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     Tue. Oct. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $48.5594 (-1.22%) ($48.5406 - $49.0619) on Tue. Oct. 13, 2015.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.64% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $48.5594(-1.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(75%)    IWF(73%)    XLK(72%)    SPY(70%)    VUG(70%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-12%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.4%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $49.1(-1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average  $48.31(0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average  $47.39(2.47%)
To recent high  -3.9%
To recent low  13.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 2.83% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

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