Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 23, 2021

Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 7, 2018 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Moderna, Inc)
MRNA latest price $347.0600 (7.25%) ($347.0600 - $348.7800) on Fri. Jul. 23, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.71% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $347.0600(7.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MRNA advances 3.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MRNA advances 19.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MRNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(64%)    IPO(44%)    ONLN(39%)    QQQ(39%)    IBUY(38%)
Factors Impacting MRNA price   MRNA will decline at least -1.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-14%)    USO(-11%)    TBT(-9%)    VXX(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.855% (StdDev 3.71%)
Hourly BBV 1.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $323.44(7.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $291.12(19.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $261.61(32.66%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   130.5%
Market Cap   $136.491b

Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). Its product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, and systemic intracellular therapeutics. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rose and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

July 7, 2020 MRNA, which has developed a vaccine candidate mRNA-1273, is in its phase 2 clinical trials. The mRNA is a molecule that genetically encodes a set of instructions, based on which cells make proteins and send them to various parts of the body.

$. MRNA price fluctuates within 15.34% (three month std-dev: 3.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 34 Average positive next day return: 4.75%(53%) Average negative next day return: -4.07%(47%) Sample size 34 Average positive next three day return: 7.36%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -7.28%(47%) Sample size 34 Average positive next weekly return: 9.57%(59%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.69%(41%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2021	184.69	261.61	291.12	323.44	326.67	335.54	347.06(7.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	317	220	280	428	21.78	79%	1.2	81.9	3.71%	1.7	2.1	85	-0.2
2	Jul_22_2021	182.5	254.92	279.46	311.46	317.54	321.8	323.59(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	203	150	153	351	16.17	78%	1.09	84.5	3.63%	0.4	1.9	83	-0
3	Jul_21_2021	180.54	249.16	270.28	298.86	308.43	317.81	320.01(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	244	310	214	334	29.17	79%	0.99	82.2	3.63%	0.3	2.2	83	0.7
4	Jul_20_2021	178.77	243.91	260.32	284.15	293.57	313.27	315.6(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	358	570	367	331	59.57	79%	0.91	81.8	3.72%	0.1	2.5	82	-0.5
5	Jul_19_2021	177.16	238.29	251.72	268.29	275.7	299.06	310.94(8.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	472	680	515	341	33.42	79%	0.91	77	3.75%	1.5	3	84	-2.8

6	Jul_16_2021	175.56	232.42	243.49	254.11	257.03	273.87	287.17(10.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	372	490	410	258	38.48	79%	0.81	70.6	3.71%	1.5	2.9	82	0.3
7	Jul_15_2021	174.15	228.04	237.77	243.06	245.25	252.35	260.57(5.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	222	230	242	161	12.93	77%	0.69	63	3.59%	1.5	2.2	76	1
8	Jul_14_2021	172.96	224.91	234.93	237.55	238.08	240.2	246.49(4.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	69	70	64	85	9.38	77%	0.57	49.5	3.54%	1	1.6	76	1.6
9	Jul_13_2021	171.98	222.61	233.58	232.68	235.34	238.15	236.27(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	64	120	61	74	3.71	78%	0.46	35.7	3.58%	0.1	1	62	1.2
10	Jul_12_2021	171.2	221.12	232.2	232.23	231.8	235.97	240.04(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	67	120	62	82	6.43	78%	0.39	30.4	3.66%	1.3	1.4	72	1.2

11	Jul_9_2021	170.53	219.96	230.09	231.11	230.3	232.53	231.91(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	68	60	60	92	4.72	79%	0.37	34.6	3.66%	0.8	0.9	74	1.1
12	Jul_8_2021	169.9	219.14	228.91	231.65	230.94	227.63	233.06(4.93%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-110	-10	79	7.72	79%	0.34	44.9	3.69%	1.1	1.1	69	-0.1
13	Jul_7_2021	169.32	218.27	226.93	231.98	231.29	228.08	222.11(-5.1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-74	-110	-116	52	4.41	78%	0.26	58.1	3.66%	-1.4	0.3	68	1
14	Jul_6_2021	168.88	217.82	226.91	234.43	234.45	234.25	234.04(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	-10	2	131	4.32	82%	0.3	76.5	3.58%	0.8	1.3	75	0.9
15	Jul_2_2021	168.37	217.04	224.4	231.93	234.52	234.51	234.45(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	30	33	137	3.96	82%	0.31	90.5	3.58%	0.1	1.5	68	1.5

16	Jul_1_2021	167.85	215.58	220.89	228.76	231.3	234.66	234.57(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	61	130	43	114	5.3	82%	0.33	95.7	3.6%	-0.2	1.7	57	1.7
17	Jun_30_2021	167.29	213.63	217.73	225.71	227.3	234.54	234.74(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	127	240	128	122	8.61	83%	0.34	97	3.8%	0.5	1.8	58	1.5
18	Jun_29_2021	166.72	211.45	214.11	221.2	223.46	227.95	234.33(5.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	139	170	152	101	10.85	79%	0.29	92.9	3.85%	1.3	1.9	58	1.4
19	Jun_28_2021	166.23	208.92	210.61	218.48	217.92	220.07	221.58(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	60	22	30	5.58	78%	0.28	104.2	3.93%	0.6	1.2	55	1.7
20	Jun_25_2021	165.76	207.13	209.01	215.77	217.71	218.96	218.57(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	60	70	70	29	8.19	78%	0.28	101.4	3.94%	-0.1	1	48	2

21	Jun_24_2021	165.3	205.13	208.82	211.68	215.07	215.77	219.35(3.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	70	40	8	7.53	78%	0.33	86.2	3.94%	0.5	1.1	57	1.7
22	Jun_23_2021	164.76	202.97	208.36	208.42	209.76	216.46	212.19(-3.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	240	50	12	13.86	74%	0.33	79.6	3.96%	-0.1	0.7	61	1.7
23	Jun_22_2021	164.21	200.92	208.72	205.74	207.48	214.38	220.73(6.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	164	260	193	75	9.12	74%	0.4	70	4%	1.5	1.3	67	1.4
24	Jun_21_2021	163.56	198.19	207.77	201.71	202	203.05	208.02(5.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	40	47	20	6.74	72%	0.22	60.4	3.95%	1.4	0.6	67	0.6
25	Jun_18_2021	163.2	196	208.92	201.44	200.05	200.58	198.09(-2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-24	-0	-35	10	4.01	71%		55.5	3.91%	-1.2	0.1	62	-0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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