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     Thu. Feb. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Feb. 25, 2021)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)

QQQ latest price $312.9500 (-3.43%) ($312.9500 - $312.9500) on Thu. Feb. 25, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Breakdown
Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $6.45 (1.97% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.12% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.5% (StdDev 1.12%)
Daily Moving Force  -1.4%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -0.24%
Trend Strength  0%
RSI   30
Momentum  1.8
Latest Price  $312.9500(-3.43%)
Forecasted Low Price  311.23(-0.55%)
Forecasted High Price  313.89(0.3%)
Direction of Next Movement  Lower(-0.6%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  4.4% ((326.74))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  5.4%
Hourly Trend   -1.4% [$318.55(-4.49), $320.36(-4.51)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  3
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  QQQ declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  QQQ declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support QQQ decline at-0.4% a week (98% probability)
  IVW(99%)    IWF(99%)    VUG(99%)    VT(95%)    XLK(95%)  
Factors Impacting QQQ price  QQQ will advance at least -0% in a week (65% probabilities).
  VXX(-87%)    VIXM(-73%)    XRT(-43%)    TBT(-21%)    ROBT(-13%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -2.9
 
Relative Volatility   1.1 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.9% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV   -3.5 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $312.2(-0.24%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $328.01
5 Day Moving Average  $322.48(-2.96%)
10 Day Moving Average  $328.09(-4.61%)
20 Day Moving Average  $328.01(-4.59%)
To recent high  -7%
To recent low  5.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
Advance Ratio  10%
Stage of the Market  Normal
 
One Year Target Price   $324.97 (3.84%)
 
Short-term volatility trend  Equity Bullish (-0.7)
Mid-term volatility trend  Equity Bearish (1.1)
Risk Appetite   (0)
Fed Balance Sheet  7.363 T (Mon. Dec. 14, 2020) Expansion
Fed Fund Rate  0.09% (Wed. Dec. 23, 2020) No Change
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.97% (three month std-dev: 1.12%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Feb_25_2021328.01 (-0%)328.09 (-0.4%)322.48 (-1.2%) 320.36 318.55(0%)312.95(-3.43%)312.95-312.95-1.2(-2.3)-3.5 -1.4%-0.5%0%-0.24%0%301.8 Breakdown  Range(-0.2%)3-2.90.5Downtrend 311.54(-0.45%)309.87-315.4195.28   -7%-5.6% 
2Feb_24_2021328.47 (-0%)330.19 (-0.2%)326.38 (-0.6%) 324.87 323.04(0%)324.07(0.66%)324.07-324.38-0.5(-0.8)-0.7 -0.2%-0.2%0%-0.12%0.5%501.7 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.4%)4-2.81.1Downtrend 323.23(-0.26%)322.63-324.6453.32   -3.7%-10% 
3Feb_23_2021328.72 (0%)331.16 (-0%)328.34 (-0.8%) 326.94 322.17(0%)321.94(-0.16%)321.94-321.94-0.3(-1.2)-1.2 -1.1%-0.3%0%-0.02%0.7%441.7 N/A  Lower(-1.3%)5-31.5Range Bound 322.52(0.18%)323.91-321.3893.91   -4.3%-10.9% 
4Feb_22_2021329.08 (0.2%)332.38 (0%)331.07 (-0.8%) 329.93 326.7(0%)322.46(-2.58%)322.25-322.460.3(-1.2)-2.8 -1.2%-0.2%0%0.1%1%541.6 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.1%)6-3.91.7Downtrend Reversal 321.27(-0.37%)320.83-32346.68   -4.2%-11% 
5Feb_19_2021329.31 (0.2%)333.4 (0.2%)333.88 (-0.2%) 333.23 331.71(0%)331(-0.43%)331-3310.9(0.3)-1.9 -0.4%0%0%0.26%1.2%781.7 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.2%)7-0.81.9Uptrend Consolidation 330.83(-0.05%)330.19-332.834.98   -1.6%-14% 
 
6Feb_18_2021329.09 (0.2%)333.34 (0.4%)333.88 (0%) 334.6 333.16(0%)332.43(-0.43%)332.43-332.431.1(0.6)-0.7 -0.3%0.1%0%0.32%1.3%661.7 Correction  Range(0%)8-0.51.9Uptrend 334.69(0.68%)331.75-335.9628.79   -1.2%-14.6% 
7Feb_17_2021328.67 (0.4%)332.81 (0.4%)334.54 (0%) 335.07 334.74(0%)333.88(-0.51%)333.88-333.881.3(1)0 -0.2%0.2%0%0.36%1.3%711.7 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.3%)9-0.42.1Uptrend 336.52(0.79%)333.05-338.0128.58   -0.8%-15.1% 
8Feb_16_2021327.84 (0.4%)332.22 (0.4%)334.42 (0.2%) 334.71 336.05(0%)335.6(-0.27%)335.6-335.61.4(1.3)1.5 0.2%0.4%0%0.36%1.3%571.8 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)100.52Growing Uptrend 338.92(0.99%)334.25-340.0824.41   -0.3%-15.7% 
9Feb_12_2021326.69 (0.2%)331.02 (0.4%)333.93 (0.3%) 334.13 335.41(0%)336.5(0.66%)336.5-336.531.4(1.5)3.3 0.4%0.5%0%0.34%1.3%582 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.9%)90.82.1Growing Uptrend 339.9(1.01%)334.84-341.1617.64   0%-16.7% 
10Feb_11_2021325.58 (0.2%)329.07 (0.2%)332.9 (0.3%) 333.29 333.37(0%)334.31(0.57%)334.31-334.311.4(1.3)2 0.2%0.3%0%0.26%1.1%592 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.5%)80.82.2Growing Uptrend 336.95(0.79%)332.8-337.9920.34   0%-15.9% 
 
