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     Fri. Mar. 5, 2021

Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Fri. Mar. 5, 2021)

(Nvidia Stock)

NVDA latest price $498.3200 (0.79%) ($498.3200 - $498.3200) on Fri. Mar. 5, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative  Relative Oversold
Average Daily Price Swing  $34.65 (6.16% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.5% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -1.4% (StdDev 2.5%)
Daily Moving Force  -1.9%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -1.06%
Trend Strength  -4.4%
RSI   27
Momentum  2.5
Latest Price  $498.3200(0.79%)
Forecasted Low Price  478.89(-3.9%)
Forecasted High Price  501.31(0.6%)
Direction of Next Movement  Lower(-5%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  8.3% ((539.9))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  9.3%
Hourly Trend   -1.4% [$496.36(-6.84), $510.16(-13.44)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  1
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  NVDA declines -2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVDA declines -7.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVDA decline at-1.1% a week (78% probability)
  SMH(86%)    BOTZ(79%)    DRIV(74%)    XLK(74%)    FIVG(73%)  
Factors Impacting NVDA price  NVDA will decline at least -0.6% in a week (44% probabilities).
  VXX(-62%)    VIXM(-41%)    TBT(-39%)    USO(-23%)    UUP(-13%)  
Explanation   The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  There're alternative trades for faster decline
 
Valuation to SPY   -2
 
Relative Volatility   1.4 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  -3.1% (StdDev 2.5%)
Hourly BBV   -1.8 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $502.41(0.82%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $460.75(-7.54%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $562.61
5 Day Moving Average  $518.55(-3.9%)
10 Day Moving Average  $538.07(-7.39%)
20 Day Moving Average  $562.61(-11.43%)
To recent high  -18.8%
To recent low  0.8%
Market Cap  $306.467b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Wed. Feb. 17, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $582.68 ($347.54 - $700.00)
  36 analysts (last updated on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  16.93%
% to Low Target Price  -30.26%
% to High Target Price  40.47%
 
 


NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Tegra Processor segments. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The company was founded by Jen-Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. NVDA price fluctuates within 6.16% (three month std-dev: 2.5%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. NVDA price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Mar_5_2021562.61 (-0.2%)538.07 (-1.4%)518.55 (-2%) 510.16 496.36(0%)498.32(0.79%)498.32-498.32-1.8(-1.9)-1.8 -1.9%-1.4%0%-1.06%-4.4%272.5 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-3.3%)1-2-0.3Relative Oversold 495.88(-0.49%)459.19-525.9412.67   -18.8%-0.8
2Mar_4_2021565.45 (-0.2%)547.81 (-1.2%)528.88 (-1.5%) 523.6 503.2(0%)494.39(-3.44%)494.39-494.39-1.5(-2.3)-2 -3.2%-1.4%0%-0.92%-3.1%242.2 Breakdown  Lower(-2.9%)1-2.20.3Downtrend 483.96(-2.11%)475.08-504.7313.05   -19.4%-0
3Mar_3_2021568.31 (0%)557.93 (-1.2%)536.96 (-2.4%) 537.73 523.96(0%)512.02(-4.46%)511.98-512.02-1.3(-2)-2.6 -2.7%-1.2%0%-0.78%-1.8%342 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-1.7%)1-20.1Correction 472.95(-7.63%)467.21-495.849.32   -16.5%-1.5
4Mar_2_2021570.29 (0.2%)566.59 (-0.8%)550.41 (-1.1%) 543.42 544(0%)535.91(-2.93%)535.91-535.91-0.8(-1.4)-5 -1.5%-1%0%-0.52%-0.6%451.8 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1%)2-1.50.5Correction 509.38(-4.95%)505.11-526.436.54   -12.6%-6.2% 
5Mar_1_2021570.4 (0.2%)574.27 (-0.6%)556.46 (-0.8%) 554.26 551.49(0%)552.09(0.39%)552.09-552.09-0.5(-0.7)-1.1 0.4%-0.5%0%-0.36%0.7%461.9 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)2-10.3Correction 528.74(-4.23%)524.78-544.647.91   -10%-9.4% 
 
