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     Wed. Oct. 28, 2020

Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 7, 2018 - Wed. Feb. 24, 2021)

(Moderna, Inc)

MRNA latest price $65.7400 (-6.98%) ($65.4899 - $69.4700) on Wed. Oct. 28, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Breakdown
Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $2.83 (3.94% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3.43% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -1.2% (StdDev 3.43%)
Daily Moving Force  -1.4%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -0.54%
Trend Strength  -1.6%
RSI   38
Momentum  1.1
Latest Price  $65.7400(-6.98%)
Forecasted Low Price  64.75(-1.5%)
Forecasted High Price  66.92(1.8%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(1.2%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  10.8% ((72.84))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  9.2%
Hourly Trend   -2% [$68.87(-1.37), $69.72(-0.67)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  2
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  MRNA declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  MRNA declines -3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support MRNA decline at-0.5% a week (35% probability)
  IPO(41%)    IBB(39%)    XBI(35%)    EDOC(27%)    ARKG(24%)  
Factors Impacting MRNA price  MRNA will advance at least 0.8% in a week (12% probabilities).
  INDA(-14%)    VIXM(-13%)    CNCR(-11%)    FEX(-10%)    DRIV(-10%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1
 
Relative Volatility   -0.8 (options are cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.9% (StdDev 3.43%)
Hourly BBV   -2.3 ()
Intraday Trend   -4.7%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $65.62(-0.18%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $71.87
5 Day Moving Average  $69.6(-5.55%)
10 Day Moving Average  $70.69(-7%)
20 Day Moving Average  $71.87(-8.53%)
To recent high  -19.3%
To recent low  21%
Market Cap  $25.854b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Wed. Mar. 10, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $92.29 ($41.00 - $136.00)
  14 analysts (last updated on Mon. Oct. 19, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  40.39%
% to Low Target Price  -37.63%
% to High Target Price  106.88%
 
 


Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). Its product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, and systemic intracellular therapeutics. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rose and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

July 7, 2020 MRNA, which has developed a vaccine candidate mRNA-1273, is in its phase 2 clinical trials. The mRNA is a molecule that genetically encodes a set of instructions, based on which cells make proteins and send them to various parts of the body.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. MRNA price fluctuates within 3.94% (three month std-dev: 3.43%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. MRNA price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201128

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Oct_28_202071.87 (-0%)70.69 (-0.8%)69.6 (-0.8%) 69.72 68.87(0%)65.74(-6.98%)65.49-69.47-1(-2.2)-2.3 -1.4%-1.2%0%-0.54%-1.6%381.1 Breakdown  Range(0.9%)2-1-2.4Downtrend 65.49(-0.38%)64.96-66.716.04   -19.3%-21% 
2Oct_27_202072.16 (0%)71.78 (-0.6%)70.13 (-0.2%) 70.39 70.24(0%)70.67(0.61%)68.81-71.35-0.7(-0.6)1.1 -0.2%-0.7%0%-0.4%-0.5%481 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.9%)3-0.9-0.6Correction 68.81(-2.63%)68.47-70.183.81   -13.3%-30.1% 
3Oct_26_202072.17 (0.2%)72.49 (-0.4%)70.26 (-0.2%) 70.28 70.58(0%)70.24(-0.41%)68.7-71.32-0.7(-0.8)-1 -0.2%-0.5%0%-0.26%0.4%511 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.5%)4-0.9-0.2Correction 68.6(-2.33%)68.29-69.873.87   -13.8%-29.3% 
4Oct_23_202072.21 (0.2%)73 (-0.4%)70.4 (-1%) 70.69 70.54(0%)70.53(-0.44%)68.8-72.4-0.6(-0.7)-2.3 0.1%-0.3%0%-0.18%1.1%491 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0%)4-0.90.8Correction 69.09(-2.04%)68.79-70.283.74   -13.4%-29.8% 
5Oct_22_202072.18 (0.2%)73.28 (-0.2%)71.08 (-1.3%) 71.03 69.98(0%)70.84(3.61%)68.4-72.53-0.4(-0.5)-1.4 -1.4%-0.1%0%-0.04%1.5%571.1 Downtrend Pop  Range(-1.5%)5-0.90.6Correction 69.44(-1.98%)69.12-70.75.21   -14.9%-30.4% 
 
