Trading Signals: SPCE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 20, 2020

Trading Signals: SPCE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 29, 2017 - Wed. Sep. 14, 2022)

(Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.)
SPCE latest price $23.3100 (-3.08%) ($23.0500 - $24.6000) on Fri. Nov. 20, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.98% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $23.3100(-3.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPCE advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPCE advances 9.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPCE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKK(58%)    IBUY(55%)    IPO(54%)    ARKG(53%)    ONLN(53%)
Factors Impacting SPCE price   SPCE will decline at least -2.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    VXX(-28%)    UUP(-20%)    TLT(-5%)    USO(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.49% (StdDev 4.98%)
Hourly BBV -0.5 ()
Intraday Trend -4.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.44(3.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.95(6.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.17(15.57%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   48.2%
Market Cap   $4.905b

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. operates as a holding company, which engages in the business of owning and operating privately built spaceships. It designs spaceships which can fly anyone to space safely without the need for expertise or exhaustive time consuming training. The company develops passenger carrying manned spacecraft. The company was founded on May 5, 2017 and is headquartered in Las Cruces, NM.

$. SPCE price fluctuates within 9.97% (three month std-dev: 4.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.95%(25%) Average negative next day return: -6.72%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 7.56%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -12.04%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.97%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -15.8%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2020	19.64	20.17	21.95	22.44	22.68	23.72	23.31(-3.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	350	17	124	11.18	70%	0.36	21.3	4.98%	-0.5	1.6	77	1.2
2	Nov_19_2020	19.57	19.95	21.53	22.23	21.88	22.92	24.05(6.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	52	290	24	135	14.16	70%	0.36	11.6	4.96%	1.3	2.2	81	1.3
3	Nov_18_2020	19.5	19.75	21.04	21.74	21.47	21.64	22.59(5.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	20	12	125	18.31	68%	0.31	2.4	4.91%	1.2	1.7	71	1.3
4	Nov_17_2020	19.44	19.62	20.59	21.61	21.3	20.85	21.35(2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	30	-190	-2	124	9.15	66%	0.31	-2.2	4.88%	0.2	1	71	1.6
5	Nov_16_2020	19.38	19.68	20.31	21.44	21.41	21.31	20.89(-6.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	29	-40	-2	123	22.47	66%	0.31	-1.9	4.88%	-0.5	0.7	63	1.6

6	Nov_13_2020	19.32	19.75	20.01	21.35	21.32	21.75	22.27(3.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	140	18	129	7.2	71%	0.36	2.2	4.82%	1.6	1.4	70	1.5
7	Nov_12_2020	19.25	19.73	19.52	20.7	20.9	21.5	21.62(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	230	20	97	9.62	71%	0.31	-5.1	4.82%	0.3	1	61	1.1
8	Nov_11_2020	19.19	19.71	19.16	20.21	20.36	20.89	21.94(7.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	200	27	67	12.78	71%	0.31	-13.8	4.82%	1.2	1.2	53	1.8
9	Nov_10_2020	19.13	19.66	18.69	19.43	19.66	20.31	20.47(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	270	17	16	9.74	68%	0.16	-27	4.78%	0.6	0.5	48	1.7
10	Nov_9_2020	19.1	19.66	18.46	19.03	19.16	19.84	20.45(7.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	270	24	-24	14.5	68%	0.26	-31.2	4.83%	1.5	0.4	38	1.4

11	Nov_6_2020	19.05	19.71	18.22	18.47	18.62	19.02	19.03(-0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	170	16	-74	13.35	65%	0.21	-40.3	4.8%	1.3	-0.4	32	1.7
12	Nov_5_2020	19.01	19.82	18.21	18.15	18.18	18.48	19.17(6.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	120	9	-106	11.51	65%	0.21	-42.6	4.82%	2.3	-0.3	35	1
13	Nov_4_2020	18.97	19.96	18.33	17.95	17.93	18.23	18.03(-2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-25	110	7	-120	7.81	51%	0.16	-41	4.77%	-0.2	-1	34	0.8
14	Nov_3_2020	18.94	20.16	18.56	17.84	17.83	17.88	18.45(4.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-28	20	4	-123	8.43	55%	0.16	-38.1	5.05%	1.5	-0.9	37	-0.6
15	Nov_2_2020	18.91	20.29	18.97	17.81	17.73	17.63	17.66(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-50	-6	-121	9.86	55%	0.16	-38.8	5.1%	0.4	-1.5	30	-1.4

16	Oct_30_2020	18.88	20.47	19.47	17.94	17.94	17.78	17.42(-4.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-60	-9	-108	7.99	55%	0.16	-38.2	5.1%	-1.2	-1.8	38	-1.7
17	Oct_29_2020	18.85	20.66	19.97	18.28	18.18	17.82	18.18(4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-160	-16	-97	8.56	55%	0.11	-24.4	5.07%	-0.2	-1.6	37	-1.4
18	Oct_28_2020	18.83	20.77	20.32	18.79	18.69	18.1	17.48(-4.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-38	-240	-21	-87	8.82	55%	0.05	-3.8	5.06%	-1.5	-2.2	31	-2.6
19	Oct_27_2020	18.82	20.89	20.73	19.38	19.45	18.54	18.29(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-320	-31	-77	5.99	55%	0.05	20.9	5.06%	-0.7	-2	35	-0.5
20	Oct_26_2020	18.81	21.01	21.11	20.33	20.29	19.28	18.32(-4.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-37	-350	-34	-47	12.55	55%	0.11	63.6	5.07%	-1.1	-2.3	41	-0.4

21	Oct_23_2020	18.79	21.14	21.37	21.23	21.44	20.36	19.14(-7.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-24	-320	-26	-19	16.08	55%	0.21	86.5	5.06%	-1.5	-1.4	44	1.1
22	Oct_22_2020	18.75	21.04	21.63	21.89	22.19	21.3	20.73(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-12	-240	-18	8	8.63	60%	0.21	81.3	4.98%	-0.8	-0.2	53	1.2
23	Oct_21_2020	18.71	20.83	21.77	22.07	22.6	22.52	20.44(-11.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	50	-8	28	20.92	64%	0.27	69.5	4.99%	-1.9	-0.2	55	0.9
24	Oct_20_2020	18.66	20.62	21.92	22.25	22.46	23.07	23.03(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	23	220	11	57	25.69	74%	0.27	63.6	4.9%	-0.1	1.1	76	0.6
25	Oct_19_2020	18.61	20.3	21.72	22.01	22.04	22.67	22.82(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	200	20	56	17.18	74%		56.5	4.94%	0.4	1.1	63	0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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