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     Fri. Sep. 18, 2020



Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 7, 2018 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)

(Moderna, Inc)

MRNA latest price $69.8200 (2.87%) ($66.1000 - $70.0000) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend Reversal
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  MRNA advances 3.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  MRNA advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support MRNA advance at 0.3% a week (31% probability)
  IBB(38%)    XLV(35%)    XBI(28%)    SMH(26%)    ARKG(23%)  
Factors Impacting MRNA price  MRNA will decline at least -2.7% in a week (9% probabilities).
  UUP(-13%)    BJK(-10%)    JETS(-8%)    HYXU(-7%)    XLC(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the reversal
 
Valuation to SPY   1.8
 
Relative Volatility   0.4 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly Trend   0.54% [$68.37(0.16), $68(1.53)]
Last Hour Trend   0.71% [$69.26, $68.77]


MRNA Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  64%
Bullish Price Move  5%
Bearish Probability  36%
Bearish Price Move  -5%
Recommended Position Size  6%
Latest Price  $69.8200
Next Day Open Price  $70.81(1.42%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $71.31(2.13%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $70.05 - $72.14
Inflection Point  Yes
Support Level  $64.44
5 Day Moving Average  $67.44(3.53%)
10 Day Moving Average  $63.09(10.67%)
20 Day Moving Average  $64.44(8.35%)
To recent high  -26.5%
To recent low  28.5%
Market Cap  $27.459b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Wed. Nov. 4, 2020
Analyst One Year Target Price  $92.29 ($41.00 - $134.00)
  14 analysts (last updated on Thu. Sep. 17, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  32.18%
% to Low Target Price  -41.28%
% to High Target Price  91.92%
 


  
 
 


Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). Its product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, and systemic intracellular therapeutics. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rose and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

July 7, 2020 MRNA, which has developed a vaccine candidate mRNA-1273, is in its phase 2 clinical trials. The mRNA is a molecule that genetically encodes a set of instructions, based on which cells make proteins and send them to various parts of the body.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. MRNA price fluctuates within 6.66% (three month std-dev: 5.02%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. MRNA price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVT(RV,IV)VIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_18_2020-26.5%-28.5% -0.1%,-0(0.1)2.7%,0.4(0.3)3.2%,0.50.30.71%-2.1%1.31.80.4(6.66%,NAN%)2.113.18   69.82(2.87%)66.1-70Uptrend Reversal 71.31(2.13%)70.05-72.1452
2Sep_17_2020-28.5%-24.9% -1%,-0.1(0.2)0.4%,0.1(0.4)3.2%,0.51.20.68%-2.8%0.91.10.1(6.52%,3.6%)2.113.24   67.87(-1.39%)64.6-70.9Rebound 65.77(-3.1%)68.09-64.7749
3Sep_16_2020-27.5%-26.7% -1.9%,-0.3(0.2)-2.2%,-0.3(0.4)3.9%,0.62.4-0.22%-3.4%1.11.20.2(6.54%,4.25%)1.411.29   68.83(2.82%)66.73-70.04Downtrend Consolidation 68.16(-0.98%)67.03-68.5346
4Sep_15_2020-29.5%-23.2% -3.1%,-0.5(0.2)-4.8%,-0.7(0.3)4.3%,0.72.4-0.43%-4.2%0.70.70(6.42%,3.73%)0.89.07   66.94(5.05%)64.23-68.41Downtrend Consolidation 66.14(-1.2%)65.86-66.2251
5Sep_14_2020-32.9%-17.3% -4.3%,-0.6(0.1)-6.9%,-1(0)0.3%,0.11.20.24%-4.8%-0.1-0.10.1(6.62%,4.09%)0.88.88   63.72(7.31%)60.12-63.85Downtrend 62.43(-2.03%)61.82-63.8349
 
6Sep_11_2020-37.5%-9.3% -4.7%,-0.7(-0)-7.1%,-1(-0.1)-1.9%,-0.30.90.54%-4.7%-1.2-1-0(6.78%,4.6%)0.14.81   59.38(3.04%)57.45-59.51Growing Downtrend 58.23(-1.93%)57.17-60.2940
7Sep_10_2020-39.3%-6.1% -4.7%,-0.7(-0)-6.2%,-1(-0.2)-2.3%,-0.4-0.6-1.1%-4.1%-1.7-1.5-0.2(6.53%,3.57%)-0.77.96   57.63(1.27%)56.87-60.32Bottom 58.72(1.89%)56.69-60.0835
8Sep_9_2020-40.1%-4.7-4.5%,-0.7(0)-4.8%,-0.8(-0.1)-2.1%,-0.3-30.25%-3.1%-2.2-2-0.5(6.06%,6.17%)-0.79.33   56.91(4.74%)54.51-57.19Relative Oversold 58.4(2.61%)54.84-61.3134
9Sep_8_2020-42.8%-0-4.6%,-0.9(-0.1)-3.9%,-0.7(-0.2)-3.3%,-0.6-2.7-0.92%-2.5%-3.4-2.7-1(5.24%,5.47%)-1.217.19   54.33(-13.34%)54.21-58.6Growing Downtrend 54.03(-0.55%)53.19-56.2530
10Sep_4_2020-34%-7.7% -4.1%,-1(-0.1)-2.9%,-0.7(-0.1)-1.5%,-0.40.30.91%-2.1%-1.6-1.3-1.7(4.08%,4.33%)-1.111.62   62.69(-3.39%)59.01-65Downtrend 62.38(-0.49%)61.92-63.4636
 
