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     Mon. Aug. 10, 2020



Trading Signals: SPCE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 29, 2017 - Mon. Sep. 21, 2020)

(Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.)

SPCE latest price $19.2300 (5.37%) ($18.4200 - $19.5200) on Mon. Aug. 10, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Correction
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  SPCE declines -4.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPCE declines -11.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPCE advance at 3.2% a week (32% probability)
  IWO(34%)    XAR(34%)    EWG(32%)    IWM(31%)    SKYY(31%)  
Factors Impacting SPCE price  SPCE will advance at least 2.3% in a week (23% probabilities).
  VXX(-29%)    VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-12%)    SHY(-12%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.3
 
Relative Volatility   -0.1 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly BBV   -0.8
Hourly Trend   -2.59% [$18.81(-0.31), $19.31(-0.61)]
Last Hour Trend   -0.36% [$19.27, $19.34]


SPCE Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  70%
Bullish Price Move  6%
Bearish Probability  30%
Bearish Price Move  -6%
Recommended Position Size  7%
Latest Price  $19.2300
Next Day Open Price  $19.09(-0.72%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $16.18(-15.88%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $15.72 - $18.02
Resistance Level  $22.15
5 Day Moving Average  $19.54(-1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average  $21.27(-9.59%)
20 Day Moving Average  $22.15(-13.18%)
To recent high  -24.7%
To recent low  33%
Market Cap  $4.046b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Tue. Nov. 17, 2020
Analyst One Year Target Price  $27.00 ($24.00 - $29.00)
  3 analysts (last updated on Tue. Aug. 4, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  40.41%
% to Low Target Price  24.8%
% to High Target Price  50.81%
 


  
 
 


Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. operates as a holding company, which engages in the business of owning and operating privately built spaceships. It designs spaceships which can fly anyone to space safely without the need for expertise or exhaustive time consuming training. The company develops passenger carrying manned spacecraft. The company was founded on May 5, 2017 and is headquartered in Las Cruces, NM.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. SPCE price fluctuates within 11.42% (three month std-dev: 5.99%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. SPCE price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200910

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVRVT(RV,IV)VIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Aug_10_2020-24.7%-33% 0.9%,0.1(-0.1)-11.6%,-1(-0.2)-4.7%,-0.4-0.6-0.36%-4%-1.2-0.8-1.3-0.1(11.42%,NAN%)1.612.36   19.23(5.37%)18.42-19.52Correction 16.18(-15.88%)15.72-18.0230
2Aug_7_2020-28.5%-26.2% 2.4%,0.2(-0.2)-8.9%,-0.8(-0.2)-3.9%,-0.3-0.9-0.71%-1.4%-1.5-1.7-1.40.2(11.43%,5.1%)1.619.52   18.25(-5.64%)18.13-19.3Correction 15.91(-12.8%)15.54-17.4236
3Aug_6_2020-24.3%-33.7% 4.2%,0.4(-0.1)-7%,-0.6(-0.3)-3.2%,-0.3-1.5-0.26%1.1%-1.2-1.7-10.1(11.03%,3.94%)1.622.07   19.34(-4.02%)19.05-20Correction 17.53(-9.37%)17.21-18.8136
4Aug_5_2020-21.1%-39.3% 5.8%,0.5(-0.1)-4%,-0.3(-0.3)-2.5%,-0.2-1.50.4%3.6%-0.8-1.7-0.70.3(11.86%,4.77%)1.617.01   20.15(-2.75%)19.31-20.68Correction 18.98(-5.81%)18.72-20.0352
5Aug_4_2020-18.9%-43.3% 6.8%,0.5(-0.1)-0.1%,-0(-0.3)-2.7%,-0.2-0-0.43%6.7%-0.5-1.7-0.50.6(12.92%,5.05%)1.523.34   20.72(-13.74%)20.68-22.18Correction 20.13(-2.84%)19.92-20.9963
 
6Aug_3_2020-6%-66.1% 8.2%,0.6(-0.1)4%,0.3(-0.2)-0.8%,-0.101%9.5%0.70.50.70.7(13.8%,7.21%)1.620.95   24.02(6.99%)22.66-24.3Uptrend Consolidation 23.47(-2.3%)23.03-24.7973
7Jul_31_2020-12.1%-55.3% 9%,0.6(-0.1)6.6%,0.5(-0.2)-1.6%,-0.1-0.60.13%10.8%0.3-1.70.30.9(14.15%,6.21%)1.77.11   22.45(-1.88%)22.08-23.4Uptrend Consolidation 22.36(-0.41%)21.97-23.5172
8Jul_30_2020-10.4%-58.2% 10.1%,0.7(-0.1)9.9%,0.6(-0.2)-1.9%,-0.1-0.9-0.3%13.2%0.5-1.10.61.1(15.24%,5.62%)1.79.14   22.88(-0.39%)21.91-23.4Uptrend Consolidation 22.74(-0.63%)22.18-24.3966
9Jul_29_2020-10.1%-58.9% 11.5%,0.7(-0.1)12.2%,0.8(-0.2)-2.1%,-0.1-0.3-0.3%14.1%0.6-1.60.71.4(15.98%,6.11%)1.914.16   22.97(-3.73%)22.63-24.28Uptrend Consolidation 22.74(-1%)22.05-24.865
10Jul_28_2020-6.6%-65% 12.7%,0.8(-0)15.2%,0.9(-0.1)-0.8%,-0.1-0-1.62%14.1%0.9-1.21.11.6(16.71%,6.54%)1.823   23.86(-4.25%)23.6-25.8Uptrend Consolidation 23.44(-1.74%)22.46-26.3875
 
