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     Thu. Feb. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 7, 2018 - Thu. Feb. 25, 2021)

(Moderna, Inc)

MRNA latest price $148.6400 (3.01%) ($148.6400 - $148.6400) on Thu. Feb. 25, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative  Correction
Average Daily Price Swing  $12.27 (7.27% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  5.9% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -1.4% (StdDev 5.9%)
Daily Moving Force  -1.5%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -0.92%
Trend Strength  -1.5%
RSI   36
Momentum  1.2
Latest Price  $148.6400(3.01%)
Forecasted Low Price  142.1(-4.4%)
Forecasted High Price  150.87(1.5%)
Direction of Next Movement  Lower(-4.6%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  5.3% ((156.54))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  14.8%
Hourly Trend   0.7% [$146.47(1.03), $149.74(-6.5)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  1
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  MRNA declines -2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  MRNA declines -7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support MRNA decline at-0.7% a week (27% probability)
  XRT(31%)    IBB(28%)    GBTC(26%)    BLOK(25%)    IGOV(25%)  
Factors Impacting MRNA price  MRNA will decline at least -1% in a week (43% probabilities).
  XLRE(-48%)    USO(-45%)    SDY(-44%)    PEJ(-40%)    IYT(-37%)  
Explanation   The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.4
 
Relative Volatility   -1.2 (options are cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -3.1% (StdDev 5.9%)
Hourly BBV   -3 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $147.33(-0.88%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $168.74
5 Day Moving Average  $155.48(-4.4%)
10 Day Moving Average  $166.15(-10.54%)
20 Day Moving Average  $168.74(-11.91%)
To recent high  -19.9%
To recent low  42.3%
Market Cap  $58.457b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Wed. Mar. 10, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $112.87 ($60.00 - $166.00)
  15 analysts (last updated on Tue. Nov. 24, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  -24.06%
% to Low Target Price  -59.63%
% to High Target Price  11.68%
 
 


Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). Its product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, and systemic intracellular therapeutics. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rose and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

July 7, 2020 MRNA, which has developed a vaccine candidate mRNA-1273, is in its phase 2 clinical trials. The mRNA is a molecule that genetically encodes a set of instructions, based on which cells make proteins and send them to various parts of the body.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. MRNA price fluctuates within 7.27% (three month std-dev: 5.9%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. MRNA price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Feb_25_2021168.74 (0.2%)166.15 (-1.4%)155.48 (-2.7%) 149.74 146.47(0%)148.64(3.01%)148.64-148.64-1.4(-1.6)-3 -1.5%-1.4%0%-0.92%-1.5%361.2 Growing Downtrend  Range(-2.9%)1-1.40.5Correction 138.47(-6.84%)136.75-145.414.02   -19.9%-42.3% 
2Feb_24_2021169.29 (0.6%)169.31 (-1%)159.74 (-3.9%) 156.24 145.44(0%)144.3(-3.87%)144.3-144.3-1(-2.1)-2.2 -4.6%-1.7%0%-0.56%0%401.2 Breakdown  Lower(-4.4%)1-2.21.1Correction 136.7(-5.27%)135.29-142.38.37   -22.2%-46.4% 
3Feb_23_2021169.91 (1%)173.07 (-0.4%)166.18 (-3.3%) 162.65 153.02(0%)150.11(-6.03%)136-150.11-0.5(-1.8)-1.5 -6.6%-1.5%0%-0.02%1.9%501.1 Downtrend Reversal  Lower(-5.1%)2-1.81.5Correction 145.34(-3.18%)144.26-149.6215.46   -19.1%-52.3% 
4Feb_22_2021169.99 (1.2%)176.78 (0.2%)171.87 (-2.7%) 170.12 167.04(0%)159.74(-8.52%)158.61-159.740.1(-0.9)-2.5 -3%-0.5%0%0.52%4%571.1 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.8%)3-0.71.7Uptrend Consolidation 162.41(1.67%)162.93-160.810.69   -13.9%-62.1% 
5Feb_19_2021168.82 (1.4%)178.63 (0.6%)176.69 (-1%) 174.9 172.29(0%)174.62(2.75%)174.62-174.620.6(0.4)-0.7 -0.9%0.3%0%0.84%5.8%521.4 Correction  Range(-0.6%)40.51.9Uptrend 177.33(1.55%)173.54-178.956.04   -5.9%-88.2% 
 
