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     Fri. Mar. 5, 2021

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Mar. 5, 2021)

(Microsoft)

MSFT latest price $232.7500 (2.49%) ($232.7500 - $232.7500) on Fri. Mar. 5, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Rebound
Trend Narrative  After Bottom
Average Daily Price Swing  $5.9 (2.48% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.46% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.3% (StdDev 1.46%)
Daily Moving Force  0.4%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -0.38%
Trend Strength  -2.2%
RSI   35
Momentum  1.7
Latest Price  $232.7500(2.49%)
Forecasted Low Price  231.47(-0.55%)
Forecasted High Price  233.91(0.5%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(-0.6%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  0.8% ((234.68))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  0.5%
Hourly Trend   1.1% [$229.92(2.44), $230.44(-0.88)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  2
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Weekly Trend  MSFT declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support MSFT decline at-0.5% a week (89% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    IVW(89%)    IWF(89%)    VUG(89%)    XLK(84%)  
Factors Impacting MSFT price  MSFT will decline at least -0.2% in a week (57% probabilities).
  VXX(-75%)    VIXM(-67%)    TBT(-45%)    HYXU(-22%)    USO(-21%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.7
 
Relative Volatility   -0.4 (options are faily valued)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV   0.4 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $233.22(0.2%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $221.42(-4.87%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $237.51
5 Day Moving Average  $231.82(0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average  $232.34(0.18%)
20 Day Moving Average  $237.51(-2%)
To recent high  -5%
To recent low  10.5%
Market Cap  $1762.15b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Tue. Jan. 26, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $243.92 ($220.00 - $260.00)
  29 analysts (last updated on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  4.8%
% to Low Target Price  -5.48%
% to High Target Price  11.71%
 
 


Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 2.48% (three month std-dev: 1.46%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. MSFT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Mar_5_2021237.51 (-0.2%)232.34 (-0.4%)231.82 (-0%) 230.44 229.92(0%)232.75(2.49%)232.75-232.75-1.3(-0.8)0.4 0.4%-0.3%0%-0.38%-2.2%351.7 Rebound  Range(0.1%)2-0.7-0.3After Bottom 232.24(-0.22%)228.41-235.3536.14   -5%-10.5% 
2Mar_4_2021237.97 (-0.2%)233.06 (-0.6%)231.92 (-0.2%) 231.32 227.48(0%)227.09(-0.34%)227.09-227.09-1.5(-1.9)-1.6 -1%-0.6%0%-0.4%-2.1%271.7 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-1.4%)2-1.10.3Downtrend 225.5(-0.7%)224.03-228.938.94   -7.3%-7.8% 
3Mar_3_2021238.83 (-0.2%)234.69 (-0.4%)232.36 (-0.6%) 233 230.95(0%)227.87(-2.63%)227.87-227.87-1.5(-2.1)-1.6 -1.1%-0.6%0%-0.38%-1.7%311.6 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.4%)2-1.70.1Growing Downtrend 226.71(-0.51%)225.32-229.6527.92   -7%-8.2% 
4Mar_2_2021239.48 (-0%)236.31 (-0.4%)233.69 (0%) 233.34 235.16(0%)234.03(-1.39%)234.03-234.03-1.3(-1.2)0.4 %-0.3%0%-0.32%-1.3%361.4 Downtrend Consolidation Downtrend Pop Range(0.4%)2-1.20.5Downtrend 233.02(-0.43%)232.2-234.9418.35   -4.5%-11.1% 
5Mar_1_2021239.82 (-0%)237.25 (-0.4%)233.6 (0.2%) 233.48 235.05(0%)237.34(1.74%)233.15-237.34-1.4(-0.6)1.5 0.9%-0.2%0%-0.3%-1.1%421.4 Rebound  Higher(0.7%)2-0.90.3After Bottom 236.7(-0.27%)234.67-238.3425.18   -3.1%-12.7% 
 
6Feb_26_2021239.67 (-0%)237.95 (-0.4%)233.04 (-0.6%) 232.79 231.53(0%)233.28(1.76%)233.28-235.35-1.6(-1.4)-0.7 -0.2%-0.4%0%-0.3%-0.7%351.4 Downtrend Pop  Range(-0.6%)2-0.60.4Downtrend 232.16(-0.48%)231.23-234.3125.25   -4.8%-10.8% 
7Feb_25_2021240.02 (0%)239.06 (-0.4%)234.53 (-1.2%) 232.98 231.91(0%)229.26(-2.26%)229.26-229.26-1.4(-2.4)-4.5 -1.1%-0.5%0%-0.22%-0.4%251.4 Breakdown  Range(-0.5%)3-1.70.5Correction 224.51(-2.07%)223.75-227.5630.18   -6.4%-8.9% 
8Feb_24_2021240.3 (0.2%)240.51 (-0.2%)237.43 (-0.8%) 235.85 231.91(0%)234.57(0.43%)234.57-234.57-0.8(-1.4)-1.6 -0.5%-0.3%0%-0.12%0.1%281.3 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.8%)4-1.91.1Relative Oversold 235.51(0.4%)233.38-237.2520.02   -4.3%-11.4% 
9Feb_23_2021240.27 (0.2%)241.44 (-0.2%)239.35 (-0.9%) 238.15 234.06(0%)233.56(-0.42%)233.56-233.56-0.4(-1.6)-1.4 -1.3%-0.3%0%-0%0.5%401.3 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-1.4%)5-1.81.5Correction 231.93(-0.7%)231.5-233.5626.62   -4.7%-11% 
10Feb_22_2021240.17 (0.4%)242.39 (-0%)241.4 (-0.9%) 240.81 237.63(0%)234.55(-2.56%)234.55-234.550.2(-1.2)-1.7 -1.4%-0.2%0%0.1%0.9%411.5 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.3%)5-1.31.7Correction 233.96(-0.25%)233.65-235.2329.41   -4.3%-11.5% 
 
