Trading Signals: PTON Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 20, 2020

Trading Signals: PTON Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 26, 2019 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Peloton Interactive, Inc.)
PTON latest price $131.8600 (-0.85%) ($130.3300 - $134.5500) on Tue. Oct. 20, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.03% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $131.8600(-0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PTON advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PTON advances 11.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PTON advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(60%)    IPO(57%)    ONLN(56%)    IWO(52%)    SKYY(48%)
Factors Impacting PTON price   PTON will decline at least -2.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-10%)    DRIV(-8%)    TBT(-7%)    VXX(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.015% (StdDev 4.03%)
Hourly BBV 0.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $132.81(-0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $128.05(2.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $115.41(14.25%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   113.3%
Market Cap   $37.983b

Peloton Interactive, Inc. operates at-home fitness platform for live and on-demand indoor cycling classes. The company pioneered connected, technology-enabled fitness, and the streaming of immersive, instructor-led boutique classes for its Members. It operates through three reportable segments: Connected Fitness Products, Subscription and Other. The Connected Fitness Product segment consists of sales of bike, tread & related accessories. The Subscription segment involves in the monthly subscription and credits from live studio classes. The Other segment consists of boutique and apparel sales. The Peloton Interactive was founded on by John Foley, Graham Stanton, Thomas Cortese, Yony Feng and Hisao Kushi in 2012 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PTON price fluctuates within 13.12% (three month std-dev: 4.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.5%(20%) Average negative next day return: -5.56%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 6.39%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -8.13%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 4.14%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.87%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2020	75.65	115.41	128.05	132.81	132.72	132.01	131.86(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	40	-40	-2	164	12.63	84%	1.16	79.9	4.03%	0.2	1.1	86	0.6
2	Oct_19_2020	74.78	113.54	126.11	132.63	132.6	132.3	132.99(1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	40	-20	-5	176	24.2	84%	1.23	84.3	4.19%	-0.4	1.3	85	0.7
3	Oct_16_2020	73.87	111.61	123.95	131.45	132.02	133.44	131.23(-3.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	68	90	23	201	40.38	84%	1.23	88	4.25%	-0.8	1.3	86	1.4
4	Oct_15_2020	72.97	109.52	121.64	129.79	130.45	132.91	136.41(3.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	107	150	67	228	26.66	84%	1.33	87.3	4.23%	1.8	1.8	90	1.6
5	Oct_14_2020	72.01	106.93	118.49	125.5	127.18	130.6	131.54(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	109	230	70	227	27.19	84%	1.28	80.8	4.22%	1	1.7	92	2

6	Oct_13_2020	71.1	104.46	115.28	122.56	123.23	128	130.96(3.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	123	290	89	225	17.25	78%	0.87	75.6	4.23%	1.5	1.9	79	2.1
7	Oct_12_2020	70.49	102.12	112.18	118.64	119.92	123.76	127.09(3.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	125	260	98	205	20.45	78%	1.19	71.5	4.44%	1.5	1.9	78	2.7
8	Oct_9_2020	69.66	99.82	109.11	115.38	116.18	118.47	122.94(6.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	86	160	58	171	17.52	79%	1.15	70.3	4.48%	2.3	2	76	2.6
9	Oct_8_2020	68.87	97.82	106.52	112.3	113.32	116.08	114.97(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	75	200	47	160	15.33	78%	1.04	70.4	4.43%	-0.3	1.6	76	1.7
10	Oct_7_2020	68.16	96.4	103.94	110.34	111.19	113.89	116.83(4.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	97	190	74	166	21.99	78%	1.1	68.7	4.42%	1.2	2.1	81	1

11	Oct_6_2020	67.42	95.02	101.7	106.83	108.08	110.57	111.38(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	78	200	53	151	19.39	77%	1.03	69	4.39%	0.8	1.8	81	0.3
12	Oct_5_2020	66.73	93.68	99.95	104.65	105.12	108.5	110.78(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	85	240	62	154	16.1	77%	0.97	72.8	4.4%	1.4	2.1	75	0.6
13	Oct_2_2020	66.09	92.14	98.26	101.85	102.71	105.6	107.55(2.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	91	220	70	155	29.72	77%	0.96	71.2	4.42%	1.1	2	76	0.4
14	Oct_1_2020	65.46	90.83	96.45	99.88	100.09	101.74	105.17(5.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	73	120	50	142	26.71	77%	0.96	78.8	4.43%	1.5	2.1	71	0.8
15	Sep_30_2020	64.84	90.04	94.47	96.56	98.15	99.82	99.26(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	170	36	108	18.98	76%	0.84	93.6	4.41%	0	1.5	62	0.8

16	Sep_29_2020	64.3	89.24	92.86	95.75	95.76	98.44	100.48(3.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	49	200	35	91	41.23	76%	0.93	110.1	4.4%	1.2	1.9	58	0.9
17	Sep_28_2020	63.71	88.05	91.33	94.53	94.81	96.48	96.81(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	130	47	88	34.52	76%	0.87	114.4	4.4%	0.8	1.5	61	0.7
18	Sep_25_2020	63.16	87.01	89.87	94.13	93.83	93.09	97.7(10.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-60	12	75	45.89	76%	0.86	116.1	4.4%	1	1.8	66	0.6
19	Sep_24_2020	62.62	85.67	88.46	92.55	93.18	93.14	88.55(-7.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	20	-10	59	34.27	74%	0.84	102.7	4.26%	-1.6	0.5	59	0.3
20	Sep_23_2020	62.1	84.68	88.39	91.91	92.71	94.58	95.22(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	58	170	52	75	55.3	79%	0.98	86.2	4.14%	0.2	1.4	53	0.1

21	Sep_22_2020	61.5	83.27	87.87	89.39	89.63	93.21	94.38(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	290	55	64	43.36	79%	1.02	69.4	4.16%	0.8	1.4	60	0.7
22	Sep_21_2020	60.88	81.91	86.93	87.6	87.25	90.84	94.78(5.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	83	280	86	75	51.23	79%	1.06	62.1	4.17%	1.3	1.6	66	0.8
23	Sep_18_2020	60.24	80.63	85.48	85.06	85.25	86.04	89.81(5.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	70	47	43	44.33	78%	0.99	57.6	4.14%	2.7	1.1	64	1.1
24	Sep_17_2020	59.65	79.58	84.71	83.9	83.6	83.65	85.36(3.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-13	-10	-25	23	30.58	76%	0.93	55.4	4.12%	0.2	0.7	66	1.1
25	Sep_16_2020	59.1	78.72	85.2	84.38	85.37	84.46	82.61(-3.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-40	-13	73	25.15	76%		58.2	4.12%	-0.3	0.5	68	0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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