6Feb_18_2021166.88 (1.6%)178.62 (0.8%)178.55 (-1%) 177.3 173.21(0%)169.95(-3.69%)169.95-169.950.7(0.2)-2.4 -2%0.4%0%1.08%7%591.6 Correction  Range(0.2%)50.31.9Uptrend 173.65(2.18%)169.14-175.594.83   -8.4%-91.2% 
7Feb_17_2021164.83 (1.8%)178.44 (1.2%)180.4 (-0.4%) 180.79 177.52(0%)176.46(-1.19%)176.46-176.461(0.6)-1.1 -1.3%1.1%0%1.3%8.3%651.9 Correction  Range(0.4%)50.62.1Uptrend 181.98(3.13%)174.52-185.195.73   -4.9%-98.5% 
8Feb_16_2021162.39 (1.8%)176.85 (1.2%)181.05 (-0.8%) 181.47 181.4(0%)178.58(-2.87%)178.58-178.581.1(0.8)-0.8 -0.9%1.2%0%1.44%8.9%692.1 Correction  Range(1.7%)50.72Uptrend 185.19(3.7%)175.33-189.426.65   -3.8%-100.9% 
9Feb_12_2021160 (2.2%)174.9 (1.6%)182.45 (0.9%) 181.76 184.05(0%)183.85(-0.02%)183.85-185.321.3(1.2)2 0.8%1%0%1.7%9.3%752.1 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.8%)61.22.1Uptrend 192.14(4.51%)178.56-197.955.46   -0.9%-109.4% 
10Feb_11_2021157.3 (2.2%)173.73 (2%)180.88 (1.2%) 182.1 181.55(0%)183.89(2.61%)183.89-183.891.4(1.3)3 1.1%1.5%0%2.04%10.4%802.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.6%)61.32.2Uptrend 194.02(5.51%)178.49-200.685.06   -0.9%-123.1% 
 
11Feb_10_2021154.33 (2.2%)171.33 (2.2%)178.8 (1.5%) 180.13 179.47(0%)179.21(-0.29%)179.21-179.211.5(1.2)1 -0.4%1.5%0%2.24%11%782.2 Uptrend  Range(1.2%)71.22.2Uptrend 190.14(6.1%)173.83-197.146.64   -3.4%-135.6% 
12Feb_9_2021151.6 (2.4%)169.06 (2.6%)176.13 (2.5%) 178.71 182.65(0%)179.73(-3.15%)179.73-179.731.5(1.4)1.9 1.7%1.8%0%2.46%11.5%802.2 Growing Uptrend  Higher(5.1%)81.32Uptrend 192.58(7.15%)174.25-200.458.02   -3.1%-136.3% 
13Feb_8_2021148.48 (2.2%)166.32 (2.6%)171.84 (3.4%) 174.65 180.79(0%)185.57(5.44%)185.57-185.571.5(1.8)2.8 3.5%2.4%0%2.52%12%842.3 Growing Uptrend  Higher(5.9%)81.71.8Overbought 176.29(-5%)154.66-208.7512.51   0%-144% 
14Feb_5_2021144.79 (2.2%)162.4 (2.6%)166.23 (0.3%) 167.83 174.76(0%)176(1.46%)176-1761.4(1.6)2 2.7%2.5%0%2.42%12.2%772.3 Growing Uptrend  Higher(5.2%)81.61.7Uptrend 187.56(6.57%)169.34-195.388.53   0%-146.2% 
15Feb_4_2021141.71 (2.2%)158.06 (2.6%)165.66 (1.7%) 163.2 168.52(0%)173.47(4.58%)173.47-173.691.5(1.6)1.2 2.6%2.4%0%2.52%11.5%762.3 Growing Uptrend  Higher(5%)81.61.5Uptrend 185.46(6.91%)166.35-193.659.91   0%-148.5% 
 
