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     Fri. Jun. 5, 2020

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $46.3200 (3.64%) ($45.2620 - $50.4900) on Fri. Jun. 5, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  13.08% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $46.3200(3.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  NVAX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX declines -3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  XBI(35%)    IBB(31%)    ARKG(28%)    IPO(27%)    ARKK(26%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will decline at least -6.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-10%)    VXX(-6%)    UUP(-6%)    IYT(-6%)    TBT(-1%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -6.54% (StdDev 13.08%)
Hourly BBV   0.1 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Inflection Point  Yes
5 Day Moving Average  $47.56(-2.61%)
10 Day Moving Average  $46.83(-1.09%)
20 Day Moving Average  $44.69(3.65%)
To recent high  -18.7%
To recent low  570.3%
Market Cap  $2.835b
 
 
 
Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 20.05% (three month std-dev: 13.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0   Average positive next day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next day return: 0%(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next three day return: %(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200705

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1Jun_5_202018.9544.6946.8347.56 46.48 45.546.32(3.64%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -6   -220   -2   -18   8.02    87%1.5592.813.08%0.10.2572
2Jun_4_202018.6643.4147.1847.49 47.89 45.1144.7(1.01%)DPOpenShort-75-0.3   -10   -380   -9   -12   5.7    87%1.4779.613.15%-0.90.1621.6
3Jun_3_202018.3942.1647.9747.52 48.04 47.4544.25(-10.88%)DTOpenShort-75-0.3   -11   -50   -13   -3   16.89    87%1.5571.213.15%-20.2591.7
4Jun_2_202018.1140.9448.9247.76 47.98 50.6749.65(-6.07%)UDOpenLong750.1   14   410   12   21   6.48    81%1.9166.213.15%0.30.7641.3
5Jun_1_202017.7739.4349.5747.46 46.61 48.6452.86(14.89%)UTHoldLong650.4   26   250   18   51   9.68    81%2.1962.113.55%1.71811
 
6May_29_202017.3937.6848.6746.11 46.23 45.2946.01(2.68%)UDOpenLong65-0   15   -130   -1   62   4.12    80%1.8156.813.57%0.50.6831.3
7May_28_202017.0836.3448.0346.93 46.54 44.5944.81(-1.43%)UDOpenLong65-0.1   9   -320   -17   87   4.95    82%1.8557.713.68%-0.50.6830.9
8May_27_202016.7735.0647.7348.55 47.83 47.1745.46(-5.62%)UDOpenLong65-0.2   23   -140   -13   131   10.41    83%1.9561.314.29%-0.60.7851.5
9May_26_202016.4533.8247.2750.23 49.78 48.548.17(4.42%)UDOpenLong65-0.1   42   -210   -7   187   21.98    84%2.2467.214.58%-0.61851.3
10May_22_202016.0932.4445.1151.99 50.72 48.4846.13(-7.87%)UDOpenLong65-0.4   51   -380   -13   241   6.06    84%2.2275.214.46%-1.60.9831.2
 
11May_21_202015.7431.142.6151.51 53.29 51.0650.07(-5.43%)UDOpenLong75-0.1   72   -190   4   277   5.45    84%2.6177.314.5%-0.91.3871.1
12May_20_202015.3429.5539.5649.14 51.44 52.9652.94(-1.73%)UDOpenLong750.3   75   350   5   286   8.16    84%2.957614.47%-0.71.7871.5
13May_19_202014.927.8736.0246.68 48.16 55.5153.87(-5.44%)UDOpenLong750.6   103   1160   35   308   12.43    84%3.197814.46%0.32.1860.9
14May_18_202014.4426.1332.3643.87 44.67 49.9256.97(30.43%)UTHoldLong651.2   128   880   64   320   24.44    84%3.7481.714.42%1.42.8831.4
15May_15_202013.9224.328.337.38 40.61 40.8143.68(14.26%)UTHoldLong650.7   89   290   38   242   21.79    83%2.6578.114.03%1.92.3781
 
16May_14_202013.5622.9825.5832.39 35.49 39.4238.23(-6%)UDOpenLong750.8   63   1060   27   171   7.76    82%2.2665.814.08%-12.1770.8
17May_13_202013.2621.9123.4828.37 30.51 40.4140.67(2.19%)UTHoldLong651.9   88   2500   72   135   24.18    82%2.7152.414.04%0.62.9780.1
18May_12_202012.9120.6621.0923.67 24.94 31.5639.8(62.38%)UTOpenLong753.4   82   2020   84   75   74    82%2.739.714.04%1.44751.2
19May_11_202012.5719.4818.9419.26 19.11 20.6124.51(30.75%)N/AN/A02.6   16   530   24   -7   22.25    78%1.2130.911.86%2.12.5572.3
20May_8_202012.4219.1118.518 18.02 18.3118.75(3.39%)DPOpenShort-650.4   -5   120   7   -40   3.04    75%0.6520.911.27%1.2-0.2302
 
21May_7_202012.3419.0418.618 17.83 17.6118.13(5.62%)DPOpenShort-750.2   -12   -70   -0   -46   3.39    75%0.6524.111.36%0.5-0.5511.4
22May_6_202012.2619.0118.8117.71 17.65 17.7317.17(-3.4%)DTOpenShort-75-0.3   -15   20   -5   -43   2.47    75%0.4932.311.42%-1.4-1520.8
23May_5_202012.218.9319.2317.98 17.93 18.0517.77(-2.2%)DTOpenShort-75-0.1   -10   40   -3   -31   2.92    75%0.6636.911.41%0.7-0.6561.1
24May_4_202012.1218.8719.618.53 18.03 17.5718.17(4.94%)DPOpenShort-75-0.2   -10   -260   -8   -17   3.72    75%0.6648.511.4%0.2-0.3550.5
25May_1_202012.0418.7620.1419.11 18.69 17.8117.32(-4.5%)N/AN/A0-0.8   -6   -400   -10   5   4.75    75%60.811.42%-1-0.7540.4
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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100
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