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     Fri. Sep. 18, 2020



Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 8, 2014 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)

(Netflex stock)

NFLX latest price $463.7500 (-1.39%) ($458.6000 - $479.4000) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  NFLX declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NFLX declines -5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NFLX decline at-3.1% a week (61% probability)
  QQQ(63%)    IWF(62%)    VUG(61%)    IVW(60%)    SKYY(58%)  
Factors Impacting NFLX price  NFLX will advance at least 0.2% in a week (30% probabilities).
  SHY(-33%)    VIXM(-31%)    BJK(-30%)    VXX(-29%)    FEX(-24%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.3
 
Relative Volatility   1.1 (options are expensive)
 
Hourly Trend   -2.33% [$468.47(-11.19), $479.64(-2.89)]
Last Hour Trend   -0.56% [$463.65, $466.24]


NFLX Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  40%
Bullish Price Move  3%
Bearish Probability  60%
Bearish Price Move  -3%
Recommended Position Size  -7%
Latest Price  $463.7500
Next Hour Price  $458.56(-1.12%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $456.38(-1.59%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $426.61(-8.01%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $449.96 - $471.27
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $504.57
5 Day Moving Average  $477.9(-2.96%)
10 Day Moving Average  $486.64(-4.7%)
20 Day Moving Average  $504.57(-8.09%)
To recent high  -16.7%
To recent low  4.7%
Market Cap  $204.521b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Tue. Oct. 20, 2020
Analyst One Year Target Price  $525.49 ($220.00 - $625.00)
  38 analysts (last updated on Sun. Sep. 13, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  13.31%
% to Low Target Price  -52.56%
% to High Target Price  34.77%
 


  
 
 


Netflix, Inc. is an Internet subscription service company, which provides subscription service streaming movies and television episodes over the Internet and sending DVDs by mail. It operates through the following segments: Domestic Streaming, International Streaming and Domestic DVD. The Domestic Streaming segment derives revenues from monthly membership fees for services consisting solely of streaming content to its members in the United States. The International Streaming segment includes fees from members outside the United States. The Domestic DVD segment covers revenues from services consisting solely of DVD-by-mail. The company was founded by Marc Randolph and Wilmot Reed Hastings Jr., on August 29, 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, CA.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. NFLX price fluctuates within 5.41% (three month std-dev: 3.04%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. NFLX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVT(RV,IV)VIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_18_2020-16.7%-4.7% -0.8%,-0.1(-0.1)-5.7%,-1.1(-0.1)-0.8%,-0.1-1.2-0.56%-3.6%-1.5-1.31.1(5.41%,NAN%)2.14.25   463.75(-1.39%)458.6-479.4Downtrend 456.38(-1.59%)449.96-471.2734
2Sep_17_2020-15.6%-6.1% -0.4%,-0.1(-0)-5.4%,-1.1(-0)-0.4%,-0.1-0.30.07%-2.7%-1.4-1.40.9(5.06%,2.46%)2.15.36   470.29(-2.74%)463.27-478.4Downtrend 463.94(-1.35%)458.39-476.8334
3Sep_16_2020-13.2%-10.8% -0.2%,-0(-0.1)-5.2%,-1.1(-0.3)-0.7%,-0.10.6-0.32%-1.4%-1-10.9(4.88%,2.27%)1.44.38   483.52(-2.55%)483.31-504.66Downtrend 477.52(-1.24%)472.9-488.2432
4Sep_15_2020-10.9%-16.6% 0.2%,0(-0)-3.8%,-0.8(-0.2)-0.4%,-0.10-0.08%-0.1%-0.5-0.40.8(4.81%,2.56%)0.85.32   496.16(4.29%)481.63-497.47Correction 473.73(-4.52%)469.91-48954
5Sep_14_2020-14.6%-11.8% 0.3%,0.1(-0.1)-3%,-0.6(-0.3)-1.6%,-0.3-0.90.11%0.6%-1.3-1.51(4.92%,2.62%)0.87.3   475.77(-1.29%)471.3-488.99Correction 453.79(-4.62%)450.04-468.7551
 
6Sep_11_2020-13.5%-15.3% 0.6%,0.1(-0.1)-1.6%,-0.3(-0.3)-1.7%,-0.4-1.20.25%1.5%-1.1-0.61.1(4.83%,2.59%)0.15.03   481.97(0.33%)476.81-493.73Correction 466.35(-3.24%)463.33-478.4751
7Sep_10_2020-13.7%-15% 0.9%,0.2(-0.1)-0.2%,-0(-0.6)-2.8%,-0.6-0.9-0.96%2.4%-1.1-0.71.2(4.84%,2.88%)-0.76.22   480.4(-3.96%)478.84-506.29Correction 469.01(-2.37%)466.46-479.2449
8Sep_9_2020-10.2%-19.7% 1.5%,0.3(-0.1)2.5%,0.5(-0.3)-2.1%,-0.4-0.9-0.74%3.8%-0.3-0.11.4(4.9%,2.63%)-0.76.76   500.22(-1.21%)492.57-520Uptrend Consolidation 502.87(0.53%)502.67-503.4958
9Sep_8_2020-9.1%-21.2% 1.7%,0.3(-0)3.8%,0.7(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.2-1.8-0.65%4%-00.81.7(5.21%,3.01%)-1.25.56   506.33(-1.97%)495-522Uptrend Consolidation 508.1(0.35%)506.33-513.3657
10Sep_4_2020-7.3%-24.6% 1.9%,0.4(-0)4.6%,0.9(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.1-1.51.02%4%0.40.52(5.2%,2.82%)-1.18.26   516.5(-1.76%)485.98-527.36Uptrend 524.35(1.52%)514.49-528.5862
 
