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     Tue. Jul. 21, 2020

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jan. 26, 2021)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $140.6900 (1.66%) ($134.5500 - $148.9500) on Tue. Jul. 21, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $21.66 (21.66% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  11.49% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  3.4% (StdDev 11.49%)
Daily Moving Force  3.2%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   4.7%
Trend Strength  16.5%
RSI   80
Momentum  1.9
Latest Price  $140.6900(1.66%)
Forecasted Low Price  136.61(-2.9%)
Forecasted High Price  154.06(9.5%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(10.5%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  10% (127.88)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  26.5%
Hourly Trend   1% [$139.6(1.42), $133.92(7.6)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  9
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  NVAX advances 5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX advances 24.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at 3.7% a week (28% probability)
  XBI(34%)    ARKG(29%)    IBB(28%)    VCSH(23%)    IPO(22%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will advance at least 0.2% in a week (6% probabilities).
  IYT(-7%)    XLC(-6%)    UUP(-6%)    TBT(-5%)    XLRE(-3%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.9
 
Relative Volatility   1.8 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  7.3% (StdDev 11.49%)
Hourly BBV   6.4 ()
Intraday Trend   0.1%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $140.69(0%)
Support Level  $100.02
5 Day Moving Average  $130.24(8.02%)
10 Day Moving Average  $116.49(20.77%)
20 Day Moving Average  $100.02(40.66%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  719.6%
Market Cap  $8.612b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Mon. Mar. 1, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $129.00 ($105.00 - $155.00)
  5 analysts (last updated on Wed. Jul. 15, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  -8.31%
% to Low Target Price  -25.37%
% to High Target Price  10.17%
 
 


Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 21.66% (three month std-dev: 11.49%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. NVAX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200821

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
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To High-Low
1Jul_21_2020100.02 (4.4%)116.49 (4.8%)130.24 (5%) 133.92 139.6(0%)140.69(1.66%)134.55-148.951.7(1.9)6.4 3.2%3.4%0%4.7%16.5%801.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(6.6%)91.91.7Uptrend 155.84(10.77%)130.79-166.598.86   0%-719.6% 
2Jul_20_202096.21 (4.4%)112.67 (4.8%)124.08 (5.8%) 126.32 138.18(0%)138.39(-1.5%)124.1-151.21.8(2.1)1.9 6.5%4.8%0%4.62%17.1%791.8 Growing Uptrend  Higher(12.1%)91.82.1Relative Overbought 145.14(4.88%)107.4-176.0212.86   -1.5%-706.2% 
3Jul_17_202092.43 (4.2%)106.77 (4.2%)117.25 (8.5%) 118.8 128.25(0%)140.5(16.67%)127.8-144.542.3(2.5)2.3 9.1%5.3%-8.1%4.2%15.5%821.7 Overbought  Lower(-11.3%)822Growing Uptrend 156.35(11.28%)127.53-163.5615.1   0%-718.5% 
4Jul_16_202088.26 (4%)100.72 (3.2%)108.02 (4.7%) 110.32 114.47(0%)120.43(8.32%)109.1-122.681.7(1.9)2.7 4.7%4%0%3.36%14.1%721.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(8.7%)71.21.8Growing Uptrend 129.79(7.77%)113.1-133.966.75   0%-601.6% 
5Jul_15_202084.98 (3.8%)96.61 (2.6%)103.19 (2.5%) 104.58 109.36(0%)111.18(1.15%)105.8-114.941.5(1.6)2.6 3%3.1%0%3.02%13.7%721.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(6.1%)70.81.8Uptrend 117.38(5.58%)104.87-122.755.24   0%-547.7% 
 
6Jul_14_202082.03 (4%)93.77 (2.8%)100.65 (1.1%) 101.09 106.17(0%)109.92(5.48%)99.15-112.771.6(1.7)1.6 3.8%3.1%0%3.12%14.3%761.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(6.9%)70.81.3Uptrend 116.19(5.7%)102.84-121.95.33   0%-540.4% 
7Jul_13_202079.08 (4.2%)91.04 (3.2%)99.55 (5.2%) 98.95 99.81(0%)104.2(10.43%)95.26-113.981.4(1.6)1.4 2.8%3.2%0%3.5%15.1%761.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(6%)70.61Uptrend 112.09(7.57%)98.37-117.978.61   -0.2%-507% 
8Jul_10_202076.17 (3.8%)88.32 (3%)94.59 (2.7%) 99.03 96.24(0%)94.36(-2.02%)93.51-98.611(1.1)-0.5 0.7%1.9%0%3.2%16%741.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(3.6%)70.21.3Uptrend 101.67(7.75%)90.3-106.553.07   -9.6%-449.7% 
9Jul_9_202073.72 (3.8%)87.19 (3.2%)92.08 (3.7%) 94.99 98.19(0%)96.31(-2.17%)93.48-101.161.2(1.3)1 0.2%2.6%0%3.44%18.3%782 Growing Uptrend  Range(3.9%)80.31Uptrend 104.17(8.16%)91.29-109.694.33   -7.8%-464.9% 
10Jul_8_202071.16 (3.6%)85.3 (3.4%)88.77 (3.5%) 90.98 101.77(0%)98.45(-5.73%)95.5-105.021.4(1.6)0.8 7.2%3.5%0%3.54%19.9%812 Growing Uptrend  Higher(13.6%)80.41.1Uptrend 107.3(8.99%)91.91-113.97.87   -5.7%-477.4% 
 