16Feb_3_2021138.79 (2.2%)154.05 (2.6%)162.94 (1.2%) 163.11 160.9(0%)165.88(4.8%)156.39-165.881.6(1.5)0.7 1.3%2.4%0%2.52%11%772.2 Growing Uptrend  Higher(3.7%)81.51.7Uptrend 177.39(6.94%)160.35-184.6911.32   -4.2%-140.1% 
17Feb_2_2021135.94 (2.2%)150.1 (2.6%)160.98 (0.8%) 162.21 157.89(0%)158.29(0.5%)158.29-158.291.7(1.2)-0.2 -2.1%2%0%2.48%10.4%742.2 Uptrend Consolidation Correction Range(-0.1%)81.21.4Uptrend 168.8(6.64%)153.49-175.3614.28   -8.6%-135.9% 
18Feb_1_2021133.59 (2%)146.9 (2.8%)159.72 (1.3%) 161.65 165.33(0%)157.49(-9.06%)157.49-157.492(1.3)-0.2 0.2%1.9%-2.3%2.54%10%782.3 Uptrend Dip  Lower(-3.6%)91.41.1Uptrend Dip 184.67(17.26%)147.86-193.8921.51   -9.1%-134.7% 
19Jan_29_2021130.95 (1.8%)144.13 (3%)157.61 (5.6%) 160.27 166.53(0%)173.18(8.31%)173.18-173.182.2(2.4)3.1 4.9%3%-6.1%2.6%10.1%902.3 Overbought  Lower(-9.5%)92.70.2Growing Uptrend 188.96(9.11%)163.24-195.3938.38   0%-158.1% 
20Jan_28_2021127.69 (1.2%)139.56 (2.6%)149.24 (3.8%) 153.71 157.98(0%)159.89(2.45%)159.89-159.892.1(2.1)2.4 3.4%2.4%-3.9%2.16%9.3%842.1 Growing Uptrend  Lower(-5.8%)92.30.6Growing Uptrend 170.17(6.43%)152.55-174.5715.39   -5.9%-143.2% 
 
21Jan_27_2021125.29 (0.8%)135.89 (2.2%)143.83 (4.5%) 146.57 154.02(0%)156.06(2.69%)156.06-156.062(2.2)2.2 3.5%2.3%-1.8%1.82%8.5%811.9 Breakout  Range(-1.6%)92.60.9Growing Uptrend 163.85(4.99%)149.5-167.4319.54   -8.1%-137.4% 
22Jan_26_2021122.94 (0.4%)132.6 (2%)137.63 (4.1%) 140.77 149.45(0%)151.97(3.43%)151.97-151.971.8(2.4)2 5.7%2.3%0%1.48%7.9%831.6 Breakout  Higher(8%)92.51.5Growing Uptrend 156.7(3.11%)145.59-159.4716.08   -10.5%-131.2% 
23Jan_25_2021121.33 (-0%)129.04 (1.6%)132.23 (2.7%) 134.04 139.13(0%)146.93(11.88%)146.93-146.931.4(2.5)2.9 4.3%2.1%0%1.12%6.4%781.4 Breakout  Higher(6.4%)82.62.2N/A 143.39(-2.41%)131.1-153.4525.98   -13.5%-123.5% 
24Jan_22_2021120.3 (-0.2%)125.56 (1.4%)128.75 (0.2%) 128.56 132.09(0%)131.33(-1.14%)131.33-131.331(1.3)0.6 1.3%1%0%0.96%4.4%771.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.9%)81.12.1N/A 130.5(-0.63%)124.45-135.469.68   -22.7%-99.8% 
25Jan_21_2021119.93 (-0.4%)123.96 (1.6%)128.45 (1.4%) 128.11 128.95(0%)132.84(6.23%)132.84-132.840.9(1.6)1.1 1.9%0.9%0%0.96%3.4%681.1 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.8%)812.4N/A 131.46(-1.04%)124.91-136.820.19   -21.8%-102.1% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
 
 
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