Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 15, 2021

Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jul. 26, 2016 - Wed. Apr. 17, 2024)

(Nvidia Stock)
NVDA latest price $161.3725 (5.63%) ($156.3150 - $162.1415) on Thu. Apr. 15, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.05% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $161.3725(5.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVDA advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVDA advances 9.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(80%)    IWF(79%)    FIVG(77%)    IVW(77%)    DRIV(71%)
Factors Impacting NVDA price   NVDA will decline at least -1.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-36%)    UUP(-17%)    VXX(-13%)    TBT(-6%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.525% (StdDev 3.05%)
Hourly BBV 1.7 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

5 Day Moving Average   $153.41(5.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $147.29(9.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $138.54(16.48%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   39.2%
Market Cap   $99.244b

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Tegra Processor segments. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The company was founded by Jen-Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. NVDA price fluctuates within 7.67% (three month std-dev: 3.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.79%(62%) Average negative next day return: -3.52%(38%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 4.74%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -4.65%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 5.31%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.05%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210515

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2021	135.19	138.54	147.29	153.41	153.89	156.87	161.37(5.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	126	140	95	217	59.85	56%	0.22	58.3	3.05%	1.7	2.1	88	1.8
2	Apr_14_2021	134.89	137.03	144.46	149.77	149.86	154.48	152.77(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	125	220	98	206	38.55	54%	0.19	60.7	3%	0.1	1.7	84	1.4
3	Apr_13_2021	134.64	135.96	142.1	147.5	147.01	150.91	156.8(3.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	163	180	148	209	67.62	54%	0.2	63.3	3%	1.3	2.5	79	1.7
4	Apr_12_2021	134.37	134.61	139.3	143.86	143.41	145.23	152.09(5.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	88	80	68	148	86.93	53%	0.16	73.8	2.98%	2.8	2.5	74	1.8
5	Apr_9_2021	134.15	133.36	136.88	141.42	141.35	143.11	144(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	62	90	42	123	19.52	51%	0.07	81.3	2.89%	0.4	1.9	72	1.5

6	Apr_8_2021	134.05	132.61	135.03	140.24	140.35	141.59	143.17(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	75	60	60	119	24.44	51%	0.07	90.1	2.92%	1.1	2.1	73	1.5
7	Apr_7_2021	133.96	131.66	133.34	138.31	138.77	139.59	141.44(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	53	50	41	87	25.13	54%	0.06	82.7	2.91%	2	2.1	58	1.4
8	Apr_6_2021	133.88	130.83	132.19	135.76	136.8	139.11	138.62(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	140	55	66	19.17	51%	0.03	64.7	2.99%	0.1	1.8	56	1.2
9	Apr_5_2021	133.84	129.72	131.43	133.94	134.11	137.96	139.88(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	85	200	92	65	25.57	51%	0.04	24.9	3.09%	1.1	2	59	1.3
10	Apr_1_2021	133.78	128.93	130.21	131.64	131.57	134.48	138.12(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	93	150	107	52	30.83	51%	0.03	1.1	3.07%	1.3	2	62	1.3

11	Mar_31_2021	133.74	128.18	129.05	129.09	128.98	130.26	133.48(3.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	39	70	50	4	31.48	49%	0.04	-27	3.07%	1.6	1.3	55	1.2
12	Mar_30_2021	133.68	127.88	128.95	127.68	127.23	128.66	128.72(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	70	13	-11	20.02	48%	-0.06	-55.1	3.03%	0.7	0.2	58	1.2
13	Mar_29_2021	133.76	128.1	129.33	128.07	127.35	127.69	129.48(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	0	21	6	27.35	48%	-0.13	-53.4	3.04%	1.5	0.3	58	1
14	Mar_26_2021	133.93	128.49	129.55	128.55	128.08	125.81	128.39(2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-21	-140	-31	11	36.4	48%	-0.1	-52.1	3.01%	0.1	-0	69	1.4
15	Mar_25_2021	134.06	128.88	129.59	128.56	129.19	127.01	125.35(-0.85%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-47	-100	-64	4	29.51	48%	-0.1	-62.2	3.02%	-1	-0.7	53	1.1

16	Mar_24_2021	134.19	129.27	130.1	128.94	129.88	130.35	126.43(-3.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-11	50	-25	33	24.58	48%	-0.03	-62	3.04%	-2	-0.5	55	1
17	Mar_23_2021	134.23	130.13	130.03	130.33	129.99	131.36	130.71(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	70	29	63	22.2	49%	0.04	-55.7	3.01%	0	0.1	53	1.1
18	Mar_22_2021	134.18	130.6	129.51	130.77	130.07	129.41	131.86(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-50	8	48	29.78	49%	0.05	-57.4	3.02%	1.2	0.2	48	1.9
19	Mar_19_2021	134.11	131.11	128.02	130.78	130.62	128.61	128.46(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-110	-41	-3	29.92	49%	-0.01	-54.1	2.98%	-1.2	-0.3	41	1.6
20	Mar_18_2021	134.13	132.08	127.66	130.8	131.18	130.73	127.23(-4.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-20	-30	-16	29.42	49%	0.01	-52	3%	-2	-0.6	41	1.2

21	Mar_17_2021	134.12	133.08	127.35	131.35	130.7	132.63	133.41(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	25	90	33	0	24.39	52%	-0.01	-47.8	2.94%	1.1	0	50	2.1
22	Mar_16_2021	134.13	133.78	126.73	129.6	130.01	131.63	132.91(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	49	100	73	-23	27.21	52%	0.01	-46	2.94%	0.9	-0.1	40	1.9
23	Mar_15_2021	134.11	134.71	126.69	128.06	128.43	128.77	131.91(2.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	16	30	41	-60	22.25	52%	-0.04	-45.8	2.95%	1.8	-0.3	43	2.4
24	Mar_12_2021	134.16	135.53	127.16	124.86	126.74	128.38	128.56(-1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	140	28	-101	24.4	52%	-0.04	-46.7	2.92%	0.4	-0.7	39	1.8
25	Mar_11_2021	134.21	136.69	127.91	124.07	124.92	128.09	129.94(4.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	29	200	74	-105	29.99	52%		-41.4	2.94%	1.4	-0.6	36	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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