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     Tue. Oct. 15, 2019

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $125.0500 (1.99%) ($123.1700 - $125.3800) on Tue. Oct. 15, 2019.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.7% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $125.0500(1.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  FIVG(74%)    QQQ(73%)    IVW(71%)    IWF(71%)    SPY(68%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-46%)    VXX(-22%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.5%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $121.67(2.78%)
10 Day Moving Average  $120.07(4.15%)
20 Day Moving Average  $119.8(4.38%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  15.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

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