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     Fri. Feb. 7, 2020

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Mar. 27, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $332.2000 (-0.53%) ($331.6000 - $333.9940) on Fri. Feb. 7, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.6% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $332.2000(-0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(97%)    DIA(96%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-63%)    VXX(-28%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.3% (StdDev 0.6%)
Hourly BBV   -0.6 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.2%
  
 

  


Inflection Point  Yes
5 Day Moving Average  $330.44(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average  $328.05(1.27%)
20 Day Moving Average  $328.72(1.06%)
To recent high  -0.5%
To recent low  7.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.1
One Month Target Price  > $332.2
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $322.23
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  46.1000 k (Fri. Feb. 7, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.5% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.8% away from the target price of 332.2.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.99% (three month std-dev: 0.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7   Average positive next day return: 0.83%(71%)   Average negative next day return: -0.36%(29%)
Sample size 7   Average positive next three day return: 1.09%(86%)   Average negative next three day return: -0.02%(14%)
Sample size 7   Average positive next weekly return: 2.08%(57%)   Average negative next weekly return: -0.37%(43%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200307

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Feb_7_2020312.42328.72328.05330.44 331.98 333.22332.2(-0.53%)UDOpenLong750.5   126   40   147   61   63.32    65%0.148.50.6%-0.61.149-0.1
2Feb_6_2020312.1328.43327.64328.35 329.95 332.93333.98(0.34%)UTOpenLong751.8   273   80   333   93   48.43    65%0.1135.10.59%1.11.7530.2
3Feb_5_2020311.76327.94327.3327.09 327.32 330.74332.86(1.15%)UTOpenLong751.9   341   80   417   114   64.55    65%0.1129.30.59%1.31.6560.1
4Feb_4_2020311.43327.44327.04325.84 325.66 326.97329.06(1.52%)UTOpenLong751.1   232   30   292   51   60.94    62%0.120.70.58%1.40.553-0.7
5Feb_3_2020311.13327.18327.2325.41 325.21 323.91324.12(0.74%)DPOpenShort-75-0.4   -76   -30   -69   -97   68.79    59%0.08170.55%0.2-144-1.4
 
6Jan_31_2020310.89327.13327.97325.28 325.79 324.34321.73(-1.82%)DTOpenShort-75-1.1   -208   -30   -229   -146   113.41    57%0.0715.30.55%-1.9-1.746-2.4
7Jan_30_2020310.68327.33328.94326.69 326.09 326.51327.68(0.32%)DPOpenShort-750.3   -127   0   -144   -76   74.93    64%0.0934.80.5%-0.10.154-0.4
8Jan_29_2020310.4327.07329.02327.5 327.12 327.23326.62(-0.08%)UDOpenLong75-0.3   83   -0   95   48   53.2    64%0.0942.60.5%0.5-0.157-0.7
9Jan_28_2020310.11326.82329.15328.44 327.95 325.67326.89(1.05%)DPOpenShort-75-0.5   -178   -50   -223   -44   63.3    64%0.148.50.5%0.3061-0.7
10Jan_27_2020309.81326.64329.3329.33 329.23 327.02323.5(-1.6%)DTOpenShort-75-1.6   -367   -50   -455   -101   83.54    61%0.08550.49%-1.4-0.953-1.9
 
11Jan_24_2020309.55326.65329.62331.02 330.99 330.22328.77(-0.89%)N/AN/A0-0.6   -118   -20   -182   75   87.17    70%0.172.70.43%-1.70.6700
12Jan_23_2020309.23326.29329.45331.45 331.5 331.43331.72(0.11%)UTHoldLong500.1   32   -0   -15   171   51.76    77%0.1377.70.41%0.31.5681.2
13Jan_22_2020308.84325.75328.74330.74 331.3 331.76331.34(0.01%)UTOpenLong750.2   134   10   106   217   48.56    77%0.1479.40.41%-0.41.6731.1
14Jan_21_2020308.42325.21327.9329.96 330.33 331.57331.3(-0.2%)UDOpenLong750.4   188   30   174   231   77.18    77%0.13800.42%0.21.8741.4
15Jan_17_2020308.02324.68327.13329.29 329.34 330.78331.95(0.31%)UTOpenLong750.8   275   30   279   263   96.51    77%0.1383.20.42%0.32.2691.9
 
16Jan_16_2020307.62324.04326.17328.04 328.34 329.19330.92(0.83%)UTOpenLong751   213   20   215   207   51.81    77%0.1492.10.42%1.62.4672.2
17Jan_15_2020307.18323.46325.51327.19 327.45 328.02328.19(0.23%)UTOpenLong750.4   123   10   110   161   70.37    75%0.141050.42%-01.8672
18Jan_14_2020306.76323.02324.88326.44 326.95 327.49327.45(-0.15%)UDOpenLong750.4   146   20   142   159   62.05    75%0.13113.20.43%0.31.8662.3
19Jan_13_2020306.35322.51324.25325.5 326.13 326.88327.95(0.69%)UTOpenLong751   142   20   143   140   46.37    75%0.14112.30.43%1.82.3682.5
20Jan_10_2020305.91321.97323.71324.64 325.06 326.4325.71(-0.29%)UDOpenLong750.5   179   30   190   146   52.99    76%0.11116.90.44%-0.11.6641.4
 
21Jan_9_2020305.56321.42323.41323.98 324.09 325.39326.65(0.68%)UTOpenLong751.1   232   30   253   169   48.1    76%0.11112.20.44%1.22.2701.4
22Jan_8_2020305.21320.77322.85323.62 323.24 323.72324.45(0.53%)UTOpenLong750.3   124   10   126   117   68.13    62%0.11107.50.45%21.4660.7
23Jan_7_2020304.86320.25322.52323.1 323.02 322.78322.73(-0.28%)UDOpenLong75-0.1   45   -10   36   72   40.87    60%0.1194.50.49%0.70.8630.6
24Jan_6_2020304.54319.87322.34322.77 322.53 322.76323.64(0.38%)N/AN/A00.3   -9   0   -29   51   55.53    60%0.12850.5%0.51.2730.6
25Jan_3_2020304.18319.31322.06322.62 322.23 323.25322.41(-0.76%)UDOpenLong75-0.1   92   20   87   105   75.64    65%78.40.52%0.40.9710.5
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
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ema5
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ema10
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Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
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Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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