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     Tue. Nov. 3, 2020

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Wed. Feb. 24, 2021)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $180.0200 (2.27%) ($177.7100 - $181.2650) on Tue. Nov. 3, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Confirmed Rebound
Trend Narrative  After Bottom
Average Daily Price Swing  $4.71 (2.58% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.76% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.2% (StdDev 1.76%)
Daily Moving Force  0.9%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -0.4%
Trend Strength  -1.9%
RSI   34
Momentum  1.5
Latest Price  $180.0200(2.27%)
Forecasted Low Price  179.12(-0.5%)
Forecasted High Price  182(1.1%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(1.3%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  1.2% ((182.11))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  0.5%
Hourly Trend   1.3% [$177.94(2.37), $177.03(1.37)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  1
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0.1% a week (84% probability)
  FIVG(81%)    IDRV(79%)    VFMO(78%)    XLK(78%)    QQQ(75%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will advance at least 0.5% in a week (42% probabilities).
  VXX(-60%)    VIXM(-47%)    UUP(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    IGOV(-17%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY 0
 
Relative Volatility   -0.9 (options are cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.4% (StdDev 1.76%)
Hourly BBV   1.2 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $180.38(0.2%)
Resistance Level  $182.74
5 Day Moving Average  $176.53(1.98%)
10 Day Moving Average  $179.32(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average  $182.74(-1.49%)
To recent high  -5.2%
To recent low  10%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
One Year Target Price   $201.05 (11.68%)
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. SMH price fluctuates within 2.58% (three month std-dev: 1.76%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. SMH price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201203

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Nov_3_2020182.74 (-0%)179.32 (-0.6%)176.53 (0.1%) 177.03 177.94(0%)180.02(2.27%)177.71-181.27-1.2(-0.6)1.2 0.9%-0.2%0%-0.4%-1.9%341.5 Confirmed Rebound  Range(0.7%)10-1.6After Bottom 179.53(-0.27%)177.24-181.412.95   -5.2%-10% 
2Nov_2_2020182.67 (-0%)179.83 (-0.6%)176.41 (-0.5%) 175.66 175.57(0%)176.03(0.61%)174.61-177.86-1.4(-1.4)-0.6 -0.4%-0.4%0%-0.42%-1.6%231.5 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.8%)0-0.3-2.5After Bottom 176.35(0.18%)172.94-179.121.94   -7.3%-7.6% 
3Oct_30_2020182.87 (0%)180.76 (-0.6%)177.22 (-1%) 176.59 176.12(0%)174.97(-1.72%)173.06-177-1.2(-1.6)-1.8 -0.3%-0.5%0%-0.42%-1.2%191.5 Growing Downtrend  Range(0.1%)00.3-2.2Correction 168.79(-3.53%)167.85-172.62.42   -7.8%-6.9% 
4Oct_29_2020182.89 (0%)181.92 (-0.6%)178.99 (-0.7%) 177.92 175.75(0%)178.04(2.55%)173.36-179.51-0.9(-1)-0.8 -0.8%-0.4%0%-0.34%-0.5%331.5 Downtrend Pop  Lower(-1.2%)00.9-2.4Correction 173.27(-2.68%)172.48-176.422.3   -6.2%-8.8% 
5Oct_28_2020182.96 (0.2%)182.86 (-0.4%)180.26 (-1.2%) 179.5 177.07(0%)173.61(-3.24%)173.27-176.59-0.7(-1.9)-2.6 -1.5%-0.6%0%-0.24%-0.1%331.6 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.5%)0-0.2-2.4Correction 169.17(-2.56%)168.41-172.194.58   -8.5%-7.5% 
 
6Oct_27_2020183.11 (0.4%)184.39 (-0.2%)182.46 (-0.7%) 181.95 180.09(0%)179.42(-0.35%)178.7-181.94-0.1(-0.8)-2.2 -0.9%-0.4%0%-0.06%0.7%491.5 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-1.1%)1-0.3-0.6Correction 177.07(-1.31%)176.54-179.181.88   -5.5%-11.1% 
7Oct_26_2020182.93 (0.4%)185.41 (-0%)183.72 (-0.6%) 183.25 181.92(0%)180.05(-2.06%)177.87-183.250.2(-0.6)-2.1 -0.9%-0.3%0%0.08%1.4%611.6 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.2%)2-0.3-0.2Correction 178.92(-0.63%)178.51-180.563.23   -5.1%-11.5% 
8Oct_23_2020182.66 (0.4%)186.41 (0.2%)184.79 (-0.3%) 184.66 183.82(0%)183.84(-0.3%)182.25-184.230.5(0.2)-1.5 -0.4%-0%0%0.22%2.1%651.8 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.3%)30.10.8Uptrend Consolidation 183.64(-0.11%)183.25-184.831.67   -3.1%-15.3% 
9Oct_22_2020182 (0.4%)186.73 (0.4%)185.3 (-0.3%) 185.31 184.58(0%)184.38(-0.12%)182.33-185.290.6(0.4)-2 -0.4%0.1%0%0.36%2.6%752 Correction  Range(-0.2%)40.50.6Uptrend 186.11(0.94%)183.88-187.071.57   -2.9%-15.7% 
10Oct_21_2020181.2 (0.4%)186.71 (0.4%)185.91 (-0.4%) 186.05 185.5(0%)184.6(-0.62%)184.32-186.710.8(0.5)-2.1 -0.3%0.2%0%0.42%3%612.3 Correction  Range(0.2%)50.90.1Uptrend 186.8(1.19%)184.04-187.972.44   -2.7%-15.8% 
 
