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     Fri. Oct. 16, 2020

Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 7, 2018 - Fri. Feb. 26, 2021)

(Moderna, Inc)

MRNA latest price $73.9400 (-2.17%) ($73.6650 - $76.9300) on Fri. Oct. 16, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Uptrend Consolidation
Trend Narrative  Uptrend Dip
Average Daily Price Swing  $3.12 (4.35% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  4.45% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.5% (StdDev 4.45%)
Daily Moving Force  -0.9%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.76%
Trend Strength  3.4%
RSI   61
Momentum  1
Latest Price  $73.9400(-2.17%)
Forecasted Low Price  73.13(-1.1%)
Forecasted High Price  75.27(1.8%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0.6%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  0.2% (73.8)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  1.9%
Hourly Trend   -2% [$75.23(-1.54), $76.62(0.18)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  8
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  MRNA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  MRNA advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support MRNA decline at-0.5% a week (35% probability)
  IPO(41%)    IBB(39%)    XBI(35%)    EDOC(31%)    ARKG(25%)  
Factors Impacting MRNA price  MRNA will advance at least 0.4% in a week (12% probabilities).
  VIXM(-14%)    CNCR(-14%)    INDA(-11%)    GLD(-8%)    URA(-7%)  
Trading Plan  Buy the Dip
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.8
 
Relative Volatility   -1.4 (options are cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.4% (StdDev 4.45%)
Hourly BBV   -1.1 ()
Intraday Trend   -2.8%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $74.32(0.52%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Support Level  $71.75
5 Day Moving Average  $75.94(-2.63%)
10 Day Moving Average  $74.19(-0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average  $71.75(3.05%)
To recent high  -22%
To recent low  36.1%
Market Cap  $29.079b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Wed. Mar. 10, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $92.29 ($41.00 - $136.00)
  14 analysts (last updated on Thu. Oct. 8, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  24.82%
% to Low Target Price  -44.55%
% to High Target Price  83.93%
 
 


Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). Its product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, and systemic intracellular therapeutics. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rose and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

July 7, 2020 MRNA, which has developed a vaccine candidate mRNA-1273, is in its phase 2 clinical trials. The mRNA is a molecule that genetically encodes a set of instructions, based on which cells make proteins and send them to various parts of the body.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. MRNA price fluctuates within 4.35% (three month std-dev: 4.45%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. MRNA price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201116

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Oct_16_202071.75 (0.6%)74.19 (0.8%)75.94 (0.3%) 76.62 75.23(0%)73.94(-2.17%)73.67-76.931.6(0.7)-1.1 -0.9%0.5%0%0.76%3.4%611 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.7%)8-0.80.9Uptrend Dip 75.58(2.22%)73.14-76.194.69   -22%-36.1% 
2Oct_15_202071.54 (0.8%)73.74 (0.8%)75.75 (0.7%) 76.44 76.77(0%)75.58(-1.28%)73.71-76.491.7(1.3)0.5 -0.4%0.7%0%0.8%3.1%691 Uptrend  Range(0.9%)8-0.70.7After Top 75.53(-0.07%)73.33-77.335.01   -20.3%-39.1% 
3Oct_14_202071.15 (0.8%)73.19 (0.8%)75.22 (1.1%) 75.89 78(0%)76.56(-2.21%)76.33-80.011.8(1.8)1.4 2%0.7%0%0.86%2.9%790.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(3.8%)8-0.70.9Uptrend Dip 78.23(2.18%)74.43-79.186.64   -19.3%-40.9% 
4Oct_13_202070.74 (1%)72.59 (0.8%)74.38 (2%) 74.59 76.1(0%)78.29(3.96%)75.52-81.371.6(2.6)1.8 2.5%1.1%0%0.88%2.6%750.9 Breakout  Higher(3.6%)8-0.60.9Breakout 78.84(0.7%)76.78-79.7213.67   -17.5%-44.1% 
5Oct_12_202070.14 (1%)71.76 (0.6%)72.93 (0.9%) 73.14 73.77(0%)75.31(3.16%)72.92-75.851.2(2)2.4 0.9%0.7%0%0.8%2.3%650.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.6%)8-0.71.3Uptrend 75.71(0.53%)74.32-76.37.59   -20.6%-38.6% 
 
