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     Wed. Nov. 25, 2020

Trading Signals: SLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Tue. Jan. 26, 2021)

(iShares Silver Trust)

SLV latest price $21.7200 (0.42%) ($21.6400 - $21.8500) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative  Relative Oversold
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.56 (2.49% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.42% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.3% (StdDev 2.42%)
Daily Moving Force  -0.8%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -0.34%
Trend Strength  -0.5%
RSI   25
Momentum  1
Latest Price  $21.7200(0.42%)
Forecasted Low Price  21.35(-1.7%)
Forecasted High Price  21.85(0.6%)
Direction of Next Movement  Lower(-1.9%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  2.9% ((22.34))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  4.2%
Hourly Trend   -0.8% [$21.65(-0.18), $22(-0.14)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  3
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  SLV declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SLV declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SLV decline at-1% a week (89% probability)
  GLD(87%)    SIL(87%)    SILJ(87%)    GDXJ(84%)    GDX(81%)  
Factors Impacting SLV price  SLV will advance at least 0.2% in a week (42% probabilities).
  UUP(-67%)    VXX(-29%)    VIXM(-23%)    SHY(-17%)    UNG(-14%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  There're alternative trades for faster decline
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.9
 
Relative Volatility   2.4 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.1% (StdDev 2.42%)
Hourly BBV   -0.8 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $21.72(0%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $21.01(-3.27%)
Resistance Level  $22.47
5 Day Moving Average  $22.04(-1.45%)
10 Day Moving Average  $22.37(-2.91%)
20 Day Moving Average  $22.47(-3.34%)
To recent high  -17.2%
To recent low  2.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. SLV price fluctuates within 2.49% (three month std-dev: 2.42%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. SLV price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201225

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
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To High-Low
1Nov_25_202022.47 (-0.2%)22.37 (-0.4%)22.04 (-0.7%) 22 21.65(0%)21.72(0.42%)21.64-21.85-1.2(-1.3)-0.8 -0.8%-0.3%0%-0.34%-0.5%251 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.1%)3-1.91.4Relative Oversold 21.81(0.42%)21.48-22.0913.54   -17.2%-2.6% 
2Nov_24_202022.48 (-0.2%)22.46 (-0.4%)22.2 (-1%) 22.14 21.83(0%)21.63(-1.37%)21.41-21.69-1.4(-1.6)-0.8 -1.8%-0.4%0%-0.28%-0.1%471 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-1.5%)3-2.31.5Growing Downtrend 21.58(-0.23%)21.5-21.7732.21   -17.5%-2.2
3Nov_23_202022.54 (-0.2%)22.55 (-0.2%)22.43 (-0.9%) 22.42 22.36(0%)21.93(-2.49%)21.78-22.37-1.1(-1.2)-2 -0.6%-0.3%0%-0.18%0%480.9 Growing Downtrend  Range(0.3%)3-1.81.3Downtrend 21.89(-0.18%)21.83-22.0330.4   -16.4%-3.6% 
4Nov_20_202022.58 (-0%)22.61 (-0.2%)22.64 (-0.4%) 22.59 22.44(0%)22.49(0.31%)22.47-22.810(-0.2)-3.6 -0.3%-0.4%0%-0.1%0.1%530.9 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.7%)4-1.11.4Downtrend 22.46(-0.15%)22.44-22.4917.5   -14.3%-6.2% 
5Nov_19_202022.6 (-0%)22.73 (0%)22.73 (-0.1%) 22.68 22.48(0%)22.42(-0.58%)22.08-22.45-0.2(-0.4)-3 -0.8%-0.4%0%0.04%0.6%570.9 Correction  Range(-0.9%)5-1.61.7Range Bound 22.44(0.1%)22.47-22.4214.87   -14.5%-5.9% 
 
6Nov_18_202022.63 (0%)22.85 (0.2%)22.73 (0%) 22.85 22.74(0%)22.55(-0.84%)22.54-22.98-0.2(-0.2)2 -0.2%0%0%0.16%1%610.9 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.2%)6-1.31.9N/A 22.63(0.34%)22.63-22.6316.08   -14%-6.5% 
7Nov_17_202022.66 (0%)22.83 (0.2%)22.75 (0.3%) 22.82 22.87(0%)22.74(-1.22%)22.65-22.90.1(0.2)3.7 %0.1%0%0.2%0.7%620.9 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.7%)7-1.61.8N/A 22.79(0.21%)22.7-22.8615.12   -13.3%-7.4% 
8Nov_16_202022.67 (0%)22.8 (0.2%)22.68 (0.4%) 22.72 22.97(0%)23.02(0.52%)22.82-23.10.6(0.7)2.1 0.7%0.2%0%0.16%0.6%530.9 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.9%)7-1.41.9N/A 23(-0.1%)22.82-23.1419.83   -12.2%-8.7% 
9Nov_13_202022.65 (-0%)22.74 (0.2%)22.58 (-0.8%) 22.62 22.77(0%)22.9(1.55%)22.88-23.090.4(0.5)1.1 0.6%0.3%0%0.1%0.4%530.9 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.9%)7-1.21.1N/A 22.85(-0.21%)22.75-22.9415.62   -12.7%-8.2% 
10Nov_12_202022.62 (-0%)22.66 (0.2%)22.76 (-0.9%) 22.5 22.48(0%)22.55(0.13%)22.5-22.7-0.2(-0.1)2 -0.6%0.2%0%0.12%0.1%470.8 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(-0.4%)6-1.30.7N/A 22.59(0.17%)22.59-22.5914.12   -14%-6.5% 
 
