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     Fri. May. 7, 2021

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 7, 2021)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $175.0000 (2.35%) ($175.0000 - $175.0000) on Fri. May. 7, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Narrative  N/A
Price Pattern  N/A
Average Daily Price Swing  $25.59 (12.34% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  6.78% (three month average)
Moving Force
(Hourly Trend Force)
  -2.04%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend Force  0.1%
RSI   39
Momentum  1.8
Latest Price  $175.0000(2.35%)
Forecasted Low Price  167.3(-4.4%)
Forecasted High Price  177.98(1.7%)
Direction of Next Movement  Lower(-5.8%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  9% ((190.71))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  22%
Hourly Trend   2% [$173(3.45), $173.33(-5.38)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  3
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  NVAX declines -6.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX declines -8.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at 1.2% a week (79% probability)
  EMHY(91%)    XLY(78%)    PCY(77%)    VCSH(74%)    XLRE(70%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will decline at least -1.8% in a week (53% probabilities).
  XME(-65%)    USO(-60%)    XOP(-47%)    XLB(-43%)    XLV(-42%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.2
 
Relative Volatility   1.3 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  -2% (StdDev 6.78%)
Hourly BBV   -0.2 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $173.81(-0.68%)
Resistance Level  $207.34
5 Day Moving Average  $177.97(-1.67%)
10 Day Moving Average  $207.51(-15.67%)
20 Day Moving Average  $207.34(-15.6%)
To recent high  -45.3%
To recent low  10.1%
Market Cap  $10.712b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Mon. May. 10, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $186.20 ($75.00 - $223.00)
  5 analysts (last updated on Mon. Nov. 16, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  6.4%
% to Low Target Price  -57.14%
% to High Target Price  27.43%
 
 


Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 12.34% (three month std-dev: 6.78%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. NVAX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseVolume
millions
Direction
Setup
(Predication)
Moving
Force

(Hourly
Trend
Force
)
Reversal
Force
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSITrendPatternVIXCD
1May_7_2021207.34207.51177.97 173.33 173175(2.35%)2.28    -5.2%-2.04%0%0.1%6.78%-0.2-1.3(-1.3)39 N/A N/A2
2May_6_2021207.89211.3190.14 178.71 169.55170.99(1.72%)5.89    -5.05%-1.98%0%1.6%6.83%-0.9-0.9(-1.4)37 N/A N/A0.8
3May_5_2021208.49215.66203.42 194.92 173.67168.1(-6.22%)5.87    -15.86%-6.22%0%3.4%6.88%-1.4-0.4(-1.6)45 Downtrend Reversal N/A0.8
4May_4_2021209.1220.61218.78 212.25 187.88179.24(-8.79%)6.03    -27.38%-10.74%0%5.5%6.86%-1.10.3(-1.2)49 Downtrend Reversal N/A0.4
5May_3_2021209.38224.1235.45 228.67 216.18196.52(-16.67%)7.92    -11.24%-4.41%0%7%6.78%-1.91(-0.5)56 Correction N/A1.1
 
6Apr_30_2021208.64227.02240.73 245.18 236.62235.83(-0.66%)2.1    -2.17%-0.85%0%8.8%7%-0.91.6(1.1)74 Uptrend Uptrend Dip0.7
7Apr_29_2021206.11225.82235.3 241.96 241.16237.4(-3.07%)2.25    -0.1%-0.04%0%9.6%7.06%-0.41.6(1.3)73 Uptrend Uptrend Dip1.3
8Apr_28_2021203.24222.36229.64 234.77 253.75244.91(-6.73%)4.27    10.53%4.13%0%9.4%10.74%0.91.6(1.7)77 Growing Uptrend N/A1.3
9Apr_27_2021199.54217.91222.9 225.82 242.76262.59(17.8%)6.67    13.05%5.12%0%9.2%10.69%2.71.6(2.7)84 Growing Uptrend Overbought1.3
10Apr_26_2021194.87210.81211.97 212.98 215.8222.92(6.83%)2.66    2.12%0.83%0%8.2%10.49%1.91.2(1.5)73 Uptrend N/A1.2
 
11Apr_23_2021192.65206.31211.83 209.23 208.89208.68(-0.2%)1.83    -0.51%-0.2%0%7.1%10.4%-0.31.1(0.9)70 Uptrend Uptrend Dip1.2
12Apr_22_2021191.11203.6215.06 212.62 210.16209.1(-1%)2.46    0.1%0.04%0%6.5%10.48%-0.41.3(1.1)62 Uptrend Uptrend Dip0.8
13Apr_21_2021190.5200.42213.65 216.55 209.58211.22(1.58%)2.25    -5.53%-2.17%0%5.2%10.48%-0.51.2(1.3)66 Uptrend Uptrend Dip1.7
14Apr_20_2021190.64196.61211.64 214.26 215.08207.93(-6.43%)2.42    1.33%0.52%0%3.1%10.49%-0.71.1(1)68 Uptrend N/A1
15Apr_19_2021191.68193.67209.02 212.57 223.52222.23(-1.14%)2.81    11.24%4.41%0%1%10.45%11(1.6)75 Breakout N/A1.3
 
16Apr_16_2021191.43188.96199.79 205.72 213.44224.8(11.24%)3.91    4.44%1.74%0%-1.3%10.45%2.20.5(1.7)70 N/A Overbought1.8
17Apr_15_2021190.64184.67190.68 193.54 201.62202.08(0.46%)1.74    4.1%1.61%10%-3.1%10.46%0.60(0.6)64 N/A N/A1.8
18Apr_14_2021191.53182.42185.32 187.83 198.01201.16(3.24%)4.71    12.98%5.09%0%-4.8%10.46%0.9-0.3(0.5)49 Uptrend Reversal N/A1.4
19Apr_13_2021192.38179.46179.47 181.36 185.46194.85(10.67%)5.79    5.3%2.08%0%-6.7%10.46%1.4-0.6(0.1)38 Downtrend N/A1.7
20Apr_12_2021193.33177.23176.15 175.62 177.65176.06(-1.77%)1.85    -0.66%-0.26%0%-8.3%10.39%-0.5-0.9(-0.8)23 Downtrend N/A1.8
 
21Apr_9_2021194.73177.66176.38 176.18 177.26179.23(2.24%)1.97    2.5%0.98%0%-8.8%10.35%0.9-0.9(-0.7)31 Rebound Downtrend Pop1.5
22Apr_8_2021195.22177.56177.77 176.53 173.6175.3(1.97%)1.49    -2.6%-1.02%0%-9%10.43%-0.4-0.9(-0.9)34 Growing Downtrend N/A1.5
23Apr_7_2021195.32179.86178.99 179.26 175.09171.91(-3.57%)1.79    -3.21%-1.26%0%-7.9%10.46%-1.5-0.8(-1.1)30 Growing Downtrend N/A1.4
24Apr_6_2021195.44184.33179.19 181.62 179.47178.27(0.62%)1.31    -3.31%-1.3%0%-5.7%10.45%-1-0.7(-0.8)33 Growing Downtrend N/A1.2
25Apr_5_2021194.77189.65178.34 180.29 183.43177.18(-4.84%)1.91    0.76%0.3%0%-2.6%10.47%-1.1-0.7(-0.8)36 Downtrend N/A1.3
iDateema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseVolume
millions
Direction
Setup
(Predication)
Moving
Force

(Hourly
Trend
Force
)
Reversal
Force
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSITrendPatternVIXCD
 
 
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