Home      Tickers | SPY | NQ100 | DOW | Global | ETFs | Sector ETFs | 3x ETFs | ETF Movers | Stock Movers | Trading Alerts
     ^  MRNA:  Intraday  Forecast  Similar  Waves  Research  Timing  Gains  Losses  Strategies  Practice
     Mon. Oct. 5, 2020

Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 7, 2018 - Wed. Mar. 3, 2021)

(Moderna, Inc)

MRNA latest price $71.9500 (4.56%) ($69.0500 - $72.0200) on Mon. Oct. 5, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $5.1 (7.65% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  4.93% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.5% (StdDev 4.93%)
Daily Moving Force  0.5%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.36%
Trend Strength  4.1%
RSI   63
Momentum  1.6
Latest Price  $71.9500(4.56%)
Forecasted Low Price  71.09(-1.2%)
Forecasted High Price  73.53(2.2%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0.7%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  4.7% (68.73)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  6.2%
Hourly Trend   0.8% [$69.92(0.58), $70.39(0.05)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  4
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  MRNA advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  MRNA advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support MRNA advance at 0.8% a week (40% probability)
  IPO(46%)    IBB(45%)    XBI(41%)    ARKK(33%)    ARKG(31%)  
Factors Impacting MRNA price  MRNA will decline at least -1.1% in a week (8% probabilities).
  VIXM(-13%)    VXX(-6%)    INDA(-6%)    TBT(-5%)    URA(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.6
 
Relative Volatility   1.8 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.2% (StdDev 4.93%)
Hourly BBV   1.7 ()
Intraday Trend   3.3%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $72.01(0.08%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Support Level  $66.65
5 Day Moving Average  $70.41(2.19%)
10 Day Moving Average  $69.39(3.69%)
20 Day Moving Average  $66.65(7.95%)
To recent high  -24.1%
To recent low  32.4%
Market Cap  $28.296b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Wed. Mar. 10, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $92.29 ($41.00 - $134.00)
  14 analysts (last updated on Wed. Sep. 30, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  28.27%
% to Low Target Price  -43.02%
% to High Target Price  86.24%
 
 


Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). Its product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, and systemic intracellular therapeutics. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rose and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

July 7, 2020 MRNA, which has developed a vaccine candidate mRNA-1273, is in its phase 2 clinical trials. The mRNA is a molecule that genetically encodes a set of instructions, based on which cells make proteins and send them to various parts of the body.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. MRNA price fluctuates within 7.65% (three month std-dev: 4.93%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. MRNA price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201105

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Oct_5_202066.65 (0.6%)69.39 (0.2%)70.41 (0.4%) 70.39 69.92(0%)71.95(4.56%)69.05-72.020.9(1)1.7 0.5%0.5%0%0.36%4.1%631.6 Growing Uptrend  Range(1%)4-0.60.5Uptrend 72.19(0.34%)70.85-72.786.52   -24.1%-32.4% 
2Oct_2_202066.17 (0.4%)69.09 (0.4%)70.13 (-0.2%) 70.34 69.34(0%)68.81(-1.74%)67.25-72.770.9(0.5)-0.9 -1.2%-0%0%0.42%4.4%651.5 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.3%)5-0.70.7Uptrend Consolidation 68.16(-0.94%)67.77-69.338   -27.5%-26.6% 
3Oct_1_202065.96 (0.4%)69.19 (0.8%)70.26 (1.4%) 70.59 70.85(0%)70.03(-1.02%)68.16-70.21(0.8)0.4 0.1%0.3%0%0.62%4.9%761.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.9%)6-0.70.9Uptrend 70.72(0.98%)69.24-71.346.84   -26.2%-28.9% 
4Sep_30_202065.68 (0.2%)68.98 (0.8%)69.29 (1.1%) 70.14 71.34(0%)70.75(0.33%)70.16-75.391(1)1.6 1.7%0.4%0%0.68%5%791.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.1%)6-0.60.8Uptrend 71.35(0.85%)69.7-72.0615.69   -25.4%-30.2% 
5Sep_29_202065.28 (0.2%)68.76 (1.2%)68.57 (0.5%) 68.41 70.33(0%)70.52(-0.04%)69.59-71.340.9(1.1)3.2 1.4%0.5%0%0.82%5.3%801.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.9%)6-0.60.9Uptrend Consolidation 69.24(-1.81%)68.48-71.546.29   -25.7%-29.8% 
 
