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     Wed. Oct. 14, 2020

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $111.7800 (-4.64%) ($111.7600 - $121.9200) on Wed. Oct. 14, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  6.33% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $111.7800(-4.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  NVAX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  XBI(35%)    IBB(32%)    ARKG(27%)    IPO(27%)    ARKK(26%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will decline at least -3.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-12%)    VXX(-6%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)    XLP(-2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -3.165% (StdDev 6.33%)
Hourly BBV   -0.7 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Inflection Point  Yes
5 Day Moving Average  $112.26(-0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average  $109.91(1.7%)
20 Day Moving Average  $109.45(2.13%)
To recent high  -37.4%
To recent low  31%
Market Cap  $6.842b
 
 
 
Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 4.08% (three month std-dev: 6.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7   Average positive next day return: 3.5%(71%)   Average negative next day return: -2.29%(29%)
Sample size 7   Average positive next three day return: 5.93%(71%)   Average negative next three day return: -1.04%(29%)
Sample size 7   Average positive next weekly return: 7.45%(57%)   Average negative next weekly return: -5.83%(43%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201114

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1Oct_14_2020104.21109.45109.91112.26 113.41 115.41111.78(-4.64%)UDOpenLong75-0.1   21   150   19   25   2.43    47%0.6241.26.33%-0.70.5622
2Oct_13_2020103.57109.8109.58111.88 112.68 113.54117.23(6.48%)UTOpenLong751.2   32   70   31   34   4.41    47%0.1470.46.33%1.21.7682.1
3Oct_12_2020103.43109.41108.57109.92 110.91 111.41110.09(-0.99%)UDOpenLong650   2   60   -1   9   1.78    44%0.6489.86.41%-1.60.2492.7
4Oct_9_2020102.77109.21108.63109.93 110.4 111.83111.19(0.17%)UTOpenLong750.2   20   100   20   18   2.41    44%0.6186.46.41%0.10.4522.6
5Oct_8_2020102.15108.48108.78108.43 109.53 110.4111(0.99%)UTOpenLong750.4   21   90   23   16   2.35    44%0.5860.56.42%0.50.4531.7
 
6Oct_7_2020101.56107.65107.94107.19 107.66 108.98109.91(2.32%)N/AN/A00.4   5   100   8   -6   1.86    55%0.56416.46%0.30.3451
7Oct_6_2020100.99106.76107.16106.92 106.69 108.66107.42(-2.47%)N/AN/A00.1   7   120   14   -16   2.48    55%0.5226.27.52%-00.1400.3
8Oct_5_2020100.47105.76107.53107.02 107.08 106.34110.15(6.24%)N/AN/A00.4   4   -50   11   -16   3.2    55%0.6812.67.52%1.70.5510.6
9Oct_2_202099.79104.94107.47107.23 106.8 104.72103.68(-1.08%)DTOpenShort-75-0.4   -32   -150   -33   -30   2.72    55%0.675.37.55%-0.9-0.1510.4
10Oct_1_202099.13104.92107.99109.2 108.74 107.82104.81(-3.45%)DTOpenShort-75-0.5   -11   -70   -13   -6   3.7    55%0.679.57.55%-1.3-0610.8
 
11Sep_30_202098.47104.83109.03108.68 110.49 108.88108.55(0.57%)UTOpenLong75-0   8   -50   6   14   4.84    55%0.721.97.56%-0.30.4650.8
12Sep_29_202097.77104.63110.08107.31 108.48 109.66107.93(-2.91%)N/AN/A00.1   -6   110   -15   20   3.2    55%0.88-6.67.56%-0.60.4660.9
13Sep_28_202096.92104.7110.35108.06 107.61 112.1111.16(-2.09%)UDOpenLong750.3   40   280   33   61   6.16    55%0.98-8.87.6%0.20.7720.7
14Sep_25_202095.98104.47109.85107.85 107.31 107.3113.53(11.04%)UTOpenLong750.6   43   -20   34   71   8.32    55%1.03-24.47.66%1.51650.6
15Sep_24_202095104.09108.13106.84 106.23 103.11102.24(0.54%)N/AN/A0-0.5   -23   -220   -41   33   3.23    55%0.92-467.59%-1-0.2510.3
 
16Sep_23_202094.13104.66107.42109.49 108.01 107.33101.69(-8.94%)N/AN/A0-0.9   -15   -80   -34   42   3.2    55%0.91-52.47.71%-2.3-0.3510.1
17Sep_22_202093.28105.21106.56113.18 111.29 109.35111.67(1.41%)UDOpenLong65-0.2   14   -170   -3   63   2.42    58%1.04-56.57.63%1.60.7550.7
18Sep_21_202092.32105.49104.06112.91 113.34 108.7110.12(1.52%)N/AN/A0-0.3   -13   -280   -29   35   3.23    58%1.03-70.67.63%-0.20.5500.8
19Sep_18_202091.38106.66102.37112.05 113.72 113.22108.47(-6.09%)N/AN/A0-0.3   -8   10   -19   25   5.8    58%1.02-62.47.7%-1.40.2511.1
20Sep_17_202090.46108.19101.72109.42 112.2 117.99115.5(-3.86%)UDOpenLong750.4   53   440   57   41   5.52    58%1.11-54.27.67%-0.20.5551.1
 
21Sep_16_202089.47109.53100.27104.91 106.68 114.23120.14(8.92%)UTOpenLong750.9   75   550   91   27   10.79    58%1.15-48.67.67%1.40.6520.7
22Sep_15_202088.45110.5998.4699.03 100.48 106.42110.3(4.22%)RBSmallLong200.6   59   460   81   -8   6.77    56%1.04-537.61%1.3-0470.6
23Sep_14_202087.54112.6298.294.03 95.51 99.13105.83(11.01%)RBSmallLong200.6   29   310   53   -44   7.94    56%1.02-57.17.72%2.5-0.3390.6
24Sep_11_202086.66114.5398.2191.45 91.38 94.5495.33(2.55%)DPOpenShort-650.2   -12   240   14   -89   5.29    52%0.88-61.47.63%0.8-0.9220.3
25Sep_10_202085.9116.4599.3692.98 91.15 91.8992.96(2.48%)DPOpenShort-65-0   -21   -0   7   -106   4.65    52%-66.87.63%0.7-1.118-0.6
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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100
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