6Feb_26_2021569.29 (0.2%)578.95 (-0.4%)560.92 (-1.6%) 557.78 542.85(0%)549.97(2.84%)549.97-553.67-0.3(-0.7)-1.4 -2%-0.7%0%-0.18%1.7%552 Downtrend Pop  Lower(-2.7%)3-0.20.4Correction 529.84(-3.66%)526.15-544.6810.02   -10.3%-9% 
7Feb_25_2021568.27 (0.2%)584.91 (0%)570.2 (-2%) 563.66 557.03(0%)534.8(-7.67%)534.8-534.80(-1.2)-3.2 -2.6%-0.7%0%0.08%2.9%522.2 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.5%)4-10.5Downtrend Reversal 523.89(-2.04%)521.18-534.817.61   -12.8%-6% 
8Feb_24_2021567.82 (0.4%)590.97 (0.4%)581.89 (-0.6%) 579.05 572.71(0%)579.26(2.31%)579.26-579.260.5(0.4)-0.3 -0.1%0.2%0%0.38%4.1%642.5 Correction  Range(0.1%)50.31.1Uptrend 585.05(1%)576.95-588.57.92   -5.6%-14.8% 
9Feb_23_2021565.78 (0.4%)590.35 (0.6%)585.35 (-1.6%) 582.65 570.29(0%)566.17(-1.43%)566.17-566.170.7(0)-1.2 -2%-0.1%0%0.5%4.3%612.5 Downtrend Reversal  Lower(-1.4%)601.5Uptrend Consolidation 567.08(0.16%)564.63-574.369.09   -7.7%-12.2% 
10Feb_22_2021564.87 (0.6%)591.83 (1%)594.79 (-0.8%) 590.25 585.38(0%)574.41(-3.68%)574.41-574.411(0.3)-3.6 -1.5%0.3%0%0.8%4.8%672.6 Confirmed Correction  Range(0.6%)70.41.7Uptrend 589.11(2.56%)572.05-596.436.96   -6.3%-13.9% 
 
11Feb_19_2021563.59 (0.6%)589.45 (1.2%)599.57 (-0.4%) 599.98 595.01(0%)596.35(0.52%)596.35-596.351.4(1.1)-0.6 -0.1%0.7%0%0.98%4.6%762.6 Correction  Range(0.6%)81.31.9Uptrend 614.12(2.98%)590.61-624.216.08   -2.8%-18.2% 
12Feb_18_2021561.37 (0.8%)584.69 (1.2%)602.03 (0.1%) 600.47 595.11(0%)593.27(-0.55%)593.27-594.831.7(1.1)-0.9 -1%0.8%0%1.1%4.2%762.5 Confirmed Correction Correction Range(0.1%)91.21.9Uptrend 613.8(3.46%)587.73-624.945.22   -3.3%-17.6% 
13Feb_17_2021558.4 (0.8%)579.74 (1.4%)601.3 (0.9%) 604.23 604.96(0%)596.56(-2.74%)596.56-596.561.9(1.3)-0.6 0.2%0.8%0%1.18%3.8%792.5 Uptrend Dip  Higher(2.4%)101.32.1Uptrend Dip 649.36(8.85%)583.99-665.686.39   -2.7%-18.2% 
14Feb_16_2021554.61 (0.6%)574.44 (1.4%)595.85 (1.3%) 602.48 605.83(0%)613.35(2.52%)613.35-613.352.1(2)3.5 1%1.3%-1.9%1.12%3.6%732.5 Growing Uptrend  Lower(-2.9%)102.22Growing Uptrend 639.23(4.22%)602.17-648.497.16   0%-21.6% 
15Feb_12_2021549.52 (0.6%)566.02 (1.2%)588.51 (1.9%) 591.48 603.5(0%)598.3(-1.71%)598.3-598.32.3(1.8)1.8 1%1.1%-3.15%0.98%3%652.4 Uptrend Dip  Lower(-5.5%)1022.1Uptrend Dip 641.02(7.14%)580.98-656.058.59   -1.7%-18.6% 
 
