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     Thu. Aug. 6, 2020

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jan. 26, 2021)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $167.6300 (-3.28%) ($160.2600 - $178.4800) on Thu. Aug. 6, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $21.48 (15.45% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  11.26% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  2.1% (StdDev 11.26%)
Daily Moving Force  3.5%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   1.76%
Trend Strength  9.2%
RSI   66
Momentum  1.4
Latest Price  $167.6300(-3.28%)
Forecasted Low Price  162.94(-2.8%)
Forecasted High Price  184.39(10%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(8.2%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  14.9% (145.85)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  16.1%
Hourly Trend   3.8% [$171.89(6.53), $163.33(6.06)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  7
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  NVAX advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX advances 6.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at 2.3% a week (29% probability)
  XBI(35%)    ARKG(30%)    IBB(29%)    VCSH(26%)    IPO(23%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will decline at least -1.3% in a week (6% probabilities).
  UUP(-7%)    IYT(-7%)    TBT(-6%)    XLRE(-5%)    XLC(-5%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.4
 
Relative Volatility   0.5 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  3.1% (StdDev 11.26%)
Hourly BBV   1.3 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $171.52(2.32%)
Support Level  $139
5 Day Moving Average  $159.41(5.16%)
10 Day Moving Average  $151.74(10.47%)
20 Day Moving Average  $139(20.6%)
To recent high  -3.3%
To recent low  876.6%
Market Cap  $10.261b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Mon. Mar. 1, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $134.80 ($105.00 - $184.00)
  5 analysts (last updated on Thu. Jul. 30, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  -19.58%
% to Low Target Price  -37.36%
% to High Target Price  9.77%
 
 


Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 15.45% (three month std-dev: 11.26%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. NVAX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200906

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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RSIMomentumTrend
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Aug_6_2020139 (2.8%)151.74 (1.4%)159.41 (2.7%) 163.33 171.89(0%)167.63(-3.28%)160.26-178.481.2(1.3)1.3 3.5%2.1%0%1.76%9.2%661.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(7.2%)71.41.6Uptrend 172.22(2.74%)161.8-176.77.85   -3.3%-876.6% 
2Aug_5_2020135.48 (2.8%)148.85 (1.4%)155.21 (3.7%) 157.27 165.36(0%)173.32(10.33%)165.11-189.41.6(1.7)1.9 5.3%2.2%0%1.76%9.9%781.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(7.5%)71.81.6Uptrend 177.62(2.48%)165.01-183.0217.78   0%-909.7% 
3Aug_4_2020131.7 (2.8%)145.91 (1.4%)149.62 (1.2%) 149.81 154.76(0%)157.09(0.81%)150.28-157.31.2(1.2)1.7 2.4%1.4%0%1.78%10.8%781.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(3.8%)71.31.5Uptrend 161.41(2.75%)151.61-165.618.24   0%-815.2% 
4Aug_3_2020129.05 (2.8%)144.18 (1.8%)147.89 (2.3%) 147.76 149.18(0%)155.83(8.84%)144.69-159.971.1(1.2)2.1 2.3%1.8%0%2.08%11.7%791.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(4.1%)71.31.6Uptrend 161.49(3.63%)149.84-166.476.72   0%-807.8% 
5Jul_31_2020125.32 (2.8%)142.35 (2%)144.64 (1.3%) 145.76 144.85(0%)143.18(-2.34%)142-148.780.8(0.8)0.5 0.1%0.8%0%2.26%13.6%781.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.1%)70.91.7Uptrend 148.95(4.03%)139.5-1534.23   -3.6%-734.1% 
 
6Jul_30_2020122.36 (2.8%)142.09 (2.6%)142.73 (1%) 144.21 146.34(0%)146.61(0.84%)139.57-148.881(1.1)2.2 0.8%2%0%2.68%16.1%841.6 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.8%)81.21.7Uptrend 154.56(5.42%)141.13-160.315.4   -1.2%-754.1% 
7Jul_29_2020119.09 (3%)139.63 (3%)141.33 (-0.2%) 140.97 146.68(0%)145.39(-2.07%)143.53-154.71(1.1)0.9 1.9%2.4%0%2.98%17.2%811.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(5.3%)81.21.9Uptrend 153.79(5.78%)139.59-159.895.63   -2.1%-747% 
8Jul_28_2020116.01 (3.2%)136.41 (3.4%)141.6 (1.1%) 139.44 142.08(0%)148.46(6.38%)136.5-1511.2(1.4)1.4 2.8%2.8%0%3.36%17.6%801.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(5.6%)81.51.8Uptrend 159.05(7.13%)140.79-166.865.86   0%-764.9% 
9Jul_27_2020112.73 (3.4%)132.66 (3.6%)140.05 (0.2%) 138.8 135.26(0%)139.56(4.45%)131.83-141.281(1.1)0.4 -0.7%2.6%0%3.52%17.7%721.8 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(1.9%)81.21.8Uptrend 150.05(7.52%)133.73-157.054.99   -4.9%-713% 
10Jul_24_2020109.64 (3.8%)129.31 (4.2%)139.82 (-1%) 139.58 136.79(0%)133.61(-4.3%)126.55-136.090.9(1)-0.9 -2.5%2.7%0%4.08%17.9%811.9 Confirmed Correction  Range(2.4%)91.21.5Uptrend 146.26(9.47%)128.55-153.844.81   -9%-678.4% 
 