6Sep_28_202064.97 (0.2%)68.4 (1.4%)68.21 (0.4%) 67.62 68.94(0%)70.55(1.55%)69.1-71.50.8(1.2)1.5 2.1%0.8%0%1.04%5.3%831.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.9%)6-0.60.9N/A 70.68(0.18%)67.21-73.517.34   -25.6%-29.8% 
7Sep_25_202064.77 (0.2%)67.73 (1.4%)67.96 (-0.1%) 67.08 66.48(0%)69.47(6.6%)65.67-69.730.7(1.1)1 %1%0%1.06%4.6%601.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(1%)6-0.61.1N/A 69.91(0.64%)66.99-72.39.19   -26.8%-27.8% 
8Sep_24_202064.65 (0.2%)66.78 (1.4%)68.04 (-0.8%) 67.21 66.31(0%)65.17(-2.96%)63.64-66.770.7(0.1)-1.8 -1.6%0.6%0%1%3.3%521.3 Confirmed Correction  Range(0.5%)7-0.71.2N/A 66.43(1.94%)65.17-67.475.57   -31.3%-19.9% 
9Sep_23_202064.89 (0.2%)66.13 (1.4%)68.58 (-0.5%) 68.03 67.69(0%)67.16(-2.27%)65.77-68.620.9(0.5)-1.1 -0.5%1%0%0.98%1.9%541.4 Correction  Range(1.6%)7-0.61.3Uptrend 68.2(1.55%)66.81-68.86.92   -29.2%-23.6% 
10Sep_22_202064.82 (0.2%)65.17 (1.2%)68.92 (0.5%) 68.19 68.11(0%)68.72(-0.78%)66.67-69.191(0.9)1.4 -0.1%1.6%0%0.92%0.5%591.4 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(1.9%)7-0.61.6Growing Uptrend 69.94(1.77%)68.12-70.396.3   -27.5%-26.5% 
 
11Sep_21_202064.6 (0.2%)63.79 (0.8%)68.55 (1.7%) 68.26 68.38(0%)69.26(-0.87%)65.46-69.481(1.1)2.1 0.6%0.9%0%0.66%-1.3%561.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.9%)7-0.61.6N/A 69.12(-0.2%)66.78-71.038.22   -27%-27.5% 
12Sep_18_202064.43 (-0%)63.07 (0.6%)67.43 (3.2%) 67.75 68.27(0%)69.87(2.92%)66.1-700.8(1.3)4.2 1.5%0.7%0%0.38%-2.1%521.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.2%)7-0.62.1Uptrend Reversal 71.37(2.14%)70.1-72.2113.21   -26.3%-28.6% 
13Sep_17_202064.28 (-0.2%)62.46 (0%)65.32 (3.3%) 66.09 68.14(0%)67.89(-1.38%)64.6-70.90.4(0.9)3.2 2.4%0.5%0%-0%-2.8%491.3 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(3.6%)7-0.72.1Rebound 66.09(-2.65%)68.11-65.2313.28   -28.4%-24.9% 
14Sep_16_202064.24 (-0.4%)62.05 (-0.4%)63.26 (3.9%) 63.77 67.22(0%)68.84(2.93%)66.73-70.04-0.1(1.1)2.8 4.3%0.8%0%-0.44%-3.4%461.3 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(5.1%)6-0.71.4Downtrend Consolidation 68.22(-0.9%)67.26-68.5411.4   -27.4%-26.7% 
15Sep_15_202064.11 (-0.6%)61.4 (-1%)60.87 (4.3%) 61.18 64.04(0%)66.88(5.04%)64.23-68.41-0.7(0.7)2.1 5%0.3%0%-0.86%-4.2%511.3 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(5.3%)5-0.80.8Downtrend Consolidation 66.12(-1.13%)66.02-66.169.1   -29.5%-23.1% 
 
