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     Wed. Aug. 12, 2020



Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Nov. 25, 2020)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $124.4800 (-16.72%) ($112.5100 - $148.5000) on Wed. Aug. 12, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend Consolidation
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  NVAX declines -5.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX advances 5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at 1.6% a week (38% probability)
  XBI(45%)    ARKG(42%)    IBB(35%)    ARKK(34%)    CNCR(33%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will advance at least 2% in a week (10% probabilities).
  VIXM(-12%)    VXX(-11%)    FEX(-9%)    BJK(-9%)    UUP(-8%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.3
 
Relative Volatility   -1.5 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   -2.1
Hourly Trend   -10.9% [$140.27(-25.2), $157.43(-10.25)]
Last Hour Trend   -0.89% [$125.09, $126.2]


NVAX Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  70%
Bullish Price Move  8.5%
Bearish Probability  30%
Bearish Price Move  -8.5%
Recommended Position Size  5%
Latest Price  $124.4800
Next Day Open Price  $122.26(-1.78%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $130.79(5.07%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $190.25(52.84%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $132.13 - $126.8
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $148.53
5 Day Moving Average  $158.05(-21.24%)
10 Day Moving Average  $156.62(-20.52%)
20 Day Moving Average  $148.53(-16.19%)
To recent high  -30.3%
To recent low  225.6%
Market Cap  $7.62b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Mon. Mar. 1, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $227.60 ($105.00 - $290.00)
  5 analysts (last updated on Wed. Aug. 5, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  82.84%
% to Low Target Price  -15.65%
% to High Target Price  132.97%
 


  
 
 


Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 11.17% (three month std-dev: 8.49%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. NVAX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200912

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Aug_12_2020-30.3%-225.6% 9.6%,0.9(-0.3)5.2%,0.5(-0.3)-5.8%,-0.5-3-0.89%5.4%-1.4-2.1-1.31.38.38%1.517.67   124.48(-16.72%)112.51-148.5Uptrend Consolidation 130.79(5.07%)132.13-126.848
2Aug_11_2020-16.3%-509.9% 12.5%,1(-0.1)9.1%,0.8(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.1-0.3-3.18%7.4%0.1-20.21.16.78%1.315.11   149.48(-16.25%)143.25-170Uptrend Consolidation 149.85(0.25%)148.58-153.6654
3Aug_10_20200%-628.2% 13.4%,1(-0)10.5%,0.8(0.1)2.8%,0.20.30.45%8.8%1.61.21.61.26.25%1.67.43   178.49(4.9%)172.86-181.7Uptrend 183.74(2.94%)170.66-189.3470
4Aug_7_2020-1.8%-838.5% 13.9%,1(0)9.2%,0.6(0.2)3.4%,0.20.3-0.29%8.9%1.30.91.41.35.49%1.66.5   170.15(1.5%)166.26-178.56Growing Uptrend 176.84(3.93%)163.97-180.0569
5Aug_6_2020-3.3%-876.6% 13.6%,0.9(-0)6.8%,0.4(0)2.7%,0.21.21.16%9.2%1.311.41.45.92%1.67.85   167.63(-3.28%)160.26-178.48Uptrend 172.04(2.63%)161.15-176.766
 
6Aug_5_20200%-909.7% 13.8%,0.9(0)6.6%,0.4(-0)3.7%,0.21.20.35%9.9%1.71.81.81.46.34%1.617.78   173.32(10.33%)165.11-189.4Uptrend 177.41(2.36%)164.31-183.0278
7Aug_4_20200%-815.2% 13.5%,0.9(-0.1)7%,0.4(-0.1)1.2%,0.10.6-0.08%10.8%1.21.81.31.49.49%1.58.24   157.09(0.81%)150.28-157.3Uptrend Consolidation 150.29(-4.33%)146.13-162.7778
8Aug_3_20200%-807.8% 14.5%,0.8(0)8.7%,0.5(-0.1)2.3%,0.10.30.85%11.7%1.221.31.59.92%1.66.72   155.83(8.84%)144.69-159.97Uptrend 161.49(3.63%)149.84-166.4779
9Jul_31_2020-3.6%-734.1% 14.3%,0.8(0)10.1%,0.6(-0.2)1.3%,0.1-0-0.31%13.6%0.80.20.91.59.87%1.74.23   143.18(-2.34%)142-148.78Uptrend Consolidation 139.3(-2.71%)135.82-149.7278
10Jul_30_2020-1.2%-754.1% 14.2%,0.8(-0)13.1%,0.7(-0.1)1%,0.10.30.33%16.1%1.111.21.610.9%1.75.4   146.61(0.84%)139.57-148.88Uptrend Consolidation 139.65(-4.75%)134.28-155.7484
 
