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     Thu. Jul. 30, 2020



Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Nov. 25, 2020)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $146.6100 (0.84%) ($139.5700 - $148.8800) on Thu. Jul. 30, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend Consolidation
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  NVAX advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX advances 13.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX decline at-2.3% a week (29% probability)
  XBI(34%)    ARKG(33%)    IBB(27%)    VCSH(27%)    ARKK(23%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will advance at least 1.5% in a week (10% probabilities).
  EDOC(-14%)    BJK(-11%)    UUP(-6%)    IYT(-6%)    TBT(-5%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.2
 
Relative Volatility   1.1 (options are expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   1
Hourly Trend   1.48% [$146.34(-0.34), $144.21(3.24)]
Last Hour Trend   0.33% [$147.27, $146.79]


NVAX Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  55%
Bullish Price Move  11.4%
Bearish Probability  45%
Bearish Price Move  -11.4%
Recommended Position Size  1%
Latest Price  $146.6100
Next Day Open Price  $147.58(0.66%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $139.65(-4.75%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $189.28(29.1%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $134.28 - $155.74
Support Level  $122.36
5 Day Moving Average  $142.73(2.72%)
10 Day Moving Average  $142.09(3.18%)
20 Day Moving Average  $122.36(19.82%)
To recent high  -1.2%
To recent low  754.1%
Market Cap  $8.974b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Mon. Mar. 1, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $129.00 ($105.00 - $155.00)
  5 analysts (last updated on Wed. Jul. 15, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  -12.01%
% to Low Target Price  -28.38%
% to High Target Price  5.72%
 


  
 
 


Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 18.69% (three month std-dev: 11.35%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. NVAX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200830

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Jul_30_2020-1.2%-754.1% 14.2%,0.8(-0)13.1%,0.7(-0.1)1%,0.10.30.33%16.1%1.111.21.610.9%1.75.4   146.61(0.84%)139.57-148.88Uptrend Consolidation 139.65(-4.75%)134.28-155.7484
2Jul_29_2020-2.1%-747% 14.6%,0.7(-0.1)15%,0.8(-0.1)-0.2%,-00.6-0.25%17.2%1.10.71.21.811.72%1.95.63   145.39(-2.07%)143.53-154.7Uptrend Consolidation 138.02(-5.07%)132.34-155.0581
3Jul_28_20200%-764.9% 16%,0.8(-0.1)17.1%,0.8(-0)1.1%,0.10.30.9%17.6%1.41.61.51.811.2%1.85.86   148.46(6.38%)136.5-151Uptrend 158.81(6.97%)140.02-166.8680
4Jul_27_2020-4.9%-713% 17.2%,0.8(-0.1)17.7%,0.8(-0.2)0.2%,0-0.60.3%17.7%1.10.41.21.8NAN%1.84.99   139.56(4.45%)131.83-141.28Uptrend Consolidation 132.64(-4.96%)126.44-151.2272
5Jul_24_2020-9%-678.4% 18.6%,0.9(-0.1)21.1%,1(-0.2)-1%,-0-0.30.28%17.9%1-11.21.9NAN%1.54.81   133.61(-4.3%)126.55-136.09Uptrend Consolidation 128.31(-3.97%)122.05-147.181
 
6Jul_23_2020-4.9%-713.3% 21.4%,1(-0)24.8%,1.1(-0)2.8%,0.10.3-0.27%17.3%1.40.51.51.9NAN%1.45.9   139.61(-4.88%)134.04-151.2Uptrend 155.34(11.27%)131.17-165.7181
7Jul_22_20200%-755.1% 22.3%,1(0)25.7%,1.2(0.1)5.5%,0.20.30.15%16.8%1.91.41.91.9NAN%1.76.12   146.78(4.33%)133.19-147.5Uptrend 163.56(11.43%)134.62-175.9684
8Jul_21_20200%-719.6% 21.9%,1(0)24.2%,1.1(0)5%,0.20.90%16.5%1.91.41.91.9NAN%1.78.86   140.69(1.66%)134.55-148.95Uptrend 155.39(10.45%)129.26-166.5980
9Jul_20_2020-1.5%-706.2% 21.7%,1(0)23.8%,1.1(0.1)5.8%,0.31.80.54%17.1%2.11.31.81.8NAN%2.112.86   138.39(-1.5%)124.1-151.2Relative Overbought 143.15(3.44%)102.97-176.0279
10Jul_17_20200%-718.5% 21.4%,1(0.1)20.9%,1(0.3)8.5%,0.41.5-0.29%15.5%2.5221.7NAN%215.1   140.5(16.67%)127.8-144.54Growing Uptrend 156.21(11.18%)126.81-163.5682
 
