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     Thu. Aug. 27, 2020

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jan. 26, 2021)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $107.3200 (-6.36%) ($106.3000 - $116.3700) on Thu. Aug. 27, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $19.63 (13.71% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  7.72% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -2% (StdDev 7.72%)
Daily Moving Force  -3.4%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -1.88%
Trend Strength  -7.8%
RSI   31
Momentum  1.8
Latest Price  $107.3200(-6.36%)
Forecasted Low Price  102.92(-4.1%)
Forecasted High Price  109.36(1.9%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(-3.8%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  13.6% ((121.88))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  27%
Hourly Trend   -0.5% [$111.97(-0.55), $114.12(-7.3)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  2
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  NVAX declines -5.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX declines -11.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at -0% a week (37% probability)
  XBI(45%)    IBB(38%)    ARKG(35%)    IPO(32%)    ARKK(31%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will decline at least -1.6% in a week (9% probabilities).
  TBT(-13%)    IYT(-9%)    VXX(-8%)    VIXM(-8%)    HYXU(-5%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -2.1
 
Relative Volatility   0.3 (options are faily valued)
 
Market Trend Strength  -3.6% (StdDev 7.72%)
Hourly BBV   -4.2 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $108.22(0.84%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $92.62(-13.7%)
Resistance Level  $143.21
5 Day Moving Average  $118.43(-9.38%)
10 Day Moving Average  $132.06(-18.73%)
20 Day Moving Average  $143.21(-25.06%)
To recent high  -39.9%
To recent low  142.5%
Market Cap  $6.569b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Mon. Mar. 1, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $227.60 ($105.00 - $290.00)
  5 analysts (last updated on Wed. Aug. 5, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  112.08%
% to Low Target Price  -2.16%
% to High Target Price  170.22%
 
 


Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 13.71% (three month std-dev: 7.72%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. NVAX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200927

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Aug_27_2020143.21 (-1%)132.06 (-2.2%)118.43 (-5.7%) 114.12 111.97(0%)107.32(-6.36%)106.3-116.37-1.7(-1.8)-4.2 -3.4%-2%0%-1.88%-7.8%311.8 Growing Downtrend  Range(-2.2%)2-2.10.7Downtrend 103.09(-3.94%)99.23-112.14.79   -39.9%-142.5% 
2Aug_26_2020145.37 (-0.6%)134.95 (-2.2%)125.57 (-4.9%) 121.42 112.52(0%)114.61(1.13%)106.5-122.73-1.6(-1.7)-3.1 -4.5%-1.1%0%-1.7%-7.2%341.6 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-5.6%)2-21.3Relative Oversold 116.82(1.93%)104.08-127.246.96   -35.8%-159% 
3Aug_25_2020147.1 (-0.4%)136.3 (-2.2%)132.06 (-4.8%) 128.83 116.27(0%)113.33(-5.04%)97.3-117.74-1.9(-2.1)-1.7 -9.1%-2.3%0%-1.72%-7.3%321.4 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-8.9%)2-2.21.6Growing Downtrend 110.87(-2.17%)107.66-118.0512.96   -36.5%-156.1% 
4Aug_24_2020149.05 (-0.2%)140.07 (-2%)138.64 (-5%) 137.67 130.33(0%)119.34(-13.23%)116.95-132.8-1.7(-2)-2 -6.6%-3.1%0%-1.38%-6%411.3 Growing Downtrend  Range(-3.1%)2-2.21.7Downtrend 117.2(-1.79%)114.67-123.148.45   -33.1%-169.7% 
5Aug_21_2020150.29 (0.2%)145.86 (-1.2%)145.87 (-1.2%) 143.73 141.4(0%)137.54(-3.85%)133.3-145.8-0.8(-0.9)-2 -2.3%-1.5%0%-0.78%-2.9%471.2 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.9%)3-1.21.7Correction 128.16(-6.82%)126.44-135.075.61   -22.9%-210.8% 
 
