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     Wed. Nov. 25, 2020



Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 7, 2018 - Wed. Nov. 25, 2020)

(Moderna, Inc)

MRNA latest price $105.5150 (7%) ($98.6500 - $106.1450) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  MRNA advances 3.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  MRNA advances 13.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support MRNA advance at 1.6% a week (51% probability)
  SMH(53%)    SPY(51%)    VT(51%)    ARKK(49%)    EDOC(49%)  
Factors Impacting MRNA price  MRNA will advance at least 0.4% in a week (23% probabilities).
  VIXM(-31%)    VXX(-27%)    FEX(-14%)    TLT(-7%)    UUP(-6%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.9
 
Relative Volatility   1.9 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   2.2
Hourly Trend   0.98% [$100.81(1.67), $99.83(2.88)]
Last Hour Trend   1.55% [$104.61, $102.99]


MRNA Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  88%
Bullish Price Move  4.1%
Bearish Probability  13%
Bearish Price Move  -4.1%
Recommended Position Size  18%
Latest Price  $105.5150
Next Hour Price  $108.79(3.1%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $118.02(11.85%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $124.51(18%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $100.73 - $125.43
Support Level  $84.63
5 Day Moving Average  $99.1(6.47%)
10 Day Moving Average  $95.56(10.42%)
20 Day Moving Average  $84.63(24.68%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  94.2%
Market Cap  $41.497b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Wed. Mar. 10, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $106.13 ($60.00 - $166.00)
  15 analysts (last updated on Mon. Nov. 23, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  0.58%
% to Low Target Price  -43.14%
% to High Target Price  57.32%
 


  
 
 


Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). Its product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, and systemic intracellular therapeutics. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rose and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

July 7, 2020 MRNA, which has developed a vaccine candidate mRNA-1273, is in its phase 2 clinical trials. The mRNA is a molecule that genetically encodes a set of instructions, based on which cells make proteins and send them to various parts of the body.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. MRNA price fluctuates within 15.1% (three month std-dev: 4.14%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. MRNA price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Nov_25_20200%-94.2% 9.9%,0.7(0.1)13.5%,0.9(0)3.5%,0.20.31.55%12.9%1.62.21.93.6NAN%1.314   105.52(7%)98.65-106.15Uptrend 118.02(11.85%)100.74-125.4480
2Nov_24_2020-2.4%-81.5% 8.8%,0.6(0)13.2%,0.9(-0)1.2%,0.10.60.11%12.9%1.311.43.63.05%1.512.47   98.61(-2.39%)93.54-99.89Uptrend 109.05(10.59%)95.03-115.0779
3Nov_23_20200%-85.9% 8.6%,0.6(0)13.9%,1(-0.1)0.6%,00.90.26%12.2%1.71.623.53.46%1.316.3   101.02(3.53%)98.62-101.77Uptrend Consolidation 96.88(-4.1%)91.66-112.5482
4Nov_20_2020-0.4%-79.6% 8.6%,0.6(0)15.6%,1.2(-0)1.8%,0.10.30.04%11.6%1.71.42.13.33.45%1.415.19   97.58(5.16%)94.82-98.43Uptrend 108.27(10.95%)93.31-114.6782
5Nov_19_2020-5.3%-70.8% 7.9%,0.6(0)15.8%,1.2(-0)1.1%,0.1-0.60.04%10.4%1.50.41.83.23.23%1.715.79   92.79(4.32%)89.51-94.65Uptrend 102.48(10.44%)89.25-108.1580
 
6Nov_18_2020-9.2%-63.7% 7.4%,0.6(0.1)15.8%,1.3(-0)1.5%,0.1-0.30.06%9.4%1.3-0.11.53.13.76%1.921.74   88.95(-4.47%)88.61-94Uptrend 98.09(10.28%)86.21-103.1970
7Nov_17_2020-5%-71.4% 6.5%,0.5(0.1)16%,1.3(0.2)3.9%,0.31.5-0.36%8.5%1.90.8234.09%1.826.11   93.11(-4.99%)91.6-97.8Relative Overbought 100.24(7.66%)81.43-115.6379
8Nov_16_20200%-80.4% 4.8%,0.4(0.2)13.6%,1.2(0.3)4.9%,0.41.80.45%6.9%2.81.83.12.84.26%1.971.83   98(9.62%)93.3-103.2Growing Uptrend 106.74(8.92%)92.37-110.3374
9Nov_13_20200%-64.5% 2.9%,0.3(0.1)10.4%,1.2(0.3)4.3%,0.52.10.41%4.7%2.61.42.82.27.23%1.114.03   89.4(1.81%)85.22-90.53Growing Uptrend 94.1(5.26%)85.61-96.2371
10Nov_12_20200%-61.6% 1.7%,0.2(0.2)7.5%,1.1(0.3)4.3%,0.62.1-0.24%2.9%323.41.98.17%0.721.67   87.81(6.63%)83.83-87.93Growing Uptrend 90.3(2.84%)84.27-91.8169
 
