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     Wed. Nov. 25, 2020



Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Wed. Nov. 25, 2020)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $203.0900 (-0.37%) ($202.8600 - $205.0000) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0.3% a week (93% probability)
  XLK(92%)    VUG(91%)    IVW(90%)    IWF(90%)    QQQ(90%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will advance at least 0.3% in a week (43% probabilities).
  VXX(-56%)    UUP(-43%)    VIXM(-38%)    SHY(-21%)    FEX(-2%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.1
 
Relative Volatility   1.6 (options are expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   1
Hourly Trend   0.42% [$203.37(0.37), $202.51(0.87)]
Last Hour Trend   -0.02% [$203.65, $203.69]


SMH Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  67%
Bullish Price Move  2%
Bearish Probability  33%
Bearish Price Move  -2%
Recommended Position Size  17%
Latest Price  $203.0900
Next Hour Price  $203.01(-0.04%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $206.18(1.52%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $216.99(6.84%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $201.28 - $208.27
Support Level  $193.81
5 Day Moving Average  $202.22(0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average  $200.18(1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average  $193.81(4.79%)
To recent high  -0.4%
To recent low  24.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
One Year Target Price   $208.35 (2.59%)
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. SMH price fluctuates within 5.1% (three month std-dev: 1.95%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. SMH price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Nov_25_2020-0.4%-24.1% 3%,0.6(0.1)2.1%,0.4(-0)0.5%,0.10.3-0.02%3.3%0.911.12.6NAN%1.30.67   203.09(-0.37%)202.86-205Uptrend 206.18(1.52%)201.28-208.2761
2Nov_24_20200%-24.6% 2.6%,0.5(0)2.3%,0.5(-0)0.4%,0.10.30.06%3.7%1.21.91.22.61.03%1.51.94   203.84(0.33%)200.77-204.48Uptrend 206.82(1.46%)201.47-209.1169
3Nov_23_20200%-24.2% 2.4%,0.5(0)2.6%,0.5(-0.2)0.2%,00.30.16%3.6%1.21.81.92.61.44%1.32.51   203.17(1.64%)200.79-203.95Uptrend Consolidation 200.14(-1.49%)197.97-206.6473
4Nov_20_2020-0.9%-22.2% 2.2%,0.4(0)3.5%,0.7(-0.2)0.4%,0.10-0.18%3.7%1.10.21.72.51.33%1.41.79   199.89(-0.61%)199.76-202.63Uptrend Consolidation 197.61(-1.14%)195.43-204.1874
5Nov_19_2020-0.3%-22.9% 2.1%,0.4(0.1)4.4%,0.9(-0.1)0.8%,0.2-00.23%4%1.31.11.92.51.48%1.72.19   201.12(1.36%)196.67-201.19Uptrend 205.5(2.18%)198.68-208.4376
 
6Nov_18_2020-1.6%-21.3% 1.8%,0.4(0)4.8%,1(-0.1)0.3%,0.10.3-0.18%4.1%1.20.11.52.41.21%1.94.01   198.43(-0.52%)198.32-201.36Uptrend Consolidation 196.47(-0.99%)194.29-203.0370
7Nov_17_2020-1.1%-21.9% 1.6%,0.4(0.1)5.5%,1.2(0.1)1.1%,0.20.9-0.04%3.9%1.40.81.22.31.4%1.81.71   199.46(-1.08%)198.49-201.25Growing Uptrend 205.4(2.98%)197-207.574
8Nov_16_20200%-23.2% 1.2%,0.3(0.1)5%,1.2(0.1)0.7%,0.20.90.07%3.4%1.91.71.72.21.16%1.92.38   201.63(2.76%)197.42-202.31Growing Uptrend 206.13(2.23%)198.42-208.0568
9Nov_13_2020-0.4%-19.9% 0.9%,0.2(-0)4.5%,1.2(0.1)-0.1%,-00.60.04%2.5%1.40.3121.43%1.12.44   196.22(1.54%)194.88-197.73Uptrend 199.03(1.43%)194.14-201.1364
10Nov_12_2020-1.9%-18.1% 1%,0.3(-0)4.3%,1.2(0)-0.1%,-00.3-0.2%1.7%1.2-0.50.91.91.62%0.73.2   193.24(-1.19%)192.47-196.68Uptrend 195.67(1.26%)191.48-197.4858
 