6Oct_21_202071.94 (0.2%)73.53 (0%)72.03 (-2.2%) 72.3 70.84(0%)68.37(-4.12%)68.06-71.58-0.1(-1.2)-5.2 -1.9%-0.4%0%0.14%2.2%501.2 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.2%)6-10.1Downtrend Reversal 67.2(-1.71%)66.91-68.374.61   -17.8%-25.8% 
7Oct_20_202071.92 (0.4%)74 (0.4%)73.67 (-1.9%) 73.66 72.08(0%)71.31(0.49%)70.65-73.10.5(-0.2)-2.8 -2.2%0%0%0.38%2.9%541.2 Downtrend Reversal  Lower(-2.2%)7-0.90.2Uptrend Consolidation 71.5(0.27%)71.46-71.615.44   -14.3%-31.2% 
8Oct_19_202071.81 (0.4%)74.04 (0.6%)75.07 (-1.2%) 75.27 73.76(0%)70.96(-4.03%)70.5-74.091(-0.3)-2.6 -1.8%-0.1%0%0.58%3.1%541.1 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.1%)8-0.81.2Uptrend Consolidation 71.31(0.5%)71.27-71.476.93   -14.7%-30.6% 
9Oct_16_202071.75 (0.6%)74.19 (0.8%)75.94 (0.3%) 76.62 75.23(0%)73.94(-2.17%)73.67-76.931.6(0.7)-1.1 -0.9%0.5%0%0.76%3.4%611 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.7%)8-0.80.9Uptrend Dip 75.58(2.22%)73.14-76.194.69   -22%-36.1% 
10Oct_15_202071.54 (0.8%)73.74 (0.8%)75.75 (0.7%) 76.44 76.77(0%)75.58(-1.28%)73.71-76.491.7(1.3)0.5 -0.4%0.7%0%0.8%3.1%691 Uptrend  Range(0.9%)8-0.70.7After Top 75.53(-0.07%)73.33-77.335.01   -20.3%-39.1% 
 
11Oct_14_202071.15 (0.8%)73.19 (0.8%)75.22 (1.1%) 75.89 78(0%)76.56(-2.21%)76.33-80.011.8(1.8)1.4 2%0.7%0%0.86%2.9%790.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(3.8%)8-0.70.9Uptrend Dip 78.23(2.18%)74.43-79.186.64   -19.3%-40.9% 
12Oct_13_202070.74 (1%)72.59 (0.8%)74.38 (2%) 74.59 76.1(0%)78.29(3.96%)75.52-81.371.6(2.6)1.8 2.5%1.1%0%0.88%2.6%750.9 Breakout  Higher(3.6%)8-0.60.9Breakout 78.84(0.7%)76.78-79.7213.67   -17.5%-44.1% 
13Oct_12_202070.14 (1%)71.76 (0.6%)72.93 (0.9%) 73.14 73.77(0%)75.31(3.16%)72.92-75.851.2(2)2.4 0.9%0.7%0%0.8%2.3%650.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.6%)8-0.71.3Uptrend 75.71(0.53%)74.32-76.37.59   -20.6%-38.6% 
14Oct_9_202069.56 (1%)71.25 (0.6%)72.26 (1.2%) 72.48 73.09(0%)73(0.1%)72.39-73.671(1.1)2.3 0.9%0.6%0%0.74%2.4%600.9 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.5%)8-0.71.1Growing Uptrend 73.8(1.09%)72.33-74.164.77   -23%-34.3% 
15Oct_8_202068.91 (0.8%)70.9 (0.4%)71.42 (0.8%) 71.87 72.5(0%)72.93(0.77%)72.01-73.760.9(1)3.2 1%1.1%0%0.62%2.9%571.1 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.1%)7-0.71.1Growing Uptrend 73.79(1.18%)72.32-74.164.02   -23.1%-34.2% 
 
