Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 12, 2020

Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Morgan Stanley)
MS latest price $52.3800 (1.16%) ($51.9100 - $53.4200) on Wed. Aug. 12, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.93% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $52.3800(1.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MS advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MS advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(76%)    IVE(75%)    DIA(72%)    IWN(72%)    PAVE(72%)
Factors Impacting MS price   MS will decline at least -1.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-37%)    UUP(-23%)    VXX(-13%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.465% (StdDev 2.93%)
Hourly BBV 0.6 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.91(2.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.15(4.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.67(3.37%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   41.6%
Market Cap   $82.556b

Morgan Stanley provides investment banking products and services to its clients and customers including corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals. It operates through the following business segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The Institutional Services segment provides financial advisory, capital-raising services, and related financing services on behalf of institutional investors. The Wealth Management segment offers brokerage and investment advisory services covering various types of investments, including equities, options, futures, foreign currencies, precious metals, fixed-income securities, mutual funds, structured products, alternative investments, unit investment trusts, managed futures, separately managed accounts, and mutual fund asset allocation programs. The Investment Management segment provides equity, fixed income, alternative investments, real estate, and merchant banking strategies. The company was founded by Harold Stanley and Henry S. Morgan on September 16, 1935 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. MS price fluctuates within 2.31% (three month std-dev: 2.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.32%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.65%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.85%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.55%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 3.87%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.11%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2020	44.11	50.67	50.15	50.91	51.21	52.28	52.38(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	30	160	32	23	8.91	74%	0.46	21.2	2.93%	0.6	1.5	58	1.6
2	Aug_11_2020	43.91	50.61	49.94	50.39	50.47	51.26	51.78(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	110	31	10	11.73	74%	0.55	19.2	2.97%	0.9	1.1	52	1.1
3	Aug_10_2020	43.67	50.54	49.76	49.88	49.9	50.15	50.58(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	40	14	-16	6.44	74%	0.51	19.6	2.97%	1.2	0	39	1.7
4	Aug_7_2020	43.45	50.52	49.81	49.66	49.61	49.68	50.35(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	10	6	-26	6.18	74%	0.44	19.3	2.99%	2.2	-0.2	41	1.6
5	Aug_6_2020	43.26	50.5	49.78	49.36	49.5	49.65	49.45(-0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	30	5	-42	5.69	74%	0.46	17.9	3.02%	-0.4	-0.8	34	1.7

6	Aug_5_2020	43.06	50.43	49.89	49.26	49.3	49.54	49.77(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	40	3	-52	6.64	74%	0.37	15.1	3.03%	1.1	-0.5	34	1.7
7	Aug_4_2020	42.9	50.4	50.01	49.43	49.12	49.35	49.26(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	10	-0	-52	6.35	74%	0.42	19	3.03%	0.2	-0.8	41	1.6
8	Aug_3_2020	42.72	50.33	50.3	49.63	49.36	49.05	49.46(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-60	-6	-45	9.88	74%	0.28	24	3.03%	1.3	-0.6	47	1.3
9	Jul_31_2020	42.6	50.31	50.54	50	49.71	48.9	48.88(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-130	-21	-38	9.7	74%	0.42	36.6	3.05%	-0.7	-1	46	1.5
10	Jul_30_2020	42.42	50.28	50.9	50.26	50.16	49.68	48.95(-3.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-70	-21	-24	9.39	74%	0.28	37.3	3.08%	-1.3	-0.9	49	1.3

11	Jul_29_2020	42.3	50.23	51.27	50.58	50.51	50.51	50.59(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-0	-4	7	8.13	80%	0.28	43.3	3.08%	-0.4	0.2	67	1.6
12	Jul_28_2020	42.18	50.12	51.36	50.66	50.61	50.65	50.26(-2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	0	-5	17	7.14	80%	0.31	45	3.08%	-0.6	0.1	58	1.5
13	Jul_27_2020	42.05	49.99	51.4	51.09	50.84	50.51	51.32(2.27%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-60	-6	38	12.08	80%	0.21	49.2	3.07%	2	0.7	67	1.5
14	Jul_24_2020	41.96	49.78	51.31	51.2	51.21	50.58	50.18(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-90	-18	41	6.86	80%	0.19	49.7	3.09%	-1.1	0.2	57	1.2
15	Jul_23_2020	41.88	49.71	51.3	51.64	51.55	51.17	50.56(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-60	-21	58	13.51	80%	0.12	60.5	3.09%	0.6	0.5	62	1.3

16	Jul_22_2020	41.83	49.54	51.04	52.06	52	51.85	51(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-20	-4	76	13.43	80%	0.17	62.8	3.09%	0.7	0.8	64	1.8
17	Jul_21_2020	41.76	49.38	50.85	52.13	52.17	51.94	52.38(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-30	3	86	11.95	80%	0.14	63.5	3.07%	-1.4	1.6	66	1.8
18	Jul_20_2020	41.7	49.12	50.37	51.75	52.04	52.15	51.86(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	30	4	80	10.4	80%	0.17	61.5	3.11%	-1	1.5	68	2.2
19	Jul_17_2020	41.63	48.87	50.06	51.42	51.62	52.39	52.41(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	120	19	87	16.1	80%	0.17	60.9	3.12%	0.7	2	71	1.9
20	Jul_16_2020	41.56	48.62	49.59	50.9	51.1	51.94	52.64(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	50	130	39	81	27.73	80%	0.12	68.2	3.12%	1	2.6	62	1.5

21	Jul_15_2020	41.51	48.35	49.07	49.88	50.21	50.84	51.35(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	110	24	56	17.26	80%	0.1	59.1	3.11%	1.8	2.4	65	1.4
22	Jul_14_2020	41.47	48.19	48.75	49.39	49.33	50.26	50.5(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	130	23	47	16.01	80%	0.02	50	3.15%	0.5	2.2	58	0.9
23	Jul_13_2020	41.46	48.03	48.41	48.79	48.87	49.59	50.22(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	33	110	32	37	15.02	80%	-0.07	25.7	3.15%	1	2.4	59	0
24	Jul_10_2020	41.49	47.83	48.09	48.51	48.12	48.28	49.8(4.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	16	-0	13	24	13.3	80%	-0.1	1.2	3.19%	2.1	2.4	60	1.2
25	Jul_9_2020	41.53	47.57	47.96	48.1	48.09	47.78	47.51(-2.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-50	-4	13	9.01	77%		-29.7	3.17%	-1	-0.1	51	0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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