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     Wed. Oct. 28, 2020



Trading Signals: PGR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Oct. 28, 2020)

(Progressive Corporation)

PGR latest price $92.1600 (-1.75%) ($91.1400 - $93.4900) on Wed. Oct. 28, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  PGR declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  PGR declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support PGR decline at-0.9% a week (53% probability)
  XLV(57%)    IVE(53%)    IWD(51%)    SPY(51%)    HYG(50%)  
Factors Impacting PGR price  PGR will decline at least -0.3% in a week (33% probabilities).
  VXX(-44%)    VIXM(-39%)    UUP(-26%)    GBTC(-14%)    TLT(-11%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.2
 
Relative Volatility   0.7 (options are expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   -1.8
Hourly Trend   -0.54% [$93.17(-0.69), $93.68(-0.41)]
Last Hour Trend   -0.08% [$91.68, $91.75]


PGR Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  17%
Bullish Price Move  1.3%
Bearish Probability  83%
Bearish Price Move  -1.3%
Recommended Position Size  -51%
Latest Price  $92.1600
Next Day Open Price  $92.01(-0.16%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $91.28(-0.95%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $90.6 - $92.88
Resistance Level  $96
5 Day Moving Average  $93.76(-1.71%)
10 Day Moving Average  $94.6(-2.58%)
20 Day Moving Average  $96(-4%)
To recent high  -9.1%
To recent low  5.4%
Market Cap  $53.95b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Tue. Nov. 3, 2020
Analyst One Year Target Price  $100.60 ($88.00 - $120.00)
  15 analysts (last updated on Mon. Oct. 26, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  9.16%
% to Low Target Price  -4.51%
% to High Target Price  30.21%
 


  
 
 


Progressive Corp. is an insurance holding company, which engages in the provision of personal and commercial auto insurance, residential property insurance, and other specialty property-casualty insurance and related services. It operates through the following segments: Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, Property, and Other Indemnity. The Personal Lines segment includes agency and direct businesses. The Commercial Lines segment writes primary liability and physical damage insurance for automobiles and trucks owned and operated predominately by small business in the auto, for-hire transportation, contractor, for-hire specialty, tow, and for-hire livery markets. The Property segment covers residential property insurance for homeowners, other property owners, and renters. The Other Indemnity segment manages run-off businesses. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Mayfield Village, OH.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. PGR price fluctuates within 2.6% (three month std-dev: 1.25%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. PGR price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Oct_28_2020-9.1%-5.4% -0.1%,-0(-0.1)-3.1%,-1.2(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.1-0.6-0.08%-1.5%-1.5-1.8-0.22.1NAN%-1.91.17   92.16(-1.75%)91.14-93.49Downtrend 91.28(-0.95%)90.6-92.8832
2Oct_27_2020-7.5%-7.4% 0.2%,0.1(-0)-2.7%,-1.1(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.1-0.3-0.08%-0.9%-1-0.6-0.82NAN%-0.61.51   93.8(-0.04%)93.55-94.8Correction 90.57(-3.44%)90.09-92.5243
3Oct_26_2020-7.4%-7.5% 0.2%,0.1(0)-2.2%,-0.9(-0.3)-0.4%,-0.200.22%-0.3%-1-0.7-12NAN%-0.21.7   93.84(-0.82%)92.58-94.51Correction 91.03(-2.99%)90.59-92.849
4Oct_23_2020-6.7%-8.4% 0.2%,0.1(0)-1.5%,-0.6(-0.3)-0.4%,-0.2-0.30.03%0.5%-0.7-0.4-1.82.1NAN%0.81.56   94.62(0.24%)94.32-95.17Correction 92.36(-2.39%)91.97-93.948
5Oct_22_2020-6.9%-8.1% 0.1%,0(-0)-0.8%,-0.3(-0.3)-0.7%,-0.2-1.20.07%1.1%-0.7-1.4-22.1NAN%0.61.91   94.39(0.84%)92.87-95.22Correction 92.48(-2.02%)92.13-93.8954
 
6Oct_21_2020-7.7%-7.2% 0.1%,0(-0.1)0%,0(-0.3)-1.3%,-0.4-1.2-0.29%1.6%-0.9-1.4-2.12.3NAN%0.12.1   93.6(-1.05%)93.33-95.78Range Bound 93.82(0.23%)94.4-93.3354
7Oct_20_2020-6.7%-8.4% 0.3%,0.1(-0.1)0.9%,0.3(-0.3)-1.2%,-0.4-0.6-0.17%2%-0.5-1.3-1.82.3NAN%0.21.93   94.59(-1.24%)94.23-96.73Uptrend Consolidation 94.93(0.36%)94.99-94.7752
8Oct_19_2020-5.5%-9.7% 0.6%,0.2(-0.1)1.6%,0.6(-0.3)-1.1%,-0.4-0.9-0.35%2.1%-0.1-1.5-0.92.3NAN%1.21.46   95.78(-0.77%)95.48-97.8Uptrend Consolidation 95.91(0.14%)95.78-96.3257
9Oct_16_2020-4.8%-10.8% 1%,0.3(-0.1)2.5%,0.9(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.2-1.80.06%2.1%0.2-1.4-1.52.3NAN%0.92.8   96.52(-1.02%)96.17-98.18Uptrend Consolidation 96.59(0.07%)96.25-97.6260
10Oct_15_2020-3.8%-13.5% 1.3%,0.4(-0)3.2%,1.1(-0.1)-0.1%,-0-1.20.05%1.9%0.5-1-0.92.3NAN%0.72.73   97.51(-2.15%)96.01-99.06Uptrend 98.98(1.51%)97.23-99.7367
 
