Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 12, 2020

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Apr. 18, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $294.6200 (3.11%) ($289.4700 - $297.4600) on Mon. Oct. 12, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.73% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $294.6200(3.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(98%)    IVW(97%)    SPY(92%)    FIVG(88%)    VUG(83%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.865% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-49%)    UUP(-26%)    VXX(-17%)    IGOV(-9%)    TBT(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.865% (StdDev 1.73%)
Hourly BBV 1.5 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $283.41(3.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $281.04(4.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $276.14(6.69%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 2.55% (three month std-dev: 1.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 46 Average positive next day return: 1.62%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.57%(50%) Sample size 46 Average positive next three day return: 2.34%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -3.01%(52%) Sample size 46 Average positive next weekly return: 2.95%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.92%(37%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2020	263.72	276.14	281.04	283.41	285.01	289.52	294.62(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	251	130	270	192	79.67	52%	0.25	40	1.73%	1.5	2.6	65	2.7
2	Oct_9_2020	263.05	275.06	279.15	280.54	280.6	283.22	285.74(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	118	70	116	125	30.03	50%	0.22	28.8	1.69%	1.5	1.9	64	2.6
3	Oct_8_2020	262.47	274.26	277.73	278.24	279.18	280.5	281.48(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	103	40	101	110	25.08	50%	0.19	5.3	1.68%	0.9	1.4	63	1.7
4	Oct_7_2020	261.96	273.77	276.19	278.4	277.68	277.98	280.11(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	12	-0	-5	64	27.75	50%	0.21	-21.4	1.69%	1.4	1.3	58	1
5	Oct_6_2020	261.42	273.6	274.65	278.01	278.24	277.86	275.08(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	18	-10	5	55	49.08	50%	0.19	-44.6	1.68%	-1.5	0.3	51	0.3

6	Oct_5_2020	260.93	273.36	274.4	278.16	278.72	277.37	280.28(2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-6	-30	-21	39	27.78	52%	0.22	-65.2	1.68%	0.6	1.4	50	0.6
7	Oct_2_2020	260.35	273.43	273.12	277.51	277.94	278.62	274.25(-2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-30	20	-45	17	76.34	50%	0.21	-73.8	1.68%	-1.7	0.2	49	0.4
8	Oct_1_2020	259.81	274	272.41	276.99	278.15	280.07	282.28(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	139	60	155	90	49.98	53%	0.25	-69.5	1.64%	1.4	1.4	60	0.8
9	Sep_30_2020	259.17	274.83	271.12	273.61	275.2	277.26	278.18(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	89	70	105	42	48.63	54%	0.22	-55	1.64%	0.6	0.4	55	0.8
10	Sep_29_2020	258.6	275.77	270.62	270.77	271.9	276.23	275.82(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	115	120	143	32	26.95	54%	0.19	-48.5	1.65%	0.7	0	47	0.9

11	Sep_28_2020	258.1	276.64	270.79	270.1	269.33	273.14	277.03(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	165	90	200	60	57.8	54%	0.21	-42.5	1.65%	1.5	0	55	0.7
12	Sep_25_2020	257.57	277.33	270.48	268.22	268.05	267.58	271.64(2.37%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	61	-10	85	-10	55.35	50%	0.2	-41.5	1.66%	2	-0.5	41	0.6
13	Sep_24_2020	257.06	278.26	270.37	267.23	266.99	265.53	265.36(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-107	-40	-104	-114	70.51	46%	0.18	-39.4	1.64%	-1.2	-1.1	34	0.3
14	Sep_23_2020	256.59	279.6	271.1	268.25	267.45	268.52	264.02(-3.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	20	-25	-111	48.25	46%	0.19	-31.7	1.66%	-1.1	-1.3	27	0.1
15	Sep_22_2020	256.11	280.76	272.51	270.32	268.47	268.44	272.44(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-20	35	-102	41.08	49%	0.23	-25.3	1.62%	1.9	-0.8	32	0.7

16	Sep_21_2020	255.53	281.36	272.3	271.63	269.66	266.39	267.62(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-149	-110	-134	-192	57.77	47%	0.22	-19.3	1.61%	-0.3	-1.3	33	0.8
17	Sep_18_2020	254.97	282.15	273.85	273.12	272.95	268.51	266.71(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-187	-120	-178	-212	86.02	47%	0.2	-12.3	1.61%	-0.9	-1.5	35	1.1
18	Sep_17_2020	254.45	282.92	275.86	273.91	274.96	272.92	270.45(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-159	-40	-145	-200	82.42	47%	0.2	-7.6	1.6%	-1.4	-1.3	38	1.1
19	Sep_16_2020	253.93	283.32	278.9	274.25	275.17	277.38	274.4(-1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-19	70	16	-124	42.22	47%	0.25	-4.8	1.58%	-1.1	-1	39	0.7
20	Sep_15_2020	253.29	283.58	281.31	274.97	274.78	277	278.96(1.41%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	95	50	144	-54	41.68	48%	0.26	3.4	1.58%	0.8	-0.5	47	0.6

21	Sep_14_2020	252.64	283.47	282.82	273.19	274.37	272.97	275.08(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-20	20	-104	39.15	48%	0.25	0.6	1.58%	0.2	-0.9	46	0.6
22	Sep_11_2020	252.01	283.43	284.58	274.89	273.6	272.56	270.64(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-167	-40	-170	-158	72.26	42%	0.25	6	1.57%	-1.4	-1.3	45	0.3
23	Sep_10_2020	251.39	283.65	286.73	278.22	276.38	275.76	272.18(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-63	-40	-59	-74	69.28	42%	0.25	15.1	1.69%	-1.6	-1.2	48	-0.6
24	Sep_9_2020	250.77	283.77	288.84	284.35	280.16	274.63	277.97(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-166	-180	-198	-71	63.92	44%	0.3	34.1	1.67%	0.6	-0.6	55	-0.4
25	Sep_8_2020	250.03	283.26	289.8	288.74	286.22	276.99	270.07(-4.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-336	-250	-409	-115	96.92	40%		42.2	1.64%	-1.5	-1.3	48	-1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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