11Nov_11_202022.62 (0%)22.58 (0.2%)22.97 (0.3%) 22.81 22.47(0%)22.52(0.4%)22.2-22.58-0.3(-0.2)1.1 -0.4%0.2%0%0.16%-0.2%460.8 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(-0.2%)6-1.91.3Uptrend 22.56(0.19%)22.55-22.5717.89   -14.1%-6.4% 
12Nov_10_202022.62 (0%)22.52 (0%)22.91 (-0%) 23.04 22.53(0%)22.43(-0.31%)22.4-22.78-0.3(-0.4)-1.2 -1.3%-0.1%0%0.04%-0.5%420.7 N/A  Range(-1.2%)6-20.7Range Bound 22.47(0.16%)22.48-22.4625.16   -16.9%-6% 
13Nov_9_202022.63 (0%)22.54 (0%)22.92 (0.1%) 23.04 23.14(0%)22.5(-5.42%)21.92-22.79-0.2(-0.2)0.4 -0.9%-0.1%0%0.04%-0.4%460.7 N/A  Higher(1.7%)6-2.2-0.4Range Bound 22.54(0.17%)22.55-22.5370.06   -16.7%-6.3% 
14Nov_6_202022.67 (0.2%)22.55 (0%)22.9 (1.6%) 22.98 23.56(0%)23.79(0.76%)23.48-23.961.9(2)2.1 2.4%0.4%0%0.04%-0.5%610.8 Overbought  Higher(2.8%)51.41.9N/A 23.54(-1.03%)23.14-23.8832.63   -11.9%-12.4% 
15Nov_5_202022.64 (0%)22.45 (-0.2%)22.54 (1.7%) 22.61 22.81(0%)23.61(6.16%)23-23.661.8(1.9)3.5 1.7%0.4%0%-0.06%-0.9%610.7 Overbought  Higher(2.1%)41.10.9N/A 23.36(-1.04%)23.06-23.6157.03   -12.6%-11.5% 
 
16Nov_4_202022.64 (-0%)22.37 (-0.2%)22.16 (0.4%) 22.28 22.81(0%)22.24(-0.89%)22.1-22.5-0.6(-0.7)-0.5 0.3%-0.3%0%-0.2%-0.9%460.6 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.4%)4-1.20.5Downtrend 22.22(-0.07%)22.19-22.331.07   -17.6%-5.1% 
17Nov_3_202022.57 (-0%)22.46 (-0.2%)22.07 (-0.2%) 22.09 22.41(0%)22.44(0.13%)22.38-22.65-0.2(-0.3)-0.6 0.8%-0.1%0%-0.2%-0.5%490.7 Confirmed Rebound  Range(0.7%)40.6-1.6Downtrend 22.41(-0.12%)22.39-22.4617.88   -16.9%-6% 
18Nov_2_202022.54 (-0%)22.52 (-0.2%)22.12 (-0.2%) 21.89 22.14(0%)22.41(1.91%)22.09-22.44-0.2(-0.3)-0.6 0.7%-0.1%0%-0.16%-0.1%500.7 Uptrend Reversal  Range(0.6%)41.5-2.5After Bottom 22.42(0.03%)22.34-22.4818.47   -17%-5.9% 
19Oct_30_202022.55 (-0%)22.54 (-0.2%)22.16 (-0.9%) 21.98 21.77(0%)21.99(1.29%)21.78-22.12-1(-1.1)-1.9 -0.1%-0.2%0%-0.18%-0%340.6 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)41.3-2.2Downtrend 21.99(-0.02%)21.94-22.0922.08   -18.6%-3.9% 
20Oct_29_202022.56 (0%)22.59 (-0.2%)22.35 (-1.1%) 22.15 21.64(0%)21.71(-0.32%)21.27-21.94-1.6(-1.7)-0.9 -2%-0.3%0%-0.14%0.1%290.6 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-2.1%)4-0.2-2.4Correction 21.43(-1.29%)21.37-21.6623.05   -19.6%-2.6
 
21Oct_28_202022.56 (0.2%)22.69 (-0%)22.6 (-1.4%) 22.49 22.19(0%)21.78(-4.18%)21.42-21.88-1.5(-1.6)-1.5 -1.7%-0.3%0%-0.02%0.4%490.6 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.1%)40.6-2.4Correction 21.54(-1.08%)21.49-21.7638.1   -19.3%-2.9
22Oct_27_202022.59 (0.2%)22.77 (0%)22.91 (-0.2%) 22.79 22.66(0%)22.73(0.53%)22.51-22.80.2(0.3)0.8 -0.6%0.1%0%0.14%0.8%600.6 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.5%)41.1-0.6Uptrend Consolidation 22.7(-0.12%)22.68-22.7615.25   -15.8%-7.4% 
23Oct_26_202022.58 (0.2%)22.75 (0.2%)22.91 (0%) 22.96 22.79(0%)22.61(-1.44%)22.52-22.810.2(0.1)0.5 -0.4%-0.2%0%0.2%0.8%630.6 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.1%)50.7-0.2Uptrend 22.64(0.12%)22.59-22.6617.56   -16.3%-6.8% 
24Oct_23_202022.55 (0.2%)22.82 (0.2%)22.96 (0.5%) 23.04 22.93(0%)22.94(-0.09%)22.7-23.030.7(0.7)0.3 -0.3%-0%0%0.24%1.2%540.7 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.3%)60.50.8Uptrend 22.98(0.16%)22.87-23.0218.59   -15%-9.1% 
25Oct_22_202022.47 (0%)22.86 (0.2%)22.85 (0.3%) 23.01 23.14(0%)22.96(-1.42%)22.67-23.090.7(0.9)0.7 0.1%0.3%0%0.22%1.7%580.7 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.1%)70.50.6Uptrend 22.99(0.15%)22.87-23.0519.93   -15%-9.2% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
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