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     Thu. Sep. 12, 2019

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $121.9700 (0.16%) ($121.1700 - $123.1300) on Thu. Sep. 12, 2019.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.75% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $121.9700(0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  FIVG(74%)    QQQ(73%)    IVW(71%)    IWF(71%)    SPY(68%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-47%)    VXX(-22%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.6%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $120.71(1.04%)
10 Day Moving Average  $118.16(3.22%)
20 Day Moving Average  $115.22(5.86%)
To recent high  -1.1%
To recent low  19.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 3.45% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

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