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     Wed. Nov. 25, 2020



Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Nov. 25, 2020)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $101.9800 (7.17%) ($94.6690 - $102.8800) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Growing Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  NVAX advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at 2.2% a week (57% probability)
  ARKK(62%)    ARKG(61%)    XBI(56%)    EDOC(55%)    IBB(52%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will advance at least 1.1% in a week (22% probabilities).
  VIXM(-30%)    VXX(-24%)    FEX(-20%)    TBT(-12%)    BJK(-11%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   2.3
 
Relative Volatility   -1 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   2.8
Hourly Trend   3.89% [$97.51(3.42), $93.86(3.25)]
Last Hour Trend   2.06% [$99.51, $97.46]


NVAX Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  60%
Bullish Price Move  5.4%
Bearish Probability  40%
Bearish Price Move  -5.4%
Recommended Position Size  4%
Latest Price  $101.9800
Next Hour Price  $106.18(4.12%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $102.72(0.73%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $99.24 - $103.59
Support Level  $89.37
5 Day Moving Average  $92.82(9.87%)
10 Day Moving Average  $92.57(10.17%)
20 Day Moving Average  $89.37(14.11%)
To recent high  -15.1%
To recent low  29.5%
Market Cap  $6.242b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Mon. Mar. 1, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $186.20 ($75.00 - $223.00)
  5 analysts (last updated on Tue. Nov. 24, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  82.58%
% to Low Target Price  -26.46%
% to High Target Price  118.67%
 


  
 
 


Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 6.32% (three month std-dev: 5.36%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. NVAX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Nov_25_2020-15.1%-29.5% 1.3%,0.2(0.2)3.1%,0.5(0.3)2.7%,0.41.82.06%3.6%2.22.82.31.2NAN%1.31.6   101.98(7.17%)94.67-102.88Growing Uptrend 102.72(0.73%)99.24-103.5956
2Nov_24_2020-20.8%-20.9% 0%,0(0.1)1.4%,0.3(0.1)0.5%,0.12.1-0.16%2.9%1.41.20.814.52%1.53.1   95.16(1.34%)90.76-97.48N/A 93.66(-1.58%)90.87-95.9458
3Nov_23_2020-21.8%-19.3% -0.6%,-0.1(0.2)0.6%,0.1(-0.1)0.7%,0.10.6-0.55%1.4%1.31.60.80.94.71%1.36.55   93.9(8.48%)87.92-98.45Range Bound 92.93(-1.03%)91.46-94.1460
4Nov_20_2020-39.5%-9.9% -1.6%,-0.3(0)1.1%,0.2(-0.4)-2.2%,-0.4-1.2-0.23%1.4%-0.2-1-0.90.94.4%1.42.55   86.56(0.09%)85.62-88.83N/A 86.59(0.04%)86.22-86.957
5Nov_19_2020-41.2%-9.8% -1.6%,-0.3(0.1)3.4%,0.6(-0.2)-1%,-0.2-0.9-0.43%1.4%-0.3-1.5-1.115.38%1.73.18   86.48(-3.74%)85.67-90.75N/A 87.17(0.8%)87.17-87.1758
 
6Nov_18_2020-38.9%-14.1% -2.3%,-0.4(0.2)4.6%,0.9(-0)1.1%,0.2-0.6-0.01%1.8%0.3-0.2-0.414.12%1.92.52   89.84(-3.19%)87.26-93.48N/A 90.11(0.3%)89.12-90.9253
7Nov_17_2020-40.3%-17.9% -3.6%,-0.6(0.3)4.7%,0.8(0.4)3.2%,0.5-0.6-0.19%1.5%0.90.7-0.11.14.06%1.82.91   92.8(2.41%)88.06-94.4Uptrend Reversal 94.54(1.88%)93.07-95.5261
8Nov_16_2020-41.7%-15.1% -5.3%,-0.8(0.1)2.3%,0.3(0.1)0.1%,01.51.65%0.2%0.40.4-0.61.24.17%1.96.83   90.62(-6.11%)84.56-96N/A 89.77(-0.94%)89.27-90.1752
9Nov_13_2020-37.9%-22.6% -5.7%,-0.7(0.1)1.8%,0.2(0.3)1.5%,0.22.4-0.3%-1.2%1.11.301.44.37%1.13.72   96.52(6.11%)91.4-98.24N/A 93.9(-2.71%)91.4-95.9557
10Nov_12_2020-41.5%-15.5% -6.3%,-0.7(-0)-0.3%,-0(0)-0.5%,-0.10.3-0.02%-3.5%0.20.6-0.51.64.74%0.74.95   90.96(7.11%)85.29-95.37N/A 89.13(-2.01%)88.44-89.749
 
