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     Fri. Mar. 5, 2021

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Apr. 16, 2021)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)

PCY latest price $26.9100 (0.04%) ($26.8000 - $26.9280) on Fri. Mar. 5, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.55 (1.98% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.54% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.3% (StdDev 0.54%)
Daily Moving Force  -0.5%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Hourly Trend Strength  -0.55%
Trend   -0.28%
Trend Strength  -1.7%
Trend Clarity  -0.15(-0.3/0.55/27.71)
RSI   25
Momentum  3.7
Latest Price  $26.9100(0.04%)
Forecasted Low Price  26.67(-0.9%)
Forecasted High Price  26.94(0.1%)
Direction of Next Movement  Lower(-1.1%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  2% ((27.45))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  1.5%
Hourly Trend   -0.6% [$26.97(-0.17), $27.13(-0.12)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Complacency  2
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  PCY declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  PCY declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support PCY decline at-0.2% a week (90% probability)
  EMHY(95%)    CEMB(87%)    VCIT(85%)    BWX(83%)    LQD(83%)  
Factors Impacting PCY price  PCY will decline at least -0.1% in a week (59% probabilities).
  VXX(-64%)    UUP(-60%)    TBT(-57%)    VIXM(-47%)    SDY(4%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.4
 
Relative Volatility   1.6 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.6% (StdDev 0.54%)
Hourly BBV   -0.4 ()
Intraday Trend   0.1%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $26.93(0.08%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $26.34(-2.12%)
Resistance Level  $27.71
5 Day Moving Average  $27.15(-0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average  $27.24(-1.21%)
20 Day Moving Average  $27.71(-2.89%)
To recent high  -6.7%
To recent low  0%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.98% (three month std-dev: 0.54%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. PCY price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20210405

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
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NextDayPriceRangeVolume
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To High-Low
1Mar_5_202127.71 (-0.2%)27.24 (-0.2%)27.15 (-0.2%) 27.13 26.97(0%)26.91(0.04%)26.8-26.93-1.4(-1.5)-0.4 -0.5%-0.3%0%-0.55%-0.28%-1.7%253.7 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.8%)2-1.4-0.3Downtrend 26.56(-1.31%)26.35-27.040.78   -6.7%-0
2Mar_4_202127.79 (-0.2%)27.33 (-0.4%)27.2 (-0.1%) 27.25 27.14(0%)26.9(-1.03%)26.9-27.21-1.4(-1.6)-2.3 -0.3%-0.4%0%-0.4%-0.3%-1.7%233.6 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)2-0.30.3Downtrend 26.56(-1.27%)26.35-27.041.12   -6.7%-0
3Mar_3_202127.87 (-0.2%)27.43 (-0.4%)27.23 (-0.3%) 27.28 27.29(0%)27.18(-0.66%)27.17-27.28-1.5(-1.4)-3.3 -0.2%-0.3%0%-0.11%-0.3%-1.6%243.5 Growing Downtrend Downtrend Pop Range(-0.2%)2-0.50.1Bottom 27.19(0.05%)26.88-27.40.66   -5.8%-0.5
4Mar_2_202127.93 (-0.2%)27.51 (-0.4%)27.31 (-0.2%) 27.27 27.36(0%)27.36(-0.15%)27.3-27.43-1.6(-1.1)-2.9 0.1%-0.2%0%0.4%-0.3%-1.5%283.4 Rebound  Range(-0%)1-10.5Downtrend 27(-1.33%)26.8-27.460.85   -5.1%-1.2% 
5Mar_1_202127.99 (-0.2%)27.56 (-0.4%)27.35 (-0%) 27.3 27.26(0%)27.4(0.88%)27.32-27.45-1.8(-1.2)-1.3 0.1%-0.3%0%0.11%-0.32%-1.5%273.3 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.2%)0-1.30.3Downtrend 27.02(-1.37%)26.82-27.51.54   -5%-1.3% 
 