16Feb_11_2021545.83 (0.4%)558.49 (0.8%)577.61 (2.2%) 586.06 599.14(0%)608.69(3.24%)608.69-608.692.2(2.6)2.9 2.9%1.3%-2.4%0.74%2.3%682.2 Overbought  Lower(-3.4%)93.12.2Approaching Top 611(0.38%)574.27-641.0910.45   0%-20.6% 
17Feb_10_2021542.1 (0.4%)549.59 (0.6%)564.96 (1.8%) 569.85 579.47(0%)589.58(3.55%)589.58-589.581.9(2.5)3.5 1.5%1.1%0%0.46%1.4%601.7 Breakout  Higher(2.6%)82.82.2Approaching Top 586.22(-0.57%)562.87-605.299.69   0%-16.9% 
18Feb_9_2021539.3 (0.2%)542.11 (0.2%)555.19 (1%) 558.8 572.99(0%)569.35(-1.26%)569.35-569.351.5(1.9)1.2 1.7%0.5%0%0.26%0.5%621.3 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.8%)71.72Uptrend 571.23(0.33%)563.94-574.346.63   -1.3%-12.8% 
19Feb_8_2021537.83 (0.2%)538.57 (0.2%)549.75 (1.7%) 551.64 560.23(0%)576.62(6.03%)576.62-576.621.3(2.7)2.4 2.2%0.6%0%0.2%0.1%691.1 Breakout  Higher(2.8%)62.71.8Growing Uptrend 578.23(0.28%)569.39-580.439.7   0%-14.3% 
20Feb_5_2021535.35 (0.2%)534.98 (0.2%)540.39 (0.8%) 543.07 544.62(0%)543.83(-0.29%)543.83-543.830.7(0.8)2.5 0.5%-0%0%0.12%-0.1%640.9 N/A  Range(0.6%)6-0.21.7Uptrend 544.48(0.12%)542.14-545.523.57   -6.6%-7.8% 
 
21Feb_4_2021534.83 (0.2%)535.21 (0%)536.21 (0.9%) 539.57 543.06(0%)545.42(0.87%)545.42-545.420.4(1)2.6 0.6%0%0%0.1%0.1%570.9 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.6%)60.21.5Growing Uptrend 546.29(0.16%)543.2-547.094.32   -6.3%-8.1% 
22Feb_3_2021532.88 (0%)535.87 (0%)531.65 (0.9%) 533.95 541.52(0%)540.71(-0.27%)540.71-540.710.1(0.6)1.3 0.9%0.1%0%0.06%0.6%501 N/A  Range(1.1%)60.41.7Growing Uptrend 541.47(0.14%)539.45-541.976.07   -7.2%-7.2% 
23Feb_2_2021532.58 (0%)535.26 (-0%)526.83 (0.2%) 529.42 536.08(0%)542.18(2.33%)542.18-542.79-0.3(0.8)1.8 1.3%0.3%0%-0.04%0.5%511 N/A  Higher(1.6%)60.61.4Range Bound 540.77(-0.26%)539.04-542.184.77   -6.9%-7.7% 
24Feb_1_2021531.67 (0%)533.27 (-0.2%)525.79 (-0.6%) 522.69 526.38(0%)529.83(1.32%)529.83-529.83-0.5(-0.2)0.1 0.1%0.2%0%-0.1%0.3%451 N/A  Range(0.3%)50.11.1Correction 522.73(-1.34%)521.29-528.614.58   -9%-5.3% 
25Jan_29_2021531.35 (0%)531.98 (-0.2%)529.08 (-1%) 524.47 522.76(0%)522.93(0.07%)522.93-522.93-0.3(-0.7)-2.5 -0.2%-0.1%0%-0.08%0.1%481 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)40.30.2Correction 515.77(-1.37%)514.28-521.695.92   -10.2%-4.2% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
 
 
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