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     Fri. Aug. 7, 2020



Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Nov. 25, 2020)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $170.1500 (1.5%) ($166.2600 - $178.5600) on Fri. Aug. 7, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Growing Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  NVAX advances 3.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX advances 9.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX decline at-1.3% a week (29% probability)
  XBI(34%)    ARKG(33%)    IBB(27%)    VCSH(26%)    CNCR(23%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will decline at least -2.7% in a week (8% probabilities).
  BJK(-12%)    IYT(-7%)    XLC(-5%)    UUP(-5%)    XLF(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.4
 
Relative Volatility   0.2 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly BBV   0.9
Hourly Trend   1.35% [$169.89(-2), $167.63(4.3)]
Last Hour Trend   -0.29% [$169.28, $169.77]


NVAX Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  63%
Bullish Price Move  11.3%
Bearish Probability  38%
Bearish Price Move  -11.3%
Recommended Position Size  2%
Latest Price  $170.1500
Next Day Open Price  $169.16(-0.58%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $176.84(3.93%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $200.24(17.68%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $163.97 - $180.05
Support Level  $142.71
5 Day Moving Average  $164.8(3.25%)
10 Day Moving Average  $155.37(9.51%)
20 Day Moving Average  $142.71(19.23%)
To recent high  -1.8%
To recent low  838.5%
Market Cap  $10.415b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Mon. Mar. 1, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $227.60 ($105.00 - $290.00)
  5 analysts (last updated on Wed. Aug. 5, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  33.76%
% to Low Target Price  -38.29%
% to High Target Price  70.44%
 


  
 
 


Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 14.54% (three month std-dev: 11.26%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. NVAX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200907

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Aug_7_2020-1.8%-838.5% 13.9%,1(0)9.2%,0.6(0.2)3.4%,0.20.3-0.29%8.9%1.30.91.41.35.49%1.66.5   170.15(1.5%)166.26-178.56Growing Uptrend 176.84(3.93%)163.97-180.0569
2Aug_6_2020-3.3%-876.6% 13.6%,0.9(-0)6.8%,0.4(0)2.7%,0.21.21.16%9.2%1.311.41.45.92%1.67.85   167.63(-3.28%)160.26-178.48Uptrend 172.04(2.63%)161.15-176.766
3Aug_5_20200%-909.7% 13.8%,0.9(0)6.6%,0.4(-0)3.7%,0.21.20.35%9.9%1.71.81.81.46.34%1.617.78   173.32(10.33%)165.11-189.4Uptrend 177.41(2.36%)164.31-183.0278
4Aug_4_20200%-815.2% 13.5%,0.9(-0.1)7%,0.4(-0.1)1.2%,0.10.6-0.08%10.8%1.21.81.31.49.49%1.58.24   157.09(0.81%)150.28-157.3Uptrend Consolidation 150.29(-4.33%)146.13-162.7778
5Aug_3_20200%-807.8% 14.5%,0.8(0)8.7%,0.5(-0.1)2.3%,0.10.30.85%11.7%1.221.31.59.92%1.66.72   155.83(8.84%)144.69-159.97Uptrend 161.49(3.63%)149.84-166.4779
 
6Jul_31_2020-3.6%-734.1% 14.3%,0.8(0)10.1%,0.6(-0.2)1.3%,0.1-0-0.31%13.6%0.80.20.91.59.87%1.74.23   143.18(-2.34%)142-148.78Uptrend Consolidation 139.3(-2.71%)135.82-149.7278
7Jul_30_2020-1.2%-754.1% 14.2%,0.8(-0)13.1%,0.7(-0.1)1%,0.10.30.33%16.1%1.111.21.610.9%1.75.4   146.61(0.84%)139.57-148.88Uptrend Consolidation 139.65(-4.75%)134.28-155.7484
8Jul_29_2020-2.1%-747% 14.6%,0.7(-0.1)15%,0.8(-0.1)-0.2%,-00.6-0.25%17.2%1.10.71.21.811.72%1.95.63   145.39(-2.07%)143.53-154.7Uptrend Consolidation 138.02(-5.07%)132.34-155.0581
9Jul_28_20200%-764.9% 16%,0.8(-0.1)17.1%,0.8(-0)1.1%,0.10.30.9%17.6%1.41.61.51.811.2%1.85.86   148.46(6.38%)136.5-151Uptrend 158.81(6.97%)140.02-166.8680
10Jul_27_2020-4.9%-713% 17.2%,0.8(-0.1)17.7%,0.8(-0.2)0.2%,0-0.60.3%17.7%1.10.41.21.8NAN%1.84.99   139.56(4.45%)131.83-141.28Uptrend Consolidation 132.64(-4.96%)126.44-151.2272
 
