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     Thu. Jul. 9, 2020

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(Microsoft)

MSFT latest price $214.1800 (0.69%) ($211.4700 - $216.3800) on Thu. Jul. 9, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.84% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $214.1800(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  MSFT advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  MSFT advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(85%)    IWF(84%)    IVW(83%)    SPY(77%)    VUG(73%)  
Factors Impacting MSFT price  MSFT will decline at least -0.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-39%)    UUP(-21%)    VXX(-14%)    TBT(-7%)    IYT(-7%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.92% (StdDev 1.84%)
Hourly BBV   1.1 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $210.43(1.78%)
10 Day Moving Average  $205.86(4.04%)
20 Day Moving Average  $200.34(6.91%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  29.7%
Market Cap  $1621.557b
 
 
 
Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 3.89% (three month std-dev: 1.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50   Average positive next day return: 2.3%(58%)   Average negative next day return: -1.26%(42%)
Sample size 50   Average positive next three day return: 4.16%(52%)   Average negative next three day return: -2.7%(48%)
Sample size 50   Average positive next weekly return: 5.15%(50%)   Average negative next weekly return: -2.83%(50%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200809

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Jul_9_2020175.9200.34205.86210.43 211.8 212.62214.18(0.69%)UTOpenLong750.5   81   50   65   129   33.06    65%0.1672.21.84%1.11.8710.8
2Jul_8_2020175.62199.41204.16208.51 210.18 211.56212.72(2.18%)UTOpenLong750.6   68   70   53   113   33.53    65%0.1580.11.84%1.11.9720.9
3Jul_7_2020175.36198.24202.99206.63 208.5 211208.18(-1.23%)UDOpenLong750.2   119   110   113   136   33.48    62%0.1982.31.82%0.11.5700.7
4Jul_6_2020175.02197.24202.18204.65 205.99 208.79210.77(2.16%)UTHoldLong650.9   147   110   146   150   31.91    71%0.179.91.82%1.32.1781.1
5Jul_2_2020174.85196.03200.61201.79 202.7 206.01206.32(0.86%)UTHoldLong650.7   114   130   113   117   29.29    69%0.1370.52.01%11.6770.8
 
6Jul_1_2020174.63194.86199.56200.6 200.18 203.2204.57(0.63%)UTHoldLong650.6   126   100   125   127   32.06    69%0.1269.12.02%1.41.6770.6
7Jun_30_2020174.42193.89198.54199.18 198.57 199.39203.29(2.51%)UTOpenLong750.7   72   20   67   88   34.28    75%0.0867.72.08%1.91.5560.3
8Jun_29_2020174.28192.96197.56198.89 197.73 197.17198.31(0.94%)N/AN/A0-0.1   -13   -40   -33   48   26.22    73%0.0970.42.23%00.960-0.2
9Jun_26_2020174.13192.2196.7199.34 199.1 197.74196.46(-1.96%)UDOpenLong65-0.5   1   -50   -18   58   54.18    70%0.0771.62.29%-0.40.760-0.9
10Jun_25_2020174191.58195.89199.13 199.61 198.29200.38(1.47%)N/AN/A00.2   -15   -40   -37   50   26.84    70%0.1268.92.36%-0.21.466-0.3
 
11Jun_24_2020173.79190.64194.52198.29 199.18 200.47197.47(-2.17%)UDOpenLong75-0.1   17   60   1   64   36.68    76%0.163.92.36%-1.11.168-0.7
12Jun_23_2020173.61189.86194.39197.7 198.52 200.93201.85(0.66%)UTOpenLong750.7   91   100   87   103   30.85    76%0.1660.72.59%11.968-0
13Jun_22_2020173.33188.82193.16196.04 196.62 197.89200.53(2.6%)UTOpenLong750.8   67   50   60   89   32.7    76%0.1856.32.59%1.72.168-0.2
14Jun_19_2020173.02187.93191.9193.72 195.22 196.1195.44(-0.36%)UDOpenLong750.3   51   50   44   73   44.39    69%0.1351.12.65%0.31.567-0.8
15Jun_18_2020172.79187.31191.05192.12 193.14 195.36196.14(0.83%)UTOpenLong750.8   53   100   48   68   22.99    69%0.1747.52.65%0.51.866-0.7
 
16Jun_17_2020172.5186.74189.74190.16 191.27 194.33194.52(0.49%)UTOpenLong751   74   130   76   68   25.62    73%0.1746.32.67%0.61.867-0.9
17Jun_16_2020172.21186.16188.81190.64 190.02 190.92193.58(2.47%)UTOpenLong750.7   50   20   46   62   42.26    62%0.1955.72.83%11.965-1
18Jun_15_2020171.89185.69187.92189.92 190.48 188.2188.92(0.78%)N/AN/A0-0.3   -5   -70   -17   32   32.71    62%0.1454.53.15%0.20.962-1.3
19Jun_12_2020171.65185.4187.35189.82 190.76 189.11187.45(0.6%)N/AN/A0-0.7   -35   -50   -52   16   43.32    60%0.1353.73.34%-1.30.656-1.4
20Jun_11_2020171.43185.07187.01189.72 190.5 192.75186.34(-5.36%)UDOpenLong75-0.9   22   100   15   41   52.75    57%0.1247.93.57%-1.40.456-2.6
 
21Jun_10_2020171.22184.77186.58189.03 189.51 192.41196.9(3.64%)UTOpenLong752.1   85   110   91   65   43.72    62%0.1838.83.55%1.93.3670.9
22Jun_9_2020170.91183.98184.99186.72 186.54 188.23189.99(0.83%)UTOpenLong751.3   36   60   37   31   29.7    58%0.1135.33.57%1.62.5631
23Jun_8_2020170.72183.77184.14185.7 185.32 186.55188.42(0.78%)UTOpenLong751.3   32   40   35   22   33.15    58%0.1344.83.62%1.72.2561.6
24Jun_5_2020170.5183.54183.61184.58 184.38 184.85186.97(2.24%)UTOpenLong751.3   17   10   19   11   39.86    55%0.1359.43.65%21.8582
25Jun_4_2020170.28183.36183.21183.95 183.48 184.13182.87(-1.33%)UDOpenLong75-0.6   6   20   6   4   28.77    56%67.43.65%-1-0.3571.6
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
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Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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