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     Thu. Oct. 22, 2020



Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Nov. 25, 2020)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $93.6400 (2.66%) ($88.8100 - $95.5000) on Thu. Oct. 22, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Relative Oversold
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  NVAX declines -3.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX declines -5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0.7% a week (50% probability)
  XBI(55%)    ARKG(53%)    ARKK(51%)    IBB(45%)    IWO(45%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will advance at least 2.5% in a week (18% probabilities).
  VIXM(-24%)    VXX(-22%)    IYT(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    TBT(-7%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  There're alternative trades for faster decline
 
Valuation to SPY   -2.3
 
Relative Volatility   -0.2 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly BBV   -1.1
Hourly Trend   -4.31% [$92.76(-3.08), $96.94(-3.83)]
Last Hour Trend   -0.24% [$93.49, $93.71]


NVAX Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  50%
Bullish Price Move  6%
Bearish Probability  50%
Bearish Price Move  -6%
Recommended Position Size  0%
Latest Price  $93.6400
Next Day Open Price  $93.19(-0.48%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $96.17(2.7%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $91.16 - $100.26
Resistance Level  $106.9
5 Day Moving Average  $98.52(-4.95%)
10 Day Moving Average  $104.96(-10.79%)
20 Day Moving Average  $106.9(-12.4%)
To recent high  -47.5%
To recent low  9.7%
Market Cap  $5.732b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Mon. Mar. 1, 2021
 


  
 
 


Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 5.89% (three month std-dev: 5.98%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. NVAX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201122

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Oct_22_2020-47.5%-9.7% -2.2%,-0.4(-0.1)-5%,-0.9(-0.4)-3.5%,-0.6-2.1-0.24%-1.8%-2.1-1.1-2.315.02%0.62.61   93.64(2.66%)88.81-95.5Relative Oversold 96.17(2.7%)91.16-100.2643
2Oct_21_2020-48.9%-6.9% -1.9%,-0.3(-0.1)-2.8%,-0.5(-0.4)-3.9%,-0.7-2.7-0.62%-0.6%-2.8-1.9-3.10.95.95%0.13.38   91.21(-7.38%)90-98.05Growing Downtrend 91.02(-0.21%)90-93.8739
3Oct_20_2020-44.8%-15.4% -1.6%,-0.4(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.2(-0.5)-3.4%,-0.8-2.7-0.5%0.7%-2.1-1.6-2.60.76.52%0.24.04   98.48(-3.53%)95.8-103.5Downtrend 98.54(0.06%)97.87-100.1241
4Oct_19_2020-42.8%-19.6% -0.6%,-0.2(-0.2)1.2%,0.3(-0.2)-1.4%,-0.4-2.7-0.53%1%-1.7-1.7-2.20.65.46%1.22.7   102.08(-4.76%)100.37-108.2Oversold 104(1.88%)102.08-104.4845
5Oct_16_2020-40%-25.6% 0%,0(-0.2)2%,0.6(0.1)-0.7%,-0.2-2.4-0.11%1.4%-0.6-1.5-1.40.55.11%0.92.11   107.18(-3.73%)106.01-112.5N/A 108.04(0.8%)107.45-108.5246
 
6Oct_15_2020-37.6%-30.5% 0.8%,0.2(-0.3)1.6%,0.5(-0.1)0.1%,0-0.30.71%1.1%0.5-0.7-0.50.64.96%0.72.29   111.33(-0.4%)106.54-112.95Uptrend 111.49(0.14%)110.94-111.7247
7Oct_14_2020-37.4%-31% 1.7%,0.4(-0.3)1.8%,0.4(-0.1)0.3%,0.11.2-0.41%0.4%0.5-0.3-0.40.64.84%0.92.43   111.78(-4.64%)111.76-121.92Uptrend Consolidation 111.18(-0.54%)110.87-112.0862
8Oct_13_2020-34.3%-37.4% 2.9%,0.7(-0.1)2.3%,0.6(0.3)1.8%,0.40.6-0.39%-0.2%1.71.50.70.65.11%0.94.41   117.23(6.48%)110.95-120.65Uptrend 117.43(0.17%)115.69-118.1868
9Oct_12_2020-38.3%-29% 3.5%,0.9(-0.2)1%,0.3(-0)-0%,-00.3-0.03%-0.8%0.2-0.4-1.10.63.97%1.31.78   110.09(-0.99%)109.35-112.7Uptrend 110.32(0.21%)109.88-110.5149
10Oct_9_2020-37.7%-30.3% 4.1%,0.9(0.1)1.1%,0.2(0.1)1.4%,0.30.9-0.09%-0.5%0.40.500.73.62%1.12.41   111.19(0.17%)111.08-115.6Uptrend 111.62(0.39%)110.8-111.9752
 
