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     Wed. Feb. 19, 2020

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $338.3400 (0.48%) ($337.4800 - $339.0800) on Wed. Feb. 19, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.61% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $338.3400(0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(97%)    DIA(96%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-63%)    VXX(-28%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-7%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.305% (StdDev 0.61%)
Hourly BBV   1.3 ()
Intraday Trend   0.2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $337.43(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average  $335.73(0.78%)
20 Day Moving Average  $331.61(2.03%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  9.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.4
One Month Target Price  > $338.34
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $328.02
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  34.8000 k (Fri. Feb. 14, 2020) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -3.2% away from the target price of 338.34.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 0.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24   Average positive next day return: 0.96%(42%)   Average negative next day return: -0.93%(58%)
Sample size 24   Average positive next three day return: 1.01%(42%)   Average negative next three day return: -1.39%(58%)
Sample size 24   Average positive next weekly return: 2.01%(50%)   Average negative next weekly return: -1.63%(50%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200319

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
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Force
Daily
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BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
1Feb_19_2020315.51331.61335.73337.43 337.34 337.51338.34(0.48%)UTOpenLong750.2   114   0   84   203   49.13    67%0.1541.30.61%1.31.4691
2Feb_18_2020315.04331.22334.83336.81 336.96 336.78336.73(-0.26%)UDOpenLong65-0   24   -0   -22   160   57.11    67%0.1943.40.61%-0.31.2670.8
3Feb_14_2020314.43330.95333.65336.4 336.83 337.17337.6(0.16%)UTOpenLong750.3   93   10   59   195   64.41    67%0.1349.60.6%-0.11.5720.9
4Feb_13_2020314.01330.57332.13335.32 335.91 337.14337.06(-0.11%)UDOpenLong750.4   135   30   118   184   53.31    67%0.1350.40.6%0.81.5600.6
5Feb_12_2020313.6330.1331.17334.71 334.77 336.48337.42(0.64%)UTOpenLong750.7   200   40   201   198   42.89    67%0.1354.50.6%1.11.8551
 
6Feb_11_2020313.18329.57330.05333.8 333.94 334.67335.26(0.17%)UTOpenLong750.4   187   20   193   169   54.68    66%0.1258.60.6%0.81.6540.1
7Feb_10_2020312.79329.18329.18332.56 333 333.07334.68(0.75%)UTOpenLong750.6   66   10   60   85   42.01    66%0.1258.70.6%1.51.6530.2
8Feb_7_2020312.42328.72328.05330.44 331.98 333.22332.2(-0.53%)UDOpenLong750.5   126   40   147   61   63.32    65%0.148.50.6%-0.61.149-0.1
9Feb_6_2020312.1328.43327.64328.35 329.95 332.93333.98(0.34%)UTOpenLong751.8   273   80   333   93   48.43    65%0.1135.10.59%1.11.7530.2
10Feb_5_2020311.76327.94327.3327.09 327.32 330.74332.86(1.15%)UTOpenLong751.9   341   80   417   114   64.55    65%0.1129.30.59%1.31.6560.1
 
11Feb_4_2020311.43327.44327.04325.84 325.66 326.97329.06(1.52%)UTOpenLong751.1   232   30   292   51   60.94    62%0.120.70.58%1.40.553-0.7
12Feb_3_2020311.13327.18327.2325.41 325.21 323.91324.12(0.74%)DPOpenShort-75-0.4   -76   -30   -69   -97   68.79    59%0.08170.55%0.2-144-1.4
13Jan_31_2020310.89327.13327.97325.28 325.79 324.34321.73(-1.82%)DTOpenShort-75-1.1   -208   -30   -229   -146   113.41    57%0.0715.30.55%-1.9-1.746-2.4
14Jan_30_2020310.68327.33328.94326.69 326.09 326.51327.68(0.32%)DPOpenShort-750.3   -127   0   -144   -76   74.93    64%0.0934.80.5%-0.10.154-0.4
15Jan_29_2020310.4327.07329.02327.5 327.12 327.23326.62(-0.08%)UDOpenLong75-0.3   83   -0   95   48   53.2    64%0.0942.60.5%0.5-0.157-0.7
 
16Jan_28_2020310.11326.82329.15328.44 327.95 325.67326.89(1.05%)DPOpenShort-75-0.5   -178   -50   -223   -44   63.3    64%0.148.50.5%0.3061-0.7
17Jan_27_2020309.81326.64329.3329.33 329.23 327.02323.5(-1.6%)DTOpenShort-75-1.6   -367   -50   -455   -101   83.54    61%0.08550.49%-1.4-0.953-1.9
18Jan_24_2020309.55326.65329.62331.02 330.99 330.22328.77(-0.89%)N/AN/A0-0.6   -118   -20   -182   75   87.17    70%0.172.70.43%-1.70.6700
19Jan_23_2020309.23326.29329.45331.45 331.5 331.43331.72(0.11%)UTHoldLong500.1   32   -0   -15   171   51.76    77%0.1377.70.41%0.31.5681.2
20Jan_22_2020308.84325.75328.74330.74 331.3 331.76331.34(0.01%)UTOpenLong750.2   134   10   106   217   48.56    77%0.1479.40.41%-0.41.6731.1
 
21Jan_21_2020308.42325.21327.9329.96 330.33 331.57331.3(-0.2%)UDOpenLong750.4   188   30   174   231   77.18    77%0.13800.42%0.21.8741.4
22Jan_17_2020308.02324.68327.13329.29 329.34 330.78331.95(0.31%)UTOpenLong750.8   275   30   279   263   96.51    77%0.1383.20.42%0.32.2691.9
23Jan_16_2020307.62324.04326.17328.04 328.34 329.19330.92(0.83%)UTOpenLong751   213   20   215   207   51.81    77%0.1492.10.42%1.62.4672.2
24Jan_15_2020307.18323.46325.51327.19 327.45 328.02328.19(0.23%)UTOpenLong750.4   123   10   110   161   70.37    75%0.141050.42%-01.8672
25Jan_14_2020306.76323.02324.88326.44 326.95 327.49327.45(-0.15%)UDOpenLong750.4   146   20   142   159   62.05    75%113.20.43%0.31.8662.3
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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