6Oct_9_202069.56 (1%)71.25 (0.6%)72.26 (1.2%) 72.48 73.09(0%)73(0.1%)72.39-73.671(1.1)2.3 0.9%0.6%0%0.74%2.4%600.9 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.5%)8-0.71.1Growing Uptrend 73.8(1.09%)72.33-74.164.77   -23%-34.3% 
7Oct_8_202068.91 (0.8%)70.9 (0.4%)71.42 (0.8%) 71.87 72.5(0%)72.93(0.77%)72.01-73.760.9(1)3.2 1%1.1%0%0.62%2.9%571.1 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.1%)7-0.71.1Growing Uptrend 73.79(1.18%)72.32-74.164.02   -23.1%-34.2% 
8Oct_7_202068.18 (0.8%)70.15 (0.4%)70.84 (0.5%) 70.9 71.88(0%)72.37(1.87%)70.96-73.240.8(1)0.8 0.8%0.8%0%0.46%2.9%611.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.6%)6-0.70.7Uptrend 72.81(0.61%)71.67-73.314.19   -23.7%-33.2% 
9Oct_6_202067.44 (0.6%)69.63 (0.2%)70.52 (0.2%) 70.29 71.24(0%)71.04(-1.26%)70.31-73.920.8(0.7)0.1 0.9%0.6%0%0.38%3.2%561.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.1%)5-0.70.3After Top 70.8(-0.34%)69.04-72.247.29   -25.1%-30.7% 
10Oct_5_202066.65 (0.6%)69.39 (0.2%)70.41 (0.4%) 70.39 69.92(0%)71.95(4.56%)69.05-72.020.9(1)1.7 0.5%0.5%0%0.36%4.1%631.6 Growing Uptrend  Range(1%)4-0.60.5Uptrend 72.19(0.34%)70.85-72.786.52   -24.1%-32.4% 
 
11Oct_2_202066.17 (0.4%)69.09 (0.4%)70.13 (-0.2%) 70.34 69.34(0%)68.81(-1.74%)67.25-72.770.9(0.5)-0.9 -1.2%-0%0%0.42%4.4%651.5 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.3%)5-0.70.7Uptrend Consolidation 68.16(-0.94%)67.77-69.338   -27.5%-26.6% 
12Oct_1_202065.96 (0.4%)69.19 (0.8%)70.26 (1.4%) 70.59 70.85(0%)70.03(-1.02%)68.16-70.21(0.8)0.4 0.1%0.3%0%0.62%4.9%761.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.9%)6-0.70.9Uptrend 70.72(0.98%)69.24-71.346.84   -26.2%-28.9% 
13Sep_30_202065.68 (0.2%)68.98 (0.8%)69.29 (1.1%) 70.14 71.34(0%)70.75(0.33%)70.16-75.391(1)1.6 1.7%0.4%0%0.68%5%791.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.1%)6-0.60.8Uptrend 71.35(0.85%)69.7-72.0615.69   -25.4%-30.2% 
14Sep_29_202065.28 (0.2%)68.76 (1.2%)68.57 (0.5%) 68.41 70.33(0%)70.52(-0.04%)69.59-71.340.9(1.1)3.2 1.4%0.5%0%0.82%5.3%801.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.9%)6-0.60.9Uptrend Consolidation 69.24(-1.81%)68.48-71.546.29   -25.7%-29.8% 
15Sep_28_202064.97 (0.2%)68.4 (1.4%)68.21 (0.4%) 67.62 68.94(0%)70.55(1.55%)69.1-71.50.8(1.2)1.5 2.1%0.8%0%1.04%5.3%831.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.9%)6-0.60.9N/A 70.68(0.18%)67.21-73.517.34   -25.6%-29.8% 
 
