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     Fri. Aug. 14, 2020



Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 23, 2020)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $146.4500 (9.98%) ($137.6200 - $151.0000) on Fri. Aug. 14, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Correction
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  NVAX declines -3.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at 2.4% a week (39% probability)
  XBI(46%)    ARKG(40%)    CNCR(40%)    IBB(34%)    ACES(31%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will advance at least 3.4% in a week (5% probabilities).
  VXX(-7%)    VIXM(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    FXI(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.1
 
Relative Volatility   -2.1 (options are extremely cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   -0.3
Hourly Trend   -0.35% [$139.29(8.95), $139.78(-8.13)]
Last Hour Trend   0.31% [$144.45, $144]


NVAX Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  70%
Bullish Price Move  8.5%
Bearish Probability  30%
Bearish Price Move  -8.5%
Recommended Position Size  5%
Latest Price  $146.4500
Next Day Open Price  $147.36(0.62%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $142.28(-2.85%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $141.07 - $147.12
Inflection Point  Yes
5 Day Moving Average  $146.41(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average  $155.01(-5.52%)
20 Day Moving Average  $149.17(-1.82%)
To recent high  -18%
To recent low  283.1%
Market Cap  $8.964b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Wed. Nov. 4, 2020
Analyst One Year Target Price  $227.60 ($105.00 - $290.00)
  5 analysts (last updated on Wed. Aug. 5, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  55.41%
% to Low Target Price  -28.3%
% to High Target Price  98.02%
 


  
 
 


Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 9.19% (three month std-dev: 8.5%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. NVAX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200914

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Aug_14_2020-18%-283.1% 4.5%,0.5(-0.3)-0.2%,-0(-0.3)-3.1%,-0.3-00.31%3.9%-0.2-0.3-0.11.16.62%1.813.66   146.45(9.98%)137.62-151Correction 142.28(-2.85%)141.07-147.1257
2Aug_13_2020-25.4%-248.3% 7.1%,0.7(-0.2)2.1%,0.2(-0.3)-4.4%,-0.4-3.6-0.06%4%-1.1-1.1-0.81.26.66%1.710.73   133.16(6.97%)125.77-140.7Uptrend Consolidation 137.5(3.26%)138.51-134.555
3Aug_12_2020-30.3%-225.6% 9.6%,0.9(-0.3)5.2%,0.5(-0.3)-5.8%,-0.5-3-0.89%5.4%-1.4-2.1-1.31.38.38%1.517.67   124.48(-16.72%)112.51-148.5Uptrend Consolidation 130.79(5.07%)132.13-126.848
4Aug_11_2020-16.3%-509.9% 12.5%,1(-0.1)9.1%,0.8(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.1-0.3-3.18%7.4%0.1-20.21.16.78%1.315.11   149.48(-16.25%)143.25-170Uptrend Consolidation 149.85(0.25%)148.58-153.6654
5Aug_10_20200%-628.2% 13.4%,1(-0)10.5%,0.8(0.1)2.8%,0.20.30.45%8.8%1.61.21.61.26.25%1.67.43   178.49(4.9%)172.86-181.7Uptrend 183.74(2.94%)170.66-189.3470
 
6Aug_7_2020-1.8%-838.5% 13.9%,1(0)9.2%,0.6(0.2)3.4%,0.20.3-0.29%8.9%1.30.91.41.35.49%1.66.5   170.15(1.5%)166.26-178.56Growing Uptrend 176.84(3.93%)163.97-180.0569
7Aug_6_2020-3.3%-876.6% 13.6%,0.9(-0)6.8%,0.4(0)2.7%,0.21.21.16%9.2%1.311.41.45.92%1.67.85   167.63(-3.28%)160.26-178.48Uptrend 172.04(2.63%)161.15-176.766
8Aug_5_20200%-909.7% 13.8%,0.9(0)6.6%,0.4(-0)3.7%,0.21.20.35%9.9%1.71.81.81.46.34%1.617.78   173.32(10.33%)165.11-189.4Uptrend 177.41(2.36%)164.31-183.0278
9Aug_4_20200%-815.2% 13.5%,0.9(-0.1)7%,0.4(-0.1)1.2%,0.10.6-0.08%10.8%1.21.81.31.49.49%1.58.24   157.09(0.81%)150.28-157.3Uptrend Consolidation 150.29(-4.33%)146.13-162.7778
10Aug_3_20200%-807.8% 14.5%,0.8(0)8.7%,0.5(-0.1)2.3%,0.10.30.85%11.7%1.221.31.59.92%1.66.72   155.83(8.84%)144.69-159.97Uptrend 161.49(3.63%)149.84-166.4779
 