6Feb_26_202128.04 (-0.2%)27.64 (-0.4%)27.36 (-0.4%) 27.33 27.17(0%)27.16(0.44%)27.05-27.21-2.1(-1.8)-1.5 -0.5%-0.4%0.7%-0.62%-0.34%-1.4%223.4 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)0-0.80.4Growing Downtrend 26.81(-1.28%)26.53-27.31.44   -5.8%-0.4
7Feb_25_202128.1 (-0.2%)27.77 (-0.4%)27.48 (-0.7%) 27.42 27.34(0%)27.04(-2.06%)26.92-27.4-2.2(-2.5)-2 -0.6%-0.4%0.75%-0.22%-0.3%-1.2%183 Breakdown  Higher(0.8%)0-1.30.5Growing Downtrend 26.76(-1.03%)26.52-27.212.28   -6.2%-0
8Feb_24_202128.17 (-0.2%)27.92 (-0.2%)27.67 (-0.3%) 27.59 27.49(0%)27.61(0.25%)27.32-27.64-2.1(-1.6)4.9 -0.2%-0.2%0.5%0%-0.24%-0.9%302.8 Growing Downtrend  Range(0.1%)0-1.51.1Downtrend 27.38(-0.85%)27.23-27.71.11   -4.3%-0.6% 
9Feb_23_202128.21 (-0%)28.01 (-0.2%)27.74 (-0.3%) 27.7 27.5(0%)27.54(0.36%)27.37-27.54-2.2(-2)2 -0.5%-0.3%0.6%-0.47%-0.22%-0.7%262.7 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)0-1.31.5Growing Downtrend 27.37(-0.62%)27.22-27.650.88   -4.5%-0.4
10Feb_22_202128.25 (-0%)28.11 (-0.2%)27.81 (-0.6%) 27.81 27.69(0%)27.44(-1.26%)27.46-27.59-2.4(-2.8)-3.8 -0.6%-0.3%0.6%-0.5%-0.2%-0.5%232.3 Breakdown  Higher(0.3%)1-1.61.7Growing Downtrend 27.31(-0.49%)27.17-27.570.99   -4.9%-0
 
11Feb_19_202128.29 (-0%)28.22 (-0.2%)27.97 (-0.5%) 27.94 27.9(0%)27.79(-0.57%)27.78-27.93-2(-2.3)1 -0.3%-0.2%0.2%-0.11%-0.14%-0.3%351.9 Breakdown  Range(-0%)2-1.61.9Growing Downtrend 27.71(-0.29%)27.63-27.870.79   -3.6%-0
12Feb_18_202128.32 (-0%)28.29 (-0.2%)28.11 (-0.4%) 28.05 27.94(0%)27.95(-0.18%)27.88-27.98-1.5(-1.9)0.5 -0.3%-0.1%0%-0.07%-0.08%-0.1%401.6 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.3%)2-1.51.9Growing Downtrend 27.91(-0.16%)27.86-28.010.51   -3.1%-0.3
13Feb_17_202128.33 (0%)28.34 (-0%)28.22 (-0.3%) 28.19 27.97(0%)28(0.47%)27.84-28.01-1(-1.9)-0.4 -0.6%-0.1%0%-0.53%-0.04%0%451.5 N/A  Lower(-0.7%)3-1.82.1Relative Oversold 28.07(0.25%)27.94-28.181.22   -2.9%-0.5% 
14Feb_16_202128.34 (0%)28.39 (-0%)28.31 (-0.5%) 28.33 28.16(0%)27.87(-1.38%)27.84-28.18-0.4(-2.9)-1.3 -0.7%-0.2%0%-0.6%-0%0.2%361.4 Breakdown  Range(-0.2%)4-2.32Correction 27.76(-0.38%)27.74-27.851.14   -3.4%-0
15Feb_12_202128.34 (0%)28.46 (0%)28.44 (-0.2%) 28.44 28.41(0%)28.26(-0.74%)28.24-28.390.6(-0.8)-4.3 -0.2%-0%0%-0.21%0.04%0.3%481.2 N/A  Higher(0.2%)5-2.12.1Uptrend Consolidation 28.29(0.11%)28.3-28.271.47   -2%-1.1% 
 
