Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 8, 2014 - Thu. Feb. 25, 2021)

(Netflex stock)
NFLX latest price $548.1500 (-1.17%) ($548.1500 - $548.1500) on Thu. Feb. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Downtrend Consolidation Downtrend Pop
Trend Narrative   Rebound
Average Daily Price Swing   $8.18 (1.49% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.94% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   -0.1% (StdDev 2.94%)
Daily Moving Force   0.1%
Rebound Strength   None(0%)
Trend   -0.16%
Trend Strength   0.2%
RSI   48
Momentum   0.5
Latest Price   $548.1500(-1.17%)
Forecasted Low Price   544.04(-0.75%)
Forecasted High Price   555.28(1.3%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(0.5%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound   2.4% ((561.46))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   1.7%
Hourly Trend 0.1% [$551.38(0.38), $546.1(1.95)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   3
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Weekly Trend   NFLX declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NFLX decline at-0.1% a week (73% probability)
XLV(82%)    XLU(74%)    IWD(71%)    VYM(70%)    DIA(68%)
Factors Impacting NFLX price   NFLX will advance at least 0% in a week (61% probabilities).
VIXM(-77%)    XRT(-65%)    VXX(-65%)    UUP(-29%)    ROBT(-28%)
Trading Plan   Buy the rebound

Valuation to SPY 0.6

Relative Volatility -1.8 (options are cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.2% (StdDev 2.94%)
Hourly BBV 0.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Next Day Open Price   $551(0.52%)
Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $544.87(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $549.2(-0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $548.35(-0.04%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $241.743b

Option Sentiment

Earning Release Date   Tue. Jan. 26, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price   $561.28 ($235.00 - $700.00)
  37 analysts (last updated on Sat. Nov. 21, 2020)
% to Average Target Price   2.4%
% to Low Target Price   -57.13%
% to High Target Price   27.7%

Netflix, Inc. is an Internet subscription service company, which provides subscription service streaming movies and television episodes over the Internet and sending DVDs by mail. It operates through the following segments: Domestic Streaming, International Streaming and Domestic DVD. The Domestic Streaming segment derives revenues from monthly membership fees for services consisting solely of streaming content to its members in the United States. The International Streaming segment includes fees from members outside the United States. The Domestic DVD segment covers revenues from services consisting solely of DVD-by-mail. The company was founded by Marc Randolph and Wilmot Reed Hastings Jr., on August 29, 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, CA.

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. NFLX price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 2.94% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. NFLX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Feb_25_2021	548.35 (-0.2%)	549.2 (-0.2%)	544.87 (0%)	546.1	551.38(0%)	548.15(-1.17%)	548.15-548.15	-0.2(-0)	0.7	0.1%	-0.1%	0%	-0.16%	0.2%	48	0.5	Downtrend Consolidation Downtrend Pop	Range(0.6%)	3	0.6	0.5	Downtrend	547.6(-0.1%)	547.33-548.15	3.12	-6.6%-13%
2	Feb_24_2021	547.07 (-0.2%)	550.59 (-0.2%)	544.75 (0.1%)	544.15	551(0%)	554.62(1.4%)	554.62-554.62	-0.3(0.7)	1.5	1%	-0%	0%	-0.14%	0.6%	60	0.6	Uptrend Reversal	Range(1%)	3	-0.2	1.1	Downtrend	553.4(-0.22%)	553.58-553.06	2.62	-5.5%-14.9%
3	Feb_23_2021	547.3 (-0.2%)	550.84 (-0%)	544.11 (-0.4%)	542.39	540.82(0%)	546.98(2.38%)	546.98-548.56	-0.5(-0)	0.7	0.2%	-0%	0%	-0.1%	0.6%	51	0.7	Correction	Range(0.2%)	3	-0.4	1.5	Downtrend	546.21(-0.14%)	545.91-546.98	3.72	-6.8%-14.8%
4	Feb_22_2021	547.74 (-0%)	550.96 (-0%)	546.19 (-0.8%)	543.39	537.3(0%)	534.26(-1.12%)	534.26-534.26	-0.5(-1.2)	-2.7	-1.1%	-0.3%	0%	-0.02%	0.6%	50	0.7	N/A	Range(-0.8%)	4	-1.8	1.7	Range Bound	536.13(0.35%)	539.03-533.73	2.64	-9%-12.1%
5	Feb_19_2021	549.27 (0.2%)	552.77 (0.2%)	550.7 (-0.6%)	548.88	543.95(0%)	540.34(-1.32%)	540.34-540.34	-0.2(-0.8)	-2.4	-0.9%	-0.3%	0%	0.14%	0.6%	57	0.7	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.5%)	5	-1.1	1.9	Downtrend Reversal	536.99(-0.62%)	535.99-540.88	2.42	-8%-13.4%

