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     Thu. Jan. 2, 2020

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $324.8700 (0.94%) ($322.5300 - $324.8900) on Thu. Jan. 2, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.51% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $324.8700(0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(97%)    DIA(96%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-63%)    VXX(-28%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.255% (StdDev 0.51%)
Hourly BBV   1.9 ()
Intraday Trend   0.4%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $322.72(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average  $321.8(0.95%)
20 Day Moving Average  $318.78(1.91%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  12.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.7
One Month Target Price  > $324.87
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $316.59
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  -13.5000 k (Mon. Dec. 30, 2019) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -7.7% away from the target price of 324.87.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 0.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 46   Average positive next day return: 0.62%(52%)   Average negative next day return: -0.7%(48%)
Sample size 46   Average positive next three day return: 1.05%(50%)   Average negative next three day return: -1.2%(50%)
Sample size 46   Average positive next weekly return: 1.36%(59%)   Average negative next weekly return: -1.35%(41%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200202

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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ema5
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ema10
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Quarterly
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100
Daily
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1Jan_2_2020303.79318.78321.8322.72 322.27 322.31324.87(0.94%)UTHoldLong650.6   138   -0   135   147   58.73    60%0.1769.60.51%1.91.7881.3
2Dec_31_2019303.26318.03321.25321.99 321.96 321.21321.86(0.24%)N/AN/A0-0   -56   -20   -93   54   56.97    51%0.1152.80.56%-0.30.9860.9
3Dec_30_2019302.92317.53321.02321.87 321.96 322.24321.08(-0.55%)N/AN/A0-0.2   -7   10   -39   89   49.6    51%0.152.30.58%-1.40.9830.4
4Dec_27_2019302.62317.18320.68321.8 322 322.7322.86(-0.02%)UDOpenLong750.3   124   20   112   158   43.63    51%0.157.40.58%0.31.4850.9
5Dec_26_2019302.32316.78320.12321.4 321.48 321.76322.94(0.53%)UTHoldLong650.4   91   10   71   152   30.84    51%0.1762.40.58%0.31.6891.2
 
6Dec_24_2019301.82316.32319.28320.73 321.04 321.29321.23(0%)UTHoldLong500.1   56   10   29   135   20.53    51%0.1366.70.58%-31.4881.3
7Dec_23_2019301.44315.91318.54320.4 320.71 321.19321.22(0.15%)UTHoldLong650.2   82   10   58   152   52.53    51%0.169.70.59%0.81.5901.2
8Dec_20_2019301.15315.39317.82320.06 320.31 320.79320.73(-0.05%)UDOpenLong750.2   94   10   71   162   149.61    51%0.0967.30.59%1.31.6771.5
9Dec_19_2019300.89314.86317.22319.38 320.01 320.22320.9(0.41%)UTOpenLong750.5   98   10   80   153   83.22    51%0.0865.40.61%1.71.8651.8
10Dec_18_2019300.65314.34316.34318.62 319.17 319.84319.59(0.01%)UTOpenLong750.3   72   20   54   125   49.44    51%0.06670.6%0.11.7581.7
 
11Dec_17_2019300.46313.94315.53317.59 318.35 319.81319.57(0.02%)UTOpenLong750.7   184   40   193   156   58.58    51%0.0666.70.6%0.62622.1
12Dec_16_2019300.28313.53314.54316.38 316.93 318.5319.5(0.69%)UTOpenLong751.2   199   40   220   136   80    51%0.06700.6%1.22.4632.2
13Dec_13_2019300.1313.12313.72315.26 315.44 316.9317.32(0.06%)UTOpenLong751   150   30   168   97   81.23    48%0.0674.60.6%0.92652.2
14Dec_12_2019299.93312.73313.36314.77 314.76 315.36317.13(0.86%)UTOpenLong751.2   134   10   147   93   95.59    48%0.05750.6%1.82.2661.6
15Dec_11_2019299.77312.32313.13313.74 314.35 313.97314.42(0.28%)UTOpenLong750.4   27   -0   23   39   54.62    44%0.0571.70.6%0.71.1600.3
 
16Dec_10_2019299.62312.05313.07313.15 313.71 314.16313.53(-0.11%)CRSmallShort-200.2   -25   20   -37   11   52.45    44%0.0567.20.6%-1.50.854-0.1
17Dec_9_2019299.47311.8313.05312.36 313.67 314.73313.88(-0.31%)UDOpenLong750.7   128   40   146   74   34.77    44%0.0653.80.6%0.3155-0.2
18Dec_6_2019299.3311.56312.77311.91 313.27 313.27314.87(0.91%)UTOpenLong751.4   2   10   1   6   48.96    44%0.0554.50.6%01.6581.1
19Dec_5_2019299.14311.22312.3311.8 313.27 313.27312.02(0.18%)N/AN/A00.1   -4   NAN   -7   4   40.78    46%0.0564.60.59%00.4580.6
20Dec_4_2019298.99310.99312.2312.49 313.27 313.27311.46(0.62%)UDOpenLong65-0.5   1   NAN   -6   21   49.19    51%0.0475.70.61%00.2590.4
 
21Dec_3_2019298.87310.79312.26313.01 313.27 313.27309.55(-0.67%)UDOpenLong65-1.5   4   NAN   -8   38   75.17    48%0.0385.30.62%0-0.555-0.5
22Dec_2_2019298.78310.7312.54313.78 313.27 313.27311.64(-0.85%)UDOpenLong75-0.9   17   NAN   1   66   76.11    51%0.0498.70.62%00.4640.6
23Nov_29_2019298.67310.44312.57313.64 313.27 313.27314.31(-0.37%)UDOpenLong750.3   27   NAN   9   79   36.59    60%0.051000.6%01.5721.5
24Nov_27_2019298.52309.91312.1312.83 313.27 313.27315.48(0.45%)UTHoldLong650.9   25   NAN   10   68   44.79    60%0.0685.60.62%01.8801.9
25Nov_26_2019298.34309.34311.45311.89 313.27 313.27314.08(0.23%)UTHoldLong650.7   18   NAN   5   57   37.73    64%83.50.62%01.6802
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
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