11Jul_23_2020107.11 (4.2%)125.66 (5%)141.19 (2.8%) 140.97 142.34(0%)139.61(-4.88%)134.04-151.21.2(1.4)1.5 0.7%3.2%0%4.74%17.3%811.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(6.3%)91.51.4Uptrend 155.8(11.6%)132.7-165.715.9   -4.9%-713.3% 
12Jul_22_2020103.96 (4.4%)121.43 (5.2%)137.36 (5.5%) 140.27 142.37(0%)146.78(4.33%)133.19-147.51.7(1.9)4.7 3.4%4%0%4.94%16.8%841.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(7.4%)91.91.7Uptrend 164.04(11.76%)136.24-175.966.12   0%-755.1% 
13Jul_21_2020100.02 (4.4%)116.49 (4.8%)130.24 (5%) 133.92 139.6(0%)140.69(1.66%)134.55-148.951.7(1.9)6.4 3.2%3.4%0%4.7%16.5%801.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(6.6%)91.91.7Uptrend 155.84(10.77%)130.79-166.598.86   0%-719.6% 
14Jul_20_202096.21 (4.4%)112.67 (4.8%)124.08 (5.8%) 126.32 138.18(0%)138.39(-1.5%)124.1-151.21.8(2.1)1.9 6.5%4.8%0%4.62%17.1%791.8 Growing Uptrend  Higher(12.1%)91.82.1Relative Overbought 145.14(4.88%)107.4-176.0212.86   -1.5%-706.2% 
15Jul_17_202092.43 (4.2%)106.77 (4.2%)117.25 (8.5%) 118.8 128.25(0%)140.5(16.67%)127.8-144.542.3(2.5)2.3 9.1%5.3%-8.1%4.2%15.5%821.7 Overbought  Lower(-11.3%)822Growing Uptrend 156.35(11.28%)127.53-163.5615.1   0%-718.5% 
 
16Jul_16_202088.26 (4%)100.72 (3.2%)108.02 (4.7%) 110.32 114.47(0%)120.43(8.32%)109.1-122.681.7(1.9)2.7 4.7%4%0%3.36%14.1%721.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(8.7%)71.21.8Growing Uptrend 129.79(7.77%)113.1-133.966.75   0%-601.6% 
17Jul_15_202084.98 (3.8%)96.61 (2.6%)103.19 (2.5%) 104.58 109.36(0%)111.18(1.15%)105.8-114.941.5(1.6)2.6 3%3.1%0%3.02%13.7%721.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(6.1%)70.81.8Uptrend 117.38(5.58%)104.87-122.755.24   0%-547.7% 
18Jul_14_202082.03 (4%)93.77 (2.8%)100.65 (1.1%) 101.09 106.17(0%)109.92(5.48%)99.15-112.771.6(1.7)1.6 3.8%3.1%0%3.12%14.3%761.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(6.9%)70.81.3Uptrend 116.19(5.7%)102.84-121.95.33   0%-540.4% 
19Jul_13_202079.08 (4.2%)91.04 (3.2%)99.55 (5.2%) 98.95 99.81(0%)104.2(10.43%)95.26-113.981.4(1.6)1.4 2.8%3.2%0%3.5%15.1%761.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(6%)70.61Uptrend 112.09(7.57%)98.37-117.978.61   -0.2%-507% 
20Jul_10_202076.17 (3.8%)88.32 (3%)94.59 (2.7%) 99.03 96.24(0%)94.36(-2.02%)93.51-98.611(1.1)-0.5 0.7%1.9%0%3.2%16%741.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(3.6%)70.21.3Uptrend 101.67(7.75%)90.3-106.553.07   -9.6%-449.7% 
 
21Jul_9_202073.72 (3.8%)87.19 (3.2%)92.08 (3.7%) 94.99 98.19(0%)96.31(-2.17%)93.48-101.161.2(1.3)1 0.2%2.6%0%3.44%18.3%782 Growing Uptrend  Range(3.9%)80.31Uptrend 104.17(8.16%)91.29-109.694.33   -7.8%-464.9% 
22Jul_8_202071.16 (3.6%)85.3 (3.4%)88.77 (3.5%) 90.98 101.77(0%)98.45(-5.73%)95.5-105.021.4(1.6)0.8 7.2%3.5%0%3.54%19.9%812 Growing Uptrend  Higher(13.6%)80.41.1Uptrend 107.3(8.99%)91.91-113.97.87   -5.7%-477.4% 
23Jul_7_202068.5 (3.4%)82.41 (3.6%)85.76 (5.1%) 86.06 91.83(0%)104.43(31.54%)95.5-111.772(2.2)1.6 9.1%4.7%0%3.64%20.3%872.1 Overbought  Higher(13.8%)80.61Overbought 86.66(-17.02%)63.79-120.9426.4   0%-600.9% 
24Jul_6_202065.42 (3%)78.44 (3.6%)81.6 (0.5%) 80.98 80.19(0%)79.39(-2.99%)76.1-81.190.8(0.9)-1.8 -0.4%2%0%3.5%19.9%822 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(3.1%)8-0.21.1Uptrend 86.23(8.62%)76.65-90.343.82   -5.1%-432.8% 
25Jul_2_202063.78 (3.2%)77.09 (4.4%)81.2 (-0.4%) 82.27 80.3(0%)81.84(2.61%)75.4-84.31.1(1.2)0.2 -0.7%2.8%0%4.04%20.9%882.1 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(2.1%)901.2Uptrend 90.11(10.11%)77.43-95.555.17   -2.1%-490.5% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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Next
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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