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     Fri. Sep. 18, 2020



Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 23, 2020)

(SPDR S&P Dividend ETF)

SDY latest price $94.1800 (-1.74%) ($93.8380 - $95.3900) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  SDY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SDY declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SDY decline at-0.7% a week (96% probability)
  IVE(96%)    IWD(96%)    VYM(95%)    IWN(94%)    XLI(93%)  
Factors Impacting SDY price  SDY will advance at least 0.2% in a week (38% probabilities).
  VXX(-46%)    VIXM(-44%)    TLT(-41%)    UUP(-25%)    EDOC(-20%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.1
 
Relative Volatility   -0.5 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly BBV   -1.9
Hourly Trend   -0.45% [$95.02(-0.67), $95.45(-0.2)]
Last Hour Trend   -0.08% [$94.17, $94.25]


SDY Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  38%
Bullish Price Move  1.2%
Bearish Probability  63%
Bearish Price Move  -1.2%
Recommended Position Size  -21%
Latest Price  $94.1800
Next Day Open Price  $94.03(-0.16%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $94.14(-0.04%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $93.97 - $94.54
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $95.96
5 Day Moving Average  $95.42(-1.3%)
10 Day Moving Average  $95.26(-1.13%)
20 Day Moving Average  $95.96(-1.85%)
To recent high  -4.2%
To recent low  7.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. SDY price fluctuates within 1.09% (three month std-dev: 1.17%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. SDY price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201018

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_18_2020-4.2%-7.3% -0.4%,-0.3(0.1)-0.8%,-0.7(-0)-0.1%,-0.1-1.2-0.08%-0.7%-1.7-1.91.10.9NAN%2.10.4   94.18(-1.74%)93.84-95.39Downtrend 94.14(-0.04%)93.97-94.5438
2Sep_17_2020-2.5%-9.2% -0.4%,-0.4(0.2)-0.8%,-0.8(0)0.4%,0.400.04%-0.6%-0.20.81.10.9NAN%2.10.53   95.85(-0.16%)94.47-96.13Downtrend 95.73(-0.13%)95.66-95.946
3Sep_16_2020-2.4%-9.4% -0.6%,-0.6(0.1)-0.8%,-0.8(0.1)0.1%,0.11.50.05%-0.4%-0.10.80.60.9NAN%1.40.45   96(0.64%)95.42-96.98Downtrend 95.84(-0.17%)95.76-96.0250
4Sep_15_2020-3%-8.7% -0.7%,-0.7(0.1)-0.9%,-0.9(0.2)0.2%,0.21.5-0.1%-0.4%-0.7-0.4-0.10.9NAN%0.80.32   95.39(-0.3%)95.24-96.32Downtrend Consolidation 95.34(-0.05%)95.68-95.2345
5Sep_14_2020-2.7%-9% -0.8%,-0.7(-0.1)-1%,-1(-0.3)-0.2%,-0.2-0.3-0.08%-0.4%-0.51.50.30.9NAN%0.80.39   95.68(1.23%)94.92-96.07Growing Downtrend 95.49(-0.2%)95.33-95.7844
 
6Sep_11_2020-3.9%-7.7% -0.7%,-0.6(-0.2)-0.8%,-0.7(-0.3)-0.5%,-0.4-0.90.06%-0.3%-1.7-0.400.9NAN%0.10.62   94.52(0.38%)93.79-94.93Growing Downtrend 94.4(-0.13%)94.21-94.8548
7Sep_10_2020-4.2%-7.3% -0.4%,-0.4(-0.4)-0.4%,-0.4(-0.4)-0.8%,-0.8-1.5-0.22%-0.2%-2.3-1.8-0.20.7NAN%-0.70.53   94.16(-1.43%)94.07-95.78Growing Downtrend 94.16(0%)94.02-94.5946
8Sep_9_2020-3.2%-8.8% -0%,-0(-0.2)0%,0(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.2-30.07%-0.2%-1.3-0.4-0.30.6NAN%-0.70.65   95.53(0.96%)94.98-96.2Range Bound 95.73(0.21%)95.98-95.5347
9Sep_8_2020-6%-7.8% 0.2%,0.2(-0.3)0.1%,0.1(-0.2)-0.4%,-0.4-2.40.06%-0.2%-2.4-1.40.10.6NAN%-1.20.62   94.62(-2.17%)94.35-96.18Downtrend Reversal 94.27(-0.37%)94.18-94.6242
10Sep_4_2020-3.9%-10.2% 0.5%,0.6(-0.2)0.3%,0.4(0.2)-0.1%,-0.20.60.2%-0.1%-0.30.2-0.20.5NAN%-1.10.67   96.72(0.03%)95.59-97.78Uptrend 96.79(0.07%)96.76-96.7946
 