16Feb_11_202128.36 (0%)28.47 (0%)28.49 (-0%) 28.49 28.49(0%)28.47(-0.14%)28.44-28.551.1(0.8)0 %0%0%0.04%0.06%0.4%621.3 Correction  Range(0.1%)5-1.42.2After Top 28.47(0.01%)28.4-28.531.06   -1.3%-1.9% 
17Feb_10_202128.35 (0%)28.45 (0%)28.5 (0.1%) 28.51 28.48(0%)28.51(0.25%)28.45-28.511.3(1.2)0 %0.1%0%-0.04%0.06%0.4%651.3 N/A  Range(0.1%)5-1.32.2Uptrend 28.53(0.08%)28.48-28.560.87   -1.1%-2.2% 
18Feb_9_202128.33 (0%)28.43 (0%)28.48 (-0%) 28.5 28.49(0%)28.44(-0.32%)28.42-28.531.2(0.8)0 -0.1%0%0%-0.11%0.06%0.3%651.4 N/A  Range(0.1%)6-1.62Uptrend Consolidation 28.41(-0.11%)28.39-28.460.73   -1.4%-2.1% 
19Feb_8_202128.33 (-0%)28.42 (0%)28.49 (0%) 28.49 28.53(0%)28.53(0.11%)28.43-28.551.3(1.6)5 0.1%0%0%0.07%0.06%0.4%731.3 N/A  Range(0.1%)7-1.61.8N/A 28.51(-0.07%)28.4-28.60.76   -1.1%-2.4% 
20Feb_5_202128.32 (-0%)28.4 (0.2%)28.48 (0.1%) 28.47 28.5(0%)28.5(-0.07%)28.47-28.621.2(1.4)5.4 0.2%0.1%0%0.21%0.06%0.3%681.2 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.3%)7-1.21.7N/A 28.5(-0.01%)28.41-28.571.01   -1.2%-2.8% 
 
21Feb_4_202128.32 (-0%)28.38 (0%)28.44 (0.1%) 28.44 28.5(0%)28.52(0.46%)28.35-28.521(1.6)0 0.1%0.1%0%-0.04%0.06%0.2%691.2 N/A  Higher(0.2%)7-0.91.5Uptrend Reversal 28.56(0.15%)28.53-28.590.64   -1.1%-2.9% 
22Feb_3_202128.31 (-0%)28.35 (0%)28.4 (0.1%) 28.4 28.5(0%)28.39(-0.35%)28.34-28.480.6(0.7)0 0.1%0%0%0%0.04%0.1%560.9 N/A  Higher(0.3%)8-0.51.7N/A 28.38(-0.02%)28.34-28.420.88   -1.6%-4.7% 
23Feb_2_202128.31 (-0%)28.33 (0%)28.37 (0.1%) 28.37 28.44(0%)28.49(0.04%)28.43-28.480.4(1.1)-4 0.2%0.1%0%0.18%0.04%0%701.1 N/A  Higher(0.3%)7-0.21.4Uptrend Reversal 28.54(0.17%)28.5-28.570.79   -1.2%-6% 
24Feb_1_202128.32 (-0%)28.29 (0%)28.34 (0.1%) 28.32 28.37(0%)28.48(0.49%)28.34-28.490(1)-3.7 0.1%0.1%0%0.11%0.02%-0.1%571.2 N/A  Range(0.2%)60.61.1Uptrend Reversal 28.53(0.18%)28.49-28.561.7   -1.2%-6% 
25Jan_29_202128.34 (-0%)28.26 (0%)28.32 (0.1%) 28.31 28.31(0%)28.34(0.14%)28.26-28.37-0.3(0)0 0.1%0%0%0.07%-0%-0.3%411.2 N/A  Range(0.1%)610.2N/A 28.34(0%)28.34-28.340.91   -1.7%-5.7% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
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Force
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Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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