6Aug_20_2020150.25 (0.2%)148.99 (-0.8%)147.65 (1.4%) 147.32 145.01(0%)143.05(-2.72%)142.13-148.79-0.4(-0.5)-0.9 -0.2%-1.1%0%-0.48%-0.8%541.2 Growing Downtrend  Range(0.1%)4-0.71.5Correction 135.65(-5.17%)134.12-141.773.69   -19.9%-223.3% 
7Aug_19_2020150.18 (0.2%)151.34 (-0.6%)145.67 (3.2%) 147.6 146.06(0%)147.04(0.56%)140-149-0.1(-0.2)1.5 %-1.1%0%-0.4%0.8%541.2 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-1.1%)5-0.41.6Downtrend 146.69(-0.24%)146.39-147.375.3   -17.6%-232.3% 
8Aug_18_2020150.2 (0.2%)153.82 (-0.6%)141.16 (-0.5%) 144.46 149.63(0%)146.23(-5.95%)138.42-154.49-0.2(-0.3)0.6 1%-0.5%0%-0.4%2.4%541.2 Downtrend Consolidation Downtrend Pop Range(3.5%)6-0.51.6Correction 138.63(-5.2%)137.05-144.927.4   -18.1%-230.5% 
9Aug_17_2020150 (0.4%)154.98 (-0.6%)141.81 (-3.1%) 139.75 149.15(0%)155.48(6.17%)145-155.750.4(0.4)0.8 2.7%0.2%0%-0.24%3.3%551.1 Uptrend Reversal  Range(2.9%)60.21.8Correction 152.04(-2.21%)149.82-154.775.66   -12.9%-251.4% 
10Aug_14_2020149.17 (1%)155.01 (-0%)146.41 (-3.1%) 139.78 139.29(0%)146.45(9.98%)137.62-151-0.2(-0.2)-0.7 0.8%0.1%0%0.24%3.9%571.1 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.9%)6-0.11.8Correction 142.28(-2.85%)141.07-147.1213.66   -18%-283.1% 
 
11Aug_13_2020148.93 (1.4%)154.92 (0.4%)151.15 (-4.4%) 147.91 130.34(0%)133.16(6.97%)125.77-140.7-1(-1.1)-1.5 -6.7%-0.7%0%0.72%4%551.2 Downtrend Reversal  Lower(-7.4%)6-0.81.7Uptrend Consolidation 137.01(2.89%)137.84-134.510.73   -25.4%-248.3% 
12Aug_12_2020148.53 (2%)156.62 (1%)158.05 (-5.8%) 157.43 140.27(0%)124.48(-16.72%)112.51-148.5-1.4(-1.4)-1.7 -12.2%-1.1%0%1.3%5.4%481.3 Downtrend Reversal  Lower(-4.9%)7-1.31.5Uptrend Consolidation 130.79(5.07%)132.13-126.817.67   -30.3%-225.6% 
13Aug_11_2020148.19 (2.6%)159.21 (1.8%)167.81 (-0.9%) 167.68 165.47(0%)149.48(-16.25%)143.25-1700(0.1)-2 -3.9%0.3%10%2.02%7.4%541.1 Confirmed Correction  Higher(14.5%)80.21.3After Top 154.65(3.46%)149.48-158.8815.11   -16.3%-509.9% 
14Aug_10_2020146.4 (2.6%)159.32 (2.2%)169.34 (2.8%) 173.24 174.58(0%)178.49(4.9%)172.86-181.71.4(1.6)2.1 2.9%2.5%0%2.28%8.8%701.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(5.4%)91.61.6Uptrend 184.09(3.14%)171.86-189.347.43   0%-628.2% 
15Aug_7_2020142.71 (2.8%)155.37 (1.8%)164.8 (3.4%) 167.63 169.89(0%)170.15(1.5%)166.26-178.561.2(1.3)1.9 0.8%2.4%0%2.12%8.9%691.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(3.2%)81.41.6Growing Uptrend 176.96(4%)164.58-180.056.5   -1.8%-838.5% 
 