11Oct_8_2020-37.8%-30.1% 3.4%,0.6(0.1)0.7%,0.1(0.3)1.2%,0.20.3-0.21%0.3%0.40.90.20.93.59%1.12.35   111(0.99%)109.2-114.35Growing Uptrend 111.65(0.59%)110.53-111.9353
12Oct_7_2020-38.4%-28.8% 2.7%,0.4(0.1)-1%,-0.2(0.3)0.3%,00.60.25%0.3%0.30.60.214.24%0.71.86   109.91(2.32%)107.45-110.4Growing Uptrend 110.13(0.2%)109.55-110.2745
13Oct_6_2020-39.8%-35.3% 2%,0.3(0.1)-2.7%,-0.3(-0)-0.1%,-00.6-0.45%0.4%0.1-0.40.214.78%0.32.48   107.42(-2.47%)106.22-113.1Correction 106.78(-0.6%)106.58-10740
14Oct_5_2020-38.3%-38.7% 1%,0.1(0.1)-2.6%,-0.3(-0)-0.2%,-0-0.30.09%1.7%0.50.80.31.14.49%0.53.2   110.15(6.24%)104.1-110.75Correction 107.99(-1.96%)106.6-109.7151
15Oct_2_2020-41.9%-30.6% 0.5%,0.1(-0)-2.2%,-0.3(-0.2)-1.8%,-0.2-0.6-0.22%2.4%-0.1-1.401.14.57%0.72.72   103.68(-1.08%)100.22-107.99Correction 98.59(-4.91%)97.54-102.851
 
16Oct_1_2020-41.3%-32% 0.8%,0.1(0.1)-0.1%,-0(-0.2)0.5%,0.1-0.30%2.9%-0-0.901.15.69%0.93.7   104.81(-3.45%)103.1-109.45Range Bound 104.81(0%)104.81-104.8161
17Sep_30_2020-39.2%-36.7% 0.2%,0(0.1)1.5%,0.2(-0.2)1.3%,0.2-0.6-1.25%4%0.40.20.51.15.16%0.84.84   108.55(0.57%)107-116.25Uptrend Consolidation 107.59(-0.88%)107.17-108.8665
18Sep_29_2020-39.5%-35.9% -0.6%,-0.1(0)3.3%,0.4(-0.3)-0.7%,-0.10.30.45%5.2%0.400.51.15.71%0.93.2   107.93(-2.91%)105.1-109.74N/A 107.76(-0.16%)105.88-109.366
19Sep_28_2020-37.7%-40% -0.8%,-0.1(0.2)6%,0.7(-0.1)0.2%,01.50.69%5.4%0.70.70.81.16.15%0.96.16   111.16(-2.09%)106.4-117.88N/A 110.8(-0.32%)106.9-11472
20Sep_25_2020-36.4%-46.7% -2.1%,-0.2(0.2)7.3%,0.9(0.1)1%,0.1-00.6%5.1%11.61.31.14.89%1.18.32   113.53(11.04%)105.8-117.35Uptrend Reversal 116.6(2.7%)114.01-118.3265
 
21Sep_24_2020-42.7%-32.1% -3.8%,-0.5(0.1)6.3%,0.8(-0.1)-2.4%,-0.3-1.2-1.21%3.9%-0.2-1.50.21.14.84%1.23.23   102.24(0.54%)96.48-107.2N/A 103.22(0.96%)102.87-103.551
22Sep_23_2020-43%-46.1% -4.4%,-0.5(0)7.1%,0.8(-0.1)-3.3%,-0.4-0.3-1.17%2.6%-0.3-1.70.21.16.1%1.33.2   101.69(-8.94%)101.15-112.18N/A 102.98(1.27%)102.98-102.9851
23Sep_22_2020-37.4%-69.5% -4.9%,-0.6(0.2)8.2%,1(0.3)0.2%,0-0.60.68%1.3%0.7011.14.95%1.62.42   111.67(1.41%)106.16-112.4Uptrend Reversal 114.74(2.75%)112.15-116.4755
24Sep_21_2020-38.3%-67.2% -6.3%,-0.7(0.1)6%,0.7(0.2)0.8%,0.1-1.50.08%-1.4%0.5-0.10.71.25.37%1.63.23   110.12(1.52%)102.1-110.6Uptrend Reversal 113.28(2.87%)110.61-115.0650
25Sep_18_2020-39.2%-82.9% -6.9%,-0.6(0)4.2%,0.4(0.2)2.4%,0.2-0-0.24%-4%0.2001.45.52%2.15.8   108.47(-6.09%)104.78-114.94N/A 108.56(0.08%)107.57-109.3751
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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