11Feb_10_2021324.67 (0.2%)327.82 (0.2%)331.99 (0.4%) 332.55 332.85(0%)332.43(-0.25%)332.43-332.431.4(1.2)1 0.1%0.4%0%0.24%1%562 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)70.52.2Growing Uptrend 334.82(0.72%)331.11-335.7422.2   -0.2%-17.2% 
12Feb_9_2021323.77 (0.2%)326.55 (0.2%)330.77 (0.3%) 331.88 333.21(0%)333.26(0.03%)333.26-333.261.4(1.5)2.2 0.4%0.2%0%0.18%0.9%601.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)60.62The Top 332.99(-0.08%)327.71-337.316.15   0%-17.5% 
13Feb_8_2021322.81 (0.2%)325.96 (0.2%)329.65 (0.6%) 330.15 332.25(0%)333.17(0.55%)333.17-333.171.4(1.6)2.6 0.5%0.2%0%0.2%1%671.8 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)60.61.8The Top 333.17(-0%)327.7-337.6518.01   0%-17.5% 
14Feb_5_2021322.06 (0.2%)325.37 (0.2%)327.64 (0.9%) 328.64 330.55(0%)331.33(0.48%)331.33-331.331.3(1.6)3.6 0.7%0.2%0%0.22%1%701.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.9%)60.91.7Uptrend 333.02(0.51%)329.79-334.4120.45   0%-16.8% 
15Feb_4_2021321.23 (0.2%)324.75 (0.2%)324.63 (0.5%) 326.58 328.06(0%)329.75(1.04%)329.75-329.861(1.5)7 0.6%0.2%0%0.18%1.1%651.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)60.91.5Uptrend 330.9(0.35%)328.14-332.119.75   0%-16.3% 
 
16Feb_3_2021320.14 (0.2%)324.36 (0.2%)323.05 (0.4%) 323.21 326.72(0%)326.35(-0.41%)326.35-326.350.8(1)0.8 0.4%0.1%0%0.18%1.3%611.5 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)611.7Uptrend 327.26(0.28%)325.12-328.224.42   -0.6%-18.8% 
17Feb_2_2021319.42 (0.2%)324.1 (0.2%)321.67 (-0.1%) 322.08 325.09(0%)327.68(1.42%)325.31-327.680.6(1.4)0.9 1%0.3%0%0.18%1.5%641.5 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.3%)61.51.4Uptrend 328.53(0.26%)326.11-329.5633.43   -0.2%-21.4% 
18Feb_1_2021318.48 (0.2%)323.03 (0.2%)321.82 (-0.3%) 320.16 319.7(0%)323.1(2.15%)323.1-323.10.6(0.8)-0.1 -0.1%0.3%0%0.2%1.4%611.6 Correction  Range(0.2%)51.61.1Uptrend 324.17(0.33%)322.32-324.9732.51   -1.6%-19.7% 
19Jan_29_2021318.02 (0.2%)322.02 (0.2%)322.88 (-0.6%) 321.51 319.06(0%)316.3(-1.72%)316.3-316.30.8(-0.3)-2.1 -0.6%0%0%0.2%1.3%481.6 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.3%)51.40.2Uptrend 317.69(0.44%)316.61-318.1650.01   -3.7%-17.3% 
20Jan_28_2021317.89 (0.2%)321.97 (0.2%)324.83 (-0.3%) 324.09 320.63(0%)321.83(0.75%)321.83-321.831.3(0.6)-1.3 -0.7%0.2%0%0.28%1.3%581.6 Confirmed Correction  Range(-0.5%)61.30.6Uptrend Consolidation 321.32(-0.16%)320.56-323.520   -2%-19.3% 
 
21Jan_27_2021317.43 (0.2%)321.45 (0.4%)325.77 (-0.3%) 325.14 323.95(0%)319.43(-2.75%)319.43-319.431.7(0.3)-2.3 -0.8%0.1%0%0.34%1.3%651.5 Confirmed Correction  Higher(0.7%)61.50.9After Top 321.12(0.53%)318.01-323.746.5   -2.8%-18.4% 
22Jan_26_2021317.1 (0.2%)321.03 (0.4%)326.69 (0.7%) 326.96 327.56(0%)328.47(0.02%)328.47-328.472.2(1.8)2.3 0.4%0.4%-1.2%0.4%1.2%681.5 Growing Uptrend  Lower(-2.1%)621.5Growing Uptrend 331.49(0.92%)326.5-332.7521.73   0%-21.8% 
23Jan_25_2021316.13 (0.2%)319.57 (0.4%)324.32 (1%) 325.89 326.33(0%)328.39(0.73%)321.41-328.392.2(2.1)3.7 0.4%0.3%-1.1%0.34%1.1%701.4 Growing Uptrend  Lower(-2%)62.12.2Growing Uptrend 330.82(0.74%)326.13-33238.84   0%-21.7% 
24Jan_22_2021315.08 (0.2%)318.53 (0.4%)321.02 (0.7%) 323.38 326.36(0%)326.02(-0.17%)326.02-326.021.9(2.1)3.8 0.6%0.3%0%0.28%1.1%611.2 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1%)62.12.1Overbought 322.17(-1.18%)317.98-328.4318.43   -0.2%-20.9% 
25Jan_21_2021314.22 (0.2%)317.39 (0.2%)318.69 (0.7%) 319.85 325.44(0%)326.56(0.79%)326.56-327.121.6(2.6)1.8 1.2%0.5%0%0.22%1%621.1 Breakout  Higher(1.7%)62.22.4Approaching Top 325.03(-0.47%)320.02-329.122.66   0%-21.1% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
 
 
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