11Jul_7_202068.5 (3.4%)82.41 (3.6%)85.76 (5.1%) 86.06 91.83(0%)104.43(31.54%)95.5-111.772(2.2)1.6 9.1%4.7%0%3.64%20.3%872.1 Overbought  Higher(13.8%)80.61Overbought 86.66(-17.02%)63.79-120.9426.4   0%-600.9% 
12Jul_6_202065.42 (3%)78.44 (3.6%)81.6 (0.5%) 80.98 80.19(0%)79.39(-2.99%)76.1-81.190.8(0.9)-1.8 -0.4%2%0%3.5%19.9%822 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(3.1%)8-0.21.1Uptrend 86.23(8.62%)76.65-90.343.82   -5.1%-432.8% 
13Jul_2_202063.78 (3.2%)77.09 (4.4%)81.2 (-0.4%) 82.27 80.3(0%)81.84(2.61%)75.4-84.31.1(1.2)0.2 -0.7%2.8%0%4.04%20.9%882.1 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(2.1%)901.2Uptrend 90.11(10.11%)77.43-95.555.17   -2.1%-490.5% 
14Jul_1_202061.91 (3.4%)74.95 (5.4%)81.52 (0.5%) 81.34 81.78(0%)79.76(-4.35%)76.58-82.61.1(1.2)-0.4 -1.7%3%0%4.74%21.1%882.1 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(3.5%)1000.9Uptrend 89.3(11.96%)75.4-95.256.6   -4.6%-475.5% 
15Jun_30_202060.11 (3.4%)72.63 (6%)81.09 (3.5%) 82.23 84.24(0%)83.39(-0.28%)80.67-89.51.4(1.6)1 3.2%3.9%0%5.24%20.8%902.1 Growing Uptrend  Higher(7.2%)100.10.4Uptrend 95.13(14.08%)77.85-102.547.76   -0.3%-514.1% 
 
16Jun_29_202058.33 (3.2%)69.56 (6%)78.34 (4.8%) 80.7 80.9(0%)83.62(8.05%)78.7-88.971.7(1.9)2.4 2.8%4.1%0%5.22%19.2%882 Growing Uptrend  Higher(6.9%)100.20.4Uptrend 94.58(13.11%)77.34-101.988.68   0%-515.8% 
17Jun_26_202056.67 (3.2%)66.3 (5.8%)74.79 (3.5%) 76.79 80.21(0%)77.39(-7.23%)70.31-81.431.5(1.7)1.7 1.9%4.2%0%5.06%17%871.9 Uptrend Dip  Higher(9.7%)100.10.1Uptrend Dip 99.58(28.67%)67.3-107.6513.5   -7.2%-507.5% 
18Jun_25_202055.03 (2.8%)63.18 (5.6%)72.25 (7.2%) 73.32 80.5(0%)83.42(7.44%)80.04-86.52.2(2.5)2.3 7.7%5.5%-5.5%4.82%14.8%901.9 Overbought  Lower(-6.3%)90.30.2Breakout 92.16(10.48%)76.02-99.0810.67   0%-610% 
19Jun_24_202052.98 (2.2%)59.21 (4.8%)67.42 (7.1%) 68.49 73.38(0%)77.64(11.52%)70-80.72.3(2.6)2.1 8.4%5%-7.4%4.02%11.8%891.6 Overbought  Lower(-10.2%)80.10Breakout 83.09(7.02%)71.36-88.1110.92   0%-560.8% 
20Jun_23_202051.26 (1.6%)55.84 (4%)62.98 (5.9%) 63.66 66.14(0%)69.62(5.69%)62.94-69.992.1(2.4)3.7 4.5%3.8%-2.2%3.26%8.9%881.3 Overbought  Higher(6.1%)8-0.20.1Breakout 72.74(4.48%)65.46-75.866.1   0%-547% 
 
21Jun_22_202050.09 (1%)53.39 (3.2%)59.46 (5.2%) 60.52 63.61(0%)65.87(1.82%)59.29-67.912.1(2.4)3.8 4.5%3.5%-2%2.48%6.6%701.1 Overbought  Higher(6%)7-0.30.3Breakout 67.55(2.55%)62.42-69.758.39   0%-512.2% 
22Jun_19_202049.03 (0.6%)51.21 (2.2%)56.5 (7.3%) 57.24 61.19(0%)64.69(9.09%)61.75-66.062.6(2.9)3.5 6.2%3.2%-10.1%1.7%4.4%621 Overbought  Lower(-17.1%)7-0.3-0.1Breakout 65.38(1.06%)61.09-67.2111.52   0%-525% 
23Jun_18_202048.2 (0.4%)49.25 (1.2%)52.67 (6%) 53.93 57.42(0%)59.3(7.05%)55.02-59.812.4(2.7)2.2 6.7%2.4%-5.5%1.02%2.2%670.7 Overbought  Lower(-8.1%)6-0.5-0.3Breakout 59.29(-0.02%)56.92-60.35.64   0%-472.9% 
24Jun_17_202047.79 (0.4%)47.7 (0.6%)49.71 (4.4%) 50.43 53.28(0%)55.4(6.47%)51.81-58.342(2.3)2.1 5.2%1.8%0%0.5%-0.2%660.6 Overbought  Higher(7%)5-0.6-0.7Uptrend 55.21(-0.35%)53.83-55.799.32   -2.8%-483.2% 
25Jun_16_202047.64 (0.4%)46.53 (0%)47.62 (2.6%) 47.64 50.44(0%)52.03(1.89%)48.21-52.571.3(1.4)1.8 4.2%0.4%0%0.14%-2.3%610.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(4.6%)4-0.8-0.7N/A 50.99(-2%)49.39-52.295.01   -8.7%-653% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
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Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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