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     Tue. Aug. 4, 2020

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jan. 26, 2021)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $157.0900 (0.81%) ($150.2800 - $157.3000) on Tue. Aug. 4, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $20.42 (15.5% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  11.26% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  1.4% (StdDev 11.26%)
Daily Moving Force  2.4%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   1.78%
Trend Strength  10.8%
RSI   78
Momentum  1.4
Latest Price  $157.0900(0.81%)
Forecasted Low Price  152.69(-2.8%)
Forecasted High Price  167.46(6.6%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(6.1%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  12.5% (139.69)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  13.3%
Hourly Trend   3.6% [$154.76(5.58), $149.81(2.05)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  7
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  NVAX advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX advances 7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at 3.9% a week (29% probability)
  XBI(35%)    ARKG(30%)    IBB(28%)    VCSH(26%)    IPO(23%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will decline at least -1.6% in a week (7% probabilities).
  EDOC(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    IYT(-7%)    TBT(-6%)    XLC(-5%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.3
 
Relative Volatility   0.2 (options are faily valued)
 
Market Trend Strength  3.7% (StdDev 11.26%)
Hourly BBV   1.7 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $156.84(-0.16%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Support Level  $131.7
5 Day Moving Average  $149.62(4.99%)
10 Day Moving Average  $145.91(7.66%)
20 Day Moving Average  $131.7(19.28%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  815.2%
Market Cap  $9.616b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Mon. Mar. 1, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $134.80 ($105.00 - $184.00)
  5 analysts (last updated on Thu. Jul. 30, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  -14.19%
% to Low Target Price  -33.16%
% to High Target Price  17.13%
 
 


Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 15.5% (three month std-dev: 11.26%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. NVAX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200904

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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Pattern
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Aug_4_2020131.7 (2.8%)145.91 (1.4%)149.62 (1.2%) 149.81 154.76(0%)157.09(0.81%)150.28-157.31.2(1.2)1.7 2.4%1.4%0%1.78%10.8%781.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(3.8%)71.31.5Uptrend 161.41(2.75%)151.61-165.618.24   0%-815.2% 
2Aug_3_2020129.05 (2.8%)144.18 (1.8%)147.89 (2.3%) 147.76 149.18(0%)155.83(8.84%)144.69-159.971.1(1.2)2.1 2.3%1.8%0%2.08%11.7%791.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(4.1%)71.31.6Uptrend 161.49(3.63%)149.84-166.476.72   0%-807.8% 
3Jul_31_2020125.32 (2.8%)142.35 (2%)144.64 (1.3%) 145.76 144.85(0%)143.18(-2.34%)142-148.780.8(0.8)0.5 0.1%0.8%0%2.26%13.6%781.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.1%)70.91.7Uptrend 148.95(4.03%)139.5-1534.23   -3.6%-734.1% 
4Jul_30_2020122.36 (2.8%)142.09 (2.6%)142.73 (1%) 144.21 146.34(0%)146.61(0.84%)139.57-148.881(1.1)2.2 0.8%2%0%2.68%16.1%841.6 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.8%)81.21.7Uptrend 154.56(5.42%)141.13-160.315.4   -1.2%-754.1% 
5Jul_29_2020119.09 (3%)139.63 (3%)141.33 (-0.2%) 140.97 146.68(0%)145.39(-2.07%)143.53-154.71(1.1)0.9 1.9%2.4%0%2.98%17.2%811.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(5.3%)81.21.9Uptrend 153.79(5.78%)139.59-159.895.63   -2.1%-747% 
 
6Jul_28_2020116.01 (3.2%)136.41 (3.4%)141.6 (1.1%) 139.44 142.08(0%)148.46(6.38%)136.5-1511.2(1.4)1.4 2.8%2.8%0%3.36%17.6%801.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(5.6%)81.51.8Uptrend 159.05(7.13%)140.79-166.865.86   0%-764.9% 
7Jul_27_2020112.73 (3.4%)132.66 (3.6%)140.05 (0.2%) 138.8 135.26(0%)139.56(4.45%)131.83-141.281(1.1)0.4 -0.7%2.6%0%3.52%17.7%721.8 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(1.9%)81.21.8Uptrend 150.05(7.52%)133.73-157.054.99   -4.9%-713% 
8Jul_24_2020109.64 (3.8%)129.31 (4.2%)139.82 (-1%) 139.58 136.79(0%)133.61(-4.3%)126.55-136.090.9(1)-0.9 -2.5%2.7%0%4.08%17.9%811.9 Confirmed Correction  Range(2.4%)91.21.5Uptrend 146.26(9.47%)128.55-153.844.81   -9%-678.4% 
9Jul_23_2020107.11 (4.2%)125.66 (5%)141.19 (2.8%) 140.97 142.34(0%)139.61(-4.88%)134.04-151.21.2(1.4)1.5 0.7%3.2%0%4.74%17.3%811.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(6.3%)91.51.4Uptrend 155.8(11.6%)132.7-165.715.9   -4.9%-713.3% 
10Jul_22_2020103.96 (4.4%)121.43 (5.2%)137.36 (5.5%) 140.27 142.37(0%)146.78(4.33%)133.19-147.51.7(1.9)4.7 3.4%4%0%4.94%16.8%841.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(7.4%)91.91.7Uptrend 164.04(11.76%)136.24-175.966.12   0%-755.1% 
 