16Aug_6_2020139 (2.8%)151.74 (1.4%)159.41 (2.7%) 163.33 171.89(0%)167.63(-3.28%)160.26-178.481.2(1.3)1.3 3.5%2.1%0%1.76%9.2%661.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(7.2%)71.41.6Uptrend 172.22(2.74%)161.8-176.77.85   -3.3%-876.6% 
17Aug_5_2020135.48 (2.8%)148.85 (1.4%)155.21 (3.7%) 157.27 165.36(0%)173.32(10.33%)165.11-189.41.6(1.7)1.9 5.3%2.2%0%1.76%9.9%781.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(7.5%)71.81.6Uptrend 177.62(2.48%)165.01-183.0217.78   0%-909.7% 
18Aug_4_2020131.7 (2.8%)145.91 (1.4%)149.62 (1.2%) 149.81 154.76(0%)157.09(0.81%)150.28-157.31.2(1.2)1.7 2.4%1.4%0%1.78%10.8%781.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(3.8%)71.31.5Uptrend 161.41(2.75%)151.61-165.618.24   0%-815.2% 
19Aug_3_2020129.05 (2.8%)144.18 (1.8%)147.89 (2.3%) 147.76 149.18(0%)155.83(8.84%)144.69-159.971.1(1.2)2.1 2.3%1.8%0%2.08%11.7%791.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(4.1%)71.31.6Uptrend 161.49(3.63%)149.84-166.476.72   0%-807.8% 
20Jul_31_2020125.32 (2.8%)142.35 (2%)144.64 (1.3%) 145.76 144.85(0%)143.18(-2.34%)142-148.780.8(0.8)0.5 0.1%0.8%0%2.26%13.6%781.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.1%)70.91.7Uptrend 148.95(4.03%)139.5-1534.23   -3.6%-734.1% 
 
21Jul_30_2020122.36 (2.8%)142.09 (2.6%)142.73 (1%) 144.21 146.34(0%)146.61(0.84%)139.57-148.881(1.1)2.2 0.8%2%0%2.68%16.1%841.6 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.8%)81.21.7Uptrend 154.56(5.42%)141.13-160.315.4   -1.2%-754.1% 
22Jul_29_2020119.09 (3%)139.63 (3%)141.33 (-0.2%) 140.97 146.68(0%)145.39(-2.07%)143.53-154.71(1.1)0.9 1.9%2.4%0%2.98%17.2%811.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(5.3%)81.21.9Uptrend 153.79(5.78%)139.59-159.895.63   -2.1%-747% 
23Jul_28_2020116.01 (3.2%)136.41 (3.4%)141.6 (1.1%) 139.44 142.08(0%)148.46(6.38%)136.5-1511.2(1.4)1.4 2.8%2.8%0%3.36%17.6%801.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(5.6%)81.51.8Uptrend 159.05(7.13%)140.79-166.865.86   0%-764.9% 
24Jul_27_2020112.73 (3.4%)132.66 (3.6%)140.05 (0.2%) 138.8 135.26(0%)139.56(4.45%)131.83-141.281(1.1)0.4 -0.7%2.6%0%3.52%17.7%721.8 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(1.9%)81.21.8Uptrend 150.05(7.52%)133.73-157.054.99   -4.9%-713% 
25Jul_24_2020109.64 (3.8%)129.31 (4.2%)139.82 (-1%) 139.58 136.79(0%)133.61(-4.3%)126.55-136.090.9(1)-0.9 -2.5%2.7%0%4.08%17.9%811.9 Confirmed Correction  Range(2.4%)91.21.5Uptrend 146.26(9.47%)128.55-153.844.81   -9%-678.4% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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