11Jul_31_2020-3.6%-734.1% 14.3%,0.8(0)10.1%,0.6(-0.2)1.3%,0.1-0-0.31%13.6%0.80.20.91.59.87%1.74.23   143.18(-2.34%)142-148.78Uptrend Consolidation 139.3(-2.71%)135.82-149.7278
12Jul_30_2020-1.2%-754.1% 14.2%,0.8(-0)13.1%,0.7(-0.1)1%,0.10.30.33%16.1%1.111.21.610.9%1.75.4   146.61(0.84%)139.57-148.88Uptrend Consolidation 139.65(-4.75%)134.28-155.7484
13Jul_29_2020-2.1%-747% 14.6%,0.7(-0.1)15%,0.8(-0.1)-0.2%,-00.6-0.25%17.2%1.10.71.21.811.72%1.95.63   145.39(-2.07%)143.53-154.7Uptrend Consolidation 138.02(-5.07%)132.34-155.0581
14Jul_28_20200%-764.9% 16%,0.8(-0.1)17.1%,0.8(-0)1.1%,0.10.30.9%17.6%1.41.61.51.811.2%1.85.86   148.46(6.38%)136.5-151Uptrend 158.81(6.97%)140.02-166.8680
15Jul_27_2020-4.9%-713% 17.2%,0.8(-0.1)17.7%,0.8(-0.2)0.2%,0-0.60.3%17.7%1.10.41.21.8NAN%1.84.99   139.56(4.45%)131.83-141.28Uptrend Consolidation 132.64(-4.96%)126.44-151.2272
 
16Jul_24_2020-9%-678.4% 18.6%,0.9(-0.1)21.1%,1(-0.2)-1%,-0-0.30.28%17.9%1-11.21.9NAN%1.54.81   133.61(-4.3%)126.55-136.09Uptrend Consolidation 128.31(-3.97%)122.05-147.181
17Jul_23_2020-4.9%-713.3% 21.4%,1(-0)24.8%,1.1(-0)2.8%,0.10.3-0.27%17.3%1.40.51.51.9NAN%1.45.9   139.61(-4.88%)134.04-151.2Uptrend 155.34(11.27%)131.17-165.7181
18Jul_22_20200%-755.1% 22.3%,1(0)25.7%,1.2(0.1)5.5%,0.20.30.15%16.8%1.91.41.91.9NAN%1.76.12   146.78(4.33%)133.19-147.5Uptrend 163.56(11.43%)134.62-175.9684
19Jul_21_20200%-719.6% 21.9%,1(0)24.2%,1.1(0)5%,0.20.90%16.5%1.91.41.91.9NAN%1.78.86   140.69(1.66%)134.55-148.95Uptrend 155.39(10.45%)129.26-166.5980
20Jul_20_2020-1.5%-706.2% 21.7%,1(0)23.8%,1.1(0.1)5.8%,0.31.80.54%17.1%2.11.31.81.8NAN%2.112.86   138.39(-1.5%)124.1-151.2Relative Overbought 143.15(3.44%)102.97-176.0279
 
21Jul_17_20200%-718.5% 21.4%,1(0.1)20.9%,1(0.3)8.5%,0.41.5-0.29%15.5%2.5221.7NAN%215.1   140.5(16.67%)127.8-144.54Growing Uptrend 156.21(11.18%)126.81-163.5682
22Jul_16_20200%-601.6% 19.7%,1.1(0)15.5%,0.8(0.1)4.7%,0.20.91.27%14.1%1.91.91.21.6NAN%1.86.75   120.43(8.32%)109.1-122.68Growing Uptrend 129.57(7.59%)111.97-133.9672
23Jul_15_20200%-547.7% 19.4%,1(-0)13.3%,0.7(-0)2.5%,0.10.91.13%13.7%1.61.50.81.6NAN%1.85.24   111.18(1.15%)105.8-114.94Uptrend 117.23(5.44%)104.34-122.7572
24Jul_14_20200%-540.4% 19.8%,1(-0.1)13.8%,0.7(-0.1)1.1%,0.10.90.85%14.3%1.71.80.81.7NAN%1.35.33   109.92(5.48%)99.15-112.77Uptrend Consolidation 100.49(-8.58%)94.68-117.976
25Jul_13_2020-0.2%-507% 20.9%,1(0.1)16.1%,0.8(0.1)5.2%,0.30.3-1.58%15.1%1.60.80.61.7NAN%18.61   104.2(10.43%)95.26-113.98Uptrend 111.93(7.42%)97.84-117.9776
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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