6	Feb_18_2021	551.09 (0.2%)	554.12 (0.2%)	553.98 (-0.6%)	553	549.48(0%)	547.57(-0.69%)	547.57-547.57	0.1(-0.3)	-0.8	-0.7%	-0%	0%	0.26%	0.5%	57	0.8	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.4%)	6	-0.7	1.9	Uptrend Consolidation	548.83(0.23%)	548.82-548.82	2.13	-6.7%-14.9%
7	Feb_17_2021	552.9 (0.4%)	553.54 (0.4%)	557.12 (-0.3%)	555.88	553.81(0%)	551.4(-1.07%)	551.4-551.4	0.3(-0.1)	-1.1	-0.5%	0.2%	0%	0.42%	0.1%	70	0.9	Correction	Range(0.2%)	7	-0.7	2.1	Uptrend	554.71(0.6%)	552.14-555.83	1.84	-6.1%-15.7%
8	Feb_16_2021	550.7 (0.6%)	553.2 (0.4%)	558.51 (0.4%)	558.84	556.51(0%)	557.38(0.1%)	552.73-557.38	0.5(0.4)	-0.2	-0.1%	0.4%	0%	0.42%	0.5%	48	1.2	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.3%)	8	-0.3	2	Growing Uptrend	561.78(0.79%)	556.91-563.01	2.6	-5.1%-17%
9	Feb_12_2021	547.99 (0.4%)	551.49 (0.2%)	556.46 (0.2%)	559.37	557.95(0%)	556.81(0.01%)	556.81-556.81	0.5(0.4)	0.7	-0.1%	0.4%	0%	0.34%	0.6%	50	1.4	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.3%)	9	0	2.1	Growing Uptrend	560.99(0.75%)	555.71-562.31	1.82	-5.2%-16.9%
10	Feb_11_2021	545.37 (0.4%)	549.29 (0.2%)	555.15 (0.2%)	556.96	561.17(0%)	556.76(-1.15%)	556.76-566.07	0.6(0.5)	1.2	0.2%	0.4%	0%	0.24%	0.7%	47	1.5	Growing Uptrend	Range(1.2%)	9	0.2	2.2	Growing Uptrend	560.27(0.63%)	554.93-561.63	2.29	-5.2%-16.8%

11	Feb_10_2021	543.05 (0.4%)	547.5 (0%)	554.24 (0.9%)	554.75	560.79(0%)	563.26(0.88%)	563.26-563.26	0.6(0.8)	2	1.1%	0.7%	0%	0.14%	0.8%	44	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.8%)	8	0.5	2.2	Growing Uptrend	565.74(0.44%)	560.02-567.14	3.45	-4.1%-18.2%
12	Feb_9_2021	539.75 (0.4%)	543.2 (-0.4%)	549.49 (0.4%)	551.06	552.74(0%)	558.33(2.04%)	558.33-558.33	0.5(0.7)	1.5	0.7%	0.2%	0%	-0.1%	0.6%	40	1.7	Uptrend Reversal	Range(0.9%)	7	0.3	2	Correction	550.79(-1.35%)	544.61-558.33	3.4	-4.9%-18.7%
13	Feb_8_2021	536.88 (0.4%)	543.16 (-0.2%)	547.27 (0.3%)	546.36	548.71(0%)	547.15(-0.57%)	547.15-547.15	0.5(0.4)	0.1	%	0%	0%	-0.02%	1.2%	63	1.6	N/A	Range(0.3%)	6	0	1.8	Correction	542.5(-0.85%)	538.74-547.15	2.28	-6.8%-16.3%
14	Feb_5_2021	535.09 (0.2%)	543.93 (-0%)	545.73 (0.6%)	546.38	549.38(0%)	550.27(-0.35%)	550.27-550.27	0.5(0.5)	1.1	0.8%	-0%	0%	0.06%	1.7%	65	1.7	N/A	Range(1%)	5	0.3	1.7	Correction	545.26(-0.91%)	538.78-553.14	2.07	-6.3%-17%
15	Feb_4_2021	533.04 (0.2%)	545.13 (0.2%)	542.44 (0.5%)	543.66	544.01(0%)	552.2(2.35%)	537.38-552.2	0.5(0.7)	1.5	0.4%	-0.1%	0%	0.16%	2.3%	65	1.7	N/A	Range(0.3%)	5	0.5	1.5	The Top	549.66(-0.46%)	541.24-556.58	5.14	-6%-17.4%