16Oct_7_202068.18 (0.8%)70.15 (0.4%)70.84 (0.5%) 70.9 71.88(0%)72.37(1.87%)70.96-73.240.8(1)0.8 0.8%0.8%0%0.46%2.9%611.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.6%)6-0.70.7Uptrend 72.81(0.61%)71.67-73.314.19   -23.7%-33.2% 
17Oct_6_202067.44 (0.6%)69.63 (0.2%)70.52 (0.2%) 70.29 71.24(0%)71.04(-1.26%)70.31-73.920.8(0.7)0.1 0.9%0.6%0%0.38%3.2%561.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.1%)5-0.70.3After Top 70.8(-0.34%)69.04-72.247.29   -25.1%-30.7% 
18Oct_5_202066.65 (0.6%)69.39 (0.2%)70.41 (0.4%) 70.39 69.92(0%)71.95(4.56%)69.05-72.020.9(1)1.7 0.5%0.5%0%0.36%4.1%631.6 Growing Uptrend  Range(1%)4-0.60.5Uptrend 72.19(0.34%)70.85-72.786.52   -24.1%-32.4% 
19Oct_2_202066.17 (0.4%)69.09 (0.4%)70.13 (-0.2%) 70.34 69.34(0%)68.81(-1.74%)67.25-72.770.9(0.5)-0.9 -1.2%-0%0%0.42%4.4%651.5 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.3%)5-0.70.7Uptrend Consolidation 68.16(-0.94%)67.77-69.338   -27.5%-26.6% 
20Oct_1_202065.96 (0.4%)69.19 (0.8%)70.26 (1.4%) 70.59 70.85(0%)70.03(-1.02%)68.16-70.21(0.8)0.4 0.1%0.3%0%0.62%4.9%761.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.9%)6-0.70.9Uptrend 70.72(0.98%)69.24-71.346.84   -26.2%-28.9% 
 
21Sep_30_202065.68 (0.2%)68.98 (0.8%)69.29 (1.1%) 70.14 71.34(0%)70.75(0.33%)70.16-75.391(1)1.6 1.7%0.4%0%0.68%5%791.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.1%)6-0.60.8Uptrend 71.35(0.85%)69.7-72.0615.69   -25.4%-30.2% 
22Sep_29_202065.28 (0.2%)68.76 (1.2%)68.57 (0.5%) 68.41 70.33(0%)70.52(-0.04%)69.59-71.340.9(1.1)3.2 1.4%0.5%0%0.82%5.3%801.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.9%)6-0.60.9Uptrend Consolidation 69.24(-1.81%)68.48-71.546.29   -25.7%-29.8% 
23Sep_28_202064.97 (0.2%)68.4 (1.4%)68.21 (0.4%) 67.62 68.94(0%)70.55(1.55%)69.1-71.50.8(1.2)1.5 2.1%0.8%0%1.04%5.3%831.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.9%)6-0.60.9N/A 70.68(0.18%)67.21-73.517.34   -25.6%-29.8% 
24Sep_25_202064.77 (0.2%)67.73 (1.4%)67.96 (-0.1%) 67.08 66.48(0%)69.47(6.6%)65.67-69.730.7(1.1)1 %1%0%1.06%4.6%601.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(1%)6-0.61.1N/A 69.91(0.64%)66.99-72.39.19   -26.8%-27.8% 
25Sep_24_202064.65 (0.2%)66.78 (1.4%)68.04 (-0.8%) 67.21 66.31(0%)65.17(-2.96%)63.64-66.770.7(0.1)-1.8 -1.6%0.6%0%1%3.3%521.3 Confirmed Correction  Range(0.5%)7-0.71.2N/A 66.43(1.94%)65.17-67.475.57   -31.3%-19.9% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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