11Oct_20_2020180.31 (0.4%)186.49 (0.6%)186.65 (-0.4%) 186.48 186.05(0%)185.75(0.21%)185.09-187.171(0.7)-2.1 -0.3%0.4%0%0.52%3.4%682.3 Correction  Range(0.1%)61.20.2Uptrend 188.46(1.46%)184.77-190.042.5   -2.1%-16.5% 
12Oct_19_2020179.54 (0.6%)185.76 (0.6%)187.4 (-0.5%) 187.15 186.59(0%)185.36(-0.55%)184.82-189.091.2(0.7)-3.9 -0.3%0.4%0%0.58%3.5%672.4 Correction  Range(0.4%)71.41.2Uptrend 188.38(1.63%)184.15-190.22.32   -2.3%-16.3% 
13Oct_16_2020178.7 (0.6%)185.19 (0.8%)188.29 (-0%) 188.01 186.92(0%)186.39(-0.57%)186.32-189.021.5(1)-1.9 -0.3%0.6%0%0.68%3.6%702.5 Correction  Range(0.6%)710.9Uptrend 190.36(2.13%)185.15-192.61.73   -1.8%-17% 
14Oct_15_2020177.8 (0.6%)183.98 (0.8%)188.35 (0.4%) 188.66 187.7(0%)187.46(-0.45%)184.4-187.91.7(1.2)-0.2 -0.3%0.5%0%0.74%3.5%762.4 Uptrend  Range(0.4%)81.40.7After Top 190.4(1.57%)181.89-197.371.33   -1.2%-17.7% 
15Oct_14_2020176.94 (0.6%)183.1 (1%)187.58 (0.7%) 188.58 189.1(0%)188.31(-0.61%)187.2-190.541.9(1.5)2 0.2%0.7%0%0.8%3.5%792.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.2%)91.60.9After Top 191.57(1.73%)182.28-199.172.15   -0.8%-18.2% 
 
16Oct_13_2020176.03 (0.6%)181.73 (1%)186.23 (1.3%) 187.26 189.61(0%)189.46(-0.19%)188.58-190.952.1(1.9)2.5 1%0.7%-1.5%0.82%3.2%822.2 Growing Uptrend  Lower(-2.4%)91.80.9Relative Overbought 192.09(1.39%)182.03-200.321.59   -0.2%-20.1% 
17Oct_12_2020175.16 (0.6%)180.21 (0.8%)183.85 (1.2%) 185.17 188.05(0%)189.82(1.66%)188.11-190.722(2.3)2.7 1.5%0.8%-0.7%0.76%2.9%722 Breakout  Range(-0.6%)91.71.3Uptrend 193.14(1.75%)187.03-195.752.3   0%-20.3% 
18Oct_9_2020174.11 (0.4%)178.52 (0.8%)181.68 (1.5%) 182.36 184.9(0%)186.72(1.7%)185.4-187.12(2.2)2.9 1.4%0.9%-0.6%0.7%2.5%721.8 Breakout  Range(-0.4%)91.81.1Growing Uptrend 190.21(1.87%)184.58-191.622.65   0%-18.4% 
19Oct_8_2020173.04 (0.4%)176.77 (0.6%)178.99 (0.6%) 180.21 182.29(0%)183.6(1.13%)182.36-183.741.7(2.1)3.3 1.2%0.8%0%0.56%2.2%701.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2%)81.61.1Growing Uptrend 185.8(1.2%)181.72-186.821.88   -0%-16.4% 
20Oct_7_2020172.15 (0.2%)175.14 (0.6%)177.99 (0.8%) 177.92 179.81(0%)181.55(2.25%)180.12-181.771.7(2.1)2.7 0.8%0.8%0%0.46%1.7%631.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.6%)71.70.7Growing Uptrend 183.11(0.86%)179.9-183.911.68   -1.2%-16.8% 
 
21Oct_6_2020171.46 (0.2%)173.56 (0.4%)176.57 (0.3%) 177.16 178.14(0%)177.56(-0.78%)176.78-181.611.5(1.4)0.6 0.8%0.4%0%0.34%1.2%591.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.6%)61.60.3Growing Uptrend 178.57(0.57%)176.46-179.095.25   -3.3%-14.3% 
22Oct_5_2020170.77 (0%)172.78 (0.4%)175.97 (0.6%) 176.23 176.02(0%)178.95(3.28%)174.65-179.051.4(2)2.3 0.2%0.5%0%0.26%1.2%561.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.7%)51.40.5N/A 178(-0.53%)174.48-180.861.91   -2.6%-15.1% 
23Oct_2_2020170.34 (-0%)171.66 (0.2%)174.88 (0.5%) 175.37 176.19(0%)173.27(-2.99%)173.08-176.951.1(0.8)-0.6 0.1%0.2%0%0.18%0.8%551.2 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.8%)50.90.7N/A 173.25(-0.01%)171.9-174.373.14   -5.7%-13.1% 
24Oct_1_2020170.32 (-0%)171.17 (0.2%)174.09 (1.3%) 175.03 176.44(0%)178.6(2.36%)176.65-179.081(2.3)4.5 1.2%0.3%0%0.16%0.5%691.2 Breakout  Higher(1.5%)42.10.9Uptrend Reversal 179.81(0.68%)178.79-180.492.36   -2.8%-18.2% 
25Sep_30_2020170.46 (-0%)170.29 (0.2%)171.82 (1%) 172.55 174.55(0%)174.49(-0.02%)173.45-176.190.4(0.9)2.2 0.8%0.1%0%0.08%-0.1%651.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.9%)31.50.8Uptrend Reversal 175.9(0.81%)174.71-176.692.88   -5%-15.5% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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