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     Thu. Oct. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $49.6584 (1.28%) ($48.6721 - $49.6584) on Thu. Oct. 8, 2015.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.65% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $49.6584(1.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(75%)    IWF(73%)    XLK(72%)    SPY(70%)    VUG(70%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-12%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $48.47(2.45%)
10 Day Moving Average  $47.3(4.99%)
20 Day Moving Average  $47.14(5.34%)
To recent high  -1.7%
To recent low  15.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 2.5% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

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