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     Wed. Oct. 28, 2020



Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Oct. 28, 2020)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)

PM latest price $70.0400 (-1.81%) ($69.5400 - $71.1200) on Wed. Oct. 28, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Growing Downtrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  PM declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  PM declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support PM decline at-1% a week (53% probability)
  IVE(54%)    VYM(54%)    IWD(52%)    XLB(52%)    XLP(52%)  
Factors Impacting PM price  PM will decline at least -0.3% in a week (32% probabilities).
  GBTC(-39%)    VXX(-35%)    VIXM(-34%)    TLT(-15%)    FEX(-13%)  
Explanation   The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.4
 
Relative Volatility   2 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   -2
Hourly Trend   -2.02% [$71.27(-1.68), $72.74(-1.08)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$70.44, $70.44]


PM Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  10%
Bullish Price Move  1.4%
Bearish Probability  90%
Bearish Price Move  -1.4%
Recommended Position Size  -57%
Latest Price  $70.0400
Next Day Open Price  $70.04(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $68.86(-1.68%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $67.73 - $71.06
Resistance Level  $75.99
5 Day Moving Average  $72.87(-3.88%)
10 Day Moving Average  $74.6(-6.11%)
20 Day Moving Average  $75.99(-7.83%)
To recent high  -14.5%
To recent low  0%
Market Cap  $109.072b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Thu. Feb. 11, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $90.35 ($74.00 - $100.00)
  17 analysts (last updated on Wed. Oct. 21, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  29%
% to Low Target Price  5.65%
% to High Target Price  42.78%
 


  
 
 


Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. PM price fluctuates within 3.66% (three month std-dev: 1.43%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. PM price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Oct_28_2020-14.5%-0-1%,-0.3(-0.1)-4%,-1.1(-0.1)-1%,-0.3-1.50%-1.8%-2.1-202.6NAN%-2.45.64   70.04(-1.81%)69.54-71.12Growing Downtrend 68.86(-1.68%)67.73-71.0622
2Oct_27_2020-12.9%-0-0.8%,-0.2(0)-3.5%,-1.1(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.2-1.2-0.22%-1%-2-2.6-2.22.3NAN%-0.65.25   71.33(-3.15%)71.19-73.53Growing Downtrend 70.47(-1.2%)69.6-72.2523
3Oct_26_2020-10.1%-0.4-0.8%,-0.3(-0.1)-2.9%,-1(-0.3)-1.1%,-0.4-00.18%-0.2%-1.3-0.6-1.32.1NAN%-0.25.06   73.65(-1.07%)72.81-73.92Growing Downtrend 72.86(-1.07%)72.15-74.1847
4Oct_23_2020-9.1%-1.5% -0.6%,-0.2(-0.1)-2%,-0.7(-0.4)-1.3%,-0.5-0-0.04%0.4%-1-1-1.72NAN%0.83.69   74.45(-0.55%)74.31-75.37Downtrend 73.83(-0.83%)73.41-74.8148
5Oct_22_2020-8.6%-2.1% -0.4%,-0.1(-0)-0.8%,-0.3(-0.4)-1.1%,-0.4-1.80.08%0.9%-0.9-0.8-1.62NAN%0.64.69   74.86(1.41%)73.92-75.08Downtrend 74.6(-0.35%)74.35-75.1755
 
6Oct_21_2020-9.9%-0.7-0.3%,-0.1(-0)0.3%,0.1(-0.5)-1.3%,-0.5-30.11%1.2%-1.4-1.7-22NAN%0.17.26   73.82(0.67%)73.68-75.21Oversold 74.61(1.07%)73.77-74.8254
7Oct_20_2020-10.5%-0.6-0.2%,-0.1(-0.1)1.5%,0.6(-0.4)-1.5%,-0.6-1.5-0.62%1.8%-1.8-3.4-2.61.7NAN%0.29.39   73.33(-5.79%)73.3-77.85N/A 74.53(1.63%)73.75-75.1649
8Oct_19_2020-5%-6.8% -0%,-0(0.1)2.6%,1.1(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.20.3-0.26%1.9%0.4-2.1-0.11.8NAN%1.24.67   77.84(-1.8%)77.69-79.36N/A 78.34(0.64%)77.43-79.0868
9Oct_16_2020-3.3%-8.8% -0.2%,-0.1(0.1)2.8%,1.2(0)0.1%,000.01%1.8%1.2-0.3-0.21.8NAN%0.93.02   79.27(0.16%)79.03-79.87N/A 79.41(0.18%)77.87-80.6762
10Oct_15_2020-3.4%-8.6% -0.4%,-0.2(0.1)2.7%,1.1(0.1)0.2%,0.1-0.30.06%1.3%1.20.2-0.31.8NAN%0.72.41   79.14(0.29%)77.85-79.32Uptrend Reversal 79.74(0.76%)79.23-80.0964
 