11Sep_3_2020-31.7%-11.5% -3.8%,-0.9(0)-2.5%,-0.6(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.20.3-0.31%-2.3%-1-1-1.6(4.17%,4.58%)-2.414.24   64.89(0.26%)64.3-69.35Growing Downtrend 64.59(-0.46%)64.21-65.4341
12Sep_2_2020-31.8%-11.2% -3.8%,-0.8(-0)-2%,-0.4(-0.1)-1.7%,-0.4-1.21.07%-2.5%-1.1-1.5-1.5(4.66%,3.85%)0.29.8   64.72(2.28%)61.38-64.89Growing Downtrend 64.39(-0.51%)63.97-65.3245
13Sep_1_2020-33.4%-8.7% -3.6%,-0.7(-0)-1.3%,-0.2(-0)-0.9%,-0.2-1.5-0.06%-2.8%-1.5-1.7-1.3(5.33%,3.78%)08.17   63.28(-2.57%)62.5-64.5Downtrend 63.11(-0.27%)62.6-64.2938
14Aug_31_2020-31.6%-11.6% -3.6%,-0.6(0)-1.1%,-0.2(0.1)0%,0-0.90.2%-3.2%-1.1-1.5-1.2(5.57%,3.96%)0.115.21   64.95(-3.76%)62.54-67.2Downtrend 64.81(-0.21%)64.41-65.7642
15Aug_28_2020-28.9%-21.5% -3.7%,-0.7(0)-1.4%,-0.3(0.2)0.3%,0.10.3-0.06%-3.4%-0.7-1.1-1.2(5.42%,4.99%)0.86.33   67.49(-0.69%)67.15-68.95Rebound 68.81(1.95%)66.76-69.6840
 
16Aug_27_2020-28.4%-30.3% -3.7%,-0.7(-0)-2.3%,-0.4(0.1)0%,01.20.32%-3.6%-0.6-1.1-1.2(5.73%,4.04%)0.79.22   67.96(-3.55%)67.01-70.32Rebound 69.03(1.58%)66.99-69.9137
17Aug_26_2020-25.8%-35.1% -3.6%,-0.6(0.1)-3.1%,-0.5(0.2)0.7%,0.10.6-0.21%-4.3%-0.1-0.7-1.1(6.18%,4.6%)1.328.62   70.46(6.35%)66.03-71.64Rebound 70.44(-0.03%)69.37-70.941
18Aug_25_2020-30.2%-27% -4%,-0.6(-0)-4.3%,-0.6(0.2)-0.2%,-0-0.60.3%-5%-1-1.3-0.9(6.83%,4.13%)1.67.78   66.25(2.11%)63.55-66.7Downtrend Consolidation 66.02(-0.34%)68.06-65.3526
19Aug_24_2020-31.7%-24.4% -4%,-0.6(-0)-5.4%,-0.8(0)-1.4%,-0.2-0.60.02%-5.6%-1.4-1.6-0.9(6.9%,4.08%)1.713.11   64.88(-2.42%)62.88-67.85Downtrend 64(-1.36%)63.09-66.1118
20Aug_21_2020-30%-27.5% -3.8%,-0.6(0.2)-5.4%,-0.8(-0)-0.8%,-0.1-00.27%-5.6%-1.3-1.5-1.2(6.41%,3.73%)1.76.9   66.49(-2.05%)65.6-68.02Downtrend 65.77(-1.09%)65-67.5621
 
21Aug_20_2020-28.5%-30.2% -4.8%,-0.8(0.1)-5.1%,-0.8(0.1)0%,0-0.30.16%-5.1%-1.2-1.3-1.4(6.09%,3.32%)1.56.32   67.89(-0.17%)66.63-68Downtrend 67.18(-1.04%)66.44-68.9237
22Aug_19_2020-28.4%-30.4% -5.2%,-0.8(-0)-5.6%,-0.9(0)-0.5%,-0.1-0.6-0.22%-4.8%-1.1-1.4-1.4(6.44%,3.65%)1.68.53   68(1.44%)66.6-69.17Downtrend 67.07(-1.37%)66.25-68.9932
23Aug_18_2020-29.4%-28.6% -5%,-0.8(-0.1)-5.9%,-0.9(0)-0.6%,-0.1-0-0.22%-4.8%-1.5-1.6-1.5(6.39%,3.82%)1.611.28   67.04(-3.89%)65.23-69.7Bottom 68.24(1.79%)66.18-69.6127
24Aug_17_2020-26.5%-33.7% -4.5%,-0.7(-0.1)-6%,-1(-0)-0.7%,-0.100.23%-4.2%-1.1-1.2-1.7(6.28%,3.58%)1.88.71   69.75(0.88%)68.38-70.78Downtrend 68.98(-1.11%)68.22-70.7428
25Aug_14_2020-27.2%-32.6% -3.8%,-0.5(-0.3)-6%,-0.7(-0.1)-1.4%,-0.2-0.30.13%-4%-1-1.4-0.8(8.08%,4.15%)1.812.76   69.14(1.95%)67.86-70.36Downtrend 68.11(-1.49%)67.18-70.2631
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVTVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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