11Nov_11_20200%-51.6% 0.6%,0.1(0.1)5.1%,0.9(0.4)3.4%,0.61.50.46%1.4%2.71.72.61.55.92%1.318.24   82.35(8.24%)76.13-83.98Growing Uptrend 83.49(1.38%)80.01-84.3665
12Nov_10_2020-2.8%-40% -0.1%,-0(0)2.8%,0.6(0.2)1.9%,0.42.4-0.28%-0.5%1.410.81.35.03%0.710.47   76.08(-2.1%)73.52-80.38Uptrend Reversal 77.24(1.53%)76.26-77.963
13Nov_9_2020-0.7%-43% -0.2%,-0(0.1)1.6%,0.3(0.4)3.1%,0.62.1-0.23%-1.4%1.91.91.51.34.81%-0.420.28   77.71(7.32%)75.42-80.25Uptrend Reversal 78.89(1.52%)77.89-79.5558
14Nov_6_2020-7.5%-33.3% -0.9%,-0.2(0)-0.2%,-0(0.3)1.4%,0.31.2-0.1%-2.3%0.41.3-0.41.23.77%1.95.83   72.41(1.36%)70.87-74.16Rebound 71.74(-0.92%)72.41-71.4653
15Nov_5_2020-8.7%-31.5% -1%,-0.2(-0)-1.4%,-0.3(0.2)0.1%,01.20.3%-2.7%0.11.1-0.91.23.57%0.94.42   71.44(2.4%)70.16-71.59Downtrend Consolidation 71.17(-0.38%)71.28-71.1345
 
16Nov_4_2020-10.9%-28.4% -0.8%,-0.2(0)-2.1%,-0.5(0.4)1.2%,0.30.60%-2.9%-0.50.9-1.11.23.58%0.55.43   69.77(1.04%)68.92-71.55Downtrend Consolidation 69.69(-0.11%)70.38-69.4640
17Nov_3_2020-11.8%-27.1% -1%,-0.2(-0)-3.8%,-0.9(0.2)-0.5%,-0.1-0.90.22%-3.3%-0.80.3-0.81.23.73%-1.64.35   69.05(2.99%)66.59-69.25Downtrend Consolidation 68.82(-0.33%)69.95-68.4537
18Nov_2_2020-14.4%-23.4% -0.9%,-0.2(-0.1)-4.4%,-1(0)-0.9%,-0.2-0.30.16%-3.2%-1.5-0.9-1.21.25.5%-2.54.63   67.05(-0.65%)66.55-68.6Downtrend 66.61(-0.66%)66.05-67.9131
19Oct_30_2020-13.8%-24.2% -0.6%,-0.1(-0)-4.6%,-1.1(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.20.6-0.3%-3%-1.5-1.3-0.61.15.09%-2.27.06   67.49(-5.28%)66.85-71.49Growing Downtrend 67.07(-0.62%)66.52-68.3238
20Oct_29_2020-10.4%-31.1% -0.4%,-0.1(-0.1)-4.1%,-1(-0)0.1%,0-0.9-0.59%-2.3%-0.20.811.14.66%-2.413.73   71.25(8.28%)66.23-74.54Downtrend 70.71(-0.76%)70.41-71.3948
 
21Oct_28_2020-19.2%-21.1% -0.1%,-0(-0.1)-3.9%,-1(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.2-0.9-0.09%-1.7%-2.1-2.5-1.61.25.65%-2.46.01   65.8(-6.9%)65.49-69.47Downtrend 65.59(-0.32%)65.02-66.938
22Oct_27_2020-13.2%-30.1% 0.3%,0.1(-0)-3.1%,-0.9(-0.3)-0.2%,-0.1-0.30.27%-0.6%-0.60.6-0.314.91%-0.63.72   70.68(0.81%)68.81-71.35Correction 68.81(-2.64%)68.47-70.1947
23Oct_26_2020-13.9%-29% 0.5%,0.1(-0)-2.1%,-0.6(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.10.30.46%0.4%-0.8-0.7-0.815.98%-0.23.86   70.11(-0.52%)68.7-71.32Correction 68.48(-2.33%)68.16-69.7450
24Oct_23_2020-13.5%-29.7% 0.6%,0.2(-0.1)-1.6%,-0.5(-0.3)-1%,-0.300.1%1.1%-0.7-0.9-1.214.5%0.83.73   70.48(-0.33%)68.8-72.4Correction 69.04(-2.04%)68.74-70.2348
25Oct_22_2020-15%-30.1% 0.9%,0.2(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.2(-0.3)-1.4%,-0.3-0.9-0.23%1.5%-0.5-0.7-11.14.67%0.65.2   70.71(3.39%)68.4-72.53Correction 69.31(-1.98%)68.99-70.5757
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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