11Jul_24_2020-9%-678.4% 18.6%,0.9(-0.1)21.1%,1(-0.2)-1%,-0-0.30.28%17.9%1-11.21.9NAN%1.54.81   133.61(-4.3%)126.55-136.09Uptrend Consolidation 128.31(-3.97%)122.05-147.181
12Jul_23_2020-4.9%-713.3% 21.4%,1(-0)24.8%,1.1(-0)2.8%,0.10.3-0.27%17.3%1.40.51.51.9NAN%1.45.9   139.61(-4.88%)134.04-151.2Uptrend 155.34(11.27%)131.17-165.7181
13Jul_22_20200%-755.1% 22.3%,1(0)25.7%,1.2(0.1)5.5%,0.20.30.15%16.8%1.91.41.91.9NAN%1.76.12   146.78(4.33%)133.19-147.5Uptrend 163.56(11.43%)134.62-175.9684
14Jul_21_20200%-719.6% 21.9%,1(0)24.2%,1.1(0)5%,0.20.90%16.5%1.91.41.91.9NAN%1.78.86   140.69(1.66%)134.55-148.95Uptrend 155.39(10.45%)129.26-166.5980
15Jul_20_2020-1.5%-706.2% 21.7%,1(0)23.8%,1.1(0.1)5.8%,0.31.80.54%17.1%2.11.31.81.8NAN%2.112.86   138.39(-1.5%)124.1-151.2Relative Overbought 143.15(3.44%)102.97-176.0279
 
16Jul_17_20200%-718.5% 21.4%,1(0.1)20.9%,1(0.3)8.5%,0.41.5-0.29%15.5%2.5221.7NAN%215.1   140.5(16.67%)127.8-144.54Growing Uptrend 156.21(11.18%)126.81-163.5682
17Jul_16_20200%-601.6% 19.7%,1.1(0)15.5%,0.8(0.1)4.7%,0.20.91.27%14.1%1.91.91.21.6NAN%1.86.75   120.43(8.32%)109.1-122.68Growing Uptrend 129.57(7.59%)111.97-133.9672
18Jul_15_20200%-547.7% 19.4%,1(-0)13.3%,0.7(-0)2.5%,0.10.91.13%13.7%1.61.50.81.6NAN%1.85.24   111.18(1.15%)105.8-114.94Uptrend 117.23(5.44%)104.34-122.7572
19Jul_14_20200%-540.4% 19.8%,1(-0.1)13.8%,0.7(-0.1)1.1%,0.10.90.85%14.3%1.71.80.81.7NAN%1.35.33   109.92(5.48%)99.15-112.77Uptrend Consolidation 100.49(-8.58%)94.68-117.976
20Jul_13_2020-0.2%-507% 20.9%,1(0.1)16.1%,0.8(0.1)5.2%,0.30.3-1.58%15.1%1.60.80.61.7NAN%18.61   104.2(10.43%)95.26-113.98Uptrend 111.93(7.42%)97.84-117.9776
 
21Jul_10_2020-9.6%-449.7% 19.4%,0.9(0)14.6%,0.7(-0.1)2.7%,0.1-0.6-0.05%16%1.1-0.10.21.8NAN%1.33.07   94.36(-2.02%)93.51-98.61Uptrend 101.52(7.59%)89.79-106.5574
22Jul_9_2020-7.8%-464.9% 19.1%,0.8(0)16.3%,0.7(-0)3.7%,0.20.6-0.88%18.3%1.30.40.32NAN%14.33   96.31(-2.17%)93.48-101.16Uptrend 104.01(7.99%)90.73-109.6978
23Jul_8_2020-5.7%-477.4% 18.4%,0.8(0)17.4%,0.7(-0)3.5%,0.11.8-0.51%19.9%1.60.80.42NAN%1.17.87   98.45(-5.73%)95.5-105.02Uptrend 106.95(8.63%)90.73-113.981
24Jul_7_20200%-600.9% 17.4%,0.7(0.1)18.5%,0.8(0)5.1%,0.20.9-2.14%20.3%2.21.90.62.1NAN%126.4   104.43(31.54%)95.5-111.77Overbought 85.13(-18.48%)61.25-120.9487
25Jul_6_2020-5.1%-432.8% 15.5%,0.7(-0)18.3%,0.8(-0.2)0.5%,0-0.3-0.21%19.9%0.9-0.9-0.22NAN%1.13.82   79.39(-2.99%)76.1-81.19Uptrend Consolidation 76.42(-3.74%)73-86.6982
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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