16	Feb_3_2021	530.47 (0.2%)	547.39 (0.4%)	539.76 (0.7%)	540	543.37(0%)	539.52(-1.41%)	539.52-539.52	0.4(0.3)	-0.3	0.1%	-0.5%	0%	0.26%	3.2%	60	1.7	N/A	Range(0.3%)	5	0.2	1.7	Uptrend Consolidation	537.2(-0.43%)	535.15-543.41	2.55	-8.1%-14.7%
17	Feb_2_2021	529.48 (0%)	551.87 (0.6%)	535.77 (-0.5%)	540.72	543.32(0%)	547.22(1.45%)	547.22-547.22	0.3(0.6)	0.2	0.9%	0.6%	0%	0.42%	4.2%	65	1.7	Growing Uptrend	Range(1.5%)	5	0.6	1.4	N/A	548.1(0.16%)	538.34-556.1	3.26	-6.8%-16.3%
18	Feb_1_2021	528.15 (0.2%)	547.91 (0.6%)	538.67 (-0.6%)	533.66	536.64(0%)	539.42(1.04%)	539.42-539.42	0.4(0.4)	-1.4	-0.6%	0.4%	0%	0.5%	3.7%	62	1.7	Correction	Range(-0.2%)	4	0.6	1.1	Uptrend	543.84(0.82%)	537.25-546.65	2.96	-8.1%-14.7%
19	Jan_29_2021	528.11 (0.2%)	544.41 (0.8%)	542.12 (-1.1%)	538.75	538.12(0%)	533.85(-0.92%)	533.85-533.85	0.5(0.2)	-3.1	0.1%	0.4%	0%	0.56%	3.1%	58	1.7	Growing Uptrend	Range(1%)	4	0.7	0.2	Uptrend	539.78(1.11%)	533.12-542.62	3.6	-9.1%-13.5%
20	Jan_28_2021	527.62 (0.2%)	541.63 (0.8%)	548.37 (-1.4%)	544.46	530.69(0%)	538.81(3.71%)	538.81-553.15	0.7(0.4)	-1.8	-1.4%	0.4%	0%	0.66%	2.7%	59	1.7	Confirmed Correction	Range(-1%)	5	0.5	0.6	Uptrend Consolidation	537.19(-0.3%)	534.36-545.74	5.36	-8.2%-14.5%

21	Jan_27_2021	527.13 (0.4%)	538.88 (1%)	556.39 (-2.4%)	550.09	539.38(0%)	519.56(-7.5%)	517.25-519.56	1(-0.3)	-4.2	-3.1%	0.2%	0%	0.86%	2.2%	58	1.7	Confirmed Correction	Range(0.9%)	5	-0.1	0.9	Uptrend Consolidation	523.82(0.82%)	522.41-528.12	8.56	-11.5%-10.4%
22	Jan_26_2021	527.21 (0.6%)	537.04 (1.4%)	569.91 (2.1%)	565.07	558.23(0%)	561.7(0.9%)	554.01-561.7	1.7(1.2)	0.5	-0.2%	1%	0%	1.08%	1.9%	61	1.8	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.8%)	5	1	1.5	Growing Uptrend	579.11(3.1%)	556.31-584.8	5	-4.3%-19.4%
23	Jan_25_2021	524.68 (0.4%)	530.81 (1%)	557.95 (2.1%)	571.92	560.81(0%)	556.68(-1.49%)	556.68-556.68	1.5(1.2)	-0.1	0.2%	0.8%	0%	0.8%	1.2%	59	1.7	Growing Uptrend Correction	Higher(1.7%)	6	0.9	2.2	Growing Uptrend	568.59(2.14%)	551.53-572.87	6.69	-5.2%-18.3%
24	Jan_22_2021	522.43 (0.2%)	525.99 (0.6%)	546.3 (2.4%)	557.69	571.92(0%)	565.12(-2.38%)	564.38-565.12	1.2(1.6)	2.9	0.4%	0.9%	0%	0.5%	0.7%	55	1.7	Uptrend Dip	Higher(2.5%)	6	1.4	2.1	Uptrend Dip	581.11(2.83%)	550.29-588.85	7.49	-3.8%-20.1%
25	Jan_21_2021	520.24 (0%)	519.99 (0.4%)	533.38 (2.7%)	541.07	583.04(0%)	578.9(-1.41%)	578.9-578.9	0.7(2.3)	1.3	5%	1.3%	0%	0.24%	-0%	62	1.6	Breakout	Higher(7%)	5	1.9	2.4	Relative Overbought	570.39(-1.47%)	547.03-589.52	10.92	-1.4%-23.1%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low