11Oct_14_2020-1.7%-17.9% 1.4%,0.5(0.1)3.4%,1.2(-0)0.7%,0.20.6-0.4%1.7%1.40.40.42.3NAN%0.92.11   99.65(-0.62%)99.56-102Uptrend 101.28(1.64%)98.88-102.3276
12Oct_13_2020-1.1%-24.8% 1.2%,0.5(0.1)3.5%,1.3(0.2)1.1%,0.41.5-0.37%1.4%1.80.70.52NAN%0.92.15   100.27(-1.09%)99.96-102.05Growing Uptrend 101.91(1.64%)99.33-102.5680
13Oct_12_20200%-26.2% 1.1%,0.4(0.1)2.9%,1.2(0.4)1.1%,0.42.10.02%1.1%2.51.80.81.8NAN%1.32.08   101.38(1.5%)99.48-101.51Growing Uptrend 102.65(1.25%)100.19-103.2667
14Oct_9_20200%-28.4% 0.9%,0.4(0.1)2%,1(0.5)1.2%,0.61.80.24%0.6%2.42.311.5NAN%1.11.92   99.88(1.95%)97.68-99.9Growing Uptrend 100.6(0.72%)98.96-101.0153
15Oct_8_20200%-26.6% 0.7%,0.4(0.2)1%,0.6(0.5)1%,0.61.20.08%0.1%1.91.80.41.2NAN%1.11.39   97.97(1.62%)96.31-98.02Growing Uptrend 98.24(0.28%)97.34-98.4751
 
16Oct_7_2020-1%-24.6% 0.4%,0.3(0)0.1%,0.1(0.4)0.4%,0.21.20.15%-0.3%1.20.9-0.11.1NAN%0.72.31   96.41(1.36%)95.25-97N/A 96.08(-0.34%)95.4-96.6352
17Oct_6_2020-2.3%-22.9% 0.3%,0.2(0.1)-0.5%,-0.3(0.1)0.2%,0.11.5-0.38%-0.8%0.40.40.21.2NAN%0.31.97   95.12(-0.9%)94.43-96.38N/A 94.9(-0.23%)94.77-9550
18Oct_5_2020-1.4%-24.1% 0.1%,0.1(0.1)-0.7%,-0.4(0.1)0.4%,0.30.30.06%-0.7%12.2-0.21.2NAN%0.51.33   95.98(1.88%)94.28-96.08Downtrend 95.83(-0.16%)95.9-95.6652
19Oct_2_2020-3.2%-21.8% -0%,-0(0.1)-0.8%,-0.5(0)0.3%,0.2-0.30.02%-0.5%-00.20.11.2NAN%0.71.59   94.21(0.8%)92.4-95.3Downtrend 94.1(-0.12%)94.05-94.2143
20Oct_1_2020-4%-20.8% -0.1%,-0.1(-0)-0.8%,-0.5(0)0.3%,0.20.3-0.33%-0.2%-0.5-0.5-0.41.2NAN%0.92.01   93.46(-1.28%)92.72-95.44Downtrend 93.34(-0.13%)93.22-93.6246
 
21Sep_30_2020-2.8%-22.4% -0.1%,-0(0.1)-0.9%,-0.5(0.2)0.8%,0.41.2-0.18%-0.1%0.21.60.31.2NAN%0.83.07   94.67(0.55%)93.49-94.99Downtrend Consolidation 94.58(-0.1%)94.59-94.5652
22Sep_29_2020-3.3%-21.7% -0.2%,-0.1(-0.1)-1.3%,-0.8(-0.2)-0.1%,-02.10.11%-0%-0.10.40.41.2NAN%0.91.74   94.15(0.18%)93.59-94.77Growing Downtrend 93.92(-0.24%)93.76-94.1949
23Sep_28_2020-3.5%-21.5% -0.1%,-0(-0.2)-1%,-0.6(-0.4)-0.7%,-0.40.60.02%0%-0.20.20.21.2NAN%0.91.83   93.98(1.49%)93.25-94.97Downtrend 93.72(-0.28%)93.59-94.0258
24Sep_25_2020-4.9%-19.7% 0.2%,0.1(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.2(-0.4)-0.9%,-0.5-2.10.21%0.3%-1.1-0.60.41.2NAN%1.11.68   92.6(0.43%)91.2-92.82Correction 91.69(-0.98%)91.51-92.4451
25Sep_24_2020-5.3%-19.3% 0.6%,0.4(-0.2)0.4%,0.2(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.4-3.6-0.22%0.5%-1.4-1.60.91.1NAN%1.21.81   92.2(1.11%)90.89-92.91Uptrend Consolidation 92.85(0.71%)93.04-92.349
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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