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     Thu. Jul. 9, 2020

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $96.3100 (-2.17%) ($93.4800 - $101.1550) on Thu. Jul. 9, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  11.82% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $96.3100(-2.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  NVAX advances 3.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX advances 16.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  XBI(35%)    IBB(32%)    ARKG(27%)    IPO(27%)    ARKK(26%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will decline at least -5.91% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-11%)    VXX(-6%)    UUP(-6%)    IYT(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -5.91% (StdDev 11.82%)
Hourly BBV   -1.4 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $92.08(4.59%)
10 Day Moving Average  $87.19(10.46%)
20 Day Moving Average  $73.72(30.64%)
To recent high  -7.8%
To recent low  464.9%
Market Cap  $5.895b
 
 
 
Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 23.16% (three month std-dev: 11.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4   Average positive next day return: 6.84%(75%)   Average negative next day return: -7.8%(25%)
Sample size 4   Average positive next three day return: 14%(75%)   Average negative next three day return: -13%(25%)
Sample size 4   Average positive next weekly return: 20.83%(75%)   Average negative next weekly return: -15.18%(25%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200809

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1Jul_9_202033.3273.7287.1992.08 94.99 98.1996.31(-2.17%)UDOpenLong750.2   22   330   1   83   4.33    100%2.8182.411.82%-1.41.3780.8
2Jul_8_202032.4171.1685.388.77 90.98 101.7798.45(-5.73%)UDOpenLong750.6   74   900   61   113   7.87    100%2.9276.211.81%0.21.6810.9
3Jul_7_202031.4968.582.4185.76 86.06 91.83104.43(31.54%)UTHoldLong651.1   84   480   71   122   26.4    100%2.4471.711.85%1.22.2870.7
4Jul_6_202030.7465.4278.4481.6 80.98 80.1979.39(-2.99%)UDOpenLong65-0.1   22   -90   -3   95   3.82    100%3.2667.211.38%-0.20.9821.1
5Jul_2_202029.7763.7877.0981.2 82.27 80.381.84(2.61%)UDOpenLong650   25   -130   -5   115   5.17    100%2.6266.411.33%0.61.2880.8
 
6Jul_1_202029.0161.9174.9581.52 81.34 81.7879.76(-4.35%)UDOpenLong65-0.1   25   30   -12   136   6.6    100%2.6269.411.34%-0.71.2880.6
7Jun_30_202028.2760.1172.6381.09 82.23 84.2483.39(-0.28%)UDOpenLong750.2   61   210   25   170   7.76    100%2.8471.411.26%0.31.6900.3
8Jun_29_202027.4958.3369.5678.34 80.7 80.983.62(8.05%)UTHoldLong650.4   59   110   22   170   8.68    100%2.9671.211.28%0.51.988-0.2
9Jun_26_202026.756.6766.374.79 76.79 80.2177.39(-7.23%)UDOpenLong750.2   51   390   14   163   13.5    100%2.7771.711.26%-0.71.787-0.9
10Jun_25_202025.9855.0363.1872.25 73.32 80.583.42(7.44%)UTHoldLong651   87   730   58   175   10.67    100%3.167.911.2%0.92.590-0.3
 
11Jun_24_202025.252.9859.2167.42 68.49 73.3877.64(11.52%)UTHoldLong651.1   81   550   57   151   10.92    100%2.9460.311.28%1.32.689-0.7
12Jun_23_202024.4851.2655.8462.98 63.66 66.1469.62(5.69%)UTHoldLong650.9   52   310   30   117   6.1    100%2.6850.911.39%1.62.488-0
13Jun_22_202023.8450.0953.3959.46 60.52 63.6165.87(1.82%)UTOpenLong751   44   410   28   93   8.39    100%2.5436.511.39%1.52.470-0.2
14Jun_19_202023.2549.0351.2156.5 57.24 61.1964.69(9.09%)UTOpenLong751.5   46   520   38   71   11.52    100%2.629.911.52%1.52.962-0.8
15Jun_18_202022.6648.249.2552.67 53.93 57.4259.3(7.05%)UTOpenLong751.6   40   520   37   48   5.64    100%2.4426.611.52%12.767-0.7
 
16Jun_17_202022.1247.7947.749.71 50.43 53.2855.4(6.47%)UTOpenLong751.7   27   440   27   26   9.32    100%2.2723.811.56%0.92.366-0.9
17Jun_16_202021.6347.6446.5347.62 47.64 50.4452.03(1.89%)UTOpenLong751.4   16   410   19   8   5.01    93%2.0826.812.31%1.21.461-1
18Jun_15_202021.1947.8146.1946.4 46.28 47.5851.07(12.06%)UTOpenLong751.3   14   190   18   2   8.68    93%2.1255.412.6%1.60.955-1.3
19Jun_12_202020.7547.4546.2445.14 45.26 44.8445.57(2.45%)DPOpenShort-750.1   -2   -60   -1   -6   3.29    93%1.9278.312.65%0.1-0.551-1.4
20Jun_11_202020.3647.1446.345.29 45.13 44.9744.48(-1.05%)DTOpenShort-75-0.2   -6   -40   -4   -10   4.04    93%1.995.712.79%-1.6-0.643-2.6
 
21Jun_10_202019.984746.3745.33 45.46 45.6844.95(-2.13%)DTHoldShort-50-0.1   -2   40   2   -15   2.3    93%1.83121.612.79%0-0.5400.9
22Jun_9_202019.6246.846.4545.19 45.39 45.2845.93(2.6%)DPOpenShort-750.2   -8   -0   -2   -25   3.83    87%1.4142.312.78%0.3-0.2401
23Jun_8_202019.3545.8546.6645.94 45.18 45.2444.77(-3.36%)DTOpenShort-75-0.2   -15   -40   -9   -31   4.79    87%2.11110.413.09%-0.4-0.2351.6
24Jun_5_202018.9544.6946.8347.56 46.48 45.546.32(3.64%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -6   -220   -2   -18   8.02    87%1.5592.813.08%0.10.2572
25Jun_4_202018.6643.4147.1847.49 47.89 45.1144.7(1.01%)DPOpenShort-75-0.3   -10   -380   -9   -12   5.7    87%79.613.15%-0.90.1621.6
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