11Jul_16_20200%-601.6% 19.7%,1.1(0)15.5%,0.8(0.1)4.7%,0.20.91.27%14.1%1.91.91.21.6NAN%1.86.75   120.43(8.32%)109.1-122.68Growing Uptrend 129.57(7.59%)111.97-133.9672
12Jul_15_20200%-547.7% 19.4%,1(-0)13.3%,0.7(-0)2.5%,0.10.91.13%13.7%1.61.50.81.6NAN%1.85.24   111.18(1.15%)105.8-114.94Uptrend 117.23(5.44%)104.34-122.7572
13Jul_14_20200%-540.4% 19.8%,1(-0.1)13.8%,0.7(-0.1)1.1%,0.10.90.85%14.3%1.71.80.81.7NAN%1.35.33   109.92(5.48%)99.15-112.77Uptrend Consolidation 100.49(-8.58%)94.68-117.976
14Jul_13_2020-0.2%-507% 20.9%,1(0.1)16.1%,0.8(0.1)5.2%,0.30.3-1.58%15.1%1.60.80.61.7NAN%18.61   104.2(10.43%)95.26-113.98Uptrend 111.93(7.42%)97.84-117.9776
15Jul_10_2020-9.6%-449.7% 19.4%,0.9(0)14.6%,0.7(-0.1)2.7%,0.1-0.6-0.05%16%1.1-0.10.21.8NAN%1.33.07   94.36(-2.02%)93.51-98.61Uptrend 101.52(7.59%)89.79-106.5574
 
16Jul_9_2020-7.8%-464.9% 19.1%,0.8(0)16.3%,0.7(-0)3.7%,0.20.6-0.88%18.3%1.30.40.32NAN%14.33   96.31(-2.17%)93.48-101.16Uptrend 104.01(7.99%)90.73-109.6978
17Jul_8_2020-5.7%-477.4% 18.4%,0.8(0)17.4%,0.7(-0)3.5%,0.11.8-0.51%19.9%1.60.80.42NAN%1.17.87   98.45(-5.73%)95.5-105.02Uptrend 106.95(8.63%)90.73-113.981
18Jul_7_20200%-600.9% 17.4%,0.7(0.1)18.5%,0.8(0)5.1%,0.20.9-2.14%20.3%2.21.90.62.1NAN%126.4   104.43(31.54%)95.5-111.77Overbought 85.13(-18.48%)61.25-120.9487
19Jul_6_2020-5.1%-432.8% 15.5%,0.7(-0)18.3%,0.8(-0.2)0.5%,0-0.3-0.21%19.9%0.9-0.9-0.22NAN%1.13.82   79.39(-2.99%)76.1-81.19Uptrend Consolidation 76.42(-3.74%)73-86.6982
20Jul_2_2020-2.1%-490.5% 15.9%,0.7(-0)22%,0.9(-0.2)-0.4%,-0-0.30.83%20.9%1.20.102.1NAN%1.25.17   81.84(2.61%)75.4-84.3Uptrend Consolidation 76.78(-6.18%)72.05-90.9888
 
21Jul_1_2020-4.6%-475.5% 16.9%,0.7(-0)26.6%,1.1(-0.1)0.5%,001.06%21.1%1.2-0.302.1NAN%0.96.6   79.76(-4.35%)76.58-82.6Uptrend Consolidation 75.08(-5.87%)70.08-90.0988
22Jun_30_2020-0.3%-514.1% 17.3%,0.7(0)30.1%,1.2(-0)3.5%,0.10.30.52%20.8%1.60.60.12.1NAN%0.47.76   83.39(-0.28%)80.67-89.5Uptrend 94.98(13.9%)77.34-102.5490
23Jun_29_20200%-515.8% 16.5%,0.7(0)30.3%,1.3(0)4.8%,0.20-1.58%19.3%1.91.10.22NAN%0.48.68   83.62(8.05%)78.7-88.97Uptrend 94.3(12.77%)76.37-101.9888
24Jun_26_2020-7.2%-507.5% 15.6%,0.7(0.1)29.5%,1.4(0.1)3.5%,0.20.9-0.71%17%1.70.60.11.9NAN%0.113.5   77.39(-7.23%)70.31-81.43Uptrend 86.34(11.57%)71.93-92.5287
25Jun_25_20200%-610% 14.2%,0.7(0.2)28.3%,1.4(0.2)7.2%,0.31.8-0.73%14.8%2.51.60.31.9NAN%0.210.67   83.42(7.44%)80.04-86.5Breakout 91.9(10.17%)75.15-99.0890
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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