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     Mon. Oct. 19, 2020



Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Nov. 25, 2020)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $102.0800 (-4.76%) ($100.3730 - $108.2000) on Mon. Oct. 19, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Oversold
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  NVAX declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at 4.5% a week (48% probability)
  XBI(53%)    ARKG(51%)    ARKK(49%)    IWO(45%)    IBB(43%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will advance at least 2.8% in a week (17% probabilities).
  VIXM(-23%)    VXX(-21%)    UUP(-9%)    IYT(-8%)    TBT(-7%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -2.2
 
Relative Volatility   -1.5 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   -1.7
Hourly Trend   -3.08% [$105.7(-3.68), $109.06(-3.33)]
Last Hour Trend   -0.53% [$102.54, $103.08]


NVAX Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  63%
Bullish Price Move  5.9%
Bearish Probability  38%
Bearish Price Move  -5.9%
Recommended Position Size  4%
Latest Price  $102.0800
Next Day Open Price  $101(-1.06%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $104(1.88%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $102.08 - $104.48
Resistance Level  $108.78
5 Day Moving Average  $109.92(-7.13%)
10 Day Moving Average  $109.86(-7.08%)
20 Day Moving Average  $108.78(-6.16%)
To recent high  -42.8%
To recent low  19.6%
Market Cap  $6.248b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Mon. Mar. 1, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $227.60 ($105.00 - $290.00)
  5 analysts (last updated on Sun. Sep. 20, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  122.96%
% to Low Target Price  2.86%
% to High Target Price  184.09%
 


  
 
 


Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 3.62% (three month std-dev: 5.93%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. NVAX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201119

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Oct_19_2020-42.8%-19.6% -0.6%,-0.2(-0.2)1.2%,0.3(-0.2)-1.4%,-0.4-2.7-0.53%1%-1.7-1.7-2.20.65.46%1.22.7   102.08(-4.76%)100.37-108.2Oversold 104(1.88%)102.08-104.4845
2Oct_16_2020-40%-25.6% 0%,0(-0.2)2%,0.6(0.1)-0.7%,-0.2-2.4-0.11%1.4%-0.6-1.5-1.40.55.11%0.92.11   107.18(-3.73%)106.01-112.5N/A 108.04(0.8%)107.45-108.5246
3Oct_15_2020-37.6%-30.5% 0.8%,0.2(-0.3)1.6%,0.5(-0.1)0.1%,0-0.30.71%1.1%0.5-0.7-0.50.64.96%0.72.29   111.33(-0.4%)106.54-112.95Uptrend 111.49(0.14%)110.94-111.7247
4Oct_14_2020-37.4%-31% 1.7%,0.4(-0.3)1.8%,0.4(-0.1)0.3%,0.11.2-0.41%0.4%0.5-0.3-0.40.64.84%0.92.43   111.78(-4.64%)111.76-121.92Uptrend Consolidation 111.18(-0.54%)110.87-112.0862
5Oct_13_2020-34.3%-37.4% 2.9%,0.7(-0.1)2.3%,0.6(0.3)1.8%,0.40.6-0.39%-0.2%1.71.50.70.65.11%0.94.41   117.23(6.48%)110.95-120.65Uptrend 117.43(0.17%)115.69-118.1868
 
6Oct_12_2020-38.3%-29% 3.5%,0.9(-0.2)1%,0.3(-0)-0%,-00.3-0.03%-0.8%0.2-0.4-1.10.63.97%1.31.78   110.09(-0.99%)109.35-112.7Uptrend 110.32(0.21%)109.88-110.5149
7Oct_9_2020-37.7%-30.3% 4.1%,0.9(0.1)1.1%,0.2(0.1)1.4%,0.30.9-0.09%-0.5%0.40.500.73.62%1.12.41   111.19(0.17%)111.08-115.6Uptrend 111.62(0.39%)110.8-111.9752
8Oct_8_2020-37.8%-30.1% 3.4%,0.6(0.1)0.7%,0.1(0.3)1.2%,0.20.3-0.21%0.3%0.40.90.20.93.59%1.12.35   111(0.99%)109.2-114.35Growing Uptrend 111.65(0.59%)110.53-111.9353
9Oct_7_2020-38.4%-28.8% 2.7%,0.4(0.1)-1%,-0.2(0.3)0.3%,00.60.25%0.3%0.30.60.214.24%0.71.86   109.91(2.32%)107.45-110.4Growing Uptrend 110.13(0.2%)109.55-110.2745
10Oct_6_2020-39.8%-35.3% 2%,0.3(0.1)-2.7%,-0.3(-0)-0.1%,-00.6-0.45%0.4%0.1-0.40.214.78%0.32.48   107.42(-2.47%)106.22-113.1Correction 106.78(-0.6%)106.58-10740
 