11Sep_3_2020-5.6%-26.8% 2.1%,0.4(-0)5.1%,1(-0.1)-0%,-00-0.02%3.8%0.80.82.2(5.19%,2.65%)-2.49   525.75(-4.92%)521.32-554Uptrend 535(1.76%)521.66-540.7564
12Sep_2_2020-0.7%-33.3% 2.3%,0.5(-0)5.5%,1.1(-0)0.2%,01.50.1%3.5%1.91.32.4(5.11%,2.2%)0.25.85   552.94(-0.71%)537.37-556.5Uptrend 561.62(1.57%)542.35-569.8873
13Sep_1_20200%-34.3% 2.4%,0.5(0.1)5.8%,1.2(0.2)2.5%,0.50.60.05%2.7%2.422.2(4.64%,2.75%)09.54   556.92(5.15%)532.45-557.39Growing Uptrend 569.06(2.18%)545.29-575.0176
14Aug_31_2020-3.5%-27.7% 1.9%,0.5(0.1)4.9%,1.2(0.2)1.6%,0.4-0.30.34%1.9%1.611.5(3.93%,2.46%)0.14.93   529.65(1.09%)517.58-531.99Growing Uptrend 538.39(1.65%)523.4-542.1574
15Aug_28_2020-4.5%-26.7% 1.5%,0.4(0.1)4%,1.1(0.2)1.2%,0.31.2-0.1%1.4%1.50.50.9(3.69%,2.61%)0.84.4   523.91(-0.45%)522-539Growing Uptrend 530.51(1.26%)518.1-533.5964
 
16Aug_27_2020-4.1%-27.3% 1.2%,0.3(0.1)3.1%,0.9(0.3)1.1%,0.33.60.18%0.9%1.80.80.5(3.51%,2.56%)0.79.96   526.29(-3.9%)521.25-541Growing Uptrend 530.92(0.88%)519.82-533.6859
17Aug_26_2020-0.2%-32.5% 1%,0.3(0.2)2%,0.6(0.6)2.6%,0.81.8-0.01%0.4%3.42.20.2(3.23%,2.69%)1.320.17   547.67(11.67%)492.08-549.04Growing Uptrend 550.3(0.48%)536.16-553.8759
18Aug_25_2020-10.6%-18.6% 0.2%,0.1(0)0.1%,0(0.4)-0.1%,-0-0.60.21%-0.5%0.1-1-1.2(2.05%,1.98%)1.68.41   490.44(0.32%)485.09-492.47Range Bound 490.19(-0.05%)489.94-490.4444
19Aug_24_2020-10.9%-18.3% 0.2%,0.1(0.1)-0.7%,-0.3(0.2)0.3%,0.10.3-0.15%-0.9%-0-1.1-1.2(2.07%,1.98%)1.74.5   488.88(-0.74%)483.16-501N/A 488.54(-0.07%)488.12-488.8840
20Aug_21_2020-10.2%-19.1% 0.1%,0(0.1)-1.1%,-0.5(0.1)0.4%,0.20.9-0.04%-1.1%0.3-0.7-1.3(2.11%,2.03%)1.73.89   492.5(-1.08%)490-498.13Downtrend 491.61(-0.18%)491.46-491.9847
 
21Aug_20_2020-9.3%-20.4% -0.1%,-0.1(0.3)-1.3%,-0.6(-0)0.7%,0.30.60.13%-1%0.8-0.2-1.3(2.17%,1.63%)1.55.92   497.87(2.78%)483.89-498.94Downtrend 496.63(-0.25%)496.79-496.2554
22Aug_19_2020-11.7%-17.2% -0.8%,-0.4(0.2)-1.2%,-0.6(-0)0.4%,0.20.9-0.34%-0.6%-0.4-1-1.4(2.13%,1.77%)1.63.14   484.42(-1.47%)483.5-494.5Downtrend 483.55(-0.18%)482.87-485.1950
23Aug_18_2020-10.4%-18.9% -1.2%,-0.6(0.3)-1.2%,-0.5(0.1)1%,0.50.60.05%-0.4%0.3-0.7-1.5(2.12%,2.03%)1.63.5   491.66(1.89%)482.8-495.3Downtrend 490.43(-0.25%)490.09-491.1454
24Aug_17_2020-12.1%-16.7% -1.8%,-0.8(0.1)-1.3%,-0.6(-0)-0%,-00.60.11%-0%-0.5-1.4-1.6(2.21%,1.71%)1.82.41   482.53(0.04%)479.1-486.24Downtrend 480.99(-0.32%)479.87-483.5948
25Aug_14_2020-12.1%-16.7% -2%,-0.9(0.2)-1.3%,-0.6(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.21.2-0.06%0.1%-0.6-1.2-1.8(2.19%,2%)1.82.93   482.34(0.18%)480.21-488.33Downtrend 480.89(-0.3%)479.71-483.6644
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVTVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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