11Oct_14_2020-3.7%-8.3% -0.5%,-0.2(-0)2.4%,1(-0)-0%,-0-0.30.03%0.6%10.2-0.61.9NAN%0.93.49   78.91(-0.38%)77.83-79.89N/A 79.03(0.15%)77.72-80.159
12Oct_13_2020-3.3%-8.7% -0.5%,-0.2(0)2.4%,0.9(0.3)1%,0.30.30%0.1%10.5-0.72.1NAN%0.94.46   79.21(-0.14%)78.07-79.58Uptrend Reversal 79.91(0.88%)79.32-80.2963
13Oct_12_2020-3.2%-8.8% -0.6%,-0.2(0)1.6%,0.5(0.2)0.9%,0.30.60.01%-0.6%10.7-0.92.3NAN%1.32.84   79.32(0.56%)78.52-79.62Uptrend Reversal 80.07(0.95%)79.44-80.556
14Oct_9_2020-3.7%-12.5% -0.7%,-0.2(0.1)0.9%,0.3(0.3)1.2%,0.41.2-0.11%-1.2%0.71-0.72.2NAN%1.13.12   78.88(0.7%)78.68-79.75Uptrend Reversal 79.67(1%)79-80.1151
15Oct_8_2020-4.4%-11.7% -0.9%,-0.3(0.1)-0%,-0(0.3)1.1%,0.31.50.15%-1.8%0.40.9-0.72.2NAN%1.16.4   78.33(-0.91%)77.84-79.38Rebound 77.98(-0.45%)78.33-77.8349
 
16Oct_7_2020-3.5%-12.7% -1.2%,-0.4(0.1)-1%,-0.3(0.4)1.1%,0.31.20.18%-2.2%0.72.1-0.12.3NAN%0.76.65   79.05(4.7%)76.56-79.7Rebound 77.98(-1.35%)78.53-77.7546
17Oct_6_2020-7.9%-7.6% -1.4%,-0.4(0)-2.2%,-0.7(0.2)0.3%,0.10.9-0.33%-2.8%-0.81.3-1.12.4NAN%0.33.32   75.5(-0.54%)75.31-76.74Downtrend Consolidation 75.03(-0.62%)76.37-74.5930
18Oct_5_2020-7.4%-8.2% -1.6%,-0.5(0)-2.9%,-0.9(0.1)-0.1%,-000.2%-2.8%-0.70.9-1.42.4NAN%0.53.7   75.91(1.95%)74.52-76.06Downtrend Consolidation 75.22(-0.91%)76.66-74.7429
19Oct_2_2020-9.1%-6.2% -1.6%,-0.5(-0)-3.4%,-1(0.1)-0.3%,-0.1-0.30.03%-2.8%-1.3-1.2-1.52.4NAN%0.72.91   74.46(0.43%)73.45-75.13Downtrend 73.28(-1.59%)72.51-75.0720
20Oct_1_2020-9.5%-5.9% -1.6%,-0.5(-0)-3.7%,-1.2(-0)-0.6%,-0.2-0.9-0.16%-2.7%-1.6-1.4-22.2NAN%0.93.93   74.14(-1.13%)73.51-74.97Downtrend 72.89(-1.69%)72.05-74.8423
 
21Sep_30_2020-8.5%-7.1% -1.5%,-0.5(0)-3.5%,-1.2(-0)-0.1%,-0-0.6-0.2%-2.4%-1.5-1-1.62.1NAN%0.85.41   74.99(0.87%)74.35-75.29Relative Oversold 74.89(-0.13%)72.36-76.9630
22Sep_29_2020-9.3%-6.2% -1.5%,-0.5(-0.1)-3.5%,-1.3(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.300.01%-2%-2-2.3-1.72NAN%0.94.06   74.34(-2.58%)74.3-76.12Growing Downtrend 73.46(-1.19%)72.61-75.127
23Sep_28_2020-6.9%-9% -1.3%,-0.5(-0.1)-2.9%,-1.2(-0.2)-0.4%,-0.20-0.17%-1.5%-1.3-0.8-1.11.8NAN%0.93.83   76.31(1.21%)76.17-77.66Growing Downtrend 75.62(-0.9%)75.01-76.7741
24Sep_25_2020-8%-9.5% -1.1%,-0.5(-0.1)-2.4%,-1(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.3-0.9-0.17%-1.1%-2-1.7-0.91.7NAN%1.13.83   75.4(-1.24%)75.12-76.01Growing Downtrend 74.9(-0.66%)74.34-76.1136
25Sep_24_2020-6.8%-10.9% -0.8%,-0.4(-0.1)-1.9%,-0.9(-0.2)-0.8%,-0.4-1.5-0.25%-0.6%-1.8-1.20.41.5NAN%1.23.59   76.35(1.13%)74.92-77.09Growing Downtrend 75.98(-0.48%)75.55-76.9138
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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