11Nov_11_2020-0.7%-19.5% 1.1%,0.3(0)4.1%,1.2(0.3)1%,0.3-0.90.04%1.1%1.60.61.11.81.64%1.32.69   195.57(3.6%)191.83-195.95Growing Uptrend 198.76(1.63%)193.49-200.0959
12Nov_10_2020-4.1%-15.4% 1%,0.3(-0)3.1%,0.9(0.2)0.9%,0.3-0.3-0.22%0.2%0.7-0.3-0.81.81.61%0.73.45   188.78(-3.09%)188.37-193.75Growing Uptrend 191.16(1.26%)187.98-191.9654
13Nov_9_2020-1.1%-19.1% 1%,0.3(0.1)2.3%,0.7(0.4)2%,0.61.8-0.4%-0.3%1.60.81.31.81.72%-0.45.39   194.79(-1.09%)194.65-202.89Uptrend 196.5(0.88%)192.81-198.0958
14Nov_6_20200%-20.4% 0.7%,0.2(0.1)0.9%,0.3(0.5)2.4%,0.830.08%-1%2.21.63.31.71.34%1.93.14   196.94(1.56%)192.6-197.6Uptrend 197.51(0.29%)194.43-198.8261
15Nov_5_20200%-18.5% 0.4%,0.1(0.1)-0.6%,-0.2(0.4)1.8%,0.63.30.18%-1.5%2231.51.54%0.93.01   193.92(4.01%)191.01-194.27N/A 191.4(-1.3%)187.8-194.3356
 
16Nov_4_2020-1.8%-14% 0%,0(0.1)-1.8%,-0.7(0.4)1.5%,0.62.40.04%-1.8%0.721.51.41.74%0.53.9   186.45(3.57%)181.62-187.24Downtrend 185.78(-0.36%)185.74-185.8646
17Nov_3_2020-5.2%-10% -0.2%,-0.1(-0)-2.8%,-1.1(0.1)0.1%,00.60.1%-1.9%-0.61.301.52.17%-1.62.95   180.02(2.27%)177.71-181.27Downtrend Consolidation 179.39(-0.35%)181.18-178.7834
18Nov_2_2020-7.3%-7.6% -0.1%,-0.1(-0.1)-3%,-1.2(0)-0.5%,-0.2-00.12%-1.6%-1.4-0.4-0.31.52.33%-2.51.94   176.03(0.61%)174.61-177.86Downtrend 174.97(-0.6%)173.97-177.2923
19Oct_30_2020-7.8%-6.9% 0.1%,0(-0.1)-3%,-1.1(-0.2)-1%,-0.4-0.30.02%-1.2%-1.6-0.90.31.52.07%-2.22.42   174.97(-1.72%)173.06-177Correction 168.79(-3.53%)167.85-172.619
20Oct_29_2020-6.2%-8.8% 0.5%,0.2(-0.2)-2.6%,-1(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.3-1.50.27%-0.5%-1-0.50.91.52.23%-2.42.3   178.04(2.55%)173.36-179.51Correction 173.27(-2.68%)172.48-176.4233
 
21Oct_28_2020-8.5%-7.5% 1%,0.4(-0.2)-2.1%,-0.8(-0.3)-1.2%,-0.4-1.50.07%-0.1%-1.9-1.9-0.21.62.42%-2.44.58   173.61(-3.24%)173.27-176.59Correction 169.17(-2.56%)168.41-172.1933
22Oct_27_2020-5.5%-11.1% 1.6%,0.6(-0.1)-1.1%,-0.4(-0.3)-0.7%,-0.3-1.2-0.03%0.7%-0.8-1.5-0.31.52.05%-0.61.88   179.42(-0.35%)178.7-181.94Correction 177.07(-1.31%)176.54-179.1849
23Oct_26_2020-5.1%-11.5% 1.9%,0.7(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.1(-0.3)-0.6%,-0.2-0.90.25%1.4%-0.6-1.8-0.31.62.01%-0.23.23   180.05(-2.06%)177.87-183.25Correction 178.92(-0.63%)178.51-180.5661
24Oct_23_2020-3.1%-15.3% 2.2%,0.7(-0)0.7%,0.2(-0.3)-0.3%,-0.1-0.30.05%2.1%0.2-10.11.81.73%0.81.67   183.84(-0.3%)182.25-184.23Uptrend Consolidation 183.64(-0.11%)183.25-184.8365
25Oct_22_2020-2.9%-15.7% 2.4%,0.6(-0)1.5%,0.4(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.1-0.30.06%2.6%0.4-1.70.521.5%0.61.57   184.38(-0.12%)182.33-185.29Uptrend Consolidation 184.07(-0.17%)183.37-186.1775
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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