.92%-1.9-1.828-2.2
7Mar_10_2020317.3314.83298.71295.09 289.78 279.93288.42(5.17%)DPOpenShort-75-0.3   -313   -290   -318   -299   275.46    43%-0.04-491.82%0.2-1.430-2
8Mar_9_2020317.42317.21301.13297.45 296.65 287.06274.23(-7.81%)DTHoldShort-65-1.2   -483   -230   -511   -400   305.32    37%-0.08-45.61.69%-1.4-2.323-2.7
9Mar_6_2020317.66320.29306.07304.42 302.95 299.63297.46(-1.65%)DTOpenShort-75-0.4   -287   -90   -276   -320   229.84    45%-0.01-39.61.38%-1.4-1.428-2.3
10Mar_5_2020317.68322.19309.52304.43 304.64 306.24302.46(-3.32%)N/AN/A0-0.1   7   40   72   -188   184.18    46%0.01-40.11.37%-1.4-1.330-2.1
 
11Mar_4_2020317.64323.77312.79303.44 301.53 306.26312.86(4.2%)N/AN/A00.6   65   90   147   -180   175.48    51%0.04-42.21.3%1.8-0.733-1.6
12Mar_3_2020317.5324.63315.1303.17 300.59 303.04300.24(-2.86%)N/AN/A0-0.2   97   30   191   -186   301.24    45%0.02-43.21.19%0.4-1.724-2.3
13Mar_2_2020317.45325.97318.73305.65 302.91 296.79309.09(3.89%)DPOpenShort-750.3   -213   -170   -175   -326   235.32    47%0.04-42.41.13%0.8-1.329-1.9
14Feb_28_2020317.32326.73321.53308.32 306.67 298.14297.51(0%)DTHoldShort-50-0.9   -770   -210   -830   -588   358.11    41%0.02-41.31.01%-1.3-2.317-2.8
15Feb_27_2020317.27328.41325.64315.51 314.8 309.11297.51(-4.49%)DTHoldShort-65-1.7   -534   -130   -574   -413   283.23    41%0.02-32.81.02%-1.8-2.916-3.1
 
16Feb_26_2020317.21330.06329.88323.4 322.22 315.4311.5(-0.37%)DTOpenShort-75-1.5   -489   -160   -539   -338   192.34    47%0.08-19.70.85%-1.4-2.425-2.4
17Feb_25_2020316.97330.95332.43328.77 327.92 320.49312.65(-3.03%)DTOpenShort-75-2.4   -621   -170   -716   -337   213.35    49%0.07-40.85%-1.7-2.734-3.2
18Feb_24_2020316.76331.64334.86333.58 333.25 328.88322.42(-3.32%)DTOpenShort-75-2   -475   -90   -567   -198   159.16    55%0.0912.70.76%-1.3-1.753-3.1
19Feb_21_2020316.47332.02336.02336.62 336.38 335.26333.48(-1.03%)N/AN/A0-0.6   -174   -30   -238   18   113.76    64%0.1428.40.62%-1.50.375-0.8
20Feb_20_2020316.02331.92336.12337.34 337.2 337.63336.95(-0.41%)UDOpenLong75-0.1   38   10   2   147   73.77    67%0.1635.50.61%-0.41650.4
 
21Feb_19_2020315.51331.61335.73337.43 337.34 337.51338.34(0.48%)UTOpenLong750.2   114   0   84   203   49.13    67%0.1541.30.61%1.31.4691
22Feb_18_2020315.04331.22334.83336.81 336.96 336.78336.73(-0.26%)UDOpenLong65-0   24   -0   -22   160   57.11    67%0.1943.40.61%-0.31.2670.8
23Feb_14_2020314.43330.95333.65336.4 336.83 337.17337.6(0.16%)UTOpenLong750.3   93   10   59   195   64.41    67%0.1349.60.6%-0.11.5720.9
24Feb_13_2020314.01330.57332.13335.32 335.91 337.14337.06(-0.11%)UDOpenLong750.4   135   30   118   184   53.31    67%0.1350.40.6%0.81.5600.6
25Feb_12_2020313.6330.1331.17334.71 334.77 336.48337.42(0.64%)UTOpenLong750.7   200   40   201   198   42.89    67%54.50.6%1.11.8551
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
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