11Nov_11_2020-45.4%-7.9% -6.1%,-0.6(-0)-0.7%,-0.1(0.1)-0.5%,-0-1.50.2%-4.9%-0.6-0.5-1.21.84.01%1.33.97   84.92(7.86%)80.01-88.2N/A 85.55(0.74%)82.27-88.2445
12Nov_10_2020-55.9%-0-5.9%,-0.5(-0.1)-1.4%,-0.1(0)-1.1%,-0.1-0.60.48%-6.6%-1.2-1.6-1.81.94.88%0.76.83   78.74(-12.81%)76.59-85.81Downtrend 78.07(-0.85%)76.9-80.8142
13Nov_9_2020-49.4%-11.9% -5.2%,-0.5(0)-1.8%,-0.2(0.2)1.8%,0.20.3-0.65%-7.2%-0.30.6-0.81.95.11%-0.46.46   90.3(0.51%)89.8-101.2Rebound 92.02(1.9%)88.74-93.4243
14Nov_6_2020-49.7%-11.4% -5.6%,-0.5(0)-4.2%,-0.4(0.2)2.1%,0.20.90.08%-8.5%-0.41.1-0.925.24%1.91.88   89.84(-3.54%)88.25-92.86Rebound 91.88(2.27%)86.62-94.1340
15Nov_5_2020-47.8%-15.4% -5.8%,-0.5(0)-6.7%,-0.5(0.2)1.3%,0.10.90.68%-9.2%-0.22.3-0.724.57%0.92.22   93.14(6.81%)87.7-93.39Downtrend Consolidation 91.15(-2.14%)94.28-90.1138
 
16Nov_4_2020-51.1%-8.1% -5.8%,-0.5(0)-9%,-0.7(0.2)1.4%,0.10.30.3%-10.1%-0.81.4-1.124.53%0.52.26   87.2(4.32%)84.1-88.67Downtrend Consolidation 85.44(-2.02%)90.99-83.5930
17Nov_3_2020-53.2%-3.6-6.1%,-0.5(-0)-11.5%,-0.9(0.1)-1.4%,-0.1-00.2%-10.8%-1.2-0.1-1.425.17%-1.61.81   83.59(1.58%)80.68-84.48Downtrend 79.64(-4.73%)76.95-85.8926
18Nov_2_2020-53.9%-2-5.8%,-0.5(-0)-12.4%,-1.1(0)-1.2%,-0.1-0.3-0.19%-10.5%-1.4-1-1.51.96.66%-2.51.84   82.29(2%)80.76-85.59Downtrend 78.67(-4.4%)75.97-84.9622
19Oct_30_2020-54.8%-0-5.5%,-0.5(-0)-12.6%,-1.1(-0.1)-2.9%,-0.3-0.3-0.47%-9.8%-1.8-1.5-1.81.87.04%-2.23   80.68(-8%)78.5-86.99Downtrend 77.27(-4.23%)74.47-83.7829
20Oct_29_2020-50.9%-7.9% -5.3%,-0.5(-0)-11.6%,-1.2(-0.1)-1.3%,-0.1-0.61%-8.4%-1.3-0.2-1.31.65.46%-2.42.8   87.7(7.94%)80.5-89.3Downtrend 84.39(-3.77%)82.04-89.8832
 
21Oct_28_2020-54.5%-0-4.9%,-0.5(-0.1)-11%,-1.2(-0.1)-2.2%,-0.2-0.6-0.13%-7%-2.2-2.5-2.11.65.91%-2.43.38   81.25(-9.26%)81.07-88Growing Downtrend 79.15(-2.59%)76.66-84.523
22Oct_27_2020-49.8%-4.9-4.1%,-0.5(-0)-9.9%,-1.2(-0.2)-1.9%,-0.2-0.60.02%-5.3%-1.7-0.8-1.71.45.56%-0.62.9   89.54(2.45%)87.08-93.7Relative Oversold 90.73(1.33%)83.59-96.5829
23Oct_26_2020-51%-2.4-3.9%,-0.5(-0.1)-8.3%,-1.1(-0.2)-3.1%,-0.4-0.6-0.08%-3.7%-2.2-1.7-2.21.25.99%-0.22.75   87.4(-6.2%)86.53-94.23Growing Downtrend 86(-1.6%)84.14-90.1730
24Oct_23_2020-47.8%-9.2% -3.1%,-0.5(-0.1)-6.9%,-1.1(-0.3)-2.8%,-0.4-0.90.11%-2.6%-1.8-0.8-2.11.15.38%0.83.1   93.18(-0.49%)86.45-93.2Growing Downtrend 92.15(-1.11%)90.75-95.332
25Oct_22_2020-47.5%-9.7% -2.2%,-0.4(-0.1)-5%,-0.9(-0.4)-3.5%,-0.6-2.1-0.24%-1.8%-2.1-1.1-2.315.02%0.62.61   93.64(2.66%)88.81-95.5Relative Oversold 96.17(2.7%)91.16-100.2643
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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