11Jul_27_2020-2.4%-72.3% 12.9%,0.7(0)17.7%,1(-0)1.6%,0.1-0.30.97%13.9%1.30.21.41.8(17.44%,NAN%)1.817.03   24.92(2.51%)23.77-25.68Uptrend 27.94(12.12%)23.83-29.779
12Jul_24_2020-4.8%-68.1% 12.9%,0.7(-0)18.1%,1(-0.1)0.2%,000.33%13.3%1.3-0.51.52.1(17.6%,NAN%)1.521.33   24.31(-3.34%)23.1-24.85Uptrend Consolidation 23.49(-3.37%)22.17-27.4576
13Jul_23_2020-1.5%-73.9% 13.3%,0.7(0)20.6%,1.2(0)3.5%,0.20.9-1.6%13.4%1.70.61.92.4(17.76%,NAN%)1.439.1   25.15(-1.53%)23.81-27.55Relative Overbought 27.98(11.26%)20.8-33.8680
14Jul_22_20200%-76.6% 12.5%,0.7(0.1)20.5%,1.2(0.2)6.2%,0.40.6-0.43%13.4%2.11.52.22.7(17.12%,NAN%)1.726.63   25.54(2.45%)24.5-26.53Growing Uptrend 29.74(16.43%)23.79-31.2278
15Jul_21_20200%-72.4% 10.7%,0.7(0.1)16.9%,1.1(0.2)6.2%,0.40.90%11.5%2.31.72.42.8(15.55%,NAN%)1.740.08   24.93(8.49%)22.95-26.32Growing Uptrend 28.01(12.36%)23.28-29.1978
 
16Jul_20_2020-4.4%-58.9% 9.3%,0.7(0.1)13.9%,1(0.1)4.9%,0.42.40.52%9.3%2.111.72.8(13.4%,NAN%)2.120.59   22.98(-4.45%)22-23.87Growing Uptrend 24.95(8.58%)21.75-25.7578
17Jul_17_20200%-66.3% 7.8%,0.6(0.1)12%,1(0.2)5%,0.42.4-0.54%8.4%31.92.33.3(12.41%,NAN%)254.54   24.05(14.14%)22.26-24.78Overbought 20.89(-13.16%)17.18-26.4481
18Jul_16_20200%-45.7% 6.5%,0.7(0.1)9.8%,1(-0)1.7%,0.20.9-0.28%6.6%2.51.61.22.7(9.48%,NAN%)1.852.23   21.07(13.58%)19.07-22.2Uptrend 21.68(2.89%)20.07-22.3778
19Jul_15_2020-8.1%-28.3% 5.8%,0.7(0.1)9.9%,1.2(0.1)1.9%,0.2-0.90.32%5.8%1.30.50.22.3(8.22%,NAN%)1.811.34   18.55(0.65%)18.06-19.14Growing Uptrend 19.27(3.87%)18.17-19.5470
20Jul_14_2020-8.7%-27.5% 4.9%,0.6(0.1)8.8%,1.1(0.3)2.1%,0.3-0.30.33%5.6%1.4-0.10.22.4(8.07%,NAN%)1.315.64   18.43(1.82%)17.05-18.61Growing Uptrend 19(3.11%)18.02-19.2561
 
21Jul_13_2020-10.3%-25.2% 3.7%,0.5(0.1)6.6%,0.8(0)1.3%,0.22.1-3.74%4.9%1.30.10.22.6(7.84%,NAN%)135.73   18.1(-5.97%)17.71-20.99Uptrend 18.34(1.33%)17.75-18.653
22Jul_10_2020-4.6%-33.1% 3.1%,0.4(0.2)6.3%,0.8(0.2)3.5%,0.53-0.52%4.4%2.31.20.43.3(7.73%,NAN%)1.327.68   19.25(-1.08%)18.27-19.98Breakout 19.47(1.12%)18.58-19.8550
23Jul_9_2020-3.6%-34.6% 1.7%,0.2(0.1)4.4%,0.6(0.2)3.3%,0.51.50.94%3.3%32.30.63.3(6.98%,NAN%)150.98   19.46(15.9%)17.08-19.49Growing Uptrend 19.57(0.59%)18.68-19.850
24Jul_8_2020-16.8%-16.1% 0.7%,0.1(-0)2.8%,0.6(-0.1)0.5%,0.100.66%1.9%1.22.5-0.4-0.9(4.98%,NAN%)1.18.64   16.79(1.45%)16.2-16.82Uptrend 16.82(0.15%)16.58-16.9250
25Jul_7_2020-18%-17.6% 0.7%,0.2(0.1)3.2%,0.7(-0.1)1.4%,0.3-0-0.24%1.8%0.91.4-0.4-1.1(4.92%,NAN%)18.04   16.55(-2.36%)16.15-16.84Uptrend 16.59(0.26%)16.41-16.6750
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVRVTVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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