11Sep_3_2020-4%-10.2% 0.7%,0.7(-0.1)0.2%,0.2(0.2)-0%,-01.8-0.15%-0.2%-0.30.1-0.70.6NAN%-2.40.75   96.69(-1.53%)96.05-99.22Uptrend 96.77(0.08%)96.73-96.7845
12Sep_2_2020-2.5%-11.9% 0.7%,0.7(0.1)0%,0(0.4)0.4%,0.4-00.11%-0.2%1.42.4-1.70.6NAN%0.20.63   98.19(1.65%)96.54-98.42N/A 97.92(-0.28%)97.4-98.3352
13Sep_1_2020-4.1%-10.1% 0.6%,0.5(-0)-0.4%,-0.4(0.1)-0%,-0-0.60.05%-0.2%-0.11.3-1.90.7NAN%00.46   96.6(0.25%)95.62-96.6N/A 96.64(0.04%)96.6-96.6838
14Aug_31_2020-4.3%-9.8% 0.6%,0.5(-0)-0.5%,-0.4(-0)-0.1%,-0.10.6-0.01%-0.1%-0.2-1.9-1.80.8NAN%0.10.95   96.36(-1.02%)96.33-97.25Correction 95.77(-0.61%)95.64-96.341
15Aug_28_2020-3.3%-10.9% 0.6%,0.5(0.1)-0.5%,-0.3(0.1)0.4%,0.30.30.12%0.1%0.61.1-1.70.9NAN%0.80.36   97.35(0.57%)96.36-97.39N/A 97.12(-0.24%)96.84-97.3546
 
16Aug_27_2020-3.9%-10.3% 0.5%,0.4(0.1)-0.6%,-0.4(-0.1)0.2%,0.2-0.30.16%0.3%0.31.3-1.90.9NAN%0.70.59   96.8(0.76%)96.27-97.41Correction 96.61(-0.2%)96.51-96.7352
17Aug_26_2020-4.6%-9.5% 0.4%,0.3(-0.1)-0.5%,-0.3(-0.2)-0.1%,-00.90.07%0.5%-0.1-1.3-2.50.9NAN%1.30.73   96.07(-0.65%)95.77-96.48Correction 95.38(-0.72%)95.22-9659
18Aug_25_2020-4%-10.2% 0.5%,0.3(-0)-0.2%,-0.1(-0.2)-0%,-01.20.02%0.7%0.41.6-1.70.9NAN%1.60.53   96.7(-0.39%)96.36-97.59Correction 96.45(-0.26%)96.25-96.762
19Aug_24_2020-3.6%-10.6% 0.5%,0.3(-0.1)0.2%,0.1(-0.3)-0.1%,-0.1-0.30.08%1%0.71.6-1.41NAN%1.70.43   97.08(1.69%)95.48-97.08Uptrend Consolidation 96.74(-0.35%)96.62-97.1368
20Aug_21_2020-5.2%-10% 0.7%,0.4(-0.1)0.6%,0.4(-0.3)-0.5%,-0.3-1.20%1.2%-0.30-2.11NAN%1.70.45   95.47(-0.22%)95.06-95.74Uptrend Consolidation 95.62(0.16%)95.63-95.6364
 
21Aug_20_2020-5%-10.3% 0.8%,0.5(-0.1)1.2%,0.7(-0.2)-0.4%,-0.2-1.20%1.4%-0.10-1.61NAN%1.50.43   95.68(-0.73%)95.42-96.16Uptrend Consolidation 95.8(0.13%)95.76-95.9467
22Aug_19_2020-4.3%-12.8% 1%,0.6(-0.1)1.5%,0.9(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.2-0.60%1.4%0.40-0.71NAN%1.60.46   96.38(-0.45%)96.21-97.4Uptrend Consolidation 96.27(-0.11%)96.14-96.768
23Aug_18_2020-3.8%-13.3% 1.1%,0.7(-0.1)1.7%,1(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.1-0.30%1.4%0.70-0.71NAN%1.60.43   96.82(-0.69%)96.7-97.55Uptrend Consolidation 96.54(-0.29%)96.32-97.2158
24Aug_17_2020-3.2%-14.1% 1.3%,0.7(-0.1)1.9%,1(-0)-0.1%,-0-0.60%1.3%1.1001NAN%1.80.38   97.49(-0.17%)97.23-97.93Uptrend 97.81(0.33%)97.08-98.1268
25Aug_14_2020-3%-18.6% 1.4%,0.8(-0.1)2%,1.1(0.1)0.2%,0.1-0.60%1.2%1.400.41NAN%1.80.61   97.66(0.18%)96.92-98.12Uptrend 98.01(0.36%)97.17-98.3768
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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