16Sep_14_202064.21 (-0.8%)61.1 (-1.4%)58.36 (0.4%) 58.69 60.32(0%)63.67(7.3%)60.12-63.85-1.6(-0.1)2.6 2.5%-0.5%0%-1.24%-4.8%491.3 Confirmed Rebound  Range(2%)4-0.90.8After Bottom 62.56(-1.74%)60.82-63.998.93   -32.9%-17.2% 
17Sep_11_202064.46 (-1%)61.39 (-1.4%)58.15 (-1.9%) 57.26 58.32(0%)59.34(3.09%)57.45-59.51-2(-1.2)0.5 0.2%-1.2%1.5%-1.28%-4.8%401.4 Rebound  Range(-1.3%)4-10.1Growing Downtrend 58.17(-1.97%)57.12-60.154.82   -37.4%-9.2% 
18Sep_10_202064.9 (-1%)62.22 (-1.2%)59.25 (-2.4%) 58.31 57.05(0%)57.56(1.16%)56.87-60.32-2.1(-1.7)-1.1 -0.8%-1.7%3%-1.16%-4.1%351.3 Growing Downtrend  Range(0.5%)4-1.1-0.7Bottom 58.54(1.7%)56.62-59.827.99   -39.3%-5.9% 
19Sep_9_202065.52 (-1%)63.5 (-1%)60.68 (-2.1%) 60.33 56.19(0%)56.9(4.71%)54.51-57.19-2(-2.2)-1.2 -4.3%-1.4%1.4%-0.94%-3.1%341.2 Breakdown  Lower(-4.3%)5-1.1-0.7Growing Downtrend 56.33(-1%)55.52-58.29.36   -40%-4.7
20Sep_8_202066.16 (-1%)64.49 (-0.8%)61.96 (-3.3%) 62.15 59.56(0%)54.34(-13.19%)54.21-58.6-1.8(-3.4)-1.8 -5.7%-1.7%0%-0.82%-2.5%301.1 Breakdown  Range(-0.8%)5-1.2-1.2Growing Downtrend 54(-0.63%)53.2-56.0517.71   -42.7%-0
 
21Sep_4_202067.08 (-0.8%)65.67 (-0.6%)64.07 (-1.5%) 63.96 64.47(0%)62.6(-3.45%)59.01-65-1.3(-1.6)-0.6 -0.8%-0.7%0%-0.66%-2.1%360.9 Growing Downtrend Downtrend Pop Range(0.2%)5-0.9-1.1Downtrend 62.29(-0.49%)61.83-63.3711.65   -34%-7.6% 
22Sep_3_202067.65 (-0.8%)66.08 (-0.4%)65.05 (-1%) 64.6 64.75(0%)64.84(0.19%)64.3-69.35-1.1(-1)-0.1 0.6%-0.5%0%-0.58%-2.3%410.9 Rebound  Range(0.1%)4-0.9-2.4Growing Downtrend 64.44(-0.61%)64.02-65.3214.31   -31.6%-11.4% 
23Sep_2_202068.08 (-0.8%)66.38 (-0.4%)65.69 (-1.7%) 65.07 63.46(0%)64.72(2.21%)61.38-64.89-1(-1.1)-0.9 -1.8%-0.6%0%-0.5%-2.5%451 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-2.4%)3-10.2Growing Downtrend 64.37(-0.54%)63.96-65.259.87   -31.8%-11.2% 
24Sep_1_202068.61 (-0.8%)66.71 (-0.2%)66.85 (-0.9%) 66.41 64.45(0%)63.32(-2.42%)62.5-64.5-0.9(-1.4)-1.7 -2.5%-0.8%0%-0.4%-2.8%381.2 Growing Downtrend  Range(-2.1%)3-10Downtrend 63.1(-0.35%)62.64-64.178.2   -33.2%-8.8% 
25Aug_31_202069.35 (-0.8%)67.12 (-0.2%)67.43 (0%) 67.78 66.68(0%)64.89(-3.85%)62.54-67.2-0.7(-1.1)-0.9 -1.2%-0.8%0%-0.36%-3.2%421.2 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)3-0.90.1Downtrend 64.73(-0.25%)64.34-65.6215.27   -31.6%-11.5% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
Earning Calendar   About   Contact Us  
Copyright ©2016 SmartTrading. All rights reserved. Denver, Colorado, USA