Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 17, 2020

Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 7, 2018 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Moderna, Inc)
MRNA latest price $94.8500 (15.94%) ($82.6100 - $95.2100) on Fri. Jul. 17, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.43% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $94.8500(15.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MRNA advances 8.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MRNA advances 16.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MRNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(59%)    IPO(42%)    IWO(36%)    XBI(36%)    ARKG(35%)
Factors Impacting MRNA price   MRNA will decline at least -3.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-14%)    TBT(-8%)    VXX(-5%)    USO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.215% (StdDev 6.43%)
Hourly BBV 1.9 ()
Intraday Trend 13.8%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $80.74(17.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.97(31.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.46(40.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   106.2%
Market Cap   $37.302b

Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). Its product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, and systemic intracellular therapeutics. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rose and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

July 7, 2020 MRNA, which has developed a vaccine candidate mRNA-1273, is in its phase 2 clinical trials. The mRNA is a molecule that genetically encodes a set of instructions, based on which cells make proteins and send them to various parts of the body.

$. MRNA price fluctuates within 13.36% (three month std-dev: 6.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.79%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 10.24%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 15.96%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200817

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_17_2020	50.07	67.46	71.97	80.74	82.04	85.23	94.85(15.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	99	320	71	183	103.51	79%	1.42	54.3	6.43%	1.9	3	81	1.9
2	Jul_16_2020	49.37	65.81	68.18	74.29	77.11	82.5	81.81(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	79	600	64	124	27.28	78%	1.11	49.8	6.42%	0.6	2.5	74	1.5
3	Jul_15_2020	48.83	64.81	66.05	70.92	72.65	78.84	80.22(6.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	99	670	96	106	90.76	78%	1.2	45.3	6.49%	1.1	3	67	1.4
4	Jul_14_2020	48.25	63.92	64.29	67.2	67.48	71.73	75.04(4.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	68	450	69	66	38.71	77%	1.2	41.3	6.49%	0.9	3	65	0.9
5	Jul_13_2020	47.68	63.42	62.88	64.41	64.21	66.47	71.78(14.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	45	240	49	32	56.62	77%	1.17	39.1	6.5%	1.5	2.9	59	0

6	Jul_10_2020	47.13	62.89	61.73	61.88	61.81	63.23	62.61(-3.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	13	160	20	-8	7.41	74%	0.96	27	6.29%	0.2	-0.1	43	1.2
7	Jul_9_2020	46.68	62.79	61.66	61.07	60.62	61.95	64.97(5.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	10	130	20	-19	20.65	74%	1.02	15.1	6.31%	2	1	49	0.8
8	Jul_8_2020	46.21	62.54	61.57	60.4	59.68	60.39	61.58(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	50	5	-29	7.59	74%	0.94	7	6.29%	1.1	-0.4	47	0.9
9	Jul_7_2020	45.78	62.41	61.7	60.92	59.87	59.3	61.09(3.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-120	-3	-30	8.9	74%	0.35	9.8	6.29%	1.2	-0.5	44	0.7
10	Jul_6_2020	45.62	62.33	62.04	61.12	60.78	58.96	59.15(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-230	-17	-36	9.98	74%	1.51	6.2	6.39%	-0.5	-1.3	36	1.1

11	Jul_2_2020	44.94	62.32	62.76	61.55	61.45	60.45	58.57(-4.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-25	-120	-23	-30	26.54	76%	0.9	5.2	6.36%	-1.3	-1.5	47	0.8
12	Jul_1_2020	44.54	62.46	63.43	62.23	61.91	62.6	61.59(-4.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	60	-4	-11	17.92	76%	0.95	22.3	6.45%	-0.5	-0.4	55	0.6
13	Jun_30_2020	44.12	62.39	63.43	62.88	62.35	62.46	64.21(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10	10	4	11.96	76%	0.94	43.8	6.38%	1.5	0.7	60	0.3
14	Jun_29_2020	43.71	62.17	63.62	62.63	62.6	61.22	62.08(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-160	-13	1	8.07	76%	0.92	46.1	6.38%	0.7	-0	61	-0.2
15	Jun_26_2020	43.31	62.18	64.06	63.16	63.13	62.24	61.28(-1.16%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-14	-100	-23	12	13.87	76%	0.98	40.3	6.42%	-0.6	-0.4	58	-0.9

16	Jun_25_2020	42.89	62.2	64.19	64.18	64.11	63.98	62(-4.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-20	-5	33	26.91	76%	1.01	36.7	6.42%	-1.2	-0.1	61	-0.3
17	Jun_24_2020	42.46	61.91	64.08	64.77	64.57	64.03	64.84(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	10	-70	0	41	14.38	76%	1.05	11.3	6.39%	1.2	0.8	59	-0.7
18	Jun_23_2020	42.02	61.31	63.63	64.46	64.48	64.24	62.94(-2.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-30	-8	37	12.36	76%	1.06	-16	6.41%	-2	0.5	58	-0
19	Jun_22_2020	41.58	61.05	63.22	64.74	64.51	65.11	64.75(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	11	50	1	41	13.59	76%	1.09	-41	6.45%	1.5	1	62	-0.2
20	Jun_19_2020	41.13	61.2	62.67	65.1	64.56	64.72	66.35(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10	10	45	16.08	72%	1.13	-33.1	6.44%	1.1	1.3	58	-0.8

21	Jun_18_2020	40.67	61.17	61.85	64.23	64.63	63.92	64.95(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-60	3	30	10.91	73%	1.14	-36.2	6.61%	0.9	1	57	-0.7
22	Jun_17_2020	40.21	61.51	61.39	63.28	64.15	64.4	63.31(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	70	-2	27	13.62	73%	1.03	-28.5	6.74%	-1.3	0.4	68	-0.9
23	Jun_16_2020	39.8	61.87	61.03	62.64	63.73	65.34	64.34(-3.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	230	23	43	16.54	77%	1.09	-21.7	6.75%	0.4	0.5	74	-1
24	Jun_15_2020	39.37	62.54	60.56	61.41	62.37	63.89	66.57(7.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	220	26	36	19.34	77%	1.18	-14	7.29%	2	0.6	63	-1.3
25	Jun_12_2020	38.91	62.51	60.03	59.92	60.56	62.11	62(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	210	16	12	14.74	76%		-15.3	7.3%	0.4	-0.1	42	-1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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