11Oct_5_2020-38.3%-38.7% 1%,0.1(0.1)-2.6%,-0.3(-0)-0.2%,-0-0.30.09%1.7%0.50.80.31.14.49%0.53.2   110.15(6.24%)104.1-110.75Correction 107.99(-1.96%)106.6-109.7151
12Oct_2_2020-41.9%-30.6% 0.5%,0.1(-0)-2.2%,-0.3(-0.2)-1.8%,-0.2-0.6-0.22%2.4%-0.1-1.401.14.57%0.72.72   103.68(-1.08%)100.22-107.99Correction 98.59(-4.91%)97.54-102.851
13Oct_1_2020-41.3%-32% 0.8%,0.1(0.1)-0.1%,-0(-0.2)0.5%,0.1-0.30%2.9%-0-0.901.15.69%0.93.7   104.81(-3.45%)103.1-109.45Range Bound 104.81(0%)104.81-104.8161
14Sep_30_2020-39.2%-36.7% 0.2%,0(0.1)1.5%,0.2(-0.2)1.3%,0.2-0.6-1.25%4%0.40.20.51.15.16%0.84.84   108.55(0.57%)107-116.25Uptrend Consolidation 107.59(-0.88%)107.17-108.8665
15Sep_29_2020-39.5%-35.9% -0.6%,-0.1(0)3.3%,0.4(-0.3)-0.7%,-0.10.30.45%5.2%0.400.51.15.71%0.93.2   107.93(-2.91%)105.1-109.74N/A 107.76(-0.16%)105.88-109.366
 
16Sep_28_2020-37.7%-40% -0.8%,-0.1(0.2)6%,0.7(-0.1)0.2%,01.50.69%5.4%0.70.70.81.16.15%0.96.16   111.16(-2.09%)106.4-117.88N/A 110.8(-0.32%)106.9-11472
17Sep_25_2020-36.4%-46.7% -2.1%,-0.2(0.2)7.3%,0.9(0.1)1%,0.1-00.6%5.1%11.61.31.14.89%1.18.32   113.53(11.04%)105.8-117.35Uptrend Reversal 116.6(2.7%)114.01-118.3265
18Sep_24_2020-42.7%-32.1% -3.8%,-0.5(0.1)6.3%,0.8(-0.1)-2.4%,-0.3-1.2-1.21%3.9%-0.2-1.50.21.14.84%1.23.23   102.24(0.54%)96.48-107.2N/A 103.22(0.96%)102.87-103.551
19Sep_23_2020-43%-46.1% -4.4%,-0.5(0)7.1%,0.8(-0.1)-3.3%,-0.4-0.3-1.17%2.6%-0.3-1.70.21.16.1%1.33.2   101.69(-8.94%)101.15-112.18N/A 102.98(1.27%)102.98-102.9851
20Sep_22_2020-37.4%-69.5% -4.9%,-0.6(0.2)8.2%,1(0.3)0.2%,0-0.60.68%1.3%0.7011.14.95%1.62.42   111.67(1.41%)106.16-112.4Uptrend Reversal 114.74(2.75%)112.15-116.4755
 
21Sep_21_2020-38.3%-67.2% -6.3%,-0.7(0.1)6%,0.7(0.2)0.8%,0.1-1.50.08%-1.4%0.5-0.10.71.25.37%1.63.23   110.12(1.52%)102.1-110.6Uptrend Reversal 113.28(2.87%)110.61-115.0650
22Sep_18_2020-39.2%-82.9% -6.9%,-0.6(0)4.2%,0.4(0.2)2.4%,0.2-0-0.24%-4%0.2001.45.52%2.15.8   108.47(-6.09%)104.78-114.94N/A 108.56(0.08%)107.57-109.3751
23Sep_17_2020-35.3%-108.5% -7.1%,-0.5(0)2.4%,0.2(0.3)4.3%,0.31.2-0.06%-6%0.510.21.75.62%2.15.52   115.5(-3.86%)112.11-125.99Rebound 112.34(-2.74%)115.5-110.9755
24Sep_16_2020-32.7%-130.9% -7.3%,-0.5(0.1)-1.2%,-0.1(0.3)5.9%,0.41.5-0.5%-8.5%0.61.80.425.63%1.410.79   120.14(8.92%)108-126.54Rebound 114.57(-4.64%)118.34-112.9452
25Sep_15_2020-38.2%-116% -8.7%,-0.5(0.1)-5.1%,-0.3(0.2)5.3%,0.30.9-0.01%-11%-01.9-0.12.15.03%0.86.77   110.3(4.22%)106.16-112.25Rebound 110.21(-0.08%)105.79-112.147
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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