11Jul_29_2020-2.1%-747% 14.6%,0.7(-0.1)15%,0.8(-0.1)-0.2%,-00.6-0.25%17.2%1.10.71.21.811.72%1.95.63   145.39(-2.07%)143.53-154.7Uptrend Consolidation 138.02(-5.07%)132.34-155.0581
12Jul_28_20200%-764.9% 16%,0.8(-0.1)17.1%,0.8(-0)1.1%,0.10.30.9%17.6%1.41.61.51.811.2%1.85.86   148.46(6.38%)136.5-151Uptrend 158.81(6.97%)140.02-166.8680
13Jul_27_2020-4.9%-713% 17.2%,0.8(-0.1)17.7%,0.8(-0.2)0.2%,0-0.60.3%17.7%1.10.41.21.8NAN%1.84.99   139.56(4.45%)131.83-141.28Uptrend Consolidation 132.64(-4.96%)126.44-151.2272
14Jul_24_2020-9%-678.4% 18.6%,0.9(-0.1)21.1%,1(-0.2)-1%,-0-0.30.28%17.9%1-11.21.9NAN%1.54.81   133.61(-4.3%)126.55-136.09Uptrend Consolidation 128.31(-3.97%)122.05-147.181
15Jul_23_2020-4.9%-713.3% 21.4%,1(-0)24.8%,1.1(-0)2.8%,0.10.3-0.27%17.3%1.40.51.51.9NAN%1.45.9   139.61(-4.88%)134.04-151.2Uptrend 155.34(11.27%)131.17-165.7181
 
16Jul_22_20200%-755.1% 22.3%,1(0)25.7%,1.2(0.1)5.5%,0.20.30.15%16.8%1.91.41.91.9NAN%1.76.12   146.78(4.33%)133.19-147.5Uptrend 163.56(11.43%)134.62-175.9684
17Jul_21_20200%-719.6% 21.9%,1(0)24.2%,1.1(0)5%,0.20.90%16.5%1.91.41.91.9NAN%1.78.86   140.69(1.66%)134.55-148.95Uptrend 155.39(10.45%)129.26-166.5980
18Jul_20_2020-1.5%-706.2% 21.7%,1(0)23.8%,1.1(0.1)5.8%,0.31.80.54%17.1%2.11.31.81.8NAN%2.112.86   138.39(-1.5%)124.1-151.2Relative Overbought 143.15(3.44%)102.97-176.0279
19Jul_17_20200%-718.5% 21.4%,1(0.1)20.9%,1(0.3)8.5%,0.41.5-0.29%15.5%2.5221.7NAN%215.1   140.5(16.67%)127.8-144.54Growing Uptrend 156.21(11.18%)126.81-163.5682
20Jul_16_20200%-601.6% 19.7%,1.1(0)15.5%,0.8(0.1)4.7%,0.20.91.27%14.1%1.91.91.21.6NAN%1.86.75   120.43(8.32%)109.1-122.68Growing Uptrend 129.57(7.59%)111.97-133.9672
 
21Jul_15_20200%-547.7% 19.4%,1(-0)13.3%,0.7(-0)2.5%,0.10.91.13%13.7%1.61.50.81.6NAN%1.85.24   111.18(1.15%)105.8-114.94Uptrend 117.23(5.44%)104.34-122.7572
22Jul_14_20200%-540.4% 19.8%,1(-0.1)13.8%,0.7(-0.1)1.1%,0.10.90.85%14.3%1.71.80.81.7NAN%1.35.33   109.92(5.48%)99.15-112.77Uptrend Consolidation 100.49(-8.58%)94.68-117.976
23Jul_13_2020-0.2%-507% 20.9%,1(0.1)16.1%,0.8(0.1)5.2%,0.30.3-1.58%15.1%1.60.80.61.7NAN%18.61   104.2(10.43%)95.26-113.98Uptrend 111.93(7.42%)97.84-117.9776
24Jul_10_2020-9.6%-449.7% 19.4%,0.9(0)14.6%,0.7(-0.1)2.7%,0.1-0.6-0.05%16%1.1-0.10.21.8NAN%1.33.07   94.36(-2.02%)93.51-98.61Uptrend 101.52(7.59%)89.79-106.5574
25Jul_9_2020-7.8%-464.9% 19.1%,0.8(0)16.3%,0.7(-0)3.7%,0.20.6-0.88%18.3%1.30.40.32NAN%14.33   96.31(-2.17%)93.48-101.16Uptrend 104.01(7.99%)90.73-109.6978
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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