Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 23, 2021

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $41.5500 (1.99%) ($39.9500 - $41.6100) on Fri. Jul. 23, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.69% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $41.5500(1.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FIVG(93%)    QQQ(88%)    IWF(87%)    IVW(86%)    SPY(84%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -2.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-42%)    UUP(-25%)    VXX(-14%)    TBT(-2%)    IGOV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.345% (StdDev 4.69%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.86(4.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.32(3.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.36(0.46%)
To recent high   -6.9%
To recent low   47.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 5.37% (three month std-dev: 4.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2021	38.15	41.36		39.86	39.93	40.95	41.55(1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	180	23	-20	8.72	58%	0.32	6.9	4.69%	1.2	0.1	46	-0.2
2	Jul_22_2021	38.03	41.34	40.32	38.91	38.64	40.52	40.74(-2.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	320	24	-38	8.05	58%	0.16	-3.5	4.74%	0.5	-0.3	46	-0
3	Jul_21_2021	37.97	41.27	40.22	38.64	38.05	38.92	41.85(9.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	110	21	-56	12.56	58%	0.08	-6.9	4.81%	1.5	0.3	44	0.7
4	Jul_20_2021	37.94	41.12	40.13	38.7	38.09	36.77	38.34(4.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-290	-22	-82	12.45	48%	-13.89	-8.8	4.78%	1.5	-1.2	33	-0.5
5	Jul_19_2021	44.06	41.14	40.6	39.56	39.46	37.19	36.84(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-56	-410	-47	-81	17.37	48%	-11.19	-4.4	4.79%	-1	-1.8	32	-2.8

6	Jul_16_2021	49.61	41.21	41.27	40.86	41.15	39.42	36.76(-6.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-43	-270	-40	-51	14.23	48%	-9.44	6.9	4.88%	-1.6	-1.9	44	0.3
7	Jul_15_2021	54.78	41.42	41.89	41.86	42.2	41.73	39.42(-6.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-50	-13	-21	14.9	58%	-10.31	24.1	4.81%	-1.6	-1	48	1
8	Jul_14_2021	61.08	41.43	42.41	41.93	42.3	42.88	42.16(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	120	10	3	15.34	72%	-8.52	28.5	4.78%	-0.7	0.3	62	1.6
9	Jul_13_2021	66.77	41.33	42.64	41.75	41.32	42.68	42.62(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	200	10	17	9.27	72%	-8	30.2	4.8%	0.6	0.6	64	1.2
10	Jul_12_2021	72.58	41.25	42.73	41.75	41.25	41.73	43.33(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	40	18	37	9	72%	-8.3	36.9	4.8%	1.4	1	68	1.2

11	Jul_9_2021	79.15	41.05	42.48	41.83	41.35	39.96	41.77(5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-2	-270	-14	34	9.77	72%	-7.16	37.5	4.79%	1.1	0.3	67	1.1
12	Jul_8_2021	85.25	40.92	42.48	41.99	41.95	40.78	39.78(-3.54%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-20	-200	-37	31	14.71	66%	-6.91	43.9	4.75%	-1.3	-0.5	51	-0.1
13	Jul_7_2021	91.58	40.84	42.43	42.94	43	42.74	41.24(-4.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-40	-14	59	10.57	66%	-6.83	51.8	4.75%	-1.3	0.2	58	1
14	Jul_6_2021	98.29	40.69	42.21	43.62	43.47	43.13	43.04(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-70	-4	74	9.98	66%	-6.27	59.3	4.72%	0	1	60	0.9
15	Jul_2_2021	104.86	40.48	41.75	43.74	43.67	43.26	43.32(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-70	0	70	10.91	66%	-5.68	64.6	4.76%	-0.3	1.3	56	1.5

16	Jul_1_2021	111.18	40.29	41.17	43.21	43.54	43.82	42.57(-4.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	70	4	57	11.54	66%	-4.87	62.2	4.79%	-1.6	1.1	59	1.7
17	Jun_30_2021	116.87	40.02	40.93	42.91	42.95	44.09	44.54(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	190	24	63	9.8	66%	-4.58	60.6	4.99%	1.1	2.2	66	1.5
18	Jun_29_2021	122.48	39.73	40.37	41.82	42	43.27	44.64(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	39	220	34	53	13.01	66%	-4.43	57.7	4.99%	1.2	2.7	69	1.4
19	Jun_28_2021	128.16	39.39	39.86	40.61	40.78	41.81	43.65(7.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	31	190	29	36	18.16	66%	-3.88	54.1	5.03%	1.8	2.8	65	1.7
20	Jun_25_2021	133.34	39.13	39.55	39.5	39.65	40.73	40.66(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	21	200	21	20	9.21	75%	-3.84	63.3	5.27%	0.4	1.4	56	2

21	Jun_24_2021	138.67	38.98	39.42	38.83	38.82	39.75	41.08(5.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	14	170	16	7	12.65	75%	-3.61	62.1	5.27%	1.5	1.9	54	1.7
22	Jun_23_2021	143.86	38.79	39.2	38.68	38.25	38.57	39.05(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	30	5	5	8.59	75%	-3.73	84.1	5.27%	1.1	0.2	58	1.7
23	Jun_22_2021	149.44	38.69	39.08	38.71	38.43	37.89	38.6(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-120	-5	-2	10.47	75%	-3.44	108.7	5.37%	1	-0.1	49	1.4
24	Jun_21_2021	154.76	38.6	39.06	38.99	38.8	37.92	38.12(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-170	-19	-4	12.67	75%	-2.96	130.7	5.42%	-0.5	-0.4	51	0.6
25	Jun_18_2021	159.48	38.42	39.15	39.6	39.53	38.97	37.32(-7.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-8	-100	-13	9	21.2	75%		122.3	5.43%	-1.7	-0.7	48	-0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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