16Sep_25_202064.77 (0.2%)67.73 (1.4%)67.96 (-0.1%) 67.08 66.48(0%)69.47(6.6%)65.67-69.730.7(1.1)1 %1%0%1.06%4.6%601.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(1%)6-0.61.1N/A 69.91(0.64%)66.99-72.39.19   -26.8%-27.8% 
17Sep_24_202064.65 (0.2%)66.78 (1.4%)68.04 (-0.8%) 67.21 66.31(0%)65.17(-2.96%)63.64-66.770.7(0.1)-1.8 -1.6%0.6%0%1%3.3%521.3 Confirmed Correction  Range(0.5%)7-0.71.2N/A 66.43(1.94%)65.17-67.475.57   -31.3%-19.9% 
18Sep_23_202064.89 (0.2%)66.13 (1.4%)68.58 (-0.5%) 68.03 67.69(0%)67.16(-2.27%)65.77-68.620.9(0.5)-1.1 -0.5%1%0%0.98%1.9%541.4 Correction  Range(1.6%)7-0.61.3Uptrend 68.2(1.55%)66.81-68.86.92   -29.2%-23.6% 
19Sep_22_202064.82 (0.2%)65.17 (1.2%)68.92 (0.5%) 68.19 68.11(0%)68.72(-0.78%)66.67-69.191(0.9)1.4 -0.1%1.6%0%0.92%0.5%591.4 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(1.9%)7-0.61.6Growing Uptrend 69.94(1.77%)68.12-70.396.3   -27.5%-26.5% 
20Sep_21_202064.6 (0.2%)63.79 (0.8%)68.55 (1.7%) 68.26 68.38(0%)69.26(-0.87%)65.46-69.481(1.1)2.1 0.6%0.9%0%0.66%-1.3%561.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.9%)7-0.61.6N/A 69.12(-0.2%)66.78-71.038.22   -27%-27.5% 
 
21Sep_18_202064.43 (-0%)63.07 (0.6%)67.43 (3.2%) 67.75 68.27(0%)69.87(2.92%)66.1-700.8(1.3)4.2 1.5%0.7%0%0.38%-2.1%521.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.2%)7-0.62.1Uptrend Reversal 71.37(2.14%)70.1-72.2113.21   -26.3%-28.6% 
22Sep_17_202064.28 (-0.2%)62.46 (0%)65.32 (3.3%) 66.09 68.14(0%)67.89(-1.38%)64.6-70.90.4(0.9)3.2 2.4%0.5%0%-0%-2.8%491.3 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(3.6%)7-0.72.1Rebound 66.09(-2.65%)68.11-65.2313.28   -28.4%-24.9% 
23Sep_16_202064.24 (-0.4%)62.05 (-0.4%)63.26 (3.9%) 63.77 67.22(0%)68.84(2.93%)66.73-70.04-0.1(1.1)2.8 4.3%0.8%0%-0.44%-3.4%461.3 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(5.1%)6-0.71.4Downtrend Consolidation 68.22(-0.9%)67.26-68.5411.4   -27.4%-26.7% 
24Sep_15_202064.11 (-0.6%)61.4 (-1%)60.87 (4.3%) 61.18 64.04(0%)66.88(5.04%)64.23-68.41-0.7(0.7)2.1 5%0.3%0%-0.86%-4.2%511.3 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(5.3%)5-0.80.8Downtrend Consolidation 66.12(-1.13%)66.02-66.169.1   -29.5%-23.1% 
25Sep_14_202064.21 (-0.8%)61.1 (-1.4%)58.36 (0.4%) 58.69 60.32(0%)63.67(7.3%)60.12-63.85-1.6(-0.1)2.6 2.5%-0.5%0%-1.24%-4.8%491.3 Confirmed Rebound  Range(2%)4-0.90.8After Bottom 62.56(-1.74%)60.82-63.998.93   -32.9%-17.2% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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