11Jul_21_2020100.02 (4.4%)116.49 (4.8%)130.24 (5%) 133.92 139.6(0%)140.69(1.66%)134.55-148.951.7(1.9)6.4 3.2%3.4%0%4.7%16.5%801.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(6.6%)91.91.7Uptrend 155.84(10.77%)130.79-166.598.86   0%-719.6% 
12Jul_20_202096.21 (4.4%)112.67 (4.8%)124.08 (5.8%) 126.32 138.18(0%)138.39(-1.5%)124.1-151.21.8(2.1)1.9 6.5%4.8%0%4.62%17.1%791.8 Growing Uptrend  Higher(12.1%)91.82.1Relative Overbought 145.14(4.88%)107.4-176.0212.86   -1.5%-706.2% 
13Jul_17_202092.43 (4.2%)106.77 (4.2%)117.25 (8.5%) 118.8 128.25(0%)140.5(16.67%)127.8-144.542.3(2.5)2.3 9.1%5.3%-8.1%4.2%15.5%821.7 Overbought  Lower(-11.3%)822Growing Uptrend 156.35(11.28%)127.53-163.5615.1   0%-718.5% 
14Jul_16_202088.26 (4%)100.72 (3.2%)108.02 (4.7%) 110.32 114.47(0%)120.43(8.32%)109.1-122.681.7(1.9)2.7 4.7%4%0%3.36%14.1%721.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(8.7%)71.21.8Growing Uptrend 129.79(7.77%)113.1-133.966.75   0%-601.6% 
15Jul_15_202084.98 (3.8%)96.61 (2.6%)103.19 (2.5%) 104.58 109.36(0%)111.18(1.15%)105.8-114.941.5(1.6)2.6 3%3.1%0%3.02%13.7%721.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(6.1%)70.81.8Uptrend 117.38(5.58%)104.87-122.755.24   0%-547.7% 
 
16Jul_14_202082.03 (4%)93.77 (2.8%)100.65 (1.1%) 101.09 106.17(0%)109.92(5.48%)99.15-112.771.6(1.7)1.6 3.8%3.1%0%3.12%14.3%761.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(6.9%)70.81.3Uptrend 116.19(5.7%)102.84-121.95.33   0%-540.4% 
17Jul_13_202079.08 (4.2%)91.04 (3.2%)99.55 (5.2%) 98.95 99.81(0%)104.2(10.43%)95.26-113.981.4(1.6)1.4 2.8%3.2%0%3.5%15.1%761.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(6%)70.61Uptrend 112.09(7.57%)98.37-117.978.61   -0.2%-507% 
18Jul_10_202076.17 (3.8%)88.32 (3%)94.59 (2.7%) 99.03 96.24(0%)94.36(-2.02%)93.51-98.611(1.1)-0.5 0.7%1.9%0%3.2%16%741.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(3.6%)70.21.3Uptrend 101.67(7.75%)90.3-106.553.07   -9.6%-449.7% 
19Jul_9_202073.72 (3.8%)87.19 (3.2%)92.08 (3.7%) 94.99 98.19(0%)96.31(-2.17%)93.48-101.161.2(1.3)1 0.2%2.6%0%3.44%18.3%782 Growing Uptrend  Range(3.9%)80.31Uptrend 104.17(8.16%)91.29-109.694.33   -7.8%-464.9% 
20Jul_8_202071.16 (3.6%)85.3 (3.4%)88.77 (3.5%) 90.98 101.77(0%)98.45(-5.73%)95.5-105.021.4(1.6)0.8 7.2%3.5%0%3.54%19.9%812 Growing Uptrend  Higher(13.6%)80.41.1Uptrend 107.3(8.99%)91.91-113.97.87   -5.7%-477.4% 
 
21Jul_7_202068.5 (3.4%)82.41 (3.6%)85.76 (5.1%) 86.06 91.83(0%)104.43(31.54%)95.5-111.772(2.2)1.6 9.1%4.7%0%3.64%20.3%872.1 Overbought  Higher(13.8%)80.61Overbought 86.66(-17.02%)63.79-120.9426.4   0%-600.9% 
22Jul_6_202065.42 (3%)78.44 (3.6%)81.6 (0.5%) 80.98 80.19(0%)79.39(-2.99%)76.1-81.190.8(0.9)-1.8 -0.4%2%0%3.5%19.9%822 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(3.1%)8-0.21.1Uptrend 86.23(8.62%)76.65-90.343.82   -5.1%-432.8% 
23Jul_2_202063.78 (3.2%)77.09 (4.4%)81.2 (-0.4%) 82.27 80.3(0%)81.84(2.61%)75.4-84.31.1(1.2)0.2 -0.7%2.8%0%4.04%20.9%882.1 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(2.1%)901.2Uptrend 90.11(10.11%)77.43-95.555.17   -2.1%-490.5% 
24Jul_1_202061.91 (3.4%)74.95 (5.4%)81.52 (0.5%) 81.34 81.78(0%)79.76(-4.35%)76.58-82.61.1(1.2)-0.4 -1.7%3%0%4.74%21.1%882.1 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(3.5%)1000.9Uptrend 89.3(11.96%)75.4-95.256.6   -4.6%-475.5% 
25Jun_30_202060.11 (3.4%)72.63 (6%)81.09 (3.5%) 82.23 84.24(0%)83.39(-0.28%)80.67-89.51.4(1.6)1 3.2%3.9%0%5.24%20.8%902.1 Growing Uptrend  Higher(7.2%)100.10.4Uptrend 95.13(14.08%)77.85-102.547.76   -0.3%-514.1% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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Pattern
Next
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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