11Feb_19_2021239.85 (0.6%)243.23 (0.2%)243.5 (-0.3%) 243.13 242.25(0%)240.71(-1.25%)240.71-240.710.7(0.2)-2.1 -0.6%0%0%0.26%1.4%701.8 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0%)601.9Uptrend 242.15(0.6%)240.44-242.8820.47   -1.8%-14.5% 
12Feb_18_2021239.12 (0.6%)243.38 (0.2%)244.24 (0.1%) 244.21 243.99(0%)243.75(-0.17%)243.75-243.890.9(0.7)0.8 %0.1%0%0.3%1.8%582.1 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)70.41.9Uptrend 245.92(0.89%)242.79-247.2713.47   -0.5%-16% 
13Feb_17_2021238.21 (0.6%)243.35 (0.2%)244.05 (0.1%) 244.36 244.01(0%)244.17(0.14%)244.17-244.250.9(0.9)1 %0.3%0%0.38%2.2%692.2 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.3%)80.32.1Uptrend 247.05(1.18%)243.11-248.7517.39   -0.4%-16.2% 
14Feb_16_2021236.91 (0.6%)242.93 (0.4%)243.9 (0.1%) 244.02 244.44(0%)243.83(-0.49%)243.83-243.831(0.9)1.1 %0.3%0%0.42%2.5%692.6 Uptrend  Range(0.5%)90.32Uptrend 247.54(1.52%)242.58-249.6718.78   -0.5%-16% 
15Feb_12_2021235.44 (0.6%)242.58 (0.4%)243.57 (0.3%) 243.91 244.72(0%)245.04(0.27%)245.04-245.071(1)2.5 0.4%0.5%0%0.46%3%743.1 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.9%)90.72.1Uptrend 249.67(1.89%)243.33-252.3911.89   0%-16.6% 
 
16Feb_11_2021233.91 (0.6%)241.47 (0.4%)242.95 (0.2%) 243.2 243.61(0%)244.39(0.64%)244.39-244.391.1(1)1.9 0.2%0.3%0%0.48%3.2%763.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.5%)90.82.2Uptrend 249.35(2.03%)242.26-252.3712.08   0%-16.3% 
17Feb_10_2021232.54 (0.6%)240.97 (0.6%)242.42 (-0.1%) 242.59 243.11(0%)242.83(-0.23%)242.83-242.831.2(1)0.7 0.1%0.5%0%0.56%3.6%763.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)90.72.2Uptrend 248.78(2.45%)240.91-252.1418.24   -0.3%-15.5% 
18Feb_9_2021231.18 (0.6%)240.01 (0.6%)242.56 (0.3%) 242.23 242.79(0%)243.39(0.49%)243.39-243.391.3(1.1)1.1 0.2%0.5%0%0.62%3.8%783.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.7%)90.82Uptrend 249.86(2.66%)241.12-253.619.25   -0.1%-15.8% 
19Feb_8_2021229.88 (0.6%)238.95 (0.8%)241.82 (0.2%) 242.27 242.07(0%)242.2(0.11%)242.2-242.21.4(1.2)1.5 0.2%0.5%0%0.68%3.9%823.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.7%)90.71.8Uptrend 249.03(2.82%)239.94-252.9213.63   -0.5%-15.2% 
20Feb_5_2021228.72 (0.6%)237.75 (0.8%)241.42 (0.7%) 241.64 241.67(0%)241.94(0.08%)241.94-241.941.5(1.3)1.9 %0.6%0%0.78%3.9%843.2 Growing Uptrend Correction Range(0.6%)1011.7Uptrend 249.8(3.25%)239.72-254.1314.4   -0.7%-15.1% 
 
21Feb_4_2021227.51 (0.6%)236.22 (1%)239.71 (0.2%) 241.2 242.47(0%)241.75(-0.74%)240.37-241.751.6(1.4)1.7 0.5%0.7%0%0.8%3.8%823 Uptrend Dip  Higher(1.6%)101.21.5Uptrend 248.95(2.98%)239.32-253.125.22   -0.7%-15% 
22Feb_3_2021226.03 (0.4%)234.57 (1%)239.27 (0.9%) 239.2 241.61(0%)243.54(1.6%)243.54-243.541.8(1.7)2.3 0.7%0.7%0%0.84%3.8%782.8 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.4%)101.71.7Uptrend 250.53(2.87%)240.29-254.9222.29   0%-17.9% 
23Feb_2_2021224.68 (0.4%)232.65 (1%)237.1 (0.6%) 238.2 239.93(0%)239.69(-0.2%)239.69-239.691.8(1.6)0.9 1%0.8%0%0.82%3.5%782.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.9%)101.51.4Uptrend 245.8(2.55%)236.97-249.5821.11   -0.2%-18.5% 
24Feb_1_2021223.52 (0.4%)230.42 (1%)235.66 (0.9%) 236.45 236.79(0%)240.17(2.9%)240.17-240.171.9(1.9)1.6 0.5%0.9%0%0.76%3.1%742.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.4%)92.11.1Growing Uptrend 246.63(2.69%)237.15-24928.24   0%-18.7% 
25Jan_29_2021222.54 (0.2%)227.73 (0.8%)233.56 (0.6%) 234.38 236.47(0%)233.4(-2.56%)233.4-233.41.9(1.4)0 0.3%0.7%0%0.66%2.3%662.3 Uptrend Dip  Higher(2.3%)82.10.2Uptrend Dip 243.27(4.23%)229